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Jorge Guajardo

@jorgeguajardo.bsky.social
478 followers 160 following 93 posts

Interests: Mexico, China, trade, tech, cyber, books. Co-chair of Aspen Digital’s Global Cybersecurity Group.

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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
Let me posit that, contrary to what people in Washington think, countries don’t just react to US, they have agency and initiative. I’d wager Modi’s trip to China was planned well ahead of Trump’s tariffs announcement. And its outcome will be independent of any US action. It’s not all about the US.
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B! 🐝 Cavello (they/them) @b-cavello.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
How can we ensure that #AI is ACTUALLY helpful for the BIG challenges we face, like #ClimateChange and #WorldHunger? We need to listen to the experts who understand these problems best! That's why @aspendigital.bsky.social is surveying people in #FoodSecurity: www.aspendigital.org/event/food-s...
aspendigital.org
Feeding the Future
We don’t just need smarter tech, we need smarter goals. Take the survey so your insight can shape the future of AI in food security.
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Felix Hamer • electricfelix @electricfelix.eurosky.social · 05/07/2025
"From 2020 to 2024, the top five foreign automakers in China — Volkswagen, Toyota, Honda, GM & Nissan — saw their sales in that market plunge from 9.4M to 6.4M annually Today’s top 5 Chinese automakers saw sales more than double to 9.5M last year from 4.6 million vehicles in 2020" 🚨
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Jeff Wasserstrom @jwassers.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Last Friday afternoon in DC, I got a chance to share a stage w/ @eosnos.bsky.social (always a pleasure) to talk about my new book on resistance and repression in Asia and many other subjects, from our past collaborations to the challenges of writing about Xi Jinping www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...
youtube.com
China Connections - From China to Southeast Asia: Jeffrey Wasserstrom in Conversation w/ Evans Osnos
YouTube video by US-China Education Trust
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
1/8 For the US to negotiate point-by-point concessions may satisfy those who think of trade mainly as a set of legal issues, but from an economic point of view it makes little sense to focus on highly specific restrictions and policies. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/24/w...
nytimes.com
Europe’s Been Negotiating by the Book, but Trump’s Tearing It Up
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Melissa Chan @melissakchan.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
For those who don't want to order from Amazon — Bleak House Books in New York still has copies of YOU MUST TAKE PART IN REVOLUTION! They take online orders and ship nationwide! 🔗 www.bleakhousebooks.com CC: @badiucao.bsky.social
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
The Apple TV series “Your Friends and Neighbors” is really good. Very strong recommend.
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Nevin Thompson @nevint.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
"Saving face is uniquely important with the Chinese, but is unimportant anywhere else."
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
1/5 Chinese exports in March were up much more than expected, by 12.4% year on year, presumably because exporters rushed to deliver before tariffs were implemented. For the first three months of the year, exports in RMB terms were up 6.9%. english.news.cn/20250414/1ba...
english.news.cn
China's foreign trade up 1.3 pct in Q1
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
2/14 Unfortunately it is also very hard to discuss tariffs in a non-hysterical way. They are neither the panacea that the Trump administration supposes they are, nor are they the instrument of Satan, as most American economists truly believe them to be.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
There are non-commercial jets flying over DC. 🤔
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025...
telegraph.co.uk
How Mexico’s president became the Trump whisperer
Claudia Sheinbaum’s years of learning how to keep a ‘cool head’ in the face of big personalities is paying off
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Washington sunset.
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Melissa Chan @melissakchan.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
By far the smartest (and shortest!) read and argument on why some tariffs against China make sense — and why tariffs against Canada and Mexico DO NOT. By former Mexican ambassador to China @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social:
usnews.com
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
Take a deep breath…
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
In this OpEd, Secretary Rubio mentions “partners”/“partnerships” four times. Not sure I’ve ever heard President Trump talk about “partnering” with other countries in the hemisphere. www.wsj.com/opinion/an-a...
wsj.com
Opinion | Marco Rubio: An Americas First Foreign Policy
U.S. diplomats have neglected the Western Hemisphere for too long.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
There’s a heaviness to the tone/cadence of DCA Tower controllers. I cannot imagine their pain. Listening to KDCA Tower on LiveATC.net #liveatc liveatc.net
liveatc.net
Listen to Live ATC (Air Traffic Control) Communications | LiveATC.net
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
I live on the landing path of planes coming into DCA. The silence as the airport remains close makes my heart heavy, thinking of the tragedy.
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Jon Ostrower @jonostrower.com · 30/01/2025
If confirmed as a commercial airliner in the Potomac, this mid-air collision at DCA would be the worst U.S. air disaster since the Colgan Air Q400 crash near Buffalo in 2009.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
I’m a former Mexican Ambassador to China who lives in Washington, DC. I’ve seen closely how these three countries interact commercially. My article explains why I am also in favor of tariffs. www.usnews.com/opinion/arti...
usnews.com
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Thisis great! www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-...
wsj.com
The Guy Behind DeepSeek Blurbed My Book in China
On Friday, I had never heard of Liang Wenfeng. By Monday, I realized he knew a lot about my work—and I was scrambling to learn about his.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
The speed at which Chinese disruption happens is mind numbing. One week the USA’s AI industry is on top of the world, the next week they’re having an existencial crisis. Who’s next?
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 26/01/2025
“Global warming is the opposite of Kanye West: we want to pay attention but we don’t.” Brilliant phrase! 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
newyorker.com
What if the Attention Crisis Is All a Distraction?
From the pianoforte to the smartphone, each wave of tech has sparked fears of brain rot. But the problem isn’t our ability to focus—it’s what we’re focussing on.
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Edward Wong @ewong.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
I'll speak about my book on China, "At the Edge of Empire," at Mt. Pleasant Library in DC at 6:30 pm on Thursday Jan. 23. The first 20 attendees get a free book, with more for sale. I'll sign copies. A top non-fiction book of 2024 — Washington Post. Info: dclibrary.libnet.info/event/12529311
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
1/9 Reuters: "China is not seeking a trade surplus and is willing to import more competitive and high-quality products and services to balance trade, Ding Xuexiang, the country's vice premier, said Tuesday at the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos." www.reuters.com/world/china/...
reuters.com
China is not seeking a trade surplus, vice premier says
China is not seeking a trade surplus and is willing to import more competitive and high-quality products and services to balance trade, Ding Xuexiang, the country's vice premier, said on Tuesday.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
My hometown, Monterrey, Mexico.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
A case in which the person writing the headline clearly did not read the article, which goes on to say precisely the opposite. @wsj.com
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
“…allowing a trusted non-Chinese party such as Elon Musk…” If this was said of anyone else, they’d be immediately dragged in front of a congressional panel. www.wsj.com/tech/china-o...
wsj.com
China Officials Discuss Option of TikTok Sale to Elon Musk
Beijing officials preparing options for after Donald Trump’s inauguration have examined possible openness to a deal for TikTok’s U.S. operations with the owner of X.
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Michael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 11/01/2025
5/7 A rising dollar is like a negative import tariff. It subsidizes consumption while imposing a tax on production and so, not surprisingly, this puts pressure on US consumption to rise relative to US production, forcing down the US saving rate. bsky.app/profile/mich...
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
sadly cruel censorship did not allow me to use the best quote I got on background for this, "we're existentially fucked" foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/07/c...
foreignpolicy.com
Salt Typhoon Stirs Panic in Washington
The full extent of the hack is not yet public, but it has hardened anti-China consensus.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Two auto plants in Mexico that are often in the News: 1) Tesla—announced investment, acquired land, brought suppliers, but everyone considers it dead. 2) BYD—has not announced investment, has not picked site, but everyone considers it imminent. 🤔 Neither will happen.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
“Made by China is the new Made in China,” says Jorge Guajardo, a former Mexican ambassador to China. www.economist.com/the-americas...
economist.com
Does made in Mexico mean made by China?
Donald Trump believes Mexico is a trojan horse for Chinese mercantilism
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
This interview proves there is such a thing as too much media training. He was so careful with what he said that he forgot to say anything. Not a single takeaway from the interview. www.wired.com/story/big-in...
wired.com
Tim Cook Wants Apple to Literally Save Your Life
Much as the CEO seems awestruck by AI and his just-released Apple Intelligence, he’s more convinced that the tech giant’s health apps will define the company’s legacy.
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Simon Lester @simonlester.com · 02/01/2025
People seem surprised at how much Trump likes tariffs - and he does like them a lot! - but I think it's worth noting that many US politicians like tariffs, and in fact tariffs were widely used even in the so-called free trade "neoliberal" era. (Anti-dumping cases pay for some nice Palm Beach condos)
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Lightning and thunder in Washington, DC! Ominous.
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Garrett M. Graff @vermontgmg.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Yes, it's just about 2025, but I took the final hours of 2024 to write up another holiday list of my favorite reading a year late. Come for the dystopian real-life tech, stay for the presidential biography, and forgive me for the professional victory lap. www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/best-books...
doomsdayscenario.co
Best Books of 2023 and a short victory lap
Happy New Year’s Eve—and, no, that’s not a typo.
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Emily Feng @emilyzfeng.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
So thrilling to see advance copies of my book out in the wild!! Launch date is this coming March www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/724947...
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Regulation to encourage the development of a technology.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
What I wrote about Jimmy Carter when he went into hospice two and a half years ago, in @theatlantic.com : www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv... What I wrote just now, after being in Panama, about Carter's management of the Canal treaties: fallows.substack.com/p/panama-is-...
theatlantic.com
An Unlucky President, and a Lucky Man
In the years I worked for him, Jimmy Carter was always the same: disciplined, funny, enormously intelligent, and deeply spiritual.
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Erika Hall @erikahall.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Another fucked up aspect of the H-1B visa is the H-4 dependent visa. A spouse can accompany the H-1B sponsored worker, but has to be totally financially dependent and can't work.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
My list of books read in 2024.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Reading is not a competition. It is not an endurance test, a triathlon. Reading should be a pleasure. Doesn’t matter how you do it, as long as you enjoy it. I, too, love audio books. www.wsj.com/lifestyle/be...
wsj.com
Does Listening to a Book Count as Reading It? Debate Roils Literary World.
Audiobook fans bristle at suggestion they are multitaskers prone to missing big plot points
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Most frustrating thing about reading world news in US media is that every action in every country is portrayed as a reaction to the US. It ignores domestic constituencies and political pressures, and assumes foreign governments only act or react in accordance with the US. Huge blind spot.
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 27/12/2024
The failure of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which raised U.S. tariffs across a variety of imports, tells analysts very little about the effect that tariffs would have on the United States today, argues @michaelpettis.bsky.social.
foreignaffairs.com
How Tariffs Can Help America
Economists have drawn the wrong lessons from the failures of the 1930s.
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Laura Rozen @lkrozen.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
What I read this year (* is good, ** very good):
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 25/12/2024
I took a chance on this novel despite it having won the Booker Prize. It is NOT a holiday reading. It takes place in Ireland, but made me think of Gaza or the US Southern border. Gut wrenching. (I consider the Booker to be to books what the Palm d’Or is to movies).
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Edward Wong @ewong.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
I'm thankful to the China experts who put my book #AtTheEdgeOfEmpire atop the list of best China books of 2024, compiled by @chinabooksreview.bsky.social and Alec Ash. Veteran journalist Jane Perlez has great insights here. The book makes a great gift: www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/602734...
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
Spot the trend in today’s WSJ.
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Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 20/12/2024
I’d wager that if the PRC’s leadership were granted one wish by a genie allowing them to take and use anything they see in the US, they’d pick this. They’d do anything to be able to have this population growth in China. www.wsj.com/us-news/cens...
wsj.com
Immigrants Dominate U.S. Population Growth
The Census Bureau estimates that the U.S. population grew by 8.5 million over the past four years, with immigrants making up the vast majority.
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