iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Our paper "Insuring Peace: Index-Based Livestock Insurance, Droughts, and Conflict" (w @paulschaudt.bsky.social ) is now out in the QJE! We show that Kenya's IBLI program strongly reduces drought-induced conflict between pastoralists and farmers. doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

doi.org

Insuring Peace: Index-Based Livestock Insurance, Droughts, and Conflict*

Abstract. We provide quasi-experimental evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate drought-induced co

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Key mechanisms: insurance reduces herd sizes, smooths income, and stabilizes asset prices — lowering migratory pressure and conflict over scarce resources. A scalable complement to institutional reforms.

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Maximum number of journal submissions: you mean per journal or overall? Overall seems very hard to track. What would you want to achieve with it? My worry is if someone is just more productive in creating more papers, wouldn't that punish them?

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

USI Institute of Economics (IdEP) @usiidep.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Today Matteo Grigoletto (@wyssacademy.bsky.social) presented “Virality: what makes narratives go viral, and does it matter?". With @kaigehring.bsky.social (Wyss), using climate policy tweets, they show that narratives—featuring heroes, villains, and victims—spread far more than neutral messages.

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Very happy about this one — it's been a long journey. Many thanks to @nathannunn.bsky.social and the referees at the QJE for a very constructive process and a meticulous eye for details, and above all to Paul Schaudt for a great collaboration. Free working paper: kai-gehring.net/publications.php

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

doi.org

Insuring Peace: Index-Based Livestock Insurance, Droughts, and Conflict*

Abstract. We provide quasi-experimental evidence of how an innovative market-based solution using remote-sensing technology can mitigate drought-induced co

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

But would still be a lot. And should you give more tickets for Referee reports done well?

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Paul K. Smith @paulksmith.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

👩‍⚖️🇬🇧 / 👨‍⚖️🇺🇸 :

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

Very happy to have this out after very intense 3 years work with my coauthor @paulschaudt.bsky.social . Turns out it took me "only" me roughly 15 years in academia to finally join the club and publish in a Top 5 journal. Lot of randomness in the process, but still happy after all the hard work :)

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

Mein Beitrag „Bösewichte gehen viral“ ist draussen. Warum politische Narrative sich besonders stark verbreiten und was das für Erwartungen und Entscheidungen bedeutet. PNG mit den Seiten im Anhang. #Narrative #Wirtschaftspolitik Ganze Ausgabe mit vielen weiteren Beiträgen: www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-202...

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

Will share more info about the paper and a blog article soon, for now can only recommend to read if you are interested in applied, market oriented solutions to climate change and development problems in settings with low state and fiscal capacity

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 19/02/2026

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 08/02/2026

My colleague Kyle made the most amazing workaround to making in class quizzes 1. write quiz in typst with correct answers in the outline 2. typst compiles to a pdf with bubbles and QR Code that has hashed answer key 3. students take quiz using bubbles 4. Scan pdfs of quiz ...cont

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Bunkerhunter @bunkerhunter.bsky.social · 07/02/2026

Alle kommen und gehen. Delegationen, Diplomaten, hochrangige Gäste. Sie betrachten die Ruinen des Heizkraftwerks, nicken, geben Erklärungen ab. 40 Diplomaten, der NATO-Generalsekretär. Fotos, Kameras, Mitgefühl. /2

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 28/01/2026

President Zelensky said SBU operations, including actions by the Alpha unit, are ongoing and new missions are being planned that are changing the course of the war. He also highlighted the role of sanctions. #Ukraine

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 28/01/2026

❗️All 27 EU member states have now agreed to move forward with listing Iran’s IRGC as a terrorist organization, according WSJ journalist Laurence Norman. AFP reported that France has reversed its position and will support the designation, clearing the final obstacle to unanimity. #Iran

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

After reaching the semifinals of the Australian Open,Ukrainian tennis player Elina Svitolina spoke about the importance of the strong support she has received from Ukrainians Svitolina said that it's a great feeling for her to bring "little light"to Ukrainians,who endure the harshest winter of war

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Jorge Liboreiro @jorgeliboreiro.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

🚨 Big news: France confirms it will support the designation of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation. Since France was the key holdout, unanimity is closer than ever before. Will it happen tomorrow?

euronews.com

France, Spain signal support to blacklist Iran's Revolutionary Guard

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps could soon be designated as a terrorist organisation in the European Union after France and Spain, the two key hold-outs, signalled a change of mind. #EuropeNe...

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

Syrian President al-Sharaa has once again arrived in Moscow for talks with Putin. This is al-Sharaa's second official visit to Moscow since the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's regime at the end of 2024. The first meeting between the Syrian president and Putin took place on October 15, 2025.

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MAKS 26 👀🇺🇦 @maks23.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

💥😎 "We are destroying three enemy battalions every day today. This is not enough, we need to destroy many times more of the enemy," — Commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces Robert "Magyar" Brody at the "Army of Drones 2025" event.

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

"She was crying and screaming, 'Mom!'" Radio Liberty war correspondent Marian Kushnir rescued a 4-yr-old girl from a burning residential building hit by a Russian drone in Bilohorodka, Kyiv region The girl’s mom was killed.

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pnwpolicyangel aka Angelita 👼 @pnwpolicyangel.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

TikTok has been under new leadership for like a day and I made a slideshow with posts from the ICE rally today and it immediately got out under review and is not being published. Incredible.

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

@NewsJennifer (Jennifer Schulze) @newsjennifer.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

A reminder that one of the new owners of TikTok is Larry Ellison who also now owns CBS News…

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Agathe Demarais @agathedemarais.com · 26/01/2026

Odds of a mining bonanza in Greenland are abysmally low • Getting mine running in Arctic can cost 2-3 times as much as equivalent project at lower latitudes • Island’s two big rare-earth projects have been plagued by difficulties and have yet to start operations www.economist.com/briefing/202...

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 26/01/2026

Serbia’s president Vučić says Ukraine joining the EU from January 1, 2027 is part of a peace plan to end the war. He said the plan would bind not only Ukraine and Russia but much of the international community, and that EU rules would be changed despite opposition from several member states #Ukraine

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

Chernihiv& Nizhyn were left without electricity due to Russian strikes. There has been no power supply in the cities since 6 a.m. Hospitals,water utilities,other critical infrastructure facilities have been switched to generators. 📹 Suspilne

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 20/01/2026

Ukrainian tennis player Oleksandra Oliynykova spoke out at Australian Open,asking for support for🇺🇦: Last night I spent in Ukraine before the trip here,here was an explosion just near my home&a Shahed drone hit the home just across the road.My apartment was literally shaking because of the explosion

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Veronica Anrathi @disarmonia.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

I haven’t had electricity for over 48 hours; it just returned, and I’m afraid to turn anything on because it feels like it could turn off any second. Still no heating.

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Prof. Kai Gehring @kaigehring.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

That is why economists often say we need to be cautious about survey answers without any real stakes…not that incentives always solve these issues, but it can help. Together with asking better questions.

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Reposted by Prof. Kai Gehring

Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 21/01/2026

Ok, this made me chuckle. 58% of Swiss say: “I would like neutrality to be interpreted in such a way that Switzerland can join a defence alliance such as NATO if the threat increases.” Which is a hilarious question & position as joining NATO is the end of neutrality.

Ways to join a defence alliance

The question was: ‘How do you think Switzerland's neutrality should be interpreted? I would like neutrality to be interpreted in such a way that Switzerland can join a defence alliance such as NATO if the threat increases.’

Möglichkeiten, einem Verteidigungsbündnis beizutreten Die Frage lautete: «Wie soll die Neutralität der Schweiz Ihrer Meinung nach ausgelegt werden? Ich möchte, dass die Neutralität so ausgelegtwird, dass die Schweiz einem Verteidigungsbündnis wie der Nato beitreten kann, wenn die Bedrohung zunimmt.»

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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

NORWAY PM: I HAVE REPEATEDLY CLEARLY EXPLAINED TO TRUMP THAT IT IS AN INDEPENDENT COMMITTEE THAT AWARDS THE NOBEL PEACE PRIZE

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Olivier Simard-Casanova @o.simardcasanova.net · 19/01/2026

This problem might very well soon find its solution www.politico.eu/europe-poll-...

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Yaroslava @strategywoman.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

I’m reading warnings about a massive russian attack, with the goal of a total blackout in Kyiv for several days. We’ve been advised to charge all devices. I will. I will… when we have electricity 🙈

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Bunkerhunter @bunkerhunter.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

Alle relevanten Ukrainischen Beobachterkanäle warnen vor einem massiven russischen Luftangriff in der kommenden Nacht. Diese russische, inhumane Drecksbande will die Ukraine - pünktlich zum WEF - in einen totalen Blackout stürzen. 🤬 Was ich russland und seinen Zombies wünsche, schreibe ich nicht.

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OSINTtechnical @osinttechnical.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

French vehicle manufacturer Renault will start building long-range attack drones at its Le Mans and Cléon plants. Renault will produce up to 600 of the drones per month, with some employees voluntarily transferred from the automotive chassis and motor lines.

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 18/01/2026

Dugin: the countries of Central Asia and the South Caucasus should not be sovereign. According to him, Moscow should not tolerate the existence of independent Azerbaijan, Armenia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan.

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Bunkerhunter @bunkerhunter.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

Was übersehen wird: Das entsenden einer winzigen Vorauseinheit aus 8 Ländern hat beim 🍊 Arschloch dazu geführt, dass er bereits vor militärischen Massnahmen gekniffen hat und nun mit Zöllen kommt. Zeit zu drohen, man wird die US Bonds auf den Markt werfen, oder seine Tech-Busenkumpels besteuern. 😏

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OSINTtechnical @osinttechnical.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

French President Macron on Trump’s Greenland threats: “No intimidation nor threat will influence us, neither in Ukraine, nor in Greenland, nor anywhere else in the world… Tariff threats are unacceptable and Europeans will respond to them in a united and coordinated manner.”

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 17/01/2026

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appeared in public after protests began, calling the U.S. president a “criminal” for alleged actions against the Iranian people. His comments come amid rising unrest and pressure on Tehran. #IranProtests

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 17/01/2026

Activist Ilia Hashemi reports that some Iranians briefly regained internet access early Saturday, allowing them to upload footage from Tehran, Isfahan, and Mashhad. The videos, filmed around Jan 8-9, show fires and clashes, including at a state TV building in Isfahan.

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 17/01/2026

Senator Lindsey Graham said help for Iran’s people “is on the way,” warning that without U.S. backing, Iran risks a disaster worse than Afghanistan. He called the regime’s removal “good for America” and urged Trump to support Iranians. #IranProtests

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Bunkerhunter @bunkerhunter.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

Der italienische Zoll hat ein unter Sanktionen stehendes Schiff der russischen „Schattenflotte“ festgesetzt. Das Schiff transportierte 33.000 Tonnen Eisen, das in Noworossijsk geladen worden war. GUT! Aber… Warum zur Hölle erst jetzt? Warum zur Hölle nicht alle diese Schiffe in der ganzen EU? 😡

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 14/01/2026

New footage coming out of Karaj, Gohardasht district on Friday, Jan 9. Lots of protestors were out on the streets with blazes everywhere and lots of destroyed vehicles.

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 14/01/2026

CNN reports: U.S. officials confirm any strike on Iran would exclude ground troops, with no intent for a long-term military intervention. Meanwhile, Iran’s IRGC commander vows decisive retaliation if strikes occur, accusing Trump and Netanyahu of killing Iranian youth and security forces.

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