Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/08/2025Let me posit that, contrary to what people in Washington think, countries don’t just react to US, they have agency and initiative. I’d wager Modi’s trip to China was planned well ahead of Trump’s tariffs announcement. And its outcome will be independent of any US action. It’s not all about the US. 001
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoB! 🐝 Cavello (they/them) @b-cavello.bsky.social · 11/07/2025How can we ensure that #AI is ACTUALLY helpful for the BIG challenges we face, like #ClimateChange and #WorldHunger? We need to listen to the experts who understand these problems best! That's why @aspendigital.bsky.social is surveying people in #FoodSecurity: www.aspendigital.org/event/food-s...aspendigital.orgFeeding the FutureWe don’t just need smarter tech, we need smarter goals. Take the survey so your insight can shape the future of AI in food security. 054
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoFelix Hamer • electricfelix @electricfelix.eurosky.social · 05/07/2025"From 2020 to 2024, the top five foreign automakers in China — Volkswagen, Toyota, Honda, GM & Nissan — saw their sales in that market plunge from 9.4M to 6.4M annually Today’s top 5 Chinese automakers saw sales more than double to 9.5M last year from 4.6 million vehicles in 2020" 🚨 55313
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoJeff Wasserstrom @jwassers.bsky.social · 16/06/2025Last Friday afternoon in DC, I got a chance to share a stage w/ @eosnos.bsky.social (always a pleasure) to talk about my new book on resistance and repression in Asia and many other subjects, from our past collaborations to the challenges of writing about Xi Jinping www.youtube.com/watch?app=de...youtube.comChina Connections - From China to Southeast Asia: Jeffrey Wasserstrom in Conversation w/ Evans OsnosYouTube video by US-China Education Trust 076
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMichael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 25/05/20251/8 For the US to negotiate point-by-point concessions may satisfy those who think of trade mainly as a set of legal issues, but from an economic point of view it makes little sense to focus on highly specific restrictions and policies. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/24/w...nytimes.comEurope’s Been Negotiating by the Book, but Trump’s Tearing It Up 2245
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMelissa Chan @melissakchan.bsky.social · 07/05/2025For those who don't want to order from Amazon — Bleak House Books in New York still has copies of YOU MUST TAKE PART IN REVOLUTION! They take online orders and ship nationwide! 🔗 www.bleakhousebooks.com CC: @badiucao.bsky.social 0144
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 26/04/2025The Apple TV series “Your Friends and Neighbors” is really good. Very strong recommend. 000
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoNevin Thompson @nevint.bsky.social · 24/04/2025"Saving face is uniquely important with the Chinese, but is unimportant anywhere else." 4213
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMichael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 14/04/20251/5 Chinese exports in March were up much more than expected, by 12.4% year on year, presumably because exporters rushed to deliver before tariffs were implemented. For the first three months of the year, exports in RMB terms were up 6.9%. english.news.cn/20250414/1ba...english.news.cnChina's foreign trade up 1.3 pct in Q1 1315
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMichael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 03/04/20252/14 Unfortunately it is also very hard to discuss tariffs in a non-hysterical way. They are neither the panacea that the Trump administration supposes they are, nor are they the instrument of Satan, as most American economists truly believe them to be. 1182
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 25/02/2025There are non-commercial jets flying over DC. 🤔 000
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 13/02/2025www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025...telegraph.co.ukHow Mexico’s president became the Trump whispererClaudia Sheinbaum’s years of learning how to keep a ‘cool head’ in the face of big personalities is paying off 031
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMelissa Chan @melissakchan.bsky.social · 01/02/2025By far the smartest (and shortest!) read and argument on why some tariffs against China make sense — and why tariffs against Canada and Mexico DO NOT. By former Mexican ambassador to China @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social:usnews.com 15217
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/01/2025In this OpEd, Secretary Rubio mentions “partners”/“partnerships” four times. Not sure I’ve ever heard President Trump talk about “partnering” with other countries in the hemisphere. www.wsj.com/opinion/an-a...wsj.comOpinion | Marco Rubio: An Americas First Foreign PolicyU.S. diplomats have neglected the Western Hemisphere for too long. 130
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 30/01/2025There’s a heaviness to the tone/cadence of DCA Tower controllers. I cannot imagine their pain. Listening to KDCA Tower on LiveATC.net #liveatc liveatc.netliveatc.netListen to Live ATC (Air Traffic Control) Communications | LiveATC.net 020
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 30/01/2025I live on the landing path of planes coming into DCA. The silence as the airport remains close makes my heart heavy, thinking of the tragedy. 061
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoJon Ostrower @jonostrower.com · 30/01/2025If confirmed as a commercial airliner in the Potomac, this mid-air collision at DCA would be the worst U.S. air disaster since the Colgan Air Q400 crash near Buffalo in 2009. 21709130
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/01/2025I’m a former Mexican Ambassador to China who lives in Washington, DC. I’ve seen closely how these three countries interact commercially. My article explains why I am also in favor of tariffs. www.usnews.com/opinion/arti...usnews.com 120
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/01/2025Thisis great! www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-...wsj.comThe Guy Behind DeepSeek Blurbed My Book in ChinaOn Friday, I had never heard of Liang Wenfeng. By Monday, I realized he knew a lot about my work—and I was scrambling to learn about his. 020
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 27/01/2025The speed at which Chinese disruption happens is mind numbing. One week the USA’s AI industry is on top of the world, the next week they’re having an existencial crisis. Who’s next? 021
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 26/01/2025“Global warming is the opposite of Kanye West: we want to pay attention but we don’t.” Brilliant phrase! 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻 www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...newyorker.comWhat if the Attention Crisis Is All a Distraction?From the pianoforte to the smartphone, each wave of tech has sparked fears of brain rot. But the problem isn’t our ability to focus—it’s what we’re focussing on. 000
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoEdward Wong @ewong.bsky.social · 22/01/2025I'll speak about my book on China, "At the Edge of Empire," at Mt. Pleasant Library in DC at 6:30 pm on Thursday Jan. 23. The first 20 attendees get a free book, with more for sale. I'll sign copies. A top non-fiction book of 2024 — Washington Post. Info: dclibrary.libnet.info/event/12529311 0146
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMichael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 22/01/20251/9 Reuters: "China is not seeking a trade surplus and is willing to import more competitive and high-quality products and services to balance trade, Ding Xuexiang, the country's vice premier, said Tuesday at the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos." www.reuters.com/world/china/...reuters.comChina is not seeking a trade surplus, vice premier saysChina is not seeking a trade surplus and is willing to import more competitive and high-quality products and services to balance trade, Ding Xuexiang, the country's vice premier, said on Tuesday. 13910
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 17/01/2025A case in which the person writing the headline clearly did not read the article, which goes on to say precisely the opposite. @wsj.com 000
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 14/01/2025“…allowing a trusted non-Chinese party such as Elon Musk…” If this was said of anyone else, they’d be immediately dragged in front of a congressional panel. www.wsj.com/tech/china-o...wsj.comChina Officials Discuss Option of TikTok Sale to Elon MuskBeijing officials preparing options for after Donald Trump’s inauguration have examined possible openness to a deal for TikTok’s U.S. operations with the owner of X. 000
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoMichael Pettis @michaelpettis.bsky.social · 11/01/20255/7 A rising dollar is like a negative import tariff. It subsidizes consumption while imposing a tax on production and so, not surprisingly, this puts pressure on US consumption to rise relative to US production, forcing down the US saving rate. bsky.app/profile/mich... 182
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoBeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 07/01/2025sadly cruel censorship did not allow me to use the best quote I got on background for this, "we're existentially fucked" foreignpolicy.com/2025/01/07/c...foreignpolicy.comSalt Typhoon Stirs Panic in WashingtonThe full extent of the hack is not yet public, but it has hardened anti-China consensus. 29944168
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 07/01/2025Two auto plants in Mexico that are often in the News: 1) Tesla—announced investment, acquired land, brought suppliers, but everyone considers it dead. 2) BYD—has not announced investment, has not picked site, but everyone considers it imminent. 🤔 Neither will happen. 022
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 06/01/2025“Made by China is the new Made in China,” says Jorge Guajardo, a former Mexican ambassador to China. www.economist.com/the-americas...economist.comDoes made in Mexico mean made by China?Donald Trump believes Mexico is a trojan horse for Chinese mercantilism 011
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 02/01/2025This interview proves there is such a thing as too much media training. He was so careful with what he said that he forgot to say anything. Not a single takeaway from the interview. www.wired.com/story/big-in...wired.comTim Cook Wants Apple to Literally Save Your LifeMuch as the CEO seems awestruck by AI and his just-released Apple Intelligence, he’s more convinced that the tech giant’s health apps will define the company’s legacy. 010
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoSimon Lester @simonlester.com · 02/01/2025People seem surprised at how much Trump likes tariffs - and he does like them a lot! - but I think it's worth noting that many US politicians like tariffs, and in fact tariffs were widely used even in the so-called free trade "neoliberal" era. (Anti-dumping cases pay for some nice Palm Beach condos) 381
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/12/2024Lightning and thunder in Washington, DC! Ominous. 000
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoGarrett M. Graff @vermontgmg.bsky.social · 31/12/2024Yes, it's just about 2025, but I took the final hours of 2024 to write up another holiday list of my favorite reading a year late. Come for the dystopian real-life tech, stay for the presidential biography, and forgive me for the professional victory lap. www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/best-books...doomsdayscenario.coBest Books of 2023 and a short victory lapHappy New Year’s Eve—and, no, that’s not a typo. 3244
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoEmily Feng @emilyzfeng.bsky.social · 31/12/2024So thrilling to see advance copies of my book out in the wild!! Launch date is this coming March www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/724947... 39016
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 31/12/2024Regulation to encourage the development of a technology. 000
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoJames Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 29/12/2024What I wrote about Jimmy Carter when he went into hospice two and a half years ago, in @theatlantic.com : www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv... What I wrote just now, after being in Panama, about Carter's management of the Canal treaties: fallows.substack.com/p/panama-is-...theatlantic.comAn Unlucky President, and a Lucky ManIn the years I worked for him, Jimmy Carter was always the same: disciplined, funny, enormously intelligent, and deeply spiritual. 25819171
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoErika Hall @erikahall.bsky.social · 28/12/2024Another fucked up aspect of the H-1B visa is the H-4 dependent visa. A spouse can accompany the H-1B sponsored worker, but has to be totally financially dependent and can't work. 281010194
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/12/2024Reading is not a competition. It is not an endurance test, a triathlon. Reading should be a pleasure. Doesn’t matter how you do it, as long as you enjoy it. I, too, love audio books. www.wsj.com/lifestyle/be...wsj.comDoes Listening to a Book Count as Reading It? Debate Roils Literary World.Audiobook fans bristle at suggestion they are multitaskers prone to missing big plot points 020
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 28/12/2024Most frustrating thing about reading world news in US media is that every action in every country is portrayed as a reaction to the US. It ignores domestic constituencies and political pressures, and assumes foreign governments only act or react in accordance with the US. Huge blind spot. 031
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 27/12/2024The failure of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, which raised U.S. tariffs across a variety of imports, tells analysts very little about the effect that tariffs would have on the United States today, argues @michaelpettis.bsky.social.foreignaffairs.comHow Tariffs Can Help AmericaEconomists have drawn the wrong lessons from the failures of the 1930s. 082
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoLaura Rozen @lkrozen.bsky.social · 27/12/2024What I read this year (* is good, ** very good): 6563
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 25/12/2024I took a chance on this novel despite it having won the Booker Prize. It is NOT a holiday reading. It takes place in Ireland, but made me think of Gaza or the US Southern border. Gut wrenching. (I consider the Booker to be to books what the Palm d’Or is to movies). 010
Reposted by Jorge GuajardoEdward Wong @ewong.bsky.social · 23/12/2024I'm thankful to the China experts who put my book #AtTheEdgeOfEmpire atop the list of best China books of 2024, compiled by @chinabooksreview.bsky.social and Alec Ash. Veteran journalist Jane Perlez has great insights here. The book makes a great gift: www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/602734... 2225
Jorge Guajardo @jorgeguajardo.bsky.social · 20/12/2024I’d wager that if the PRC’s leadership were granted one wish by a genie allowing them to take and use anything they see in the US, they’d pick this. They’d do anything to be able to have this population growth in China. www.wsj.com/us-news/cens...wsj.comImmigrants Dominate U.S. Population GrowthThe Census Bureau estimates that the U.S. population grew by 8.5 million over the past four years, with immigrants making up the vast majority. 010