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Marius Ghincea

@mariusghincea.bsky.social
225 followers 223 following 16 posts

Political scientist. International Relations & European Studies Postdoc ETH Zurich | Visiting Fellow EUI, Robert Schuman Centre | Ph.D. EUI

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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Review of Democracy @revdem2020.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
✍️ @mariusghincea.bsky.social argues that the drone incident in Galati is the predictable result of four years of eroded deterrence credibility, and that Romania’s improved diplomatic response is necessary but not sufficient. 🇷🇴🇷🇴 🧑‍💻 Read his op-ed now: 👉 tinyurl.com/2ks6ejez
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Open access here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Crisis windows and reversible empowerment in the EU’s common foreign and security policy
External crises have often been framed as moments of ‘geopolitical awakening’ for the European Union, yet what follows rarely lives up to that promise. Rapid coordination gives way to re-fragmentat...
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
External shocks increases the marginal value of supranational competence, leading to a rebalancing of the tradeoff in favor of empowering supranational actors to make use of existing competence. But once pressure subsides, member states reassert control. Reversibility is how the system works.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
The pattern emerges from an equilibrium determined by the competence-control tradeoff that member states continuously face. Member states face a recurring choice between exploiting the competence of EU supranational actors and keeping those actors on a short political leash.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Why does the EU always seem to “geopolitically awaken“ after every crisis… only to fall back asleep? In my new article published in the Journal of European Public Policy, I argue that this pattern is not a dysfunction but the structural equilibrium of CFSP.
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Lucas Schramm @lucasschramm91.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Our new book on the #EuropeanCouncil has a cover 😍 With 16 new or revised chapters, it introduces the emergence, foundations, activities, and shortcomings of this pivotal institution The book will become available in October, you can already pre-order it here 👇 www.bloomsbury.com/uk/european-...
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
I found @dtoshkov.bsky.social’s textbook to be the best on the market. dimiter.eu/Publications...
dimiter.eu
Research Design in Political Science | Dimiter Toshkov
Site of the book on Research Design in Political Science
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
ipz.uzh.ch
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
What should we make of Trump’s grand strategic behavior? In this essay, I argue that U.S. foreign policy under Trump marks a shift toward a mode of order-building and order maintenance that closely resembles how the Soviet Union managed its sphere of influence during the Cold War.
priorsandposteriors.substack.com
Dispatch: America's Soviet Turn?
How Trump Reverses the Logic of U.S. Global Order-Making
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
🛣️ @mariusghincea.bsky.social & @laurentiuplesca.bsky.social : From transformation to demarcation: explaining the EU’s shifting motivations of the enlargement policy 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
The Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
🧭 #EUEnlargementDilemmas No.22 🌍 What motivates #EU enlargement? Based on @jeppjournal.bsky.social research, @mariusghincea.bsky.social & Laurențiu Pleșca argue that the Union's approach has evolved through 3 overlapping logics 🔀 : transformation, stabilisation, and demarcation. 👉 bit.ly/44udqMf
bit.ly
🧭 Enlargement reimagined: the shifting logics behind the EU’s expansion
What motivates EU enlargement? Marius Ghincea and Laurențiu Pleșca argue that the Union’s approach has evolved through three overlapping logics — transformation, stabilisation, and demarcation. By unp...
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Linus Hagström @linushagstrom.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
Postdoc in Narrative Geopolitics @forsvarshogskolan.bsky.social We’re looking for a postdoc w expertise in machine learning, data mining, or related quantitative methods to explore how emotionally charged narratives shape international security & great power politics. fhs.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
fhs.varbi.com
Postdoc with a focus on quantitative narrative geopolitics
Description The postdoctoral position is part of the interdisciplinary research environment on narrative geopolitics, established with funding from the Swedish Armed Forces. The role involves interdis
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
"What Good is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research" from Spirling and Stewart journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Andrei Sterescu @andreisterescu.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
🇷🇴 elections crisis: The structural drivers of the far-right vote in Romania seem rooted in geographies of discontent, regions where people feel left behind by growth and lack opportunities. Counties that lag behind in economic performance consistently register higher shares of far-right support.
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Andrei Sterescu @andreisterescu.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
🇷🇴 Election crisis: Romania’s Social Democrats (PSD/ S&D) have withdrawn from the governing coalition after the joint candidate of the Social Democrats, National Liberals and the Hungarian minority failed to advance to the second round of the presidential elections, sparking a political crisis.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Excited to share my latest article (with Laurențiu Pleșca) published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social We show how the EU’s enlargement policy motivations have shifted—from transformation to stabilization and now demarcation—especially after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
My book review of @lucasschramm91.bsky.social book is out at SPSR. This is a must-read book for anyone interested in the crisis-afflicted history of European integration. Compelling, empirically rich, theoretically very well grounded. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Crises of European Integration: Joining Together or Falling Apart? Lucas Schramm. London, Palgrave Macmillan (2024), xvii + 303 pp, ISBN 978–3–031‐54747‐8
Click on the article title to read more.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Romania has tried over the years to reshape Black Sea security while facing regional challenges. In my latest article for the International Politics and Society magazine, I delve into Bucharest’s thinking and the complexities of regional cooperation. www.ips-journal.eu/topics/forei...
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
FPA Journal @fpajrnl.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
🚨 New article🚨 Why do some countries keep their military aid to Ukraine secret? Marius Ghincea’s 2025 study finds that electoral incentives, security concerns, and bureaucratic culture influence disclosure decisions. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Drawing on elite interviews and a comparative case study research design, my latest piece—just published in Foreign Policy Analysis—shows how electoral incentives have shaped the disclosure policies of political elites in Warsaw and Bucharest. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
academic.oup.com
Shrouded in Secrecy: Explaining Why Some Countries Refuse to Disclose Their Military Aid to Ukraine
Abstract. This research note examines the communication strategies employed by Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries in disclosing or withholding in
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Ever wondered why Poland and Romania—both on NATO’s Eastern flank and neighboring Ukraine—have adopted such contrasting disclosure policies regarding their military aid to Kyiv?
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 25/10/2023
I was just looking at this last night. I'll submit an abstract
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 23/10/2023
If you try to force a rational strategy explanation onto decisions made by emotional impulse, you'll eventually come up with something, but it won't be accurate. Sometimes adults who look like they're throwing a fit in public are really just throwing a childish fit in public, but with more power.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 15/10/2023
Great news from Poland.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 13/10/2023
An article comparing two or more case studies.
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 13/10/2023
#AcademicBlueSky, what article employing a systematic comparative case study research design would you recommend as a good example?
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Marius Ghincea @mariusghincea.bsky.social · 10/10/2023
Manufacturing consensus
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Miguel Pereira @miguelpereira.bsky.social · 09/10/2023
"The Expertise Paradox: How Policy Expertise Can Hinder Responsiveness" out @BJPS. The basic idea is that there is a trade-off between having MPs with policy expertise and having MPs responsive to public opinion, although political institutions often try to promote both bit.ly/46nghoP
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