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Kyungwon Suh

@kyungwon.bsky.social
300 followers 211 following 50 posts

Senior Lecturer at ANU SDSC. Ph.D. from Syracuse. I study nuclear weapons, interstate coercion, alliance politics, and great power politics.

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Reposted by Kyungwon Suh
Alex Wellerstein @wellerstein.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
81 years ago today, on August 9, 1945, an atomic bomb was dropped upon the city of Nagasaki, Japan, by the United States. This was 3 days after the first atomic attack on Hiroshima.
Nagasaki, bomber's eye view: Close-up view of the head of the mushroom cloud at the Nagasaki explosion, as seen from either the bomber or the observation plane.Nagasaki, distant ground view: Photo of the Nagasaki cloud taken ~15 minutes after the atomic bomb detonation, by Hiromichi Matsuda, stationed at Koyagi-jima Island, some 5 miles / 8 km away.Nagasaki, before and after, aerial views. Nagasaki, ground view, some weeks after the attack.
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Does a favorable nuclear balance of power strengthen extended deterrence? My new JPR paper tests this claim and finds no strong evidence for it. doi.org/10.1093/jopr... A 🧵..
doi.org
Nuclear balance and extended deterrence: evidence from cold war superpower alliances
Abstract. Does a favorable nuclear balance of power strengthen the credibility of extended deterrence against nuclear-armed opponents? This “superiority-cr
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Jeffrey Lewis @armscontrolwonk.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
The New START treaty doesn't expire until February 5. Stationing Oreshnik in Belarus prior to it's expiration is one last violation of the treaty. 🧵
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Adam Mount @ajmount.com · 28/10/2025
1. Crises, acquisitions, and policy all suggest that conventional weapons are taking on a larger role deterring nuclear use. My new article in @intsecurity.bsky.social examines why US officials would consider conventional options when they have nuclear options available and how they might use them.
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Giorgio Malet @giorgiomalet.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
🚨 New article out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social with @svenhegewald.bsky.social “The changing geography of support for European integration in the shadow of the Ukraine war." How did Russia’s invasion reshape public support for EU policies? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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Robert Colby @rkdcolby86.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Fantastic resource for historians: a spreadsheet of NARA's digitized microfilm, with links to the files in the Archives catalog. May it help you as much as it has helped me. www.archives.gov/files/colleg...
archives.gov
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Thrilled to share my new EJIR article on what reassures U.S. allies in crises. It’s Open Access: doi.org/10.1177/1354... A short thread 🧵
doi.org
Reassuring allies in times of crisis: assessing the effectiveness of tools for alliance reassurance in crises - Kyungwon Suh, 2025
What military and diplomatic instruments are effective for the United States to reassure its allies that their security will be protected as promised? Despite i...
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Good piece by Richard Nephew, on why the destruction of Fordow isn't likely to be a silver bullet thebulletin.org/2025/06/the-...
thebulletin.org
The United States may destroy the Fordow enrichment plant. It won’t make the Iranian nuclear threat go away
If Israel decides to continue down the military path against Iran’s nuclear program, it has no choice but to ensure that the Fordow enrichment plant no longer poses a threat.
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
Interested in how major geopolitical shifts shape the dynamics of state birth? Check out our new article on great power shocks and global patterns of secessionist movements (with Ryan Griffiths and @seva.bsky.social). Link: doi.org/10.1080/0305... A short thread 🧵
doi.org
Hegemonic shocks and patterns of secession
Studies of secession typically focus on domestic factors that produce independence movements, such as the role of ethnic divides or the concentration of material resources. But motivations for sece...
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
Also for teacher.. I have a student essay where a footnote claims that a 1983 AJPS article used rare event logit estimator (!)
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
NEW - Anti-Asian Hate Crimes and American Reputation - cup.org/43cUf7F "findings underscore the global significance of addressing hate crimes in the USA for the country’s reputation and soft power" -Joonseok Yang, @sungeunkim.bsky.social, @jongheepark.bsky.social & @inbok.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing a study on the domestic consequences of hate crimes in the USA and their impact on various perceptions and legislative actions.
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 10/05/2025
Short thread (hopefully in plain English) on the nuclear deterrence dynamics in the India-Pakistan relationship and where this goes if escalation continues. <1>
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
If the WW2 Vday for the US is May 8, then who won the Pacific War? Did I miss something?
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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
📽️Are your favourite characters from Disney, Harry Potter, Lord of the Rings, Game of Thrones, & Star Wars left-wing or right-wing? 🤔 ➡️ @turnbulldugarte.com & @markuswagner.bsky.social explore how we project political identities onto heroes & villains www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
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NBC News @nbcnews.com · 18/03/2025
BREAKING: The Trump administration is considering to give up the role of NATO's Supreme Allied Commander Europe - a role that began with then-World War II hero and future president Dwight D. Eisenhower.
nbcnews.to
Trump admin considers giving up NATO command that has been American since Eisenhower
The move is being discussed as part of a possible restructuring of combatant commands that would help the Defense Department cut costs.
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
There are indeed competing arguments on the capability requirement for credible extended nuclear deterrence. As for empirical research, I have not seen a poli sci publication that demonstrates that quant/qual nuclear balance has any impact on the credibility of extended nuclear deterrence.
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Many US allies in Asia experienced this with China when it comes to econ relationship. Now they will see the US following the same approach, and you still want to secure allied support to contain China. Good luck!
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
With all the paperwork finalized, I am thrilled to announce that I’ve been awarded the Stanton Foundation’s Nuclear Security Grant to support my research on US arms control diplomacy and allies’ perceptions of extended deterrence credibility.
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Kyungwon Suh @kyungwon.bsky.social · 30/11/2024
A good thread--could see some interrsting connections with ROK
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Review of International Studies @risjnl.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
🚨New First View Article🚨 "‘How to entrap your protector: Reassessing entrapment in light of the Crimean War crisis" by Tudor Onea is now available online first view! 📜➡️ buff.ly/3OsfhbG
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Mick Ryan @warinthefuture.bsky.social · 13/02/2024
Not only strategically incoherent and immoral, this also demonstrates the core lack of character, courage and intelligence behind such thinking. www.reuters.com/world/trump-...
reuters.com
Exclusive: Trump adviser proposes new tiered system for NATO members who don't pay up
A leading national security adviser to Donald Trump told Reuters on Tuesday that he would push for changes to NATO if the former president returns to power that could result in some member nations losing protection against an outside attack.
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