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John Springford

@johnspringford.bsky.social
19K followers 1.9K following 8.1K posts

Economist and occasional politics dabbler. Working on a project to improve labour markets. Associate fellow, Centre for European Reform. Visiting fellow, Institute for Policy Research, Bath University. Accusations of bad faith or lying = block.

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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 29m
I disagree with the great man here - and tbf he couldn't have known what was coming. 2008/9 has had huge and long-lasting effects. The contract for people without degrees was 'don't worry about the erosion of your relative status; your income and living standards will grow robustly'. That's broken
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 1h
Very fancy office for a rubberstamper, I thought when I was mandated to use one
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 14h
Fair point. Markets operating fairly is important for allowing the squirrelling
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 14h
Yes def - I think that's policy failed. But I also think UK comparative advantages were hit
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 14h
It does! Could be either new ideas are hard to find, Britain's ideas factories are less valuable, or policy has failed. All of those are true I think
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 14h
They should hire me for government comms.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 14h
Obviously this is true. Or 'individuals and businesses are constantly squirreling out new ideas and niches; that's not government's job, which is to ensure that markets operate fairly and pay for things markets won't provide adequately'.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 15h
Let's see. The money must have some impact on service quality.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 15h
I've had two (2) good interactions with my GPs in the last few months. A new system triaging into phone calls and face-to-face appointments that works well. Anecdata, obviously, but perhaps this is part of something broader.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 20h
Good thread. Raising the size of the labour force is crucial, as well as broader tax bases, and states have the levers to do it. Just need the will.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 20h
Many contrasts between Burnham's government and his predecessor's: a major one being its refusal to brief and fly kites
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 21h
Huge role for luck, especially in tech, where first-mover advantages and network effects are rather important. As shown by Meta's difficulty in making non-social media products that people want to use.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 22h
Possibly, or possibly not - lots of inflection points coming up.
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Reposted by John Springford
Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
My column this week: on Andy Burnham’s confusion over Manchester City and what it reveals about the broader confusion in his government:
ft.com
Andy Burnham’s Manchester City problem
The prime minister’s economic vision looks dangerously like a game of two halves
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
[Waggles eyebrows at the 'decades, if ever' people]
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
It's like trying to explain to the cat why they have to go to the vet
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
that is a raised eyebrow, Bluesky needs to sort out its emojis
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
centre 🤨 (I support it)
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Well, yes - your house is in mid-Buckinghamshire. Many people live in more urban settings. bsky.app/profile/pete...
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Quite. And bus stops should not be a national culture war issue.
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Reposted by John Springford
Heather Stewart @guardianheather.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
This week’s column - essentially, crack on Andy: there are a limited number of well-discussed ways to fund a more generous social care system, let’s just do it. www.theguardian.com/business/202...
theguardian.com
Burnham’s plans for social care and its workers are admirable but changes must come quickly | Heather Stewart
Money is needed now for a system that has left families including mine struggling their way unsupported and forgotten
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Reposted by John Springford
Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Americans picked Trump II, and their biggest objection is high prices. Hungary chose Orban, and their eventual big objection was corruption. Erdogan and Modi won multiple terms. Brazilians about to go Bolsonaro again. Not always free and fair, but yeah, millions want it. Wouldn’t work otherwise.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
We're anthropomorphisation machines
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Get a bit grumpy when Claude makes a mistake and doesn't apologise. But I suppose that's what humans do.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Le Monde starting to take an interest again ...
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Rather uncomfortable position for JLR to be in, especially after a tricky year.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Chinese cars aren't re-exported to the EU without EU tariffs being applied. So this is really about equalising the price of Chinese cars to help European manufacturers (including British ones).
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Brian Groom @groomb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Girl on a Bradford street corner, 1969, photo by Nick Hedges.
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Reposted by John Springford
Chris Cook @chriscook.news · 21/09/2026
A big new story from us: a big new leak means that we can put numbers on the scale of A7 -- the Kremlin's huge money-laundering machine. $6.9bn laundered through the international banking system via SWIFT, with $1.1bn sent to StanChart alone. www.ft.com/content/3848...
ft.com
Kremlin-backed forgery scheme moved $6.9bn through global banks
FT finds thousands of Russian payments handled by Standard Chartered, Citigroup and other international groups in vast leak from inside fintech A7
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
Best to simply pursue the policies that are good for the country's economy and security, in my view.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
On the one hand, there might be political chaos if Brexit is reopened, but on the other, there's no Article 50-style deadline and the EU has little incentive to negotiate quickly. Lots of things like Le Pen winning, Trump trying another coup, the AI bubble bursting might happen in the interim.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
It does, but you avoid incomes bunching before thresholds/gaming via pension contributions etc.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Just make the city skyline of tax rates a curve. High school maths, and anyway a government website could calculate this for you.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Oh bad luck.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Yep. Often these things go together
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
One way to improve the quality of debate: when you're asked to speak on a panel but there's someone who's a good speaker with more expertise than you, recommend them instead.
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Reposted by John Springford
Daniel Sugarman @danielsugarman.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Although it feels like I am shouting into the void about this sometimes, I want to share some further thoughts on the “Zionism is Racism” motion which the Green Party is due to debate in the next 16 hours. Just to address various points which I think people in general should know. A thread:
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
OMG! A piece that engages with some of the substance of Burnham's speech www.ft.com/content/0889...
ft.com
How to meet Burnham’s ambitions on social care
A radical change in culture and systems will be as important as funding
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Just automate this drudge work. The American mind, etc etc.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Me too, and being good at your job is recognising where you've gone wrong (and often that means reading widely, especially people with new ideas whatever their status). Also, the costs of changing your mind are low and the gains high!
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I can ...
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Yes, agree
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
(Just on the insurance-is-expensive rule of thumb, would be interested in your view)
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stockfttp.bsky.social @stockfttp.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
😫
ember-energy.org
European electricity prices and costs | Ember
This data tool compares European electricity prices, carbon prices and the cost of generating electricity using fossil fuels and renewables. Where possible, data is provided by country.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
My guess would be not enough to stop that being a big driver of prices.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Here's Andrew's most recent piece (I think) in the issue. www.linkedin.com/pulse/net-ze...
linkedin.com
No, net zero is not the main reason energy bills are high
It seems to have become commonplace to blame net zero for Britain’s high energy bills and/or weak job market. For example, Sharon Graham of the Unite union recently described Ed Miliband as a "noose a...
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
This Dieter Helm essay doesn't engage with what's driving high UK energy prices in a serious way. Read @acjsissons.bsky.social instead. www.thetimes.com/comment/colu...
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Yes - good example. And if there's an AI bubble that pops in the interim. This is why I'm a bit impatient with confident predictions, btw. The French election is a prime example of many things that can transform the debate.
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John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Agree very much with this. The 'future business' is about weaponised trade dependencies, European security, an entrenched far-right movement at the core of the Republican party. All of those are hard for British politicians to talk about.
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I detect a cynical intuition among some pro-EU liberals to try an inauthentic dog whistling to ethnonationalism, turning "ha ha ha, were you expecting higher immigration, and Indians & Nigerians, not Poles" into 'make immigration whiter, not browner again'. This could backfire quite badly imho
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