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Julia Gelatt

@juliagelatt.bsky.social
1.4K followers 632 following 230 posts

Associate Director, US Immigration Policy, Migration Policy Institute. Former Urban Institute. PhD Sociology/Social Policy. Avid data user.

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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
While getting less attention that ICE's actions, the Trump administration's growing barricade of restrictions on legal immigration could drastically lower immigration levels this year, & potentially tip the country into population decline. My new short-read details the accumulating barriers:
migrationpolicy.org
Trump Restrictions on Legal Immigration Could Sharply Reduce U.S. Population Growth
While much attention has focused on its efforts to tackle unauthorized immigration, the Trump administration has been methodically shutting down a wide array of legal immigration pathways and slowing immigration case processing. With U.S. birth rates declining and the population aging, the consequences could tip the U.S. population into stagnation—or even decline for the first time since 1918.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Big news that USCIS is resuming affirmative asylum processing for applicants EXCEPT those from the 39 travel ban countries. www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-a...
cbsnews.com
Trump administration scaling back asylum crackdown enacted after D.C. National Guard shooting, sources say
The unprecedented move amounted to an indefinite suspension of all asylum requests filed outside of immigration court, regardless of the applicant's nationality.
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Colleen Putzel-Kavanaugh @colleenputzelkav.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
It has been one year since the Trump admin invoked the Alien Enemies Act and began targeting international students with a novel provision of the INA but thus far faced resistance in the courts with these and other policies. Read more here: www.migrationpolicy.org/article/trum...
migrationpolicy.org
The Trump Administration’s Immigration Policies Encounter Resistance in the Courts
Federal judges have provided significant opposition to the Trump administration’s immigration policies during its second term. The courts have halted or slowed a number of administration initiatives, ...
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
USCIS is truly NOT keeping up with new immigration applications being filed. As of September 2025, even before USCIS committed itself to revisiting likely millions of past decisions, their pile of unopened applications - the frontlog - was 248,000(!) That's up from ZERO in December 2024.
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Migration Policy Institute @migrationpolicy.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Actions by state & local governments in the wake of high-profile operations in Minneapolis typify a recent wave of opposition to aspects of federal immigration enforcement Muzaffar Chishti & @kathleenbush.bsky.social explain how ⤵️ bit.ly/4aUjcZo
bit.ly
Escalation of ICE Operations Emboldens State and Local Lawmakers to Constrain Its Operations
The ramp-up of federal immigration enforcement during the second Trump term has prompted sharp responses from state and local governments, with some limiting cooperation with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), or barring agents' wearing ...
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
an immigration court has dropped the deportation case against grad student Rümeysa Öztürk, after trying to revoke her student visa over an op-ed she’d co-written in a Tufts University student paper. www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...
wsj.com
Immigration Court Drops Case Against Tufts Student Rumeysa Ozturk
The Turkish national had been arrested by plainclothes federal officers outside her apartment.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
A sharp decline in border arrivals, the end of Biden-era parole programs, increased deportations of noncitizens from inside the U.S., and more-recent restrictions to legal immigration have likely led to a sharp decrease in net international migration. Decreases in job growth will naturally follow.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
This is why many argue for graduated penalties for immigration violations, with the penalty tailored to the severity of the violation. Under current U.S. law, it's often deportation or nothing.
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Drishti Pillai, PhD, MPH @drishp.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
In a @kff.org survey from fall '25, nearly half of likely undocumented immigrant adults, and one in seven who are lawfully present, said they had avoided medical care since January '25 due to immigration-related concerns -- recent increases in ICE presence could further exacerbate these challenges
share of immigrant adults who avoided seeking medical care due to immigration-related concerns
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Haitian TPS holders had to wait all day to learn if they would still have protections and work authorization as of tomorrow. This decision keeps their TPS in place for now. Almost guaranteed that the administration will appeal.
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National Immigration Law Center @nilc.org · 02/02/2026
BREAKING: We're challenging the Trump administration’s sweeping suspension of immigrant visa processing for people from 75 countries. This discriminatory, nationality-based ban on legal immigration strips families and working people of the process guaranteed by law.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Essential context for discussions about the future of immigration: If the country loses immigrants, on net, this year or next, the U.S. population will begin to shrink for the first time in the nation's history. (1918 may have been an exception.) Gift link below
bloomberg.com
The US Is Flirting With Its First-Ever Population Decline
America’s population wasn’t expected to start falling until 2081. Trump’s immigration crackdown means it could happen as soon as this year.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
2017 research showed high-profile immigration enforcement actions can increase low-birthweight births. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28115577/ Just one of the ways that indiscriminate enforcement tactics leave indelible effects on children's well-being. For more, see my colleague Valerie Lacarte's piece
migrationpolicy.org
The Health Costs to Children of Stepped-Up U.S. Immigration Enforcement
Evidence suggests heightened U.S. immigration enforcement will have major and lasting effects on the physical and mental health of unauthorized immigrants and their children, as they avoid essential h...
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
FWIW, immigrants who are not "lawfully present" are already barred from purchasing insurance through ACA exchanges, even at full cost, as well as being barred from subsidies for ACA insurance premiums.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Do any taxpayers think this is a good use of their money? Arresting vetted refugees with no criminal record who have applied for green cards, flying them to TX, putting them in ICE detention, interviewing them, and releasing them with an approved green card?? Why? www.nytimes.com/2026/01/26/u...
nytimes.com
They ‘Had Done Everything Right.’ ICE Detained Them Anyway.
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Andrew Kreighbaum @kreighbaum.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
An emerging patchwork of Trump visa policies is blocking entry for students, immigrant talent, and family of American citizens. It's the flipside of a mass deportation campaign in the US interior that's using any available tool to restrict new immigrants or foreign visitors.
news.bloomberglaw.com
Trump’s ‘Maximum Chaos’ in Immigration Leaves Employers Hanging
Employers are struggling to navigate an evolving patchwork of unpredictable Trump administration policies disrupting entry to the US from nearly 100 countries.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
With news of ICE's focus on Maine, recommending my colleagues @colleenputzelkav.bsky.social & Valerie Lacarte's profile of ME's small immigrant population. ME's immigrants are a mix of long-settled, well-integrated folks, and newcomers from diverse origins, bolstering the workforce of an aging state
migrationpolicy.org
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Kathleen Bush-Joseph @kathleenbush.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
If you missed our @migrationpolicy.bsky.social webinar yesterday on Trump's immigration policies, check out the recording here: @nickmiroff.bsky.social talked about the administration challenging the value of immigration & the role of immigrants in our society
migrationpolicy.org
Beyond “Shock and Awe”: Immigration Actions in the First Year under Trump 2.0
MPI analysts assess the immigration actions taken during President Trump's first year back in office, detail the legal state of play, and analyze the actual effects on the labor market, U.S. communiti...
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Colleen Putzel-Kavanaugh @colleenputzelkav.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
TOMORROW: Beyond Shock & Awe: Immigration Actions in the 1st year under Trump 2.0 Join @kathleenbush.bsky.social & @migrationpolicy.bsky.social colleagues Muz Chisti and Doris Meissner as we unravel the sweeping changes to immigration policy this last year www.migrationpolicy.org/events/immig...
migrationpolicy.org
Beyond “Shock and Awe”: Immigration Actions in the First Year under Trump 2.0
MPI analysts assess the immigration actions taken during President Trump's first year back in office, detail the legal state of play, and analyze the actual effects on the labor market, U.S. communiti...
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
As the US government expands it's travel ban, USCIS is also expanding its pause on immigration applications and its re-review of green cards, asylum, citizenship, and other benefits it granted since 2021. Applications from all 39 countries are now subject to the pause and re-review.
npr.org
DHS pauses immigration applications for an additional 20 countries
The Department of Homeland Security is pausing immigration applications from 20 additional countries following increased scrutiny on people who seek legal pathways for immigrating to the U.S.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
The Trump admin says it aims to file 100-200 denaturalization cases per month, a huge increase. But these cases are hard to file and win, and require a lot of DOJ resources, and the DOJ is incredibly stretched thin already. So we’ll see; I have serious doubts about their ability to do this.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
USCIS said yesterday they're shortening the validity period for work permits for asylum & green card applicants + others from 5 yrs to 18 months. Combined with USCIS' slowing processing, & the end of auto-extensions while people renew, this will cause MANY people to churn in & out of the workforce.
uscis.gov
USCIS Increases Screening, Vetting of Aliens Working in U.S. | USCIS
U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services updated its Policy Manual to reduce the maximum validity period for Employment Authorization Documents (EAD) for certain categories of aliens.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Heads up: Right before Thanksgiving, a proposed regulation to restrict asylum applicants' access to work authorization cleared a key government review step. That means we could see a proposed regulatory change soon. But no details yet on what it might do. (1/2)
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
USCIS published a policy memo declaring (1) a pause on all affirmative asylum decisions, (2) a pause on all applications (green card, citizenship, change of visa, etc) for the 19 travel ban countries, and (3) a re-review of all benefits granted to people from the 19 countries who came since 1/20/21
uscis.gov
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
The Trump admin has paused all immigration and naturalization processes for people from one of the 19 travel ban countries; including Cuba and Venezuela. Even people who fully passed the citizenship exam are having their cases put on hold, just inches from the finish line.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Belatedly noticing that the State Dept. updated its refugee resettlement data through October. In February-October 2025, the US resettled just 506 refugees(!) 342 of those (2/3) were South Africans. www.rpc.state.gov/admissions-a...
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
Great piece on how immigration and Medicaid policies are making aging care —already tough work —even tougher. Gift link. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | The People Holding Everyone Together Are Coming Apart
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Drishti Pillai, PhD, MPH @drishp.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
@kff.org analysis finds that almost half of noncitizen adults living in the U.S. have one of the health conditions that may be grounds for visa denial based on new State Dept. guidance. The analysis also finds that noncitizens are much less likely than U.S. citizens to have one of these conditions.
Shares of U.S. adults with certain chronic health conditions by citizenship status
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
Before this ruling, the Trump admin had said that anyone who originally crossed the border without authorization was to be held in immigrant detention without the chance for release on bond. This had left lawyers scrambling to file habeas petitions for their detained clients.
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Katie Matthews, PhD @katieocean.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Yo DC peoples: Did you love the City Paper? Did you subscribe to DCist? Wanna get more of that in your life? Subscribe to @51st.news! 5 stars. Do recommend. Link: 51st.news/membership/?...
51st.news
Join The 51st
The 51st is a worker-led nonprofit news source for D.C. Our reporting is rooted in our conviction that local journalism is meant to make people’s lives better — no paywalls, ever. But that's only poss...
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 24/11/2025
NEW: Since the start of this year, more than 600 immigrant children have been placed in government shelters by ICE. That number, which has not been previously reported, is the highest since recordkeeping began a decade ago.
propublica.org
ICE Sent 600 Immigrant Kids to Detention in Federal Shelters This Year. It’s a New Record.
Under a zero tolerance policy, the first Trump administration separated immigrant children from their families at the U.S.-Mexico border. New data suggests separations are happening all over the count...
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Mario Bruzzone @bruzzone.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Trump Admin planning a rule to re-decide whether *every* refugee who entered under Biden meets their criteria for a refugee. That’s 230,000 people! And no appeals! www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...
reuters.com
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Reuters Legal @legal.reuters.com · 24/11/2025
The Trump administration cannot expand rapid deportations, a 2-1 panel of the D.C. Circuit ruled reut.rs/49y5vR3
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
“what wasn’t always fully considered was that the choking-off of immigration would reduce labor demand as well: The immigrants who aren’t here because of Mr. Trump’s policies not only aren’t working here; they’re also not spending money here.”
nytimes.com
Opinion | We’re Seeing What a No-Immigration Economy Looks Like
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Adam Sawyer @adamjst.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
After more than two months with no updates, ICE has finally released new detention statistics. ICE reports a total of 65,135 detainees as of Nov. 16, 2025. www.ice.gov/detain/deten...
ice.gov
Detention Management
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Colleen Putzel-Kavanaugh @colleenputzelkav.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Increased immigration enforcement, especially at workplaces, may bring the 30-year old E-Verify program back into the national conversation. But the administration remains amibavlent about the program-both touting its use and warning against reliance. Read more in MPI's latest bit.ly/MPIeverify
bit.ly
Employment Verification: The Next Front for U.S. Immigration Enforcement?
E-Verify has been heralded as a key way to control unauthorized immigration to the United States, but federal efforts to expand the system stalled. There has been movement at the state level over the ...
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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
The White House just blasted this out under the headline "Good News You May Have Missed"
🧑‍🎓 New foreign student enrollment at U.S. colleges and universities is down by 17% over last year: “American universities have suffered one of the sharpest ever declines in foreign enrollments in the face of tough policies from President Donald Trump, with the number of new international students falling 17 percent this year.”
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Has anyone seen if the Census Bureau has said anything about when the rest of the 2024 ACS products will be released?
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
One early indicator of whether immigrants are leaving the U.S. (or entering) is K-12 school enrollment data. This great AP story tracks several districts & finds a mixed picture: New students still coming from abroad to many districts, but in lower numbers, & Palm Beach County losing 6,000 students.
apnews.com
Immigrant student enrollment is dwindling at schools across the US
Schools across the U.S. are seeing a big drop in enrollment from immigrant families. Many parents have been deported or returned to their home countries due to immigration crackdowns.
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
New foreign student enrollment in the US fell 17% this fall www.washingtonpost.com/education/20...
washingtonpost.com
How foreign student enrollment is shifting in the U.S., in 6 charts
Foreign student enrollment in U.S. colleges has stalled, with a 17 percent decline in new students this fall after Trump policy changes, a key survey shows.
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Kathleen Bush-Joseph @kathleenbush.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Breaking the Cycle of Dysfunction at the U.S. Immigration Courts MPI has a new report out describing the crisis at the courts--there are 3.8 million deportation cases pending That means people in need of protection aren't getting it, and people ineligible aren't being removed
migrationpolicy.org
Breaking the Cycle of Dysfunction at the U.S. Immigration Courts
The U.S. immigration court system faces an unprecedented crisis, with nearly 3.8 million pending cases as of mid-2025. This years-long backlog has undermined both timely immigration enforcement and gr...
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Adam Sawyer @adamjst.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
"...while the raids continued, the flow of information about them did not." From @geoffhing.bsky.social and @jillcastellano.bsky.social www.themarshallproject.org/2025/11/15/d...
themarshallproject.org
ICE Raids Kept On During the Shutdown, But the Detention Data Stayed Hidden
More than seven weeks have passed since the last comprehensive release of detention and deportation numbers.
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
I had a first interview for a non-academic job, at an academic conference, in a hotel room suite in fall 2012. There were at least two other women in the room with me (thank goodness) and we were at a table, but there was a bed visible. These practices were absolutely BANANAS.
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
A huge amount of state resources intended to fight crime - from the FBI to state and local police to DEA agents to IRS tax enforcement - have been redeployed to immigration enforcement. It is a great time to be a criminal in America.
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Adam Sawyer @adamjst.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
ICE typically releases detention statistics on Fridays. It's the first Friday since the end of the shutdown, but it appears that ICE has not uploaded a new file yet. We are approaching two months since the last update.
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Burgess Everett @burgessev.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
"More than enough" Senate Democratic Caucus members to pass shutdown deal led by Shaheen, King and Hassan, source familiar with deal says - CR through Jan. 30 - ACA bill vote on bill of Dems' choosing in December - Minibus has RIF reversals and "protections" against them in future
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
SNAP surveys SNAP users. Already half of them are saying they are skipping meals.
Families are making impossible trade-offs

51% of respondents have already skipped meals

40% say they have had to buy cheaper or lower-quality food

Nearly 40% are delaying bills to put food on the table, while 42% are relying on help from family and friends

80% say they have not been able to prepare for the possibility of another delayed deposit

49% expect to visit a food pantry next week – up seven percentage points from those who planned to visit in the first days of November
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
What are the effects of the shutdown on SNAP users? Propel provides an app to SNAP users to allow them to track their spending and so can offer real-time estimates of needs. About 70% of SNAP households have a $10 or less balance on their SNAP card accounts. www.propel.app/shutdown-fun...
Map of the US showing wide spread of SNAP shortages
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Julia Gelatt @juliagelatt.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
I see a lot of folks looking for ways to help families losing access to SNAP benefits during the shutdown. GiveDirectly already has an electronic payment system set up so that it can quickly send cash to the lowest-income SNAP recipients -- you can donate here: www.givedirectly.org/snapgap/
givedirectly.org
Send cash to Americans missing their SNAP food benefits | Propel & GiveDirectly
Donate directly to families at risk of hunger due to the U.S. government shutdown.
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Ariel G Ruiz Soto @ruizags.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
With a steep decrease in migrant arrivals at the US-MX border, the Trump administration has directed its focus to enforcement in the US interior. In a NEW @migrationpolicy.bsky.social short read, I describe key data trends using the latest FY25 data. ⬇️ www.migrationpolicy.org/news/new-era...
migrationpolicy.org
A New Era of Immigration Enforcement Unfolds in the U.S. Interior and at the Border under Trump 2.0
The transformation in U.S. immigration enforcement taking place at the U.S.-Mexico border and in communities across the United States during the second Trump term is tangibly captured in government da...
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