iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Ian Jamison

There HAS TO BE a reckoning for this, and so many similar atrocities. Any politician or pundit who says we should move forward and not look back should be summarily rejected. I want prison time for every ICE agent and every administration official who's responsible. Starting with Donald.

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Corey Rayburn Yung @coreyryung.bsky.social · 19h

The media's dilemma: should we cover that a guy contemplating how to dispose of Jews is cited by the VP as an intellectual influence or write another piece about vague connections between Democrats and Hassan Piker? 🤔

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Johnny “Euro Hoser” Renton @johnnyrenton.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

The first thing Canada and the EU should cooperate is destroying Twitter and Elon Musk in our countries He is one of, if not *the*, most dangerous promoter of far-right, white supremacist, Nazi ideology globally and his influence and power needs to be ground into dust

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I need to know if there’s any world where we can swing a trifecta in NC. Would be transformational

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Mike Fragassi @refrag.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

I maintain that "low-info voters" (aka the common clay of the new West) liked that he was saying outrageous stuff. But they assumed that 1) Mr. Good At Business was just doing so to make "elites" gasp & drop their monocles; 2) there were guardrails against him doing anything *really* bad. Whoopsie!

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

Maybe I’m crazy but under these conditions could the Ds land a trifecta? Like would a D+10 to D+15 top of the ballot do it? I think the R state Supreme Court candidate is also off the airwaves.

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The Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

JON STEWART: “So in the FUTURE we WILL use A.I. to cure diseases… but right now it’s mostly murder, surveillance, and surge pricing for the McRib — What a trade! I’m getting the sense you guys might be full of shit.”

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Dave Karpf @davekarpf.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

I'm just gonna bookmark this for future reference when Dem pundits complain about how the party has trouble communicating its message to voters. The reason you keep running into trouble with your branding isn't campus radicals. The reason is that your opponents purchased all the media outlets.

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Dave Vetter @davidrvetter.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

It's not an exaggeration to say that a handful of guys now own almost all the media in the Anglosphere, and those guys are all in the same club.

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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

When they get back in power, Democrats need to go all-in on higher education. We need a campaign of reinvestment in public universities across the country that makes the Morrill Land-Grant Act look like nothing by comparison *and* a GI Bill of Rights-style program of tuition grants.

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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Sort of insane fact about how broken US urban planning is—America now spends more building *just the lights for roads and highways* than on all subways & ground mass transit combined Spending on roadway *pavement* is 18x transit spending

a graph of roadway and mass transit lights

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Drat. That makes sense, thanks!

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Is it the same story for Georgia?

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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 27/09/2026

I love this paper so much. If I had my way every single journalist, pundit, analyst, and politician in the US would read it & then read it again. I want to quote all of it. www.frontiersin.org/journals/soc...

frontiersin.org

Frontiers | The problem with polarization research in an age of extremism

"I have been gravely disappointed with the white moderate. I have almost reached the regrettable conclusion that the Negro's great stumbling block i...

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Ed Maibach @maibached.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Happy Stanislav Petrov Day He passed in 2017. As Encyclopedia Britannica puts it, “He is survived by his two children, two grandchildren, and the entire human race.” If you don't know his story, please take 3 minutes now to learn it. @gchalliance.bsky.social @docsforclimate.bsky.social

sammatey.substack.com

Happy Stanislav Petrov Day

Take five minutes to not destroy civilization

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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

The real worry is not the next two years, but the 2-4 after that. If this is a bellwether, we are never going to get the real, serious, major institutional reform that we need to make sure that this era of lawless authoritarianism doesn't happen again, even if we get a Democratic president in 2029.

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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Latest from ProPublica: "As the scandal over Susan Collins’ relationship with Hawaii defense contractor Navatek became the central issue in her senate campaign, she and her top aides mustered a defense with a series of incorrect and misleading claims." www.propublica.org/article/debu...

propublica.org

ProPublica Debunks Susan Collins’ Claims About FBI Anti-Corruption Probe

ProPublica revealed that the FBI was circling Sen. Collins over a defense contractor’s donations — until President Trump gutted the unit in charge. Collins has since mustered a defense with a series o...

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Oliver Darcy @oliverdarcy.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Scoop: The anonymous source behind a POLITICO story that the White House is now using to justify a ban on the outlet was none other than JD Vance himself. Details in @status.news: www.status.news/p/white-hous...

status.news

The Source Behind The Ban

The anonymous source behind one of the stories the White House cited to justify banning POLITICO was none other than Vice President JD Vance, Status has learned.

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Meredith Shiner @meredithshiner.com · 23/09/2026

I had not seen this clip where Tammy Duckworth advises Democrats to "not impeach anybody," "get back to work" and "allow" Donald Trump to "save face" and I would just like to remind the senator from IL that the federal government took 4,000 Chicagoans and murdered a 38-year-old father last fall.

c-span.org

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 23/09/2026

If you haven't checked out this new analysis from us yet, you'll definitely want to. And if you *have*, we'd be extremely grateful if you'd support our work by becoming a paid subscriber—which also comes with cool perks! www.the-downballot.com/subscribe

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Numbers like this in both headline races plus talk of the GOP triaging… Dem trifecta in NC might not be completely impossible

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Joe Sudbay @joesudbay.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

should be day 2 stories if Maine/national media pick up on fact Collins' lobbyist husband, Tom Daffron, worked closely - for years - with Scott Reed, a key player in the corruption scandal @andrewperez.bsky.social & @martinpengelly.bsky.social wrote about that in June zeteo.com/p/susan-coll...

zeteo.com

Susan Collins’s Husband Worked for the Lobbyist Running Her Super PAC

The Maine senator's husband apparently consulted last year for the lobbyist leading Pine Tree Results PAC, documents show.

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

What would this translate into at the state leg level? Would it flip the state house?

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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

My entire life I've heard centrists scolding leftist candidates with "oh, but how will we pay for all that? isn't your agenda unreasonable? shouldn't we run on a modest proposal for means-tested tax rebates?" Then Mamdani gets elected and makes it all look pretty easy. No wonder they hate him.

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Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

This is corruption of the highest order. Susan Collins delivered millions in taxpayer dollars for a corrupt donor bankrolling her campaign, and then Donald Trump helped her cover it up. No wonder she voted with him 96% of the time and has rubberstamped his agenda to hurt Maine.

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The Bulwark @thebulwark.com · 23/09/2026

The Bulwark uncovered a fundraiser for Hakeem Jeffries hosted by Trump-connected lobbyists. We started asking questions, and the event was canceled. @cheetah.bsky.social explains what happened and what it reveals about how Washington works behind closed doors. lnk.thebulwark.com/4hqx0y9?utm_...

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I know it’s out of vogue these days, but anyone have the November GCB implied by this year’s Washington Primary?

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Would smooth state specific wonkiness and would be interesting to see if your overall relationship holds at the subgroup level of the subsequent general election. (However you define the subgroup)

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Individual states, definitely. But what about aggregating somehow? Ex: 25 biggest moving vs 25 smallest moving primary states. Non-moving primary states vs moving primary states. Biggest moving quartile vs smallest moving quartile. Etc

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

You mention 7 states that didn’t swing left at all from 2022. Historically, do states that fail to swing in primaries *also* fail to swing in the subsequent general? If so, FL is basically a write off. But would also mean the swing in the remaining 43 states is LARGER than D+13…

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ProPublica @propublica.org · 22/09/2026

NEW: In late 2024, FBI investigators had enough evidence to launch a sweeping bribery probe that could ensnare top lawmakers, including Sen. Susan Collins. Then Trump was reelected and eviscerated the FBI and DOJ teams handling public corruption probes.

propublica.org

The FBI Anti-Corruption Squad Was Circling Susan Collins — Until Trump Got in the Way

After the FBI caught a defense contractor’s CEO making illegal campaign contributions, it sought to launch a sweeping political bribery probe involving Collins and others. Then the second Trump admini...

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David Dayen @ddayen.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

The worst part of Bonta caving on the Paramount merger is that it's a big flashing signal to every other company that there is no antitrust enforcement in America and you can bully your way into getting whatever you want. It's a monumentally bad decision.

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Nick Field @nickfield.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

The State AGs were on pace to kill the Paramount/Warner Bros by litigation and delay until Gavin Newsom stepped in and turned the tide. Now the Trump loyalist Ellisons will control CNN and HBO. Don't ever, ever forget that Newsom stabbed us in the back www.wsj.com/business/med...

wsj.com

Exclusive | Newsom Expresses Concerns About State Antitrust Suit Against Paramount

The California governor has told people involved in the suit that blocking the $81 billion deal could harm Hollywood jobs.

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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

*the Aristocrats voice* Gavin Newsom!

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John Fugelsang @johnfugelsang.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

“In 2024, Trump won the white evangelical vote 82% to 17%. He lost everybody else 58% to 40%. Sit with those numbers for a minute. And then you realize that we gave this to America. That’s what the white evangelical church did.” -David French, to Holy Post Media

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ryan cooper @ryanlcooper.com · 18/09/2026

elite DC reporters love Standing Up To Power over trivial matters when they are certain the president won't punish them for doing so

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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

the first thing Democrats should do in 2029 is to tax the sale of voting dual-class stock according to its percentage of the total control of the corporation rather than its book value

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Yeah, those two were tough for me. I think they’re close and ultimately went with the more known quantity. Already seen DO get within 7% of an incumbent in a bad year. This year is likely to be 9-13% bluer imo. I like Hamilton & KS is moving left fast. But comp is Marshall +12% in a D+2 2020…

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Where I’m at right now. Minnesota is about as close to 100% D as it gets ⬆️MN 81% (44) NC 97% (45th Dem seat - most likely D flip) GA 90% (46) NH 81% (47) ⬆️ MI 69% (48 - most likely R flip) ME 76% (49) OH 69% (50) ⬆️AK 54% (51) TX 60% (52) IA 35% (53) ⬆️NE 18% (54) KS 30% (55) FL 20% (56) SC 12% (57)

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Ana Marie Cox @anamariecox.com · 17/09/2026

I closed my trade imbalance with the grocery store, now I just eat the money I would have spent there.

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Mike the Mad Biologist and Trump's Press Corps Approver @mikethemadbiol.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

I would add nutritional supplements to the list of things to attack.

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 17/09/2026

I know I am not the median voter. But when I watch Trump performances like the one we just endured in North Carolina, I can't escape the feeling that our problems go much deeper than "affordability" and we're whistling past the graveyard if we reduce our politics to that issue.

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

And here’s a very rudimentary state level model. This is *uniform swing* from 2024 presidential, you you’d set it to D+11.5-12.5 www.multistate.us/elections/sw...

multistate.us

Swing Calculator — MultiState Elections

Model uniform swing scenarios to forecast state legislative chamber control changes in 2026.

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

I’ll go one further- is there a single thing we need to act on now, instead of just coming back to in a January with more leverage? I can’t think of anything.

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

This is something I’m VERY interested to see

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Fiftyplusone has the gap at 6.2 right now, so I’m just using current polling averages for now. Will be interesting to see if that widens/where things land!

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Ian Jamison @ianjamison.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

So, Split Ticket has incumbency as a +3 bonus. Say Abbott (a strong Inc) outruns Paxton by ~5-7. Implies Paxton underran generic non-Inc GOP by 2-4. Sherrod being net neutral on incumbency instead of -3… near identical. Are you thinking Inc benefit drops this cycle? Or GA outruns Paxton by 8+?

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