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Jamie Withorne

@jamiewithorne.bsky.social
3.1K followers 304 following 94 posts

Nuclear weapons, international politics, and “”emerging”” technology. Doctoral Research Fellow in Political Science, University of Oslo LearnWMD Spreadsheet and Substack: www.jamiewithorne.com

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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 25/08/2026
This is truly heartbreaking. Dolly Parton was an extraordinary person and an irreplaceable champion of the working class. We are a better country because of her.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
shout out to a student who came to office hours in business casual and I’m just …
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James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
US government: "This intelligence is Top Secret. If you breathe a word of this to anyone, we'll..." Trump to a bunch of construction dudes: "He's got 57 nukes."
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Pavel Podvig @russianforces.org · 19/08/2026
An update of the Russian early-warning radar network file: russianforces.org/blog/2026/08... (also on Substack russianforces.substack.com/p/russian-ea...). Comments and corrections are welcome.
A Google Earth screenshot showing fans of the Russian early-warning radars
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
In case you missed it from earlier this summer!🌞
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
The first article of my PhD has been published!!! In it, I offer a framework for understanding situational awareness today. Using a Norwegian case study, I show how situational awareness has adapted to AI, hybrid competition, and shifting alliances. Open access link here: sjms.nu/articles/10....
sjms.nu
Situational Awareness in the Third Nuclear Age | Scandinavian Journal of Military Studies
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
I recently wrote a review of Benjamin Wilson's book "Strange Stability" for International Affairs. Give it a read here: academic.oup.com/ia/article-a...
academic.oup.com
Strange stability: how cold war scientists set out to control the arms race and ended up serving the military-industrial complex
The phrase ‘strategic stability’ has long dominated conversations about nuclear weapons, sparking intense debate over what the term means and what force po
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
think you have something new to say about the Cold War? no you don't - Garthoff already said it.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
PhD maxxing: slamming 300 mg of caffeine and then scrolling on LinkedIn and liking every post shit talking AI instead of writing
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Christophe Kopp @chkopp.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
"Speaking with undercover reporters, several of these men explained that their role was to monitor the ships’ foreign captains and crews, especially when they risked being stopped by European authorities." www.occrp.org/en/investiga...
occrp.org
Eyes On The Crew: The Russian Watchmen Aboard Moscow's Sanctioned ‘Shadow Fleet’ Tankers
Dozens of men with security backgrounds have been quietly sailing alongside the standard crews on the tankers carrying sanctioned Russian oil. Now, reporters speak to some of these "watchmen" firsthan...
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
📢 New article 🌟 👥 Hannah Jacob Barret @hannahjakobbarrett.bsky.social & Eric Gabo Ekberg Nilsen @egen97.bsky.social (ISV) 👉 How Threats of American Withdrawal from NATO Affect European Public Attitudes Toward Defense 📗 Open Access in International Organization 🔗 doi.org/10.1017/S002...
Abstract of the article: 'How Threats of American Withdrawal from NATO Affect European Public Attitudes Toward Defense'.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Mine tenker om atomvapen i Nettavisen: www.nettavisen.no/norsk-debatt...
nettavisen.no
Verden er én feiltolkning unna atomkrig
For første siden den kalde krigen står verden uten avtaler som begrenser atommaktene. En farlig allianse i øst og et splittet Nato gjør at én feiltolkning nå kan utløse full kjernefysisk krig.
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Al Jazeera English @aljazeera.com · 15/04/2026
BREAKING: IAEA chief Rafael Grossi says there is a “rapid increase” in operations at North Korea’s Yongbyon nuclear reactor, warning of a “very serious increase” in Pyongyang’s capability to produce nuclear weapons, now estimated at a few dozen warheads.
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @thebulletin.org · 13/04/2026
On January 25, 1995, scientists in Norway launched a meteorological research rocket. It was immediately picked up by Russian early warning systems designed for nuclear weapons. The incident is important to reflect on today, write Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social and Raven Witherspoon. ⬇️
thebulletin.org
What this Norwegian 'close call' says about a world without New START
The Andoya rocket launch incident is an important reminder of the value of pre-launch notifications, which is especially salient now that New START has expired.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
In our latest with @thebulletin.org Raven Witherspoon and I discuss the implications of a historical Norwegian “close call” and Russian escalatory response. We unpack implications for pre-launch notifications today, especially in an era without New START. Link 👉 thebulletin.org/2026/04/what...
thebulletin.org
What this Norwegian 'close call' says about a world without New START
The Andoya rocket launch incident is an important reminder of the value of pre-launch notifications, which is especially salient now that New START has expired.
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The Andoya rocket launch incident is an important reminder of the value of pre-launch notifications, which is especially salient now that New START has expired, Jamie Withorne (@jamiewithorne.bsky.social) and Raven Witherspoon write in @thebulletin.org. #NewSTART #nuclearweapons #nukesky
thebulletin.org
What this Norwegian 'close call' says about a world without New START
The Andoya rocket launch incident is an important reminder of the value of pre-launch notifications, which is especially salient now that New START has expired.
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Molly Jong-Fast @mollyjongfast.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Call it cricket’s revenge
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Thomas Wiegold @wiegold.de · 05/03/2026
Tja, warum auch: "The United States joined Russia, China, and ‌Niger on Thursday in opposing a resolution adopted by the U.N. nuclear watchdog's board denouncing attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure as a threat to nuclear safety, diplomats said."
reuters.com
US opposes IAEA board resolution condemning attacks on Ukraine's power grid
The United States joined Russia, China, and ‌Niger on Thursday in opposing a resolution adopted by the U.N. nuclear watchdog's board denouncing attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure as a threat t...
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
If someone asks “do you know where the uranium is?” And the answer *isn’t* a resounding yes… that’s a bad sign.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
re-upping for no particular reason
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Olivia Garard @teaandtactics.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
h/t to the political scientists who still cannot classify this as war until we reach 1000 battlefield casualties
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Norway to "speak" about nuclear weapons with France but will not host any weapons. "Vi skal ikke ha atomvåpen på norsk jord i fredstid, sa utenriksministeren i Stortinget tirsdag formiddag." www.vg.no/nyheter/i/Ex...
vg.no
Eide: Norge skal snakke om atomvåpen med Frankrike
Norge og Frankrike skal diskutere et samarbeid om kjernefysisk avskrekking, ifølge utenriksminister Espen Barth Eide (Ap).
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Christiaan Triebert @trbrtc.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
We obtained the first publicly released satellite image of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's compound in Tehran, after it was struck by Israel/US. There are several destroyed buildings. Current whereabouts of Iran's supreme leader are unknown; compound used as his official residence. 🛰️📸: @airbus.com
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Dr Emma Salisbury @salisbot.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
For the nerds
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
📢 New article🌟 👤 Do Young Lee (ISV) @doyoung-lee.bsky.social 👉 Why reassuring allies is harder than deterring adversaries in extended deterrence: Evidence from US extended deterrence for South Korea 📖 Published in British Journal of Politics & International Relations. 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/1369...
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Oslo Nuclear Project @oslonuclearproject.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
‼️Last chance to register! ☢️Join us tomorrow at 15 to discuss Strange Stability, Dr Benjamin Wilson's latest book. 📆Register to receive the Zoom link here: www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/...
sv.uio.no
Book Talk: "Strange Stability" - Department of Political Science
Join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson discussing his latest book,
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
still writing about arms control
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Oslo Nuclear Project @oslonuclearproject.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
📆One week from today! 📚Join us for an online seminar discussing Dr. Benjamin Wilson's timely book "Strange Stability." For more information, and to register to receive the Zoom link, visit 👉 www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/...
sv.uio.no
Book Talk: "Strange Stability" - Department of Political Science
Join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson discussing his latest book,
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Mine tanker om Ny START på TV2: www.tv2.no/nyheter/adva...
tv2.no
Advarer om atomvåpen: - Verden er på et kritisk punkt
Kai Eide advarer mot et atomvåpen-kappløp som kan komme helt ut av kontroll - og ber Norge ta grep. Én dato som nærmer seg blir avgjørende.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Really looking forward to this discussion!
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Oslo Nuclear Project @oslonuclearproject.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
❓What does strategic stability really mean? ☢️ On 10 February (15-16:15 CET) join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson of Harvard University to discuss his latest book, "Strange Stability." Register here 👉 www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/...
sv.uio.no
Book Talk: "Strange Stability" - Department of Political Science
Join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson discussing his latest book,
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Thomas Cheney @thomascheney.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
its just evil - ICE is simply evil, there really is nothing else to say, to do this to a child is unconscionable
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Oslo Nuclear Project @oslonuclearproject.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
📆 Event alert! ☢️ On 10 February (15-16:15 CET) join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson of Harvard University to discuss his latest book, "Strange Stability." To register and learn more, see 👇 www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/...
sv.uio.no
Book Talk: "Strange Stability" - Department of Political Science
Join ONP for an online seminar with Dr. Benjamin Wilson discussing his latest book,
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Bill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Abolish ICE. Really.
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François Diaz-Maurin @francoisdm.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
🚨 JUST IN: If the United States deploys advanced short-range ballistic missile systems to Norway’s Finnmark or Finland’s Lapland regions, and Russia detects them, a crisis similar to the 1962 Cuban missile crisis will ensue, writes Vladimir Marakhonov in @thebulletin.org. #nuclearweapons #nukesky
thebulletin.org
The looming missile crisis in the Arctic
Defense cooperation agreements between the United States and Northern European countries pose a direct threat to Russia’s Northern strategic forces. If the United States deploys advanced short-range b...
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
begging political scientists to have a little fun
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
📢 New article 🌟 👤 Amalie Nilsen @amalienilsen.bsky.social 👉 From the streets to the ballots: protests, polls and polarization in Hong Kong 📗Open Access in: Democratization 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/1351...
doi.org
From the streets to the ballots: protests, polls and polarization in Hong Kong
Social movement research indicates that protests can influence voting behaviour through several informational and psychological mechanisms. Yet, we know little about the individual variation in how...
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
In this recent blog post I show how publicly available technologies like satellite imagery and SAR can be used to "fact check" aggressive nuclear rhetoric.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
In this recent blog post I show how publicly available technologies like satellite imagery and SAR can be used to "fact check" aggressive nuclear rhetoric.
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Reposted by Jamie Withorne
The Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
☢️ #NuclearPoliticsParadox No.26 💻 Technology isn't a cure-all. But it can help reduce the risk of #NuclearWeapons crises. 🔍 @jamiewithorne.bsky.social shows how increasingly accessible information can harness transparency and 'fact check' the credibility of nuclear threats. 👉 bit.ly/4qEPq29
bit.ly
☢️ Using emerging technology for escalation management
Technology is not a cure-all. But it can help reduce the risk of nuclear weapons crises. Jamie Withorne shows how increasingly accessible information can harness transparency and 'fact check' the cred...
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
feels like we gotta start differentiating between nuclear signaling and sheer nuclear ignorance
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Tom Nichols @radiofreetom.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
The president wants to resume nuclear testing. This is a really bad idea - and he can't even get his facts right about why he wants to do it: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
theatlantic.com
Trump Is Very Confused About Nuclear Weapons
The president says he wants to resume nuclear testing but doesn’t seem to know why.
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
What an awesome team to join!
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Subtle PST 🇳🇴 strategic export control win
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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
“Russia is protecting its nuclear submarine fleet in the Arctic with an undersea surveillance system built using high-tech equipment acquired from U.S. and European companies through a secret procurement network [...].”
washingtonpost.com
Russia acquired Western technology to protect its nuclear submarine fleet
Russia secretly used front companies to buy Western technology and erect a surveillance net in the Arctic where its submarines operate, an investigation shows.
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Ina L Kristiansen @inalkristiansen.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Very proud to have been a part of this project and to see my first co-authored article out in the world! Read @jacobnyrup.bsky.social excellent thread for more info on the data! 🥳
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Jamie Withorne @jamiewithorne.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Wooohoo! Some exciting work by my @unioslo-svfak.bsky.social colleagues @inalkristiansen.bsky.social 🎉
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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
@poni.csis.org is now accepting applications for the 2026 Nuclear Scholars cohort! Just as this year, PONI is able offer a few spots to non-U.S. citizens for 2026. I have had the opportunity to participate this year and cannot recommend the program enough. Apply by November 17!
nuclearnetwork.csis.org
Nuclear Scholars Initiative - Nuclear Network
The Nuclear Scholars Initiative aims to provide top graduate students and young professionals from around the country with a unique venue to interact and dialogue with senior experts on nuclear weapon...
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Louisa Boulaziz @louisabo.bsky.social · 09/10/2025
New WP! We find: Overall male and female cabinet members have the same backgrounds, but women in high ranking positions, and women in contexts with few women in politics have backgrounds that align more with the archetypal politician. With @jacobnyrup.bsky.social tinyurl.com/s4hy3htk
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