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John 🌝

@heres.bsky.social
428 followers 803 following 963 posts

Data Analyst. Reconstruction Amendments Absolutist.

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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Guess that the producers really wanted to minimize the risk of anyone saying anything remotely off script with the minimal award speech time
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Bobby Kogan @bbkogan.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
You can’t talk about debt without talking about how we got into a bad predicament, and there’s only one correct answer: tax cuts enacted this century
U.S. debt is on track to reach historic levels
Debt held by the public as a percentage of the gross domestic product, 1792-2055
- Historical - • Projected → Without Bush and Trump tax cuts
187.55%
180%
160
140
120|
100
80
99.38%
60
• 47.85%
40
20
0
1800|
1820 1840 1860|
1880
1900 1920 1940|
1960|
1980 2000 2020 2040|
Hover or click to see values.
• Notes:
Source: Authors' calculations using data from the Congressional Budget Office, the Joint Committee on Taxation, the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, the U.S. Census Bureau, the Federal Reserve, the Yale Budget Lab, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. A full list of sources is available here.
Chart: Center for American Progress
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alec karakatsanis @equalityalec.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
THREAD. Contrary to what you are being told, 40 years of polling have established that shifting money away from police/prisons toward social services is one of the most popular public policies among *all* political demographics. But it's not just that, it goes way deeper.
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Ernest "Dead" Penfold @penfoldsfiv.eurosky.social · 12/08/2026
the media when the centrist loses by 1% vs the media when the leftist loses by (less than) 1%
bluesky post by Politico saying "Progressives didn't get the big election night they wanted" referring to Abdul el-Sayed defeating Haley Stevens in the MI Senate primary and linking to their story with that headline.bluesky post by Politico with the text "The far left hits a wall" referring to David Crowley defeating Francesca Hong in the WI Governor Primary and linking to their story with that headline
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Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
This is the key takeaway: Haley Stevens got everything she could have asked for. AIPAC spent the most it ever has. The party pulled out all the stops. Millions were even spent to spread the false idea that the most popular president in modern US history endorsed her. And it still wasn’t enough.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Low margin != low profit. Grocery stores can earn competitive returns on capital despite "thin" margins. The policy objective isn't to insulate incumbents from competition anyway. They can respond by improving operations or by changing their product mix.
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regular meghan 나영지 🇵🇸 @ruemcclammyhand.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
this should be mandatory reading for the entire country
But what was known in 1964 was largely abandoned in 2024, and what was offered instead was a questionable survivalist theory of democracy-one that proposed to erect a shield over one group while providing weaponry to destroy another.
For reasons moral, pragmatic, and perhaps mostly ancestral, the next black presidency will have to think bigger. To its list of adversaries-which include a renewed white supremacy, a rapacious billionaire class, an energetic Christian nationalism-it must add another, perhaps more formidable than them all: empire.But for many Arab and Muslim Americans, "America before Trump" meant returning to a time when FBI informants sought to entrap them, when police agencies spied on their mosques, and calling a presidential candidate a Muslim was a slur. Seemingly blind to this trauma, the Harris campaign followed up the Democratic National Convention snub by deploying Bill Clinton to Michigan. There, in the state with the highest concentration of Arab Americans in the country, Clinton told an audience that Israel had been forced "to kill civilians" by Hamas, and that the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea belonged to the Jewish people because "they were there first." Meanwhile, Harris welcomed her endorsement by Dick Cheney, who was not a very popular vice president but was a zealous defender of torturing Muslims.
The cumulative message was not "We don't need your vote." It was "We don't value your lifeIn 1965, the year of the Voting Rights Act's passage, Coretta Scott King stood before an anti-war rally in Madison Square Garden and rejected survivalist democracy:

Have you often wondered as I have, why it is that the same president Johnson who speaks so eloquently for civil rights, and who has been so moved by the struggle for the right to vote and the anguish of the poor, can be so callous about the Vietnamese and so apparently
thoughtless on foreign policy. I think it is because we permit him to be.And that story forces a very basic question: What was the point of all this?
Why the invocations of Tubman, the readings of Du Bois, the visits from Hamer? And did the advocates of this collective pedagogy imagine their children rising to heights of power, only to view the darker nations of the world through the same violent lens as their oppressors? And if they did not, if they believed that the "poor and needy" meant those within the empire as well as those without, then what moral mandate does that place upon their children?
And if their children have come only to praise, not check, empire, then why have they come at all?
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 12/06/2026
Reason #1,000,000,000,000 why we should tax the rich.
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grimm 🎃 @mugrimm.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Something Is Happening to America's Moral Code
A New York Times podcast hosted Hasan Piker and a New Yorker staff writer for a discussion of lawbreaking, which they both endorsed as resistance to tyranny.
By Graeme WoodAtlantic Magazine writer Graeme Wood: "It is possible to kill children legally, if for example one is being attacked by an enemy who hides behind them."
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Editing the Blue-Gray Lady @nytdiff.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Change in Abstract
Before: President Trump had been under increasing pressure to find a way out after he threatened to wipe out Iran’s civilization on Tuesday night unless Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz.
After: President Trump’s short-term intimidation may have worked, but the fundamental divides with Iran are as sharp as they were in February.
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Wim Vanhaecke @wimvanhaecke.eurosky.social · 19/03/2026
I still get Fetterman vibes from Platner.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
"Local strategists noted the abrupt shift when the Biss attacks stopped earlier this month." www.politico.com/news/2026/03...
In Illinois, an AIPAC-aligned super PAC called Elect Chicago Women, had spent heavily against Biss on TV and digital ads, while also spending more than $4 million on TV ads and mailers boosting Fine. In recent days, another AIPAC-aligned group, Chicago Progressive Partnership, put out ads attacking Abughazaleh and propping up another progressive in the race, Bushra Amiwala, in an apparent effort to split the vote.
“There’s been a strategy shift,” said a person directly familiar with AIPAC’s thinking, granted anonymity to discuss private conversations. “Our primary goal in Illinois is to prevent potential ‘Squad’ members from being elected to Congress.”
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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Powell has been running these bad-faith attacks since Mamdani won the primary. It's embarrassing to run yet another piece that can't justify its own existence
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Anat Shenker-Osorio @anatosaurus.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
What does it tell voters, who have said unequivocally we want fighters, that you sit & silently witness your own humiliation? If you will not fight for yourselves, are we to believe you will for us?
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
these last minute article edits are a great example of how The New York Times is not neutral
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Clara Jeffery @clarajeffery.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
 Fourth Amendment

The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.
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Southern Sylvs 🍉 she/her @southernsylvs.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Too many of y'all aren't upset enough about that Redfin commercial is all I'm saying. I see you.
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Arizona Right Watch @azrww.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Highlighting the speaker who stood in front of the Surprise mayor and told him to consider what the Mayor of Ohrdruf must’ve thought before he died by suicide: “He might have thought ‘how is this my fault I had no jurisdiction over this’ maybe he said ‘this site was not subject to local zoning.’”
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alec karakatsanis @equalityalec.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Budgets are moral documents. What Democrats do now--how they actually demand public money be spent--is the only thing people should be listening to. Do not pay attention to lofty public statements from people who pay for this to continue.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
The Atlantic definitely did a lot of rallying
A collection of Atlantic editor-approved headlines for articles that sound, regardless of content, anti-immigrant. The implication is that The Atlantic is complicit in creating the current cultural climate.

Atlantic Headline (as published)
Date
Why Afghan Refugees Aren't Actually Welcome in California
Sep 9, 2021
Democrats' Free Pass on Immigration Is Over
Sep 25, 2021
The Mistaken Assumption That Immigration Is Inevitable
Mar 31, 2022
Conservatives Can Win By Embracing 'Selectionism'
Jun 17, 2022
New York Is Full
Aug 26, 2023
The Hard Truth About Immigration
Oct 23, 2023
America's Immigration Reckoning Has Arrived
Jan 31, 2024
No One Is Prepared for a New Era of Global Migration
Feb 13, 2024
Biden Saw What Was Wrong With Democrats' Immigration Policy
Jun 10, 2024
The Immigrants Who Oppose Immigration
Sep 23, 2024
The Great Immigration Public-Opinion Reversal
Oct 9, 2024
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
Governor Hochul vetoed the healthcare privacy bill (S929). This means that information about people's private medical procedures can still be sold to the highest bidder. If people support "Medical Aid in Dying" then they should support people having a dignified life, too.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
"When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure" Cherry-picked, specially collected, or hand-crafted data can always be made to look good. The NYT does report data ofc, just not data that allows readers to evaluate performance against a stated goal.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Centrist to moderator: "A 'fray-end'? Is that how you say it?"
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Zohran Kwame Mamdani @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
This is the strength of our city. We’ll honor the trust these families put in us by making this a place where they can thrive.
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Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
NEW — Rashida Tlaib and 20 other members of Congress have introduced a resolution to officially recognize Israel's genocide of the Palestinian people. It notes that between 10/23 and 11/25, the US sent $21,700,000,000 in military aid to Israel and authorized $30,000,000,000+ in new weapons deals.
119TH CONGRESS
1ST SESSION H. RES. 876
Recognizing the genocide of the Palestinian people in Gaza.
IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
NOVEMBER 13, 2025
Ms. TLAIB (for herself, Ms. BALINT, Mr. CARSON, Mr. CASAR, Ms. DEXTER,
Mr. FROST, Mr. GARCI´A of Illinois, Mr. GREEN of Texas, Ms. JAYAPAL,
Mr. JOHNSON of Georgia, Mr. KHANNA, Ms. LEE of Pennsylvania, Mr.
MCGOVERN, Ms. OCASIO-CORTEZ, Ms. OMAR, Mr. POCAN, Ms.
PRESSLEY, Mrs. RAMIREZ, Ms. SIMON, Ms. VELA´ZQUEZ, and Mrs. WATSON COLEMAN) submitted the following resolution; which was referred to
the Committee on Foreign Affairs
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alec karakatsanis @equalityalec.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
THREAD. One of the most damning flaws in the worldviews of essentially every pundit on MSNBC, columnist in the New York Times, peddler of "Abundance," and consultant for Democrats is that they downplay or ignore the repressive power of the punishment bureaucracy and associated industries.
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Lauren Woolsey @cgsunit.com · 11/11/2025
This is only page 3 and I'm so invested in learning more from this author. Luddite as an insult certainly gets thrown around a lot these days, and I'm happy to have their concise clarification on what side of history that movement was on at the very start of the book.
Text from the book on page 3 reads "[...] other humans. No, this book is not a Luddite treatise--if, by Luddite, you mean a consumate techno-pessimist that believes all technological advancement is an anathema to human flourishing. But if by Luddite you mean a conscientious objection to top-down dictatorial automation of human thought and skill as a capitalist ploy for the devaluation of labor, and therefore the devaluation of laborers and human life in general... Then, yes. This is a Luddite treatise.

This book disambiguates the purposes of AI and its conscquences for humanity (and the environment) through descriptions of how AI projects produce, harm, and even kill disabled people. Through these stories, this book also provides a guide to the various and confusing meanings, methods, and impacts of "AI" in terms that are clear and relevant to everyday [...]"
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Michael @fleerultra.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
some of us saw this entire arc coming immediately btw. just sayin
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alec karakatsanis @equalityalec.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
THREAD. One important chapter in my Copaganda book describes how a small group of pro-police professors corrupted the field of criminology. Somehow, I've been invited to speak at the 2025 American Society of Criminology annual conference this week. Should be interesting...
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
centrists trot out economic graphs as "wins" when "real" wages increased for people and they're still below the poverty line. real income doesn't account for debt payments so the economic data is far worse than what centrists claim, especially with interest rate hikes
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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
its especially humiliating for the Cave Caucus that he's not even trying to pretend that he might do this.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
I wonder if one reason that they didn't cave earlier was that doing so would've pushed more people to vote against establishments Dems. 1) it would've made the progressive margins larger and 2) it'd be harder to claim that the establishment is popular, even with establishment electoral wins
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cait (and adonis) @cait.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
a few months ago I said "having generative AI handle absolutely anything with regards to healthcare is a nightmare and should be banned" and a bunch of people made fun of me and called me stupid. anyways,
r/ExpectationVsReality u/Additional-Simple858 • 3d
Join
Al 'doctor' said my back pain is depression, not a slipped disc. Now physical therapy won't get approved.
Al Expectation

We are reviewing claim #&
submitted on
09/28/2025. Our records indicate the claim was filed under diagnosis code F32.9 (Depressive disorder, unspecified), while the corresponding prescription and referral history list treatment for lumbar disc herniation (back pain).Re: Incorrect Diagnosis in
Record

Hi
Thank you for reaching out. We have reviewed your visit documentation and can confirm that the notes in question were generated using our Al scribe system. It appears the Al tool assigned diagnosis code F32.9 (Depressive disorder, unspecified), while your visit notes and treatment plan reference lumbar disc herniation (back pain).
Per compliance policy, certain Al-generated fields cannot be manually updated by clinic staff and require vendor correction. We have escalated this to our vendor support team and opened ticket # . We'll notify you once we receive
confirmation or correction from the vendor.
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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
The weirdest thing about these articles is that they all understand that voters want likable politicians with a compelling vision who deliver meaningful benefits. That's not really the case for centrism though! www.nytimes.com/2025/11/09/o...
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Anne Trubek @atrubek.bsky.social · 08/11/2025
I havent read such a banger of an essay in a very long time. This is so well-written!
lithub.com
Maybe Don’t Talk to the New York Times About Zohran Mamdani
It’s remarkable, the people you’ll hear from. Teach for even a little while at an expensive institution—the term they tend to prefer is “elite”—and odds are that eventually someone who was a studen…
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Matt Negrin still host of Hardball on MSNBC @mattnegrin.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
The media is rushing 300 “New York Jews worried about Mamdani antisemitism” fetch essays based on nothing but Mamdani being a Muslim meanwhile the Republican Party from top to toe has the confidence to wear nazi makeup every day knowing the press looks at it like the westworld bots seeing a polaroid
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Bill Grueskin @bgrueskin.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
This NYT story about how Mamdani dealt with the opposition by the city's elites fails to mention one particular elite institution: The NYT editorial page, which last June railed against him as "uniquely unsuited to the city’s challenges... lacks political savvy" www.nytimes.com/2025/11/04/n... 1/
nytimes.com
How Zohran Mamdani Beat Back New York’s Elite and Was Elected Mayor
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Thomas Zimmer @thomaszimmer.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
The New York Times quickly sending out Douthat to argue that Mamdani’s victory doesn’t really matter is so predictable it borders on self-parody. Remember, folks: Every time the Right wins an election, it’s an undeniable expression of the will of the people. If a lefty wins, it’s just a blip.
nytimes.com
Opinion | Mamdani’s Victory Is Less Significant Than You Think
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the moon report 🌑 @seachanger.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
the take home is that mamdani and his team did not ask permission. they aimed for power, they organized, and they won power it does not matter how the democratic party reacts to this win. all that matters is that we raise up the people with vision, courage, and energy, and organize them into office
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A.R. Moxon @juliusgoat.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Dick Cheney Was Doing War Crimes in Exactly the Right Way, by Ezra Klein.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 04/11/2025
yeah why might it be harder for someone to break 50% in a three-way race versus a two-way race. obviously it has something to do with ideology.
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
I'm assuming that the margin of error on that poll is greater than 9%. Plenty of people will move to NYC if he becomes mayor.
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Michael Hobbes @michaelhobbes.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
We literally do disagree about this, though. Some politicians want to take food from children and some politicians don't. Pretending this "isn't political" just allows the child-starving ghouls to get away with it. Tell people who supports the *political program* to feed children and who doesn't!
We can disagree about policy. But we should never disagree about whether a child deserves to eat.
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Zohran Kwame Mamdani @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
Nothing is inevitable. Effort is everything. Ignore the polls and run through the tape. Vote: zohranfornyc.com/vote Canvass + phonebank: zohranfornyc.com/gotv
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John 🌝 @heres.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
I think that the article is flawed overall and for the same reason. The title, presentation, and data discussion seems designed to discourage, when the data (imo) should be seen as clearly encouraging for Zohran's team. There are also some interesting choices for quotes that they used.
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Peter Sterne @petersterne.com · 27/10/2025
SCOOP: Brad Lander is telling allies he's planning to challenge Rep. Dan Goldman www.cityandstateny.com/politics/202...
cityandstateny.com
Sources: Brad Lander is making plans to challenge Goldman
City Council Member Alexa Avilés is also planning to challenge Goldman, but redistricting could scramble everyone’s plans.
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It's Chris! @chrisd238.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
People who know nothing about logistics: why dont we just do the thing that affects millions differently
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
MAMDANI, on Bill Ackman: “.. He's spending more money against me than I would even tax him!" @casestudyqb.bsky.social #NYC
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