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Marylou Athanase

@marylouathanase.bsky.social
281 followers 195 following 15 posts

Postdoctoral scientist, Ocean 🌊 and Climate 🌍 research at AWI (Germany). Interested in extreme events & polar regions.

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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Vikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
☀️🌧️ Extreme weather events are increasing 🌀🌤 Our new paper discusses the range of extreme weather attribution methods available and how we should be combining them to improve confidence in our attribution statements with co-authors: @marylouathanase.bsky.social & Shirin Ermis doi.org/10.1002/wea....
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution
Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned story...
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
If you want to learn more about Storylines of Marine Heatwaves, my #OOSC presentation starts today at 16h30 🌊
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
To celebrate the kick-off of #UNOC3 and #OOSC in Nice, we share a striking, mesmerising perspective on Mediterranean Marine Heatwaves —and their clear amplification by climate change. From @awi.de storyline simulations, visual by @jawijan.bsky.social
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
So it begins. Day 1 (of 2) of traveling to #OOSC & #UNOC3 in Nice by train, all the way from Northern Germany 🚝 Looking forward to meet some of you there!
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
A little belated post to share the latest article by Wenqin Zhuo together with our @awi.de team of "storyliners"! This time investigating cold extremes. Read in @natureportfolio.nature.com: doi.org/10.1038/s416...
doi.org
Storylines reveal contrasting thermodynamic effects of climate change on 2020/21 East Asian cold extremes - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science - Storylines reveal contrasting thermodynamic effects of climate change on 2020/21 East Asian cold extremes
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
Our paper on the Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 is featured in a spotlight article 🌊 *And* it is now #9 largest score on @altmetric.com of all @jgroceans.bsky.social articles... What a week Read on @eos.org: eos.org/research-spo... W/ @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social and @clnhz.bsky.social
eos.org
The Uncertain Fate of the Beaufort Gyre - Eos
Climate models produce widely varying predictions for what will happen to this influential ocean current, but most models predict it will weaken or stop.
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Eos @eos.org · 13/05/2025
⬆️New research by @marylouathanase.bsky.social & @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social of @awi.de, @clnhz.bsky.social, + colleagues in @jgroceans.bsky.social.
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Eos @eos.org · 13/05/2025
Climate models offer little clarity on how climate change will affect the Beaufort Gyre, an influential current in the Arctic Ocean. Most predict the current will weaken or even stop, but the timing and impacts of this fate remain uncertain. eos.org/research-spo...
eos.org
The Uncertain Fate of the Beaufort Gyre - Eos
Climate models produce widely varying predictions for what will happen to this influential ocean current, but most models predict it will weaken or stop.
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Audrey Garric @audreygarric.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
C’est l’un des nombreux bouleversements entraînés par la disparition de la banquise : elle change la couleur des océans Arctique et Antarctique. De quoi entraîner des conséquences « considérables » pour certains organismes marins comme les algues et le phytoplancton www.lemonde.fr/planete/arti...
lemonde.fr
La fonte de la banquise change la couleur des océans Arctique et Antarctique
En l’absence d’une couche de glace à la surface de l’océan, la lumière qui pénètre les eaux n’est plus la même, ce qui influence le type d’algue et de plancton s’y développant. Une étude publiée dans ...
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Starting at 12:45 at #EGU25 Bring your lunch!
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Vikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
Coming up soon at #EGU25, come along to chat about event attribution at lunchtime in room 2.43
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Thibault Guinaldo @tguinaldo.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
Une nouvelle étude intéressante et qui va au-delà des effets d'annonce. Le nombre de papier devient conséquent sur le rôle de la variabilité interne. J’ai pu l’expliquer sur @franceculture.fr merci à @alexandremorales.bsky.social www.radiofrance.fr/francecultur...
radiofrance.fr
La vague de chaleur qu'a subi l'océan Atlantique en 2023 était-elle prévisible ?
En 2023, l'océan Atlantique a donc connu une vague de chaleur marine exceptionnelle et surprenante. Une équipe de recherche française montre néanmoins que, dans le cadre du réchauffement climatique ac...
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
I will be presenting our results at #EGU25 in a poster on Wednesday. 🌀 So if you'd like to chat about the Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 models, find me there! The poster: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/EGU25-... The paper: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 Models: Present and Future
CMIP6 models generally simulate a too strong, large, and northward-extending Beaufort Gyre (BG) during the historical period Among the least unrealistic models, most simulations project a decline...
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
If you are attending #EGU25 and interested in the attribution of #climate extremes: consider joining our networking session on Friday noon! We will exchange on existing methods, their strengths, and how to compare them: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio... W/ @vikkithompson.bsky.social
Leaflet of the EGU25 splinter meeting.

Title: Networking session: comparing methods for extreme event attribution.
Illustrations: plots from various attribution methods.

Time and location: Friday 02.05, 12h45-13h45, room 2.43.
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Vikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
Are you interested in extreme event attribution and attending #EGU25? Come along to our networking session to discuss the strengths and challenges of different methods. meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio... @marylouathanase.bsky.social
Poster, text: Networking Session: Comparing methods for extreme event attribution. Conveners: Vikki Thompson, Shirin Ermis, and Marylou Athanase. EGU General Assembly 2025. Friday 12.45-13.45 in room 2.43. Three images of extreme event attribution techniques. QR code links to https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/55165
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Thomas Rackow 🧊 @trackow.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Our article is out in @eurogeosciences.bsky.social's GMD journal, on global multi-year kilometre-scale modelling with @ecmwf.bsky.social’s IFS coupled to FESOM2.5 (finer than 5km). See the paper here: doi.org/10.5194/gmd-... This is what we found: (🧵1/n)
doi.org
Multi-year simulations at kilometre scale with the Integrated Forecasting System coupled to FESOM2.5 and NEMOv3.4
Abstract. We report on the first multi-year kilometre-scale global coupled simulations using ECMWF's Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) coupled to both the NEMO and FESOM ocean–sea ice models, as par...
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
SnowPI @snowpi.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
🆕 from PolarRES' @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social & colleagues on the future of the Beaufort Gyre, a major Arctic Ocean current. By accumulating/releasing freshwater, it shapes ocean properties. But most CMIP6 models project it will weaken or vanish, disrupting ocean circulation. 🔗: bit.ly/4cdZo3m
Research article: The Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 Models: Present and Future
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Céline Heuzé @clnhz.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
New study led by @marylouathanase.bsky.social and @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social. As #SeaIce thins, the Beaufort Gyre releases its feshwater out of the #Arctic. We don't predict the "Day After Tomorrow" but I'm curious about potential impacts on the #AMOC agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 Models: Present and Future
CMIP6 models generally simulate a too strong, large, and northward-extending Beaufort Gyre (BG) during the historical period Among the least unrealistic models, most simulations project a decline...
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Ruth Mottram @ruth-mottram.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy · 31/03/2025
Fantastic to see this by @marylou_athanase @raphaelkoehler.bsky.social @clnhz.bsky.social et al out - an @PolarRES inspired project started at our very first bootcamp with @clicwcrp.bsky.social #NORP way back in 2022 agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi…
mas.to
Marylou Athanase (@marylou_athanase@mas.to)
0 Posts, 4 Following, 6 Followers · Polar and Climate Scientist, 🇨🇵 national living in 🇩🇪
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Our new study is out: The Arctic Beaufort Gyre is projected to weaken or vanish in most CMIP6 models under future climate change. The gyre would thus stop storing freshwater in its centre, with possibly large impacts on the Arctic and beyond. Read: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
The Arctic Beaufort Gyre in CMIP6 Models: Present and Future
CMIP6 models generally simulate a too strong, large, and northward-extending Beaufort Gyre (BG) during the historical period Among the least unrealistic models, most simulations project a decline...
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Vikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Planning your #EGU25 travel? If you're interested in extreme event attribution, make sure to stay until Friday to come along to our networking session to discuss the value of multiple methods. @marylouathanase.bsky.social
Poster, text: Networking Session: Comparing methods for extreme event attribution. Conveners: Vikki Thompson, Shirin Ermis, and Marylou Athanase. EGU General Assembly 2025. Friday 12.45-13.45 in room 2.43. Three images of extreme event attribution techniques. QR code links to https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/session/55165
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Thomas Frölicher @froeltho.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
This is really sad news. NOAA GFDL is one of the world's leading climate modeling centers, home to exceptional scientists. If anyone directly affected needs support, I’m happy to help. www.science.org/content/arti...
science.org
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Katie O'Reilly @drkatfish.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
This is absolutely devastating. "The University of Maine System, which oversees Maine Sea Grant, said it was notified Friday night that NOAA was terminating a four-year agreement for funding, leaving 20 employees and the Sea Grant’s programming in limbo." www.pressherald.com/2025/03/01/m...
pressherald.com
Maine Sea Grant funding terminated as Trump administration makes cuts to NOAA
The move to discontinue the $4.5 million grant program leaves 20 employees and the Sea Grant’s programming in limbo.
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 05/03/2025
Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week. "...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"
science.org
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Judith Hauck @jhauck.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Massive piece of work by Laurent Oziel and many #AWI colleagues, conducted within the #COMFORT project: Laurent conducted future 🌊 Arctic Ocean high-resolution simulations that account for climate change AND carbon & nutrient inputs from rivers & coastal erosion. ⬇️ doi.org/10.1038/s415...
doi.org
Climate change and terrigenous inputs decrease the efficiency of the future Arctic Ocean’s biological carbon pump - Nature Climate Change
Changes in the Arctic could impact the oceanic carbon sequestration of the region. Here the authors consider regional biogeochemistry, including coastal erosion and river inputs, to show a 40% reducti...
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Laura Suarez-Gutierrez @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
#EGU25 Call for Abstracts open: Are you working on understanding high-risk climate extremes and their impacts? Then join our session! 🔵 High-impact climate extremes: from physical understanding and storylines to impacts and solutions 🎯Session: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio... 🧪
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Valérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
www.noaa.gov/news-release...
noaa.gov
Arctic tundra becoming source of carbon dioxide emissions
2024 Arctic Report Card tracks rapid, complex Arctic change
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Audrey Garric @audreygarric.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Comment expliquer les températures extrêmes en 2023, qui se maintiennent encore à des sommets ? Une étude publiée hier pointe la baisse de l'albédo, liée à une diminution des nuages bas. Elle ne clôt toutefois pas ce débat qui divise les chercheurs. Un 🧶 www.lemonde.fr/planete/arti...
lemonde.fr
Emballement climatique ou variabilité naturelle : les scientifiques s’interrogent face au maintien de températures extrêmes
Une étude, publiée dans « Science », attribue la forte hausse de la température en 2023 au fait que la Terre renverrait moins d’énergie solaire vers l’espace. D’autres scientifiques estiment qu’il s’a...
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Vasco Müller @oceanisfun.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Exploring the Arctic Ocean? Planning to attend EGU25? Submit an abstract to our session:"Changes in the Arctic Ocean, Sea Ice, and Subarctic Sea Systems: Observations, Models, and Perspectives" (t.ly/BvM9l) Spread the word, and you see in Vienna for exciting talks, posters and discussions!
t.ly
Session OS1.1
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Thomas Frölicher @froeltho.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
What is the best way to define a baseline for marine heatwave (MHW) research – or extreme events in general? A new study from a wide range of experts highlights that the choice of baseline matters and should be tailored to the specific application. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Baseline matters: Challenges and implications of different marine heatwave baselines
Marine heatwaves (MHWs), prolonged periods of unusually high ocean temperatures, significantly impact global ecosystems. However, there is ongoing deb…
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Lars Kaleschke @seaice.de · 05/12/2024
Several positions as part of Lettie Roach's new group 'Southern Ocean & Antarctic Sea ice Evolution' 🌊❄️🌍 Deadline for applications is Dec 31st 2024 Postdoc jobs.awi.de/Vacancies/18... PhD jobs.awi.de/Vacancies/18... PhD jobs.awi.de/Vacancies/18... Scientific programmer jobs.awi.de/Vacancies/18...
jobs.awi.de
PostDoc in "A system-wide view of processes driving recent observed Southern Ocean change" (d/f/m)
Layout AWI Forschung englisch extern
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Reposted by Marylou Athanase
Thomas Rackow 🧊 @trackow.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
We have a new paper out in @science.org today, led by Helge Goessling from #AWI: The recent global temperature surge in 2023 was intensified by a record-low planetary #albedo 👉 doi.org/10.1126/scie... @thomasjung.bsky.social @ecmwf.bsky.social This is what we found (🧵1/8)
doi.org
Recent global temperature surge intensified by record-low planetary albedo
In 2023, the global mean temperature soared to almost 1.5K above the pre-industrial level, surpassing the previous record by about 0.17K. Previous best-guess estimates of known drivers including anthr...
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Nikolay Koldunov @oceanographer.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
🌊 PostDoc in Numerical Ocean Modelling (f/m/d) 🌊 Join AWI to study energy transfers & numerical mixing in dense ocean currents using high-res models (MITgcm, FESOM2). Shape the future of ocean dynamics! 📍 Bremerhaven 🔗 Details: t.co/DcwRYFFuVe
t.co
https://jobs.awi.de/Vacancies/1859/Description/2
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Marylou Athanase @marylouathanase.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
Inaugural first #BlueSky post, re-sharing our latest paper! Still on the front page of Communications Earth & Environment 👇 doi.org/10.1038/s432...
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