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Josh Gottlieb

@gottliebecon.bsky.social
2.2K followers 151 following 32 posts

Economist. Professor at University of Chicago, Harris Public Policy. I study the economics of healthcare — doctors, nurses, insurance, plus some labor and urban economics. www.gottlieb.ca

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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
📣 Call for Papers: The Becker Friedman Institute Health Economics Initiative invites submissions for its April 30–May 1, 2026 conference on all topics in health economics. 📅 Deadline: Feb 9, 2026 Organized by Josh Gottlieb & Matt Notowidigdo 🔗 ow.ly/uPvk50XKoms
ow.ly
Call for Papers: 2026 Health Economics Initiative Conference | Becker Friedman Institute
On April 30–May 1, 2026, the Becker Friedman Institute Health Economics Initiative’s conference will bring together faculty, research professionals, and students to present the latest research on all topics in health economics. Joining the 2026 Health Economics Initiative Conference as the keynote speaker will be Ambitabh Chandra, Ethel Zimmerman Wiener Professor of Public Policy and Director of Health Read more...
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Oh my goodness. This is horrible. I am so sorry.
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Don’t let the macro environment stop anyone from looking closely at my student Joe Battles on the market this year. x.com/GottliebEcon... Thank you for the shoutout and the data, Paul.
x.com
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
Predoc opportunity in health/labor/public economics at @beckerfriedman.bsky.social: job-boards.greenhouse.io/universityof... Please share widely! #EconSky
job-boards.greenhouse.io
Research Professional – Josh Gottlieb and Matt Notowidigdo (Full-Time, Benefits Eligible)
Chicago, IL
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 12/09/2025
Predoc opportunity in health/labor/public economics at @beckerfriedman.bsky.social: job-boards.greenhouse.io/universityof... Please share widely!
job-boards.greenhouse.io
Research Professional – Josh Gottlieb and Matt Notowidigdo (Full-Time, Benefits Eligible)
Chicago, IL
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Very clear article discussing our @beckerfriedman.bsky.social / @nber.org working paper and other aspects of healthcare job growth. The full paper together with @nealemahoney.bsky.social @siepr.bsky.social @kevinrinz.bsky.social @victoriaudalova.bsky.social is here: gottlieb.ca/papers/Healt...
gottlieb.ca
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Adam @adamshap.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Healthcare should be a macroeconomics topic www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
On May 1–2, BFI’s Health Economics Initiative Conference brought together faculty, researchers & students to share new work in health economics. Organizers: @gottliebecon.bsky.social & @profnoto.bsky.social; Keynote: Jonathan Skinner (Dartmouth). ow.ly/CJm250VSRp3 #EconSky #HealthEconomics
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Thanks to all of our thoughtful speakers, attendees, keynote Jon Skinner @dartmouthcollege.bsky.social, co-organizer @profnoto.bsky.social, and the amazing @beckerfriedman.bsky.social staff for an outstanding conference!
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Thank you @lhnicholas.bsky.social!
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
#QJE May 2025, #8, “The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians,” by Gottlieb (@gottliebecon.bsky.social), Polyakova, Rinz (@kevinrinz.bsky.social), Shiplett, and Udalova (@victoriaudalova.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians*
Abstract. Is government guiding the invisible hand at the top of the labor market? We use new administrative data to measure physicians’ earnings and estim
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Thank you @beckerfriedman.bsky.social and @ashecon.bsky.social!
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Al Roth @alroth.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Healthcare is work #Econsky #Medicinesky marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2025/03/heal...
marketdesigner.blogspot.com
Healthcare as a modern jobs engine, by Gottlieb, Mahoney, Rinz and Udalova
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
NBER @nber.org · 23/03/2025
Healthcare employment in the US has skyrocketed since 1980. Healthcare is a middle-class jobs engine, but "manufacturing-to-meds" transitions are not saving the Rust Belt, from @gottliebecon.bsky.social, @nealemahoney.bsky.social, Kevin Rinz, and Victoria Udalova www.nber.org/papers/w33583
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Marcelo Rinesi @marcelorinesi.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
A very useful set of stylized facts: healthcare has been a job growth engine, and/but there hasn't been a systematic "manufacturing to meds" pivot in places where the former has declined. by @nealemahoney.bsky.social @gottliebecon.bsky.social @kevinrinz.bsky.social @victoriaudalova.bsky.social
nber.org
The Rise of Healthcare Jobs
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers,…
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Much more in the draft. Check it out 👇 NBER WP: www.nber.org/papers/w33583 Ungated paper: nmahoney.people.stanford.edu/sites/g/file...
nber.org
The Rise of Healthcare Jobs
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
We find these high-profile manufacturing-to-meds examples are outliers that do not represent a systematic trend. Healthcare job growth has offset 11% of the decline in manufacturing jobs. This is roughly what you would expect based on its share of the workforce.
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Politicians, the press, and researchers have advocated for a "manufacturing to meds" pivot in the Rust Belt. Pittsburgh, PA, Cleveland, OH, and Rochester, NY are cited as prominent success stories.
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Healthcare has maintained nearly constant 76% female share, while experiencing partial convergence across occupations Large increase in female share of physicians Offset by smaller increases in male share of nurses and aides
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Unlike rest of the labor market that experienced hollowing out Healthcare has seen strong growth in middle and upper-middle parts of earnings distribution Powered by fast earnings growth for nurses and midlevels (PAs, NPs, CRNAs, etc)
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Neale Mahoney @nealemahoney.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
Healthcare jobs have grown 2x faster than the overall labor market since 1980 Healthcare overtook retail to become largest industry by employment in 2009 New working paper w/ @gottliebecon.bsky.social, @kevinrinz.bsky.social and @victoriaudalova.bsky.social on the rise of healthcare jobs
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
How do insurance denials impact doctors & patients? Do prior authorizations limit drug use? Can better oversight reduce waste? Join @gottliebecon.bsky.social , @zarekcb.bsky.social, & Maggie Shi of @harrissocial.bsky.social, w/ @tessvigeland.bsky.social: bfi.uchicago.edu/insights/the...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Call for Papers: The 2025 Health Economics Initiative Annual Conference will bring together faculty, research professionals, and students to present the latest research on all topics in health econ. Submit papers by Feb. 10, 2025. @gottliebecon.bsky.social @profnoto.bsky.social ow.ly/57oe50UoGoc
ow.ly
Call for Papers: 2025 Health Economics Initiative Annual Conference - Becker Friedman Institute
On May 1-2, 2025, the Becker Friedman Institute Health Economics Initiative's annual conference will bring together faculty, research professionals, and students to present the latest research on all ...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Recently accepted by #QJE, “The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians,” by Gottlieb (@gottliebecon.bsky.social), Polyakova, Rinz (@kevinrinz.bsky.social), Shiplett, and Udalova (@victoriaudalova.bsky.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians*
Abstract. Is government guiding the invisible hand at the top of the labor market? We use new administrative data to measure physicians’ earnings and estim
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
cc SOLE / @jlaborecon.bsky.social -- thanks for a tremendously constructive conference!
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
@andrewvandam.bsky.social described some of these results for @washingtonpost.com here: www.washingtonpost.com/business/202... and understanding geographic variation: www.washingtonpost.com/business/202... and I enjoyed talking to @nejm.org about related issues: www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.... 8/8
washingtonpost.com
Analysis | The average doctor in the U.S. makes $350,000 a year. Why?
When economists published revealing data about doctor salaries, the backlash was intense. Why? And why do doctors earn so much more in America than in other countries?
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
@BeckerFriedman hosted a discussion on The Pie: bfi.uchicago.edu/podcast/the-... and wrote up an earlier version of the paper: bfi.uchicago.edu/insight/rese... as did @kevinrinz in this thread: twitter.com/kevinrinz/st... 7/8
bfi.uchicago.edu
The Hidden Economic Forces That Determine How Much You Earn | Becker Friedman Institute
How much effect do government policies have on doctors’ wages? And when those wages are high, does it drive inequality in other jobs? And how does Taylor Swift factor in? Or Beyoncé? Joshua D. Gottlie...
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
The published version is at doi.org/10.1093/qje/... Don't forget to @ my tweeting and 🟦⛅️-ing coauthors: @MariaAPolyakova @kevinrinz.bsky.social & @victoriaudalova.bsky.social 6/8
doi.org
The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians*
Abstract. Is government guiding the invisible hand at the top of the labor market? We use new administrative data to measure physicians’ earnings and estim
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
These supply responses mean that earnings are not pure rents. Not to rule out the possibility of rent-seeking in this sector, but prices seem to play meaningful roles in allocating talent and encouraging effort, despite caps on med school slots, and on training in specific specialties. 5/8
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
We show how specialty earnings differences also reflect training length, work hours, and physician ability. Earnings potential also affects labor supply, as physicians adjust treatments, retirement, and specialty choice. 4/8
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Not in the original version, and recently much improved: we examine how income changes the distribution of physician skill across specialties (proxied by test scores). We find a shift in ability distributions as income changes, including due to changing reimbursements. 3/8
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
We use tax & other administrative data to paint a picture of the physician labor market and understand how policy shapes it. We argue that government payment policy has a major influence on physician earnings: across specialties, space, and when policies change. 2/8
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
I'm delighted to share the final version of our paper "The Earnings and Labor Supply of U.S. Physicians", now out via @qjeharvard.bsky.social (May issue). You may recall its earlier title, "Who Values Human Capitalists' Human Capital?" and the lively debate it spurred on the other site. 1/8
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 04/01/2025
Driving through de-congested tunnels is W’s Veblen good
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Adam @adamshap.bsky.social · 04/01/2025
Private health insurers have approximately the same claim denial rate as Medicare, and much lower denial rate than Medicaid drive.google.com/file/d/1N1YX...
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
I look forward to seeing #EconSky in Union Square 24 in a half hour to kick off #ASSA with Healthcare Labor Markets!
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Looking forward to the Healthcare Labor Markets session on Friday at 8am. Thanks for sharing @kevinrinz.bsky.social. Health is now the largest sector of the labor market and I look forward to presenting and learning about various facets of it! Session details here: www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...
aeaweb.org
American Economic Association
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 30/12/2024
Looking forward to the Healthcare Labor Markets session on Friday at 8am. Thanks for sharing @kevinrinz.bsky.social. Health is now the largest sector of the labor market and I look forward to presenting and learning about various facets of it! Session details here: www.aeaweb.org/conference/2...
aeaweb.org
American Economic Association
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Totally Canadian… and there’s a travel for medical care angle to boot cc @tradediversion.bsky.social
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Michael Anne Kyle @handle.invalid · 12/12/2024
Re: billing complexity - @gottliebecon.bsky.social & colleagues have terrific work from the physician perspective www.healthaffairs.org/doi/pdf/10.1...
healthaffairs.org
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Michael Anne Kyle @handle.invalid · 12/12/2024
I'm referring ppl to this work by @gottliebecon.bsky.social & colleagues on billing complexity and provider (non) participation in Medicaid more & more -- raises questions about admin burden & long-run access www.gottlieb.ca/papers/Billi...
gottlieb.ca
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Becker Friedman Institute for Economics @beckerfriedman.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Call for Papers: The 2025 Health Economics Initiative Annual Conference will bring together faculty, research professionals, and students to present the latest research on all topics in health econ. Submit papers by Feb. 10, 2025. @gottliebecon.bsky.social @profnoto.bsky.social ow.ly/57oe50UoGoc
ow.ly
Call for Papers: 2025 Health Economics Initiative Annual Conference | BFI
On May 1-2, 2025, the Becker Friedman Institute Health Economics Initiative’s annual conference will bring together faculty, research professionals, and students to present the latest research on all ...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel) @tradediversion.bsky.social · 28/11/2024
"Bridging the Rural-Urban Divide in Healthcare" poole.ncsu.edu/thought-lead... Nice summary by @andrewg-phd.bsky.social and @lucadavidopromolla.bsky.social of my presentation of "Market Size and Trade in Medical Services" at their Devils and Wolves trade seminar.
poole.ncsu.edu
Bridging the Rural-Urban Divide in Healthcare
Policymakers should consider economies of scale when addressing the rural-urban healthcare gap, Poole scholars say.
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 09/11/2023
How do workers and firms sort---and how *should* they sort to maximize output? Chicago Booth PhD student Pauline Mourot's outstanding job market paper studies productivity among heart surgeons + hospitals while pushing the frontier of labor econ methods. Website: www.paulinemourot.com
paulinemourot.com
Pauline Mourot
Welcome! I am a sixth-year Ph.D student in economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. I will be on the 2023-2024 job market. My fields of interest include health economics, lab...
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 19/10/2023
I can't believe this Smith guy didn't cite us
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Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel) @tradediversion.bsky.social · 19/10/2023
Thank you to L. Alan Winters for mentioning our research in the same paragraph as Adam Smith's view on trade policy! www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 26/09/2023
Even though he failed to tag 📈📉, I hope Dingel’s post will help bring #econsky alive with research chat — trade, urban and health economists should all weigh in and repost @tradediversion.bsky.social below!
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Trade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel) @tradediversion.bsky.social · 26/09/2023
For All, the Minneapolis Fed OIGI magazine, covers our research on patients traveling across regions for medical care: www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2023... (With @gottliebecon.bsky.social Lozinski & Mourot)
minneapolisfed.org
Bring health care to people or people to health care? | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Patients drive long distances for medical care. Analyzing why has implications for how to improve access.
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 05/09/2023
Our theory predicts these effects for some occupations, but not others. The data bear these out: Occupations that don't serve specific local customers, with heterogeneous quality, don't. Read the paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w31366 (And sorry to those who have seen this already on hellsite X)
nber.org
The Spillover Effects of Top Income Inequality
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Reposted by Josh Gottlieb
Josh Gottlieb @gottliebecon.bsky.social · 05/09/2023
We develop a theory of when income inequality spills over from one occupation to another. The best-paid CEOs compete for the best, say, physicians, increasing docs' inequality. This implies a multiplier effect on total inequality. We show this multiplier is at least 25%. 4/5
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