Sign in

John Helin

@jjhelin.bsky.social
7.9K followers 184 following 36 posts

Journalist, Fact checker @ HS.fi Ukraine War Analysis with Black Bird Group Political History at the University of Helsinki 📞 +358413106215 ✉️ John@blackbirdgroup.fi

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by John Helin
Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 @reshetz.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
639441
Reposted by John Helin
Andrew (🎃) @athomashemlock.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
A huge problem with being addicted to paying attention to what is actually happening in the federal government right now is that it's impossible to explain to people who are normal why this information makes you seriously think about pouring a glass of straight gin at 8 in the morning.
225443
Reposted by John Helin
Faktabaari @faktabaari.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Klo 17 alkaen faktantarkistajat kokoontuivat läpivalaisemaan faktantarkistuksen tilaa Suomessa. Puhujina Faktabaarin @mikkovsalo.bsky.social, @pipsahavula.bsky.social ja @joonasporsti.bsky.social sekä @afpfactcheck.bsky.social Anna Hollingsworth ja Black Bird Groupin @jjhelin.bsky.social. 3/5
132
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Last Thursday I whipped up a SITREP for the Kursk salient. I posted it on X, but completely forgot to do so on BlueSky, which I regret. The thread would be slightly outdated, but a longer writeup of the situation and UA withdrawal can be found on our Substack. substack.com/home/post/p-...
substack.com
Ukraine withdraws from Kursk
SITREP 13.03.2025
2576
Reposted by John Helin
Mick Ryan @warinthefuture.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
“It’s nearing the end of the republic but we’re cheering for the pickled egg.” A wonderful piece of writing from @mollymckew.bsky.social x.com/mollymckew/s...
x.com
Molly McKew on X: "A reflection on the madness, cynicism, selfishness, and absurdity A decade of information manipulation has left us a nation of cripples on our own psychological defense It’s nearing the end of the republic but we’re cheering for the pickled egg https://t.co/5lNWOu4OZK" / X
A reflection on the madness, cynicism, selfishness, and absurdity A decade of information manipulation has left us a nation of cripples on our own psychological defense It’s nearing the end of the republic but we’re cheering for the pickled egg https://t.co/5lNWOu4OZK
3736653
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
We have updated our map to reflect the situation in Kursk. In short, it's not looking good. The areas east of the Loknya and Psel rivers will likely be lost within days or less. Large scale withdrawal is likely, but Ukraine may attempt to hold onto Sudzha for some time.
04111
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
We have updated our map to reflect the situation in Kursk. In short, it's not looking good. The areas east of the Loknya and Psel rivers will likely be lost within days or less. Large scale withdrawal is likely, but Ukraine may attempt to hold onto Sudzha for some time.
0212
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
US has stopped military aid to Ukraine as per Bloomberg. "The US is pausing all current military aid to Ukraine until Trump determines the country’s leaders demonstrate a good-faith commitment to peace, according to a senior Defense Department official" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
58266107
Reposted by John Helin
James @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
What coherent and intelligent commentary can you even have on national security or military affairs anymore? Everything is just fucking stupid now. What are you even supposed to say besides just repeating over and over how fucking dumb every single decision is?
511217196
Reposted by John Helin
James @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Trump take egg Trump take lumber Trump take oil Trump take nickel Trump take tomato Trump take avocado Trump take car Trump take steel Trump take laptop Trump take 401k Trump take natural gas Trump take cell phones Trump take t shirt Trump take tequila Trump take washing machines Trump take steel Tr
421172214
Reposted by John Helin
BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
starting a business that just sells Canadian merchandise at US airports for Americans traveling abroad
2356446
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Well that's a way to spend the friday night. What a complete disaster. If someone still had illusions about the US being a reliable and moral foreign policy partner, this is the time to wake up. Sadly I don't have high hopes.
2542
Reposted by John Helin
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
This photo of Musk speaking at the AfD rally has an interesting composition. I'm sure the AFP photographer had fun.
6565182
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
This photo of Musk speaking at the AfD rally has an interesting composition. I'm sure the AFP photographer had fun.
6565182
Reposted by John Helin
Ville Ranta @villeranta.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
Arvopohjainen suomettuminen @hs.fi
964390
Reposted by John Helin
BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 22/01/2025
if you want a simple narrative of the last four years in cultural leadership: a bunch of 50-something men got mad about their buddies losing their jobs for sexually assaulting women, so they decided that sexism and racism were fine all along
10710117
Reposted by John Helin
Black Bird Group @blackbirdgroup.bsky.social · 16/01/2025
Light Infantry Attacks – A Thread Why does our @jjhelin.bsky.social keep rejecting the "human waves" narrative, instead calling the reported North Korean attacks in Kursk "basic infantry drills"? Let’s dive into light infantry on the attack and why this distinction matters. 1/
513327
Reposted by John Helin
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
With the recent Russian advances, two dangerous salients are emerging in Southern Donetsk. In Velyka Novosilka and Kurakhove, the Ukrainian supply routes are under significant threat. A quick look at the logistics in South Donetsk. 1/
210020
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
With the recent Russian advances, two dangerous salients are emerging in Southern Donetsk. In Velyka Novosilka and Kurakhove, the Ukrainian supply routes are under significant threat. A quick look at the logistics in South Donetsk. 1/
210020
Reposted by John Helin
Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 15/12/2024
Ukraine’s failure to fix organizational issues and replace inefficient commanders has eroded trust in the system to the point, where severe recruitment shortages and desertion levels are so high that no amount of aid can fix it The window of opportunity to change is closing
1745548
Reposted by John Helin
Nathan Ruser @nrg8000.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
🧵Look towards the light. As Rebel forces in Syria advanced across Syria & never stopped a key question was why the Regime evaporated. Syria by night provides some clues on how the Regime's social contract collapsed. Read my analysis here aspistrategist.org.au/just-look-at... & read on
824774
Reposted by John Helin
Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
The Ukrainian Prosecutor General’s Office opened an investigation against another instance of Russian forces executing Ukrainian prisoners of war (POWs) in Donetsk Oblast. (1/3) isw.pub/UkrWar112224
216936
Reposted by John Helin
"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
I love the "why do you care about a Ridley Scott movie" sort of responses to this here and elsewhere. I mean, I care for the same reason Ridley Scott made this movie. For money (inexplicably, I'm being paid to review it). God knows, I hope it wasn't for the art of it.
422210
Reposted by John Helin
Cristian Segura @cristiansegura.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
El analista @jjhelin.bsky.social destaca algo que altos rangos del ejército ucranio han ido advirtiendo desde 2023: Rusia lleva tiempo reubicando bases y centros logísticos de su retaguardia para dejarlos fuera del alcance de los ATACMS. elpais.com/internaciona...
elpais.com
Claves del uso de misiles ATACMS de EE UU dentro de Rusia: una decisión política de peso con una influencia limitada en la guerra de Ucrania
Analistas y medios ucranios consideran que la autorización de Biden llega tarde y que es un serio contratiempo si este armamento solo puede ser utilizado en Kursk
031
Reposted by John Helin
Oz Katerji @ozkaterji.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Delighted to announce that my film, The Battle For Kyiv, will be available to stream online for two weeks as part of the Byline Doc Fest 2024. The film will be available for Byline subscribers or PPV from this Monday! I’m looking forward to hearing all your thoughts! byline.tv/docfest/
727451
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Continuing on this trail, but the good folks at @desertbus.org are running their (seemingly) last two hours. Do take a gander over there and join the chaos for a while and maybe force them to play that godawful game for one more hour. For the kids. m.twitch.tv/desertbus?de...
m.twitch.tv
desertbus - Twitch
Desert Bus for Hope || Raising Money for Child's Play! desertbus.org
060
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Hard turn from my usual stuff but the bosses needed something light and human interest for this friday. So I thought, why not @desertbus.org www.hs.fi/maailma/art-...
1101
Reposted by John Helin
NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 14/11/2024
❄️🇺🇦 Winter has arrived in Kharkiv. Today, icy roads and wet snow are expected across most of Ukraine.
743855
Reposted by John Helin
Emil Kastehelmi @emilkastehelmi.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Black Birds are flying to BlueSky. As many good analysts, experts and journalists have moved to BlueSky, we at Black Bird Group decided to establish a presence here. We'll continue to post on X too, but from now on you can find my threads here also.
68412
John Helin @jjhelin.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Good morning Bluesky! I have set up an account over here in addition to the Musk-app. I'll do my best to cross-post all future analysis and long form threads, at least for now. For the Finns; I visited YLE A-studio yesterday for a grim conversation about the future of the war and Donald Trump.
areena.yle.fi
Miten Ukrainan käy? | A-studio
Venäjä etenee Ukrainassa ja sodan lopettamista luvannut Donald Trump nousee valtaan Yhdysvalloissa. Miten Ukrainan käy? Studiossa Ukrainan sotaa seuraava asiantuntija John Helin, ulkopoliittisen insti...
3384
Reposted by John Helin
Emil Kastehelmi @emilkastehelmi.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Follow us: Black Bird Group: @blackbirdgroup.bsky.social Our analysts: @jhelin.bsky.social @eerikmatero.bsky.social @inkvisiit.bsky.social
12710
Reposted by John Helin
Dara Massicot @massdara.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
Hello all, I will be more active here moving forward. Cross-posting my newest research on Russian military reconstitution. carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
Russian Military Reconstitution: 2030 Pathways and Prospects
As the Kremlin’s antagonism toward Ukraine and the West sharpens, it will be critically important for policymakers and warfighters to anticipate, monitor, and respond to Russia’s military reconstituti...
1031350
Reposted by John Helin
Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
X is increasingly overrun with Russian trolls posing as MAGA supporters, along with accounts sharing racist or explicit content: hardly a professional environment. With nearly 200k followers there, I’ll be gradually moving here. Please share this message so others can find and follow me here too
921395500