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Martin Jones

@martincjones.com
1.1K followers 163 following 1.6K posts

🇦🇺/🇩🇪 climate change/energy economist and policy wonk; former academic (CEEM) and consumer advocate (CUAC); amateur footballer. Personal views. He/him.

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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 29/09/2026
Good piece by @squigglyrick.bsky.social: "Nobody wakes up to sudden authoritarianism. We relinquish ourselves to it by allowing our favoured government to get away with bending norms and rules. Over time, these bends become clean breaks." www.crikey.com.au/2026/09/28/r...
crikey.com.au
Don't think Australia is immune to authoritarianism
Nobody wakes up to sudden authoritarianism. We relinquish ourselves to it by allowing our favoured government to get away with bending norms and rules. Over time, these bends become clean breaks.
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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 27/09/2026
The before and after it's even more haunting.
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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 27/09/2026
Google finally updated some of its satellite images of Gaza and my god, it's horrific. The entirety of Rafah has been demolished. The majority of Khan Younis is in ruins. Entire towns completely leveled and erased of the map.
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Kon Karapanagiotidis @kkarapanagiotidis.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I’m devastated this morning. We have just had two of our @asrc1 social enterprise catering vans stolen. Roller door smashed. Food stolen. Safe destroyed. Staff distressed. TWO VANS LICENSE PLATES - mini vans with ASRC Catering on them Renault is 1UO2YV Peugeot is 2DW4TB
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Os Keyes @okeyes.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Since we’re doing another round of “AI will destroy humanity” doom-hype, it’s a good time to announce a new paper myself and my postdoc advisor just had accepted by BioSocieties on just this. TL;DR: almost all the “AI can make bioweapons” literature comes ultimately from the Effective Altruists.
ironholds.org
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Megan Herbert @meganjherbert.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Ready to go. My cartoon in today's @theageaustralia.bsky.social and @sydmorningherald.bsky.social
A political cartoon by Megan Herbert showing a suburban living room on Grand Final Day (AFL or the code of your choice). The title: All Ready For Game Day. Left to right, items are shown and labelled: a television (TV), a couch (Comfy Seats), meats pies with sauce and a bowl of chips (Snacks), an ice bucket full of alcoholic drinks (Drinks), a phone (Betting Apps), an overnight bag, partially concealed under the table with a teddy bear next to it (Emergency Go Bag). Standing in the doorway, eyes on the go bag, is an anxious young mother with a baby girl on her hip and a boy holding her hand, as they wait for things to kick off.
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John Muller @johnspacemuller.com · 26/09/2026
Shouldn't have overturned a goal for this guy's team
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JosimarFootball @josimarfootball.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
We have taken down our paywall for 48 hours - for you to enjoy some of our reporting about Manchester City. First up - The men behind Manchester City: The dark side By @ncgeehan.bsky.social josimarfootball.com/2018/08/10/t...
josimarfootball.com
The men behind Manchester City: The dark side - josimarfootball.com
On the pitch, Manchester City impressed everybody last season. Now let’s take a look behind the scenes – on the men who own the club.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 26/09/2026
"Hypernormalisation in the online realm describes the process by which we grow increasingly stylised (paradoxically, by attempting to sound increasingly like ourselves) through the act of conforming with “correct” beliefs and “correct” communication norms." cracksinpomo.substack.com/p/living-in-...
"Hypernormalisation as described here denotes a curiously ineffectual state of helplessness and self-pity. The hypernormalised individual withdraws into self-dramatising poses of paralysis (I’m so scared and I can’t move”) while awaiting validation by the arrow of history, which bends inevitably towards progress. All unhappiness can be attributed to the fact that the political opposition exists, as though they were the only obstacles standing between us and the fulfilment of our desires. Opponents come predefined as “bad” by analogy with the stock of perpetually discredited historical actors. In Matei’s Guardian article, Trump’s America is variously (and simultaneously) an intolerable recurrence of Nazi Germany, the late Soviet Union, and post-Soviet Russia under Boris Yeltsin and the oligarchs (the latter analogy given special credence by a quote from Curtis himself). To view oneself as a dissident from such a system is to set oneself up as the perfect victim, “a poor unfortunate taken to the next level,” a freedom fighter on the right side of history (because freedom fighters are always on the right side of history).5"
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Richard 塚正ー緑 @rhtebooks.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
*hardcore Myst fan seeing Big Walk* ugh, this shit is for friendcels
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 24/09/2026
Victoria #springst
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kate conger @kateconger.com · 24/09/2026
This behavior is different than previous A.I. breakouts, in which agents were instructed to demonstrate hacking skills to pass cybersecurity benchmarks and gained unauthorized internet access. It also accounts for the Australian gov't hack announced today
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kate conger @kateconger.com · 24/09/2026
The latest update in the rogue A.I. saga: OpenAI agents that were supposed to be performing mundane data requests for things like health data, historic photos and wait times at theme parks resorted to hacking attempts when they couldn't access the data they wanted www.nytimes.com/2026/09/23/t...
nytimes.com
OpenAI’s A.I. Tried Breaching Four Other Targets, With No Prompting (Gift Article)
In each incident, the technology appeared to be conducting mundane data collection and resorted to hacking techniques to get it, researchers said.
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kat @kgt.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Journalists stop ascribing agency to large language models 2026 challenge
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Adam Morton @adammorton.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Clear Air column today. These used to be published on a cycle. More recently happening when they happen. Which includes today. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
The Coalition says it wants cheaper power, not ideology. But its evidence-free plan is all ideology | Adam Morton
The reheated plans to scrap renewable schemes, boost fossil fuels and revive nuclear are transparently Trumpian
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Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Been reading more philosophy lately and one thing that's fun is you have intuitive ideas that seem to just work, and then someone comes along and says "you can say that, but then you have to bite the bullet on the following 18 things."
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Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 22/09/2026
AI could be a bubble and is not yet making Australia more productive, Michele Bullock says
theguardian.com
AI could be a bubble and is not yet making Australia more productive, Michele Bullock says
RBA governor says AI is ‘great white hope’ but its adoption is so far adding to inflation, rather than economic growth The Reserve Bank governor said AI could be a bubble and there was no evidence it is making the economy more efficient, as the Albanese government claims the technology will solve Australia’s economic malaise. Ahead of an expected interest rate rise next week, Michele Bullock also said the slump in house prices was deeper than others in Australia’s recent history. Continue reading...
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 22/09/2026
'The current El Niño is likely to be the largest in at least 1,000 years and will pile extra heat into an atmosphere in which temperatures are already rising rapidly due to human activity. This means 2027 is expected to become the hottest year ever recorded.' www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Jaw-dropping’ El Niño bursts through temperature record months before peak
‘Godzilla-level’ phenomenon is supercharging the climate crisis and will have a huge impact on communities across the world
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 21/09/2026
When we stop talking about climate change like it’s a political issue and start talking about it as a shared challenge that we all need to work together to solve, that’s when we’ll finally be able to start talking about saving ourselves. That is our conclusion here!
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 21/09/2026
All-electric BYD Atto 1 is Australia's cheapest new car, selling for $19,990 drive-away (until 15 December) www.carsales.com.au/editorial/de...
carsales.com.au
BYD Atto 1 is Australia's cheapest new car - carsales.com.au
Electric hatch drops to $19,990 drive-away, undercutting every petrol car in the country as Beijing warns its brands off price wars
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
PW: Is a new Schumpetarian growth wave on the horizon, particularly in the rapid expansion of green energy technology? AI? What are the implications of this regime for the balance of global power and the globalized economy? Brilliant answer by Herman Mark Schwarz phenomenalworld.org/interviews/e...
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Tyler King @tyleraking.com · 17/09/2026
“A senior executive at Microsoft said A.I. systems built on the work of others will be seen as ‘an astonishing theft of unprecedented proportions’ and possibly the greatest robbery of labor in human history, according to court documents unredacted Thursday in an ongoing Manhattan lawsuit.”
orlandosentinel.com
Docs in A.I. copyright suit reveal startling admission by Microsoft exec over ‘astonishing theft’
The admission appeared in a newly unredacted filing in the landmark copyright infringement legal battle playing out between newspapers like the Orlando Sentinel and tech companies Microsoft and OpenAI...
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Kate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Goated quote from the late Marty Weitzman in @geoffmann.bsky.social lecture at Sydney Uni SSPS
“To summarize, the economics of climate change
consists of a very long chain of tenuous inferences fraught with big uncertainties in every
link: beginning with unknown base-case GHG emissions; compounded by big uncertainties
about how available policies and policy levers will affect actual GHG emissions; compounded
by big uncertainties about how GHG flow emissions accumulate via the carbon cycle into
GHG stock concentrations; compounded by big uncertainties about how and when GHG
stock concentrations translate into global average temperature changes; compounded by
big uncertainties about how global average temperature changes decompose into specific
changes in regional weather patterns; compounded by big uncertainties about how adapta-
tions to, and mitigations of, climate change damages at a regional level are translated into
regional utility changes via an appropriate ‘‘damages function’’; compounded by big 
uncertainties about how future regional utility changes are aggregated into a worldwide utility
function and what its overall degree of risk aversion should be; compounded by big uncer-
tainties about what discount rate should be used to convert everything into expected present
discounted values. The result of this lengthy cascading of big uncertainties is a reduced form
of truly extraordinary uncertainty about the aggregate welfare impacts of catastrophic climate
change, which is represented mathematically by a PDF that is spread out and heavy with
probability in the tails.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 17/09/2026
Alexis Demetrious: "ClimateWorks modelling finds Australia can build the renewable energy needed for industrial decarbonisation while protecting high-value biodiversity areas, maintaining productive agricultural land and delivering benefits to communities." reneweconomy.com.au/australia-ca...
reneweconomy.com.au
Australia can green its heavy industry, protect nature and give hope to regions at same time: Gladstone shows us how
Businesses can invest in electrification, low-carbon fuels and new production technologies. But they need confidence that enough renewable energy will be available.
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Pearls and Irritations @johnmenadue.com · 16/09/2026
Australia can still help limit climate overshoot, but current policy is nowhere near enough. Emissions must fall faster, fossil fuel production must shrink sharply and the Safeguard Mechanism must finally bite, Bill Hare writes. #auspol #Climate #COP31
pearlsandirritations.com
Australia must double down to meet climate targets
New modelling shows Australia can still help limit climate overshoot, but only with much steeper emissions cuts, faster electrification and a genuine fossil fuel phase-out.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 16/09/2026
"Households could soon be able to buy plug-in solar panels and batteries for energy storage as part of reforms that will broaden access to solar for renters and apartment dwellers." www.theage.com.au/environment/...
theage.com.au
‘Moving at light speed’: Plug-in solar and batteries are coming to Australia
The plug-in solar panels can be used by renters and taken when they move house. Apartment dwellers can hang them on balconies – or just use a “suitcase battery” to store cheap daytime energy from the ...
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Jewish Council of Australia @jewishcouncilau.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Macklemore spoke out. Now you can take action. Sign our petition urging institutions to reject the IHRA definition. Don’t let Israel define antisemitism. Let’s get to 30k. www.jewishcouncil.com.au/2026/08/dont...
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Hard not to see AI companies talk of needing a slowdown as just "please governments, enforce something so we can use it as a legal excuse for getting out of the massive financing hole we are in"
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 14/09/2026
"USA scraps limits on emissions from coal and gas power plants" www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
US scraps limits on emissions from coal and gas power plants
The Environment Protection Agency says the move will save the country billions of dollars and reduce energy prices.
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ABC News Australia @news.abc.net.au · 12/09/2026
World-first trial on Phillip Island discovers floating wetlands can cut emissions
abc.net.au
World-first trial finds floating wetlands can cut greenhouse gas emissions
A floating garden of native plants in Victoria's east cuts a wastewater lagoon's emissions by about 30 per cent, with researchers now testing the approach on farm dams.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 11/09/2026
How important is spending on AI to the USA's economy? ING's Chief International Economist (US) reckons it's about a third of year-on-year GDP growth. think.ing.com/opinions/how...
Graph, titled "Narrowest measure: Tech contribution to GDP - computer, peripheral & software investment, data centers less net imports (YoY% growth)", showing USA GDP growth of around 2% year-on-year since 2025 and 'AI-related' categories contributing ~37% of that over the same time period, growing from a much smaller share beforehand.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 11/09/2026
Seems sensible: 'EnergyAustralia is pitching its coal power station sites as prime real estate for new data centres, saying their ready-made access to the electricity grid, water and industrial-zoned land makes them the ideal homes for the energy-hungry facilities' www.theage.com.au/business/com...
theage.com.au
‘The sites are ready’: Power giant wants AI data centres built at its coal plants
The owner of the Yallourn power station in Victoria and the Mt Piper plant in NSW says retiring coal sites are the perfect fit for new data centres.
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Paul Lehmann @plehmann.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The adoption of carbon pricing policies across the globe has resulted in a 19 to 23 percent decrease in emissions after 10 years. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
The Effectiveness of Carbon Pricing: A Global Evaluation - Environmental and Resource Economics
We estimate the effect of the staggered adoption of carbon pricing policies across the globe between 1990 and 2017 on per capita $$\text{CO}_2$$ emissions from fossil fuel combustion. We use recent ec...
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Royce Kurmelovs @roycerk2.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The use of maths problems by AI firms makes for fantastic marketing as it feeds the perception these are thinking machines. It should be no surprise that the companies working on this are so desperate they'll burn whatever VC money they have to grab the headline as its a literal lifeline.
techcrunch.com
OpenAI fought dirty on career-making math problem, says NYU mathematician | TechCrunch
There is a $1 million bounty for the first person providing a solution to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem.
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Rick Morton @squigglyrick.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Well, here goes. I tried to keep it contained. Ridicule is what we use to fight institutional hostility. Make no mistake, that's what this is. rick-morton.ghost.io/deliver-us-l...
rick-morton.ghost.io
Deliver Us, Lord, From Ridicule
On Friday, Defence deputy secretary Celia Perkins began her evidence before a senate inquiry into asset sales by the department and Australian military with an embarrassing manoeuvre. 'In closing, I ...
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 08/09/2026
Adam Tooze has a good piece on the AfD breakthrough in Sachsen-Anhalt (Germany) and the need for a response that provides not just material benefits to the disaffected voters, but something that can produce identity. adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...
The racism and xenophobia of the AfD are real. But they are all the more powerful because they serve as a kind of commitment device. People who act and speak in public as right-wing extremists and are labeled as such, establish a claim to authenticity. They establish an identity beyond the “Berlin Republic” mainstream and invite voters to join them. The AfD has worked assiduously to foster and build that community. In the East German states it is now approaching majoritarian status.

To believe that the answer to such a political project can lie reinforcing, reforming and improving the mainstream through improved socio-economic policies is, to say the least, a bold hypothesis. The more obvious conclusion is that to contest the political terrain with the AfD, if that is indeed something we want to do, we need to offer not more of the same (just better), but an “alternative to the Alternative”, an “alternative to the Alternative”, furthermore, that can produce something more than just material benefits. That can produce identity.

When my colleague at Surplus magazine Isabella Weber calls for an “anti-fascist economics, or when Marcel Fratzscher of the DIW calls for a major reform program that is “even more far-reaching” than that 25 years ago with Agenda 2010, they are speaking to the need for bold and radical action. Both have specific economic policies in mind - measures of price control (Weber), a whole raft of ‘reforms” in Fratzscher’s case. But after Sachsen-Anhalt, the central question must be: are such policies enough to found new political identities beyond the current mainstream of Berlin politics? Or is that a mode of politics, which we prefer to leave to the AfD?
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Kate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Very helpful thread
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David Peetz @davidpeetz.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
There are 1,984 reasons to read this.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 05/09/2026
The new Ig Nobel prizes are out and they are excellent. Rich people more likely than poor people to prioritise own needs. Scientific definition of kissing. Splashless urinals. The benefits of mutual enemies. Cockroach milk. Babies smell great, teenagers don't. www.theguardian.com/science/2026...
theguardian.com
Rich people more likely to steal children’s sweets, finds Ig Nobel prize-winning study
We round up the winners at awards for achievements that ‘first make people laugh and then make them think’
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Doug Parr @dougparr.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Spain wants to tax fossil fuel producers in order to fund climate adaptation An application of the 'polluter pays' principle Economists estimate cost of climate-change induced drought in Europe this summer was €50bn, one bank says €180bn Someone's got to pay for it www.ft.com/content/86da...
ft.com
Spain pushes for EU oil and gas tax to pay for climate change response
Rising extreme weather costs fuel campaign ahead of new resilience strategy
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Richard 塚正ー緑 @rhtebooks.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This is a minor part of it, but taking a posture that economists are fundamentally wrong is a really good way to find marks, and this is largely uncorrelated with political alignment defined conventionally. No one is as credulous as a proud skeptic
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Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
The world had warmed ~1.2C in 2018 (SR15) & we now admit, 8 years later, exceeding 1.5C is unavoidable. The world is ~1.5C today, & warming ~0.3C/decade. Can we say that <1.8C is possible? I don't think we realise how close we are! 5/
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Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Nearly all scenarios from the SSPs, to SR15, to AR6, reach 1.5C by "overshoot". Overshoot has been the norm, for more than a decade. We all got sick of the tongue twister "1.5C with no & low overshoot scenarios". Since 2015, there has not really been a way to 1.5C that was not overshoot. 2/
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Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
If you want 1.5C, 1.8C, 2C, overshoot, no-overshoot, etc, then they all require the same thing: rapid short-term emission reductions reaching net zero CO2 emissions as soon as possible. This has been clear from the IPCC Special Report on 1.5C, which depicts "overshoot" on its cover! 1/
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 02/09/2026
Fog City is filming some scenes at/outside a dilapidated house in my neighbourhood, and on a bike ride today I heard a bunch of people gasping and cheering loudly. I figured they were doing crowd shots, but when I got into sight it was actually 15 members of the crew playing hacky sack.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 02/09/2026
Still using Shared Socioeconomic Pathways? Stop! SSPs are out; CMIP7 is in. No, Ronaldo hasn't rebranded – these are the new global GHG emissions pathways agreed on by leading global climate modelling groups, and Dr Hausfather is here to tell you what's what.
Table of the seven new CMIP7 climate modelling scenarios listing their characteristics including Marker IAM, Underlying SSP, Emissions Pathway, and Warming in 2100.
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 01/09/2026
The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/...
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 01/09/2026
Melbourne, Sydney, and Tasmania have had their warmest winters since records began, while Australia’s area-averaged mean winter temperatures were 1.45°C above the 1961-1990 average – the third-highest since national observation records began. www.theage.com.au/national/vic...
theage.com.au
Melbourne records its warmest winter on record, as bushfire season looms
Melbourne has officially recorded the warmest winter since records began in 1855.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 01/09/2026
The Climate Change Authority has released its review of the ACCU scheme. It finds "the scheme remains fundamentally sound" and "no major redesign of the scheme is needed." Recent reforms have helped, but some need more time to implement and mature. www.climatechangeauthority.gov.au/publications...
Key findings
The ACCU Scheme remains fundamentally sound. 
Recent reforms are strengthening integrity, governance and transparency. 
Many recent reforms are still being implemented and need time to mature. 
No major redesign of the scheme is needed. 
The Authority makes 6 recommendations to strengthen confidence and support investment.
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Martin Jones @martincjones.com · 01/09/2026
Alan Kohler: "[Australia's] decline in productivity growth has coincided with a fall in the growth rate of business investment from 2.2% in 2015 to zero in 2025, while the profit share of the economy has increased sharply and the labour share has fallen." www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08...
abc.net.au
As rising inequality demands reform, business is 'circling the wagons'
Business used the collapse of unions to suppress wages and oligopoly power to increase prices. Expecting it now — using AI — to fix declining productivity, rising inequality, generational anger and po...
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