Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 23/04/2025You may have just solved a seven-hour-old mystery for me! My best guess was a feral parakeet 110
Reposted by Jason RoosRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 26/03/2025it's easy to think that academia is outdated, worthless etc but the fact that we are consistently the first targets for repression by dicators and wannabe dictators suggests we are still doing something useful and good for free societies despite our best efforts to fucking suck super bad 312731
Reposted by Jason RoosMartina Pocchiari @martinapocchiari.com · 22/03/2025On the way to #Berlin to present at the Digital Economy Workshop @diw.de @bsoeberlin.bsky.social On the agenda: ``Digitization and Community Participation'' w/@jmtroos.bsky.social, now featuring a new dataset covering 600K+ events, 400K+ individuals in 12K local communities in 2024 (200M+ rows...) 142
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 11/03/2025@shire-reckoning.bsky.social hasn't posted in the last day and now I'm worried Sauron found the one ring 020
Reposted by Jason RoosAlex Genevsky @genevsky.bsky.social · 05/03/2025Our latest paper on #Neuroforecasting is out at @pnasnexus.org (w/ Brian Knutson and Lester Tong) A short 🧵 tinyurl.com/e4279expacademic.oup.comNeuroforecasting reveals generalizable components of choiceAbstract. Accurate forecasts of population-level behavior critically inform institutional choices and public policy. While neuroforecasting research sugges 152
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 06/02/2025I'm checking this every day, great deals on heavy (5+ lbs) ashtrays 010
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 06/02/2025* All authors contributed equally and are listed in order of emotional neediness. 030
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 27/01/2025Remember that email is a replacement for physical letters, which used to arrive only after spending the better part of a week on a train. 120
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 23/01/2025For consistency in a decision theoretic framework. I mean, you can define "near" anyway you like, but if you want to make a theoretical argument, you might have a problem. 100
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 23/01/2025A potential problem with the proposal is that "near" takes on different meanings when using the mean (L2, SD) versus median (L1, MAD). I prefer median when talking about people -- means often describe people who don't exist, medians are less prone to this 110
Reposted by Jason RoosAntonia Krefeld-Schwalb @krefeldschwalb.bsky.social · 10/01/2025I often find myself arguing for why I do impact-driven research on climate adaptation and sustainable behavior. These projects are often long, messy and with unclear outlets that not always count for career progression in my field. 111
Reposted by Jason RoosPedro Sant’Anna @pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 30/12/2024Here are the first five sets of slides: 01 Introduction: psantanna.com/DiD/01_Intro... 02 Classical 2x2 setup: psantanna.com/DiD/02_two_b... 03 Clustering issues: psantanna.com/DiD/03_Clust... 04 Functional form: psantanna.com/DiD/04_Funct... 05 Covariates: psantanna.com/DiD/05_Covar...psantanna.com 50731181
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 24/12/2024Where is Parson Brown during the events of the song? Or better yet—*what* is Parson Brown? 110
Reposted by Jason RoosDan Goldstein @dggoldst.bsky.social · 19/12/2024The area of Andorra is 470 square kilometers (180 square miles). To put it in perspective, the area of San Jose, CA is 180 square miles. So Andorra is about 2.5 times bigger than Lichtenstein or DC. Lichtenstein has about 40,000 people, Andorra has about 80,000. 031
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 16/12/2024It's a useful analogy, and highlights how AI gets vilified by virtue of being new. I remember academic scare around Wikipedia. But there are also differences: Wikipedia is in principle traceable back to a source. And did anybody hype Wikipedia as a replacement for creating original works? 000
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 16/12/2024In any case my point was simply that calling the thing that everybody is referring to when they AI "evil" isn't an obviously wacko position to take. I can see where that comes from. 110
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 16/12/2024I think the actual contents of the "public" data is where a lot of the vitriol originates from. I mean, can any foundation model be said with certainty not to contain any unauthorized content? I'm not especially bothered by it, but I also don't create art for a living. 110
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 16/12/2024I don't think they are evil per se, but I can understand why, e.g., an artist whose copyrighted work was ingested into a text or image generator, and then encounters claims that these things can generate original writing or art, why they might reach for "evil" to describe all that. 110
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 06/12/2024Skeletor torments He-Man with powerful intuition about Bayesian reasoning and the nature of information 020
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 03/12/2024I think some behavioral researchers would run an experiment if there was an 80% chance the effect were true but not if it were 70%. (And I don't think this is related to the sacred 1-beta = 0.8 power threshold; you'd get the same flip at 75% and 65%.) 110
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Just want to point out there are three drumsticks on the table, which raises questions about how large the dinner party is and why the beleaguered diner in the center doesn't just move to the kids' table (or maybe they're arguing about politics there too?) 110
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 03/12/2024I've decided I'm now the Monte Hall problem meme guy, this is a Monte Hall meme account now 040
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 02/12/2024I really thought I had moved past being surprised by your food takes. And then you casually pull this one out and I realized how little I understand about the world. 140
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 29/11/2024Just the social permission I've been waiting for so I can finally Try Drugs 110
Reposted by Jason RoosThe Onion @theonion.com · 26/11/2024Prague's Kafka International Named Most Alienating Airportyoutube.comPrague's Kafka International Named Most Alienating AirportYouTube video by The Onion 441925192
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 26/11/2024That was my intro as well. I was in transit, moving from the US to NL, and the head of dept at the time called to explain Dirk had just resigned and not to freak out if I saw it in the news... 020
Reposted by Jason RoosPaul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 25/11/2024Man I cannot endorse this abstract more 12355101
Reposted by Jason RoosMartina Pocchiari @martinapocchiari.com · 23/11/2024We are #hiring a #predoctoral fellow in "Artificial intelligence, digital environments, polarization and echo chambers of opinion" in our marketing research group at Esade, with opportunity to join our #PhD program. Send your CV and academic record to: research@esade.edu 131
Reposted by Jason RoosSteph Tully @stephtully.bsky.social · 23/11/2024I’ve officially given up X and am reengaging here. Academic Twitter is dead and I can’t in good conscience support that platform. All the marketing, management, psych, econ, and JDM folks, let me know where you are! 1141
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 20/11/2024This post just brought to mind Randee of the Redwoods, so I guess my long-term memory still works? 010
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 20/11/2024Everybody's gonna need to up their cosplay game, this is unbelievably good 020
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 20/11/2024This is amazing -- just from the hat and sunglasses I thought to myself "be seeing you," and then I noticed the jacket, button, bicycle, the entire set... So yeah, this is perfect in every way... 010
Jason Roos @jmtroos.bsky.social · 20/11/2024I think it went like this: The designers made a version with the new typeface and a version of the cat drawn with a constant line width to match the font weight. The cat almost certainly looked like a royalty-free SVG so they scrapped it. 020