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James Bennett

@jcbmmx.bsky.social
384 followers 361 following 84 posts

Researching streamflow prediction. Like a sharp, reliable ensemble? Me too. 🦘. Views are mine

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Reposted by James Bennett
Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 10/10/2026
The October runs for dynamical El Niño models are now all out, and its a mixed bag. Some revise the event downward, some upward, but on average its still expected to peak at ~4C, albeit with the peak more likely to occur in December than November:
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 8h
We have this - it’s called work for the dole’ and it is a disaster
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
lol
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Wow no appreciation for the important work of taking the shine off the ball
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Done. Thanks for your work Anthony! 🙏
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
👍
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Reposted by James Bennett
Kim Reid @drkimclimate.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Big news!
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
So good!
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
This is nice and diplomatic, but basically it hasn’t been tenable since they’ve been commercially available. They have always been extremely good at certain tasks. But people claimed (and still claim!) they were useless for other reasons
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Happy birthday!
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
it must be useless then
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Ben Domensino @bendomensino.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The Antarctic ozone hole reached 27.04 million km² earlier this month, making it the 7th largest ozone hole on record. This large ozone hole is associated with a strong polar vortex, which may influence Australia's weather this spring. www.weatherzone.com/au/news/anta...
weatherzone.com
Antarctic ozone hole reaches one of its largest sizes on record as polar stratosphere cools
The Southern Hemisphere’s ozone hole reached 27 million square km this month, making it one of the largest ozone holes on record.
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Amazing
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 14/09/2026
Spring doing its thing over south east Australia.
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Congrats!! 🥳
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ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Separate studies claim to show a connection between improved water quality in catchments along Queensland's Great Barrier Reef and farmers changing the way they fertilise their crops.
abc.net.au
Reduced fertiliser use linked to cleaner water flowing to Great Barrier Reef
Separate studies claim to show a connection between improved water quality in catchments along Queensland's Great Barrier Reef and farmers changing the way they fertilise their crops.
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
🎉
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HydrologyNL @hydrology.nl · 05/08/2026
The Rhine is at an exceptional low – a 1-in-63-year event. Worryingly, this is a pattern: 2018, 2022 and today all rank in the top-10 lowest discharges measured at Lobith since 1901. Only November 1947 saw less water. However, modern water demand is vastly higher than it was in the winter of 1947.
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
😔
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Reposted by James Bennett
ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
The first suspected case of a deadly strain of bird flu that has killed millions of birds and mammals worldwide has been found in Western Australia, the federal government has confirmed.
abc.net.au
Breaking: Suspected H5 bird flu detection in Australia
The first suspected case of a deadly strain of bird flu that has killed millions of birds and mammals worldwide has been found in Western Australia, the federal government has confirmed.
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HEPEX @hepexorg.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
🚨New Blog Post🚨 One of our former co-chairs @fpappenberger.bsky.social has recently been appointed Director-General of the ECMWF, and he talked to Gwyn Matthews, one of our new EC-HEPEX co-chairs, about his background in hydrology and HEPEX. Enjoy! hepex.org.au/from-uncerta...
hepex.org.au
From Uncertainty to Action: an interview with Florian Pappenberger, the Director-General of ECMWF – HEPEX
By Gwyn Matthews At the beginning of 2026, Florian Pappenberger, a HEPEX founding member and former co-chair, became Director-General of ECMWF. Florian’s background in hydrology, where working with…
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Reposted by James Bennett
Kim Reid @drkimclimate.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
My overview piece on what the El Niño declaration means for Australia. theconversation.com/the-weather-...
theconversation.com
The weather bureau has just declared an El Niño. What could this mean for Australia?
Past El Niño events have coincided with some of the driest, hottest weather on record.
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Reposted by James Bennett
Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 04/06/2026
Upper-level perspective of the low pressure system affecting southern Australia this week.
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 31/05/2026
The central pressure of the low affecting southern WA plummeted from 1003 to 976 hPa in the 24 hours to 8am AWST on Sunday.
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Good Trailcams @goodtrailcams.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
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Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 25/05/2026
After years of waiting for help, Liam and Rachel are cutting their Lismore home in half and moving to higher ground
theguardian.com
After years of waiting for help, Liam and Rachel are cutting their Lismore home in half and moving to higher ground
Damning NSW auditor general’s report finds $100m scheme has not delivered a single home or lot since devastating 2022 floods * Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcast Over the next month, Liam Bolitho and Rachel Rouse will remove decking, disconnect their electricity and air conditioners and clear the space underneath their North Lismore home. In July, contractors will chainsaw the couple’s home of 10 years in half and load it into trucks. Then they’ll take the house – among more than 4,000 assessed as uninhabitable after 2022’s devastating floods – to a plot of land above the flood level. Continue reading...
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Very interesting paper teasing out the nuances of flood risk distribution in the US using an incredible individual-level dataset. Documents a huge concentration of flood risk among the very highest income group - lots of wealthy people enjoying the coast and river views from their second homes.
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Dr Anna Lombardi @annalombardi.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Amazing new application developed by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social to explore and compare past weather around the world, hour by hour, from 1940! What was the weather like on a specific day special to you? 🌤️☀️⛈️☔ Go take a look ➡️ weather-replay.climate.copernicus.eu #dataviz #climate
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Reposted by James Bennett
El Yobo @elyobo.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
biiiiiig oof www.stepsecurity.io/blog/mini-sh...
Mini Shai-Hulud is a true worm: after stealing credentials from one CI/CD pipeline, it enumerates every package that maintainer controls and publishes infected versions of each. The 2.3 MB obfuscated payload reads GitHub Actions runner process memory to extract every secret, harvests credentials from over 100 file paths spanning cloud providers, cryptocurrency wallets, AI tools, and messaging apps, and installs persistence hooks in Claude Code, VS Code, and OS-level services that survive reboots. Stolen data is encrypted and exfiltrated through the Session Protocol CDN and GitHub's own GraphQL API, where dead-drop commits are authored as claude@users.noreply.github.com and disguised with Dependabot-style branch names drawn from Frank Herbert's Dune universe.
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Good Trailcams @goodtrailcams.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
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Massimiliano Zappa (it’s fun again) @hydrologywsl.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
We hire a PhD apply.refline.ch/273855/1872/...
apply.refline.ch
PhD student “Modeling of water storage in the landscape for demand-oriented multi-purpose use” (f/m/d)
As part of a joint initiative of WSL, Eawag and Agroscope on “Integrated Water Management: Synergies between Flood Protection, Irrigation, and Biodiversity.” we are developing baseline knowledge on mo...
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 06/05/2026
Punchy cold change approaching south east Australia.
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Signal @signal.org · 27/04/2026
A response to recent reporting in Germany, in service of clarity and accountability: First, it’s important to be precise when it comes to critical infrastructure like Signal. Signal was not “hacked” — in that our encryption, infrastructure, & the integrity of the app’s code was not compromised. 1/
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ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
People living in low-lying areas of New Zealand's capital city, Wellington, have been urged to evacuate, as heavy rain continued to drench the city.
abc.net.au
Residents urged to evacuate after New Zealand's capital floods
People living in low-lying areas of New Zealand's capital city, Wellington, have been urged to evacuate, as heavy rain continued to drench the city.
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Reposted by James Bennett
Christos Argyropoulos MD, PhD, FASN 🇺🇸 0kale/acc @christosargyrop.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
#oopsie Anthropic secretly installs spyware when you install Claude Desktop www.thatprivacyguy.com/blog/anthrop...
thatprivacyguy.com
Anthropic secretly installs spyware when you install Claude Desktop — That Privacy Guy!
Anthropic's Claude Desktop silently installs a Native Messaging bridge into seven Chromium browsers, including browsers Anthropic's own documentation says it does not support, and browsers the user ha...
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Kevin 🚀 @astro-kevin.com · 10/04/2026
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Great article Kim! Though this hit me a little too hard 😭
A Southern Hemisphere autumn in the Pacific Ocean is sort of like January in your average Australian office job. As you slowly ease into the work year, you set a bunch of optimistic goals which may or may not eventuate
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Reposted by James Bennett
Kim Reid @drkimclimate.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
You can set your watch to autumn headlines declaring a catastrophic El Niño or La Niña. In this article, I throw a bucket of cold water on the heated headlines and reflect on why autumn forecasts of Nino3.4 are to be read with caution. theconversation.com/why-the-phra...
theconversation.com
Why the phrase “Super El Nino” makes Australian climate scientists roll their eyes
Media reports have suggested a “super” El Niño is looming. The problem is, these autumn forecasts are notoriously unreliable.
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Dr Nick 🦉🇦🇺 @doktrnick.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Young Powerful Owlet falls asleep while intently watching some ducks. This is my favourite Owlet movie ever. We always finish our Powerful Owl talks with it zzzzzzzz #birds #brisbane
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
I’ll take your word for it. I know nothing about soccer
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
It’s frustrating! I think it might be time for me to practice some acceptance. When I was a kid and we were flying in the 80s I never really thought about what it was like to be a saints fan (or a bears fan for that matter!), but I know now. And many of them manage to find something to enjoy in it
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Oh sorry I was being sardonic. Let me be direct: no-one uses Carlton’s game style any more because it does not work, in the same way that Pagan’s paddock no longer works. The games style is the problem. This is primarily the responsibility of the senior coach.
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Yes, perhaps we should go back to Pagan’s paddock. That worked 30 years ago. Surely it will still work
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Well the piece above argues pretty convincingly that it’s a direct result of their contested game style. So voodoo not required. I suppose you would have had to read it though
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James Bennett @jcbmmx.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Yeah maybe most Carlton players, purely by random coincidence, all have physical and mental limitations that cause them to fade out after half time. This includes a number of players from other clubs who did not show these habits before. Or maybe, just maybe, it’s the coach.
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HEPEX @hepexorg.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Heading to EGU this year? Here’s a HEPEXers guide of what not to miss hepex.org.au/highlights-e...
hepex.org.au
Highlights @EGU26: What Not to Miss – HEPEX
Heading to EGU 2026 Annual General Assembly, either in Vienna or joining online? This guide will help you get the most out of the week. The HEPEX community will once again be strongly represented a…
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 18/03/2026
Convection around Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle's developing eye feature.
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Frederik Kratzert @kratzert.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Excited to announce Groundsource - an open-source dataset of historic flood events! This has easily been one of the coolest projects I've worked on recently! Thread 🧵 for details and all relevant links. 1/n
A worldmap of the spatial distribution of extracted flood events in the Groundsource dataset. The map displays the total number of flood events extracted by the LLM-based pipeline aggregated per grid cell. The data are visualized using a Robinson projection, with event counts represented by a logarithmic color scale. Red points indicate the spatial centroids of reference flood events from the GDACS database.
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 24/02/2026
Widespread showers and thunderstorms over Australia's interior, associated with a slow-moving tropical low over the Simpson Desert.
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Andrew Miskelly @anero.id · 23/02/2026
Tropical low drawing stupendous amounts of atmospheric moisture over the Simpson Desert and surrounding parts of central Australia.
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