Reposted by Matthew Arplauren @lauren.rotatingsandwiches.com · 06/10/2026trying to explain french-canadian politics to me, an american, is about as productive as trying to teach linear algebra to a dog 2365622
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 06/10/2026When Duverger's law doesn't apply to a FPTP election, this is what you get. - 13.4% of the popular vote nets you a grand total of 0 seats. - 12.4% of the popular vote nets you a grand total of 9 seats. Seems super democratic to me. 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 22/09/2026This concept of a "self-made billionaire" sounds great in theory. It sounds like all you have to do is work really hard and *check notes* have your ancestors benefit from slave labor and inherit generational wealth. 000
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 11/08/2026I can't believe Nolan straight ripped "O Brother, Where Art Thou?" and set it in Ancient Greece. 121
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 15/06/2026Carter Hart must be sad that he missed his opportunity to visit the white house and hang out with guys with the same life experience. 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 15/05/2026This is the gold standard of schedule release videos. The amount of effort put into all the subtle references is beyond impressive. 020
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 27/04/2026Comparing the industry consensus big board with the actual draft position of prospects. 000
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 20/04/2026NFL Draft Consensus top-250 Big Board Viz available: public.tableau.com/views/2026Co... 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 18/04/2026@yetanotherjosh.bsky.social Don't ask me why I have this on my hard drive. 110
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 18/04/2026Here is a tease of this year's consensus big board, the biggest board to date (35+ boards included). The full top-250 drops Monday. #NFLDraft 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 07/04/2026336 BC "Above all, we are free men, and they are slaves" 633 AD "Milk the Persians, and when the milk runs dry, suck their blood" 1219 AD "If you had not committed great sins, God would not have sent a punishment like me upon you" 2026 AD "A whole civilization will die" Good luck with that. 000
Reposted by Matthew ArpGeneration Squeeze @gensqueeze.ca · 24/03/2026"The problem is not that older Canadians conspired against younger ones. It is that we allowed a political economy to emerge in which the costs of drift were diffuse and easy to pass along to the next generation." thehub.ca/2026/03/24/a...thehub.caA milestone recession is stealing the future from young CanadiansCanada has become harder for young people. That has to change 075
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 23/03/2026First they came for the Democratic norms, the rule of law, election integrity, peaceful transition of power, separation of church and state, health care, social programs, international aid, free speech & immigrants and I did not speak out. Then they came for the gas prices, and I lost my shit. 010
Reposted by Matthew ArpPolling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 08/03/2026Isn't it great we as Canadians have to pay like 30-40 cents more a litre all because the dipshit down south had to bomb another country 1821556
Reposted by Matthew ArpJules Boykoff @julesboykoff.bsky.social · 24/02/2026The Trump-Patel-Team USA men's hockey lovefest personifies toxic masculinity. @edgeofsports.bsky.social & I wrote about it for @thenation.com & how the real Olympic heroes are the athletes who won’t—as the right-wing noise machine often blares—“shut up and skate” www.thenation.com/article/soci...thenation.comThe Ugly Underbelly of the US Hockey VictoryThe real Olympic heroes were the athletes who stood up for each other—and against Trump. 15814
Reposted by Matthew ArpForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 17/02/2026@lianafix.bsky.social warns that Germany’s rearmament could foster competition and erode stability across Europe.foreignaffairs.comEurope’s Next HegemonThe perils of German power. 142
Reposted by Matthew ArpSebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 16/12/2025-- WEEK 16 #NFL 🏈 Seeding Probabilities -- For many teams, it is practically certain that they will play in the playoffs. This makes the question of possible seeds more interesting. The following table shows seed probabilities based on 50k simulations of the remaining season. 061
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 03/12/2025How long before Thielen's agent asks for a release so he can go to a contender? 000
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 18/11/2025Natural selection is a mouse deciding to wander into the cat's room at 6 am.media.tenor.coma man standing in front of a window with the words man you picked the wrong house below himALT: a man standing in front of a window with the words man you picked the wrong house below him 010
Reposted by Matthew ArpAdam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 14/11/2025To all the weirdos defending Megyn Kelly: 15 year olds are underage, and that is statutory rape. Pretty simple 39580371476
Reposted by Matthew ArpReason Magazine @reason.com · 06/11/2025"Americans—people in general—should not be subject to the whims of those who despise them. We deserve better than to be governed by those who disdain what we believe and how we live."reason.comAmericans shouldn't be governed by people who hate half of usPolitical hostility is intensifying and most partisans believe the other side is made up of bullies. 67020
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 04/11/2025How tf did I miss this banger getting released a year ago. youtu.be/0ZPt2nTCtrw?...youtu.beBrooks & Dunn - Hillbilly Deluxe (with HARDY) (Official Audio)YouTube video by BrooksandDunnVEVO 000
Reposted by Matthew ArpDr. Mike P. Moffatt @mikepmoffatt.bsky.social · 02/11/2025Spoiler for an upcoming piece. I often hear people dismissing Canada's housing crisis by saying, "Mike, home prices skyrocketed everywhere, it's not just a Canada thing". Turns out... nope. It really is a Canada thing. 76428
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 02/11/2025Toronto sports since 1968: Blue Jays won 2 World Series (and another appearance) Toronto FC won MLS Cup (and another appearance) Raptors won a NBA Championship Maple Leafs 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 28/10/2025Feel free to disregard any mock draft that doesn't have the Browns drafting at least one offensive lineman with one of their 3 first and second round picks (all currently projected in the top 38). 000
Reposted by Matthew ArpThe Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy @lispop.bsky.social · 27/10/2025We break down the latest Trump approval numbers compared to other contemporary presidents from @gelliottmorris.com in the context of the 2026 midterm elections. lispop.ca/nexus/trump-... In sum, we find that this is exceptionally informative and gives us pause to evaluate the current situation. /1lispop.caTrump In the Midterm Elections: Public Opinion as a Thermostat – LISPOP 112
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 24/10/2025I can't wait for the Saudi-funded Netflix stream of this populist heavyweight cage match. 010
Reposted by Matthew ArpSkeptical Brotha 🏳️🌈 @skepticalbrotha.bsky.social · 16/10/2025If the Voting Rights Act is deemed unconstitutional, it won't be long until these malicious cartoon villains come for the Civil Rights Act. The biggest trick the Devil ever played was the "both sides are the same" nonsense. 21701221
Reposted by Matthew ArpDr. Mike P. Moffatt @mikepmoffatt.bsky.social · 16/10/2025Toronto simply does not want to solve the housing crisis. 33911
Reposted by Matthew ArpThe Lincoln Project @lincolnproject.us · 07/10/2025History won’t praise Democrats for playing by the rules if it’s the reason we lose our country. 1132390549
Reposted by Matthew ArpWine Mom Wrote a Mystery @winemommystery.bsky.social · 29/09/2025Normalize just posting a recipe with no backstory at all. 2314350337
Reposted by Matthew ArpJim Furbranes @unlox.bsky.social · 22/09/2025always kind of mystified by people who say stuff like “I don’t want to vote when it feels like a choice between stubbing your toe and getting shot” as though that’s a challenging dilemma 1025134
Reposted by Matthew ArpReason Magazine @reason.com · 19/09/2025Republicans have long cast themselves as defenders of free speech against cancel culture and the censorial impulses of the political left. But now conservatives apparently see no problem policing speech, at least when they're the ones who are offended. reason.pub/46fkP2Zreason.comRepublicans support free speech, unless it offends themVice President J.D. Vance and Sen. Cynthia Lummis are among the latest conservatives to turn their backs on free speech when it comes to their ideological opponents. 42110
Reposted by Matthew ArpForeign Policy @foreignpolicy.com · 16/09/2025Finland avoided full subjugation to Moscow thanks to a combination of the broader geopolitical context and its own defense preparedness—not by being friendly toward the Soviets.foreignpolicy.comThe Ghost of Finlandization Is Haunting the Ukraine DebateA 1944 armistice that traded land for peace is a poor precedent for ending Russia’s war. 13312
Reposted by Matthew ArpDefector @defector.com · 14/09/2025That is too late defector.com/sports-shoul...defector.comSports Should Not Start At 1 A.M. Eastern | DefectorLast night or early this morning, depending on your timezone, we had ourselves a big boxing match. On Netflix, of all places. Canelo Alvarez vs Terence ‘Bud’ Crawford, a splashy marquee boxing matchup... 5434
Reposted by Matthew ArpGeneration Squeeze @gensqueeze.ca · 30/08/2025"Young Canadians are stuck in a holding pattern. They’re not less ambitious. They’re not unwilling to work. They’re just facing a system that no longer rewards effort the way it once did." #cdnpoli #GenZ #Canada thehub.ca/2025/08/26/n...thehub.caNeed to Know: Adulthood is increasingly on hold for young Canadians—and it’s not their fault 043
Reposted by Matthew ArpDr. Mike P. Moffatt @mikepmoffatt.bsky.social · 19/08/2025New MMI piece! Housing policy should not abandon the option of homeownership as a goal, and Gen X and Boomers must understand the corrosive impact of telling Millennials and Gen Z that it's okay for them to be denied the options that we took for granted.missingmiddleinitiative.caWhy Housing Policy Can’t Abandon HomeownershipA call to Generation X and Baby Boomers: We need to do better 1172
Reposted by Matthew ArpGeneration Squeeze @gensqueeze.ca · 11/08/2025Home ownership among young Canadians (under age 35) has recently surged to 44%, the highest level in five decades! 18% of them are mortgage-free. Why is this a worrisome sign? GenSqueeze founder, Dr. Paul Kershaw explains: www.gensqueeze.ca/globe_mail_i... 013
Reposted by Matthew ArpForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 08/05/2025Joseph S. Nye, Jr., one of the great scholars of international relations, died this week at the age of 88. Here, read some of his contributions to Foreign Affairs over the past five decades:foreignaffairs.comRemembering Joseph NyeA leading scholar of international relations. 15013
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 30/04/2025One wonders the impact of the orange->blue on the 3 key Lib incumbents losing election in Kitchener South—Hespeler, Cambridge and Windsor—Tecumseh—Lakeshore. Not to mention Lib incumbent loses in Niagara South, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, Hamilton East—Stoney Creek, York Centre and Brampton West. 020
Reposted by Matthew ArpJennifer Robson 🇨🇦 @jrobson.bsky.social · 30/04/2025I did a dive into the ridings that are most exposed to trade disputes with the U.S. to look at how they voted and what this will mean for the 45th Parliament as we face the 47th President of the U.S. open.substack.com/pub/robsonj/... #cdnpoliopen.substack.comThe 45th Parliament and 47In which I commit some political science in analyzing vote shares and trade 146228
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 25/04/2025Day-2 Best Remaining Players public.tableau.com/app/profile/... 010
Matthew Arp @izzarp.bsky.social · 17/04/2025With one week left before the #NFLDraft, dropping my final consensus top-250 big board. The full viz can be found at public.tableau.com/views/2025Co... 021
