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Isaac Kardon

@ibkardon.bsky.social
1.1K followers 183 following 33 posts

Study China maritime strategy & int’l security policy Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Adjunct Professor at Johns Hopkins SAIS Book: China’s Law of the Sea yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300256475/chinas-law-of-the-sea/

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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
substack.com/@chinathreat...
substack.com
CHINA: Threat or Menace? (@chinathreatormenace)
Liberation Day has come and gone, but the Tariff Man never sleeps…
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 26/02/2026
What's driving great power competition in the Arctic today? And how do China and Russia perceive President Trump's approach? @ibkardon.bsky.social and @alexgabuev.bsky.social discuss: www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRs5...
youtube.com
How China & Russia View Trump’s Greenland Policy
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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John Ridge 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 @johnridge.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
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Jason Davidson @profjwdavidson.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
100% I'd also recommend this article from 2025 by @ibkardon.bsky.social and @alexgabuev.bsky.social Annexing Greenland would destroy NATO and NATO allies--Norway, the UK, and Iceland--are necessary for securing the Arctic. foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/26/t...
foreignpolicy.com
Trump’s Greenland Obsession Will Not Secure America
Countering Russia and China in the Arctic requires leveraging alliances, not fracturing them.
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
This is not unlike PRC regulators deciding that fintech or education prep are no longer viable industries…ask Jack Ma! Not a good model to emulate, but at least in Chinese case they eliminate industries based on national interests, not personal profit or delusions about windfarm autism…
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 19/11/2025
For more details from Sheena and Cameron, along with @ibkardon.bsky.social, see their latest Carnegie report on China’s foreign police training: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
China’s Foreign Police Training: A Global Footprint
New data reveal how China’s foreign police training programs have become an integral part of Beijing’s strategy to remake global security.
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 13/11/2025
For more from Sheena, @ibkardon.bsky.social, and Cameron Waltz on how China is training police forces across the world, see their latest Carnegie paper: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
China’s Foreign Police Training: A Global Footprint
New data reveal how China’s foreign police training programs have become an integral part of Beijing’s strategy to remake global security.
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
open.substack.com/pub/isaackar...
open.substack.com
Nobody warned me there would be poems
But is prose even OK with the "Pivot to Venezuela" underway?!
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
This looks promising 🍿
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National Committee on U.S.-China Relations @ncuscr.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
🌏 Why are some countries deepening security ties with both the U.S. and China? #PIPFellows @sheenagreitens.bsky.social, @ibkardon.bsky.social, & Philip Saunders discuss “security hybridization” and what it means for the U.S.-China relationship. Watch: bit.ly/41LjAG5
bit.ly
Security Without Exclusivity – Why Countries Choose to Cooperate Simultaneously with Both the U.S. and China
Sheena Greitens and Isaac Kardon join Philip Saunders for a discussion on how third countries are simultaneously deepening security cooperation with China and the U.S. instead of choosing between them...
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 13/08/2025
“Analysts and policymakers are used to thinking about China’s military as a global security actor,” says @sheenagreitens.bsky.social‬. But its internal security apparatus also plays a significant role. Sheena, @ibkardon.bsky.social, and Cameron Waltz explain: youtu.be/X0Vtai8xccE?...
youtu.be
Inside China’s Global Security Playbook
YouTube video by Carnegie Explains
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Sheena Chestnut Greitens @sheenagreitens.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
Delighted to share a new report that's been over a year in the making, with @carnegieendowment.org 's @ibkardon.bsky.social & Cameron Waltz, on China's internal security outreach under GSI: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
A New World Cop on the Beat? China’s Internal Security Outreach Under the Global Security Initiative
Global outreach by China’s internal security agencies is expanding. This nonmilitary security diplomacy plays a crucial yet overlooked role in Chinese foreign security policy.
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 06/08/2025
China’s internal security agencies are using global engagement to legitimize its national security vision via non-military security cooperation. @ibkardon.bsky.social, @sheenagreitens.bsky.social, & Cameron Walz analyze China’s foreign security policy: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
carnegieendowment.org
A New World Cop on the Beat? China’s Internal Security Outreach Under the Global Security Initiative
Global outreach by China’s internal security agencies is expanding. This nonmilitary security diplomacy plays a crucial yet overlooked role in Chinese foreign security policy.
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 06/08/2025
The Arctic is emerging as a new arena of geopolitical competition, but few policymakers understand its strategic importance to Russia and China. @alexgabuev.bsky.social joins @ibkardon.bsky.social on the season finale of #TWU.   🎙️Listen now: the-world-unpacked.simplecast.com/episodes/tru...
the-world-unpacked.simplecast.com
Trump’s Greenland Fixation and the China-Russia Strategic Opportunity in the Arctic | The World Unpacked
In this episode of The World Unpacked, Isaac Kardon speaks with Alexander (Sasha) Gabuev about growing Russia–China cooperation in the Arctic. They explore the region’s rising strategic importance, it...
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Jennifer Lind @proflind.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
At Blue Blaze, our Scouted series discusses exciting new work in IR and foreign policy. Tune in Wednesday for our first Scouted podcast—in which I host @sheenagreitens.bsky.social & @ibkardon.bsky.social discussing their work on China as an internal security provider
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 17/07/2025
How should we understand China’s system of party-state capitalism, and what sets it apart from other countries with strong state intervention in the economy? Meg Rithmire discusses on #TheWorldUnpacked with @ibkardon.bsky.social: youtube.com/shorts/Qly5_...
youtube.com
What Makes China's Party-State Capitalism Different?
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 15/07/2025
Subsea cables carry 95% of the world’s data but are largely invisible in global policy debates. @ibkardon.bsky.social, Jane Munga, and @sophiabesch.bsky.social discuss the geopolitics, economics, and risks surrounding undersea data infrastructure on #TheWorldUnpacked: www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJIq...
youtube.com
The New Geopolitics of Subsea Cables
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 15/07/2025
What are subsea data cables, and why are they important to European security? @sophiabesch.bsky.social explains on the latest #TheWorldUnpacked, with Jane Munga and @ibkardon.bsky.social: youtube.com/shorts/twSI9...
youtube.com
Subsea Cables and European Security
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 16/07/2025
Why are subsea data cables so critical for Africa's socio-economic future? Jane Munga discusses on the latest #TheWorldUnpacked, with @ibkardon.bsky.social and @sophiabesch.bsky.social: youtube.com/shorts/oArgQ...
youtube.com
Subsea Cables and Africa's Future
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 17/07/2025
How does capitalism function in China, a party-state that tries to maintain “rule by market” without ceding too much control to private capital? @ibkardon.bsky.social discusses with Meg Rithmire on #TheWorldUnpacked: youtu.be/BMb3S8Jin_A?...
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
❤️💙♥️
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Ankit Panda @nktpnd.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Now available in video: my chat with @ibkardon.bsky.social about my new book. (And definitely the first podcast I’ve done on nukes that ends in a hug!) www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjOp...
youtube.com
Why We All Need to Care About Nukes Again
YouTube video by Carnegie Endowment
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 10/06/2025
“The Life of the Party: Past and Present Constraints on the Future of the Chinese Communist Party" Yvonne Chiu, @ibkardon.bsky.social, & Jason M. Kelly’s co-edited publication contains essays from experts on persistent patterns and new developments in Chinese politics since the CCP’s founding.
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 09/06/2025
Out now: @ibkardon.bsky.social sits down with @nktpnd.bsky.social to explore today’s new nuclear age—and what it will take to manage the growing risks of confrontation and escalation. Listen to #TheWorldUnpacked here: the-world-unpacked.simplecast.com/episodes/why...
the-world-unpacked.simplecast.com
Why We All Need to Care About Nukes Again | The World Unpacked
Isaac Kardon sits down with Ankit Panda to explore today’s new nuclear age—and what it will take to manage the growing risks of confrontation and escalation.
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Sheena Chestnut Greitens @sheenagreitens.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
On this 6/4, sharing a new piece out at Irregular Warfare Initiative with @ibkardon.bsky.social on "Does China's Growing Security Outreach Matter?" (Spoiler: Yes.) Grateful to @atwellkyle.bsky.social & the entire IWI team for the chance to share our analysis: irregularwarfare.org/articles/doe...
irregularwarfare.org
Does China’s Growing Security Outreach Matter? Tracing Implications for Irregular Warfare and U.S. Security Cooperation
More countries are turning to both the U.S. and China for different types of security support. Learn what “security hybridization” means and why it matters.
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Sheena Chestnut Greitens @sheenagreitens.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
SecDef Hegseth's Shangri-La Dialogue speech repeated conventional wisdom that's already eroded. No longer a functional division of getting security from US, prosperity from China. China's emerged as a global security provider, as @ibkardon.bsky.social and I show in @intsecurity.bsky.social:
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 27/05/2025
President Trump’s desire to “get” Greenland isn’t keeping the U.S. secure. By working with – not against – its allies, Washington can counter Russia and China in the Arctic. @ibkardon.bsky.social‬ and @alexgabuev.bsky.social‬ explain for @foreignpolicy.com: foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/26/t...
foreignpolicy.com
Trump’s Greenland Obsession Will Not Secure America
Countering Russia and China in the Arctic requires leveraging alliances, not fracturing them.
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Appreciate the extensive quotations and use of my data in this excellent article, which puts the Panama Canal ports in their proper global context. context. We are still waiting for the other shoe to drop in this maritime mega-deal…watch this space.
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Carnegie Endowment @carnegieendowment.org · 31/03/2025
President Trump’s efforts to take the Panama Canal may now be in limbo thanks to a Chinese antitrust investigation. Carnegie’s @ibkardon.bsky.social explained for @nytimes.com . Read the full article here: buff.ly/FkEMSR2
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Appreciate the extensive quotations and use of my data in this excellent article, which puts the Panama Canal ports in their proper global context. context. We are still waiting for the other shoe to drop in this maritime mega-deal…watch this space.
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Austin Ramzy @austinramzy.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
CK Hutchison is accused of "disregarding national interests and national justice and betraying and selling out all Chinese people" over its sale of Panama Canal ports to US. firm BlackRock in a state media commentary posted by China's Hong Kong and Macao office. www.hmo.gov.cn/sgazx/gayw/2...
hmo.gov.cn
港澳办
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
With co-author @marsecbradford.bsky.social maritime guru at S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Just published this short piece on the big Panama Canal port deal and implications for US-China (maritime) competition, and the middle powers squeezed in between. BLUF: BlackRock acquired a huge port-folio of port terminals, planting US flag in a long-neglected sector. rsis.edu.sg/rsis-publica...
rsis.edu.sg
IP25026 | American Consortium’s Purchase of Hong Kong-Owned Port Terminals Has Implications Far Beyond Panama
SYNOPSIS The announcement that the American consortium BlackRock will be buying Hong Kong CK Hutchison’s port operations business has been heralded as a success in support of President Donald Trump’s ...
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Phil Klay @philklay.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
And this more recent piece direct.mit.edu/isec/article...
direct.mit.edu
Security without Exclusivity: Hybrid Alignment under U.S.-China Competition
Abstract. This article explores an emerging dynamic in the international system: Countries across the world are engaged in simultaneous security cooperation with both China and the United States. Chin...
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Phil Klay @philklay.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
Fascinating piece from @ibkardon.bsky.social and @sheenagreitens.bsky.social on US-Chinese rivalry www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
School?! 😹
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Sheena Chestnut Greitens @sheenagreitens.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Thanks to @carnegieendowment.org #CarnegieAsia for posting this copy of my testimony to the USCC last week on China's security cooperation with Russia, NK, & Iran: carnegieendowment.org/posts/2025/0...
carnegieendowment.org
China, Regime Security, and Authoritarian Collaboration
China’s growing security relationships with Russia, Iran, and North Korea take place in a broader context: China’s emergence as a global security provider, one that has a different emphasis than the U...
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Of course, the US has no recognizable claims on the Canal, nor has it been 'reclaimed' - but this is a seismic shift in the global commercial maritime landscape. Hutchison is selling off its Panama holdings - and also another 41 terminals in 22 countries. Big deal!! www.reuters.com/markets/asia...
reuters.com
CK Hutchison shares jump 22% after Panama Canal stake sale to BlackRock
CK Hutchison stock gained more than 22% on Wednesday after the Hong Kong conglomerate sold a majority stake in a $22.8 billion ports unit, including assets along the Panama Canal, to a group led by U.S. buyout firm BlackRock .
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Excited to share my latest piece with @sheenagreitens.bsky.social, just out with International Security: Quarterly Journal (doi.org/10.1162/isec...). Builds on our prior work in @foreignaffairs.com (www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...) Paywalled for now, but here's the gist: (1/6)
foreignaffairs.com
Playing Both Sides of the U.S.-Chinese Rivalry
Many countries get external security from Washington—and internal security from Beijing.
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Kori Schake 🎃 @kschake.bsky.social · 18/01/2024
Delighted to see Dr. Chestnut Greitens’ much anticipated book arrive!
Politics of the North Korean Diaspora
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Thorsten Benner @tbenner.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Caught in the act. Taiwan’s coastguard said it caught a Chinese-owned freighter cutting a subsea communications cable off its western coast early on Tuesday. www.ft.com/content/eb4a...
ft.com
Taiwan catches Chinese-owned ship in act of cutting subsea cable
Confrontation comes after Taipei launched crackdown on Beijing’s ‘shadow fleet’
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
As a result, more & more countries want security assistance from both US and China, and are well-positioned to take advantage of each great power's differentiated strengths. This is a moving target and warrants further studies on PRC bilateral security relationships. (6/6)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
"Regime security" is China's fundamental goal, at home and for partners abroad; America's security outreach, by contrast, seeks to produce "regional security." (Even as the current administration walks back certain commitments in this vein, the basic architecture remains). (5/6)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
China's security cooperation keys on its partners' internal and non-traditional threats, prioritizing action against threats to authoritarian efforts to control their populations and to repress & intimidate their political opposition. (4/6)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
We see the rise of "security hybridization" as a consequential phenomenon in the contemporary international security environment, wherein states seek security from China and the US simultaneously, but not symmetrically. (3/6)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
We argue that the global security landscape has been shifting under our feet. If there is a "cold war" with China, it bears little resemblance to the "Cold War" with the Soviet Union - and not only because of dramatically higher levels of economic integration between US and its main adversary. (2/6)
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
Excited to share my latest piece with @sheenagreitens.bsky.social, just out with International Security: Quarterly Journal (doi.org/10.1162/isec...). Builds on our prior work in @foreignaffairs.com (www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...) Paywalled for now, but here's the gist: (1/6)
foreignaffairs.com
Playing Both Sides of the U.S.-Chinese Rivalry
Many countries get external security from Washington—and internal security from Beijing.
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Isaac Kardon @ibkardon.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
So Adani (which had its DFC funding pulled due to US corruption against its owner) still got a better deal at Colombo than China Merchants? Go figure… www.maritimegateway.com/slpas-collab...
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Jacqueline L. Hazelton @drjlhazelton.bsky.social · 23/02/2025
@intsecurity.bsky.social @belfercenter.bsky.social @mitpress.bsky.social
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