iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 27/08/2025

I don't think declining mobility is a real trend---likely all measurement error in the CPS (which itself shows way lower migration rates than the ACS) carlmcpherson.github.io/files/mcpher...

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Ernie Tedeschi @ernietedeschi.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: if you combine the distributional impact of tariffs so far with CBO's new OBBBA distribution, the bottom 80% of households see a decline in income, and the 9th decile is close to neutral. Only the top 10% see a clear net benefit. 1/3

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Want to re-up this not that the official CBO distributional analysis is out--they are assuming people who lose Medicaid get uncompensated care that is over half the value of the insurance they lost.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

In the distributional analysis of OBBB, CBO assumes that a lot of the cost of losing Medicaid is felt by higher-income health care providers who will provide health care for free, not Medicaid recipients themselves

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Will be posting a lot more about this more tomorrow, but for now, know that all the new tax cuts in OBBB exclude lower-income families. The typical family with kids needs $36k to get any benefit.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

Cook county housing authority is making big budget cuts because of expected Congressional funding shortfalls. While not explicitly evicting current voucher holders, they are making changes that will force people to move, some of whom won’t be able to find a new place that will accept a voucher.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

Love to find these super old CBPP reports when researching something

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 10/04/2025

New Congressional Research Service report concludes the TCJA had a minimal impact on the economy www.congress.gov/crs-product/...

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

I wouldn't be surprised if tariff revenues are used as rhetorical cover for the lack of TCJA extension+ pay-fors. Maybe that's even one way to square the circle between the competing tracks the Senate and House are on right now?

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 06/04/2025

Good social science evidence that this is both 1) true and 2) central to the overall benefits of social security leelockwood.droppages.com/IGOASI.pdf

Abstract of econ article: Both historically and today, much of the support of the elderly by their adult children has taken the form of in-kind transfers that require shared location, such as shared housing. To the extent that Social Security substitutes for these forms of support, it might thereby relax a “location constraint,” with potentially wide-ranging intergenerational effects.

Motivated by this fact, we investigate intergenerational effects of Social Security by combining a novel empirical approach—exploiting within-occupation, cross-industry differences in Social Security coverage in the early years of the program—with a dataset linking information on parents to the long-run outcomes of their children.

We find that individuals whose parents were more likely to have received Social Security, or received it earlier, were less likely to live in their parents’ location, earned more, and lived in ZIP codes of higher socioeconomic status near the end of their lives. A variety of evidence suggests that migration to better-matched labor markets was a key driver of these gains.

The magnitude of the estimates suggests that the impact of government old-age support programs on the labor market outcomes of recipients’ children may be central to their overall welfare effects.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

Nice post. I think an even more direct way more supply --> more distribution is cost per voucher is way lower when rents are lower. Looking at HUD data for a few choice cities, LA spends $1,831 per month per voucher, Chicago spends $1,215

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Shooshan Danagoulian @shooshan.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

We’ve seen a lot of studies in recent years on unconditional income transfers, but little in terms of cohesive set of conclusions. See the Jain Family Institute report that summarizes some of these studies. 👇

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

Really great stuff Illinois... Take the online Medicaid/SNAP/TANF benefits portal offline for a week is bad enough, now it's two weeks later, it's still down, and you can't even update the message of when it will be available.

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Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social · 09/12/2024

Here is a report on the Compton Pledge guaranteed income pilot run by the Jain Family Institute in collaboration with Sewin Chen, @smconstantino.bsky.social @johanneshaushofer.com, and Jonathan Morduch. I believe @jacklandry.bsky.social will have a piece discussing results soon.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 05/11/2023

This really resonates with me democracyjournal.org/arguments/po...

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 01/11/2023

Big Congressional Budget Office News, the agency is building capacity to estimate long-run effects. Starts with example of Medicaid enrollment, finding increasing child medicaid enrollment would reduce the future federal deficit by between $800-$3,400 per child per year www.cbo.gov/publication/...

cbo.gov

Short-Term Spending and Long-Term Dynamic Effects

Some federal policies involve short-term expenditures that result in economic and budgetary effects far in the future. CBO has been building analytic capacity to consider a dynamic framework for polic...

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 31/10/2023

I will never say "these data"... it's like lame nerd bat signal

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Chloe N East (she/her) @chloeneast.bsky.social · 25/10/2023

More news this morning that economic hardship increased from 2021 to 2022. This time measured as food insecurity from USDA 13.4 million kids without enough food in 2022, 3.7 million more than 2021 This is a policy choice we are making

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Sarah Reber @econsarahreber.bsky.social · 25/10/2023

This is a way bigger deal than the excess admissions of very rich kids at 12 universities, conditional on test scores. I am glad the NYT is reporting on this. SES differences in academic preparation at the time of college application are simply enormous. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Bar chart showing the percent of all students who scored 1300 or higher by parental income. Only 0.6% of students in the bottom 20% of parental income scored that high, compared to 33% in the top 0.1%.

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 22/10/2023

Intererting and topical article on party-leaders influence on roll call votes drive.google.com/file/d/1HPjy...

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Jack Landry @jacklandry.bsky.social · 20/10/2023

Application requirements for an old Obama-era weatherization program vs. new IRA energy efficiency program. Crazy requirements (everyone's social security card??) vs. self-reporting your income or verifying via eligibility in some other safety net program

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Jim Savage @abiylfoyp.bsky.social · 28/09/2023

Crowdsourcing ideas for a document of "solved problems worth solving". Structure: - Here is a problem and the real consequences - Other places have had the problem and solved it. - If 5-10 people spent a decade on it, they could prob solve it here.

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