Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Great opportunity to join @ssp-mit.bsky.social and conduct research on China's foreign and security policies! 044
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 16/09/2025SSP Director @fravel.bsky.social and Associate Professor @proftalmadge.bsky.social join the Strategic Simplicity Podcast to discuss China’s military transformation and the implications for US nuclear strategy. 🎧 strategicsimplicity.substack.com/p/part-i-of-... 132
Reposted by Taylor FravelForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 03/09/2025“Xi may well deem it necessary to fight even if the PLA is not completely prepared,” writes @fravel.bsky.social. “Since the establishment of the People’s Republic in 1949, China has usually gone to war when conditions appeared to be unfavorable.”fam.agIs China’s Military Ready for War?What Xi’s purges do—and don’t—mean for Beijing’s ambitions. 0164
Reposted by Taylor FravelCaitlin Talmadge @proftalmadge.bsky.social · 15/09/2025Delighted to have joined the Strategic Simplicity Podcast with @pranayrvaddi.bsky.social, @fravel.bsky.social, Austin Long, and Vipin Narang to discuss China's nuclear strategy! 192
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 22/07/2025“Now, as then, Chinese leaders may pursue war even if the domestic economic and political conditions appear unfavorable—and even if the PLA is not ready to fight,” writes SSP Director M. Taylor Fravel (@fravel.bsky.social) for @foreignaffairs.com. www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas...foreignaffairs.comIs China’s Military Ready for War?What Xi’s purges do—and don’t—mean for Beijing’s ambitions. 031
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 18/07/2025New essay on purges in China’s armed forces and its impact on operational readiness www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas...foreignaffairs.comIs China’s Military Ready for War?What Xi’s purges do—and don’t—mean for Beijing’s ambitions. 280
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 09/06/2025A wonderful tribute to @ssp-mit.bsky.social's dear colleague, Owen Cote networks.h-net.org/group/discus...networks.h-net.orgH-Diplo|RJISSF Tribute to the Scholarship and Legacy of Owen R. Coté, Jr. | H-NetH-Diplo | Robert Jervis International Security Studvies ForumTribute to the Scholarship and Legacy of Owen R. Coté, Jr. 020
Reposted by Taylor FravelChinaPower @chinapower.csis.org · 22/03/2025Why can a direct comparison of two countries’ defense budget be misleading? @fravel.bsky.social explains: “no two countries in their published defense budgets report spending on the exact same categories.” Learn more here:bit.lyGetting China’s Defense Spending Right | ChinaPower ProjectIn this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Taylor Fravel, Dr. George Gilboy, and Dr. Eric Heginbotham join us to discuss their recent article assessing China’s defense budget. They challenge… 052
Reposted by Taylor FravelDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 19/03/2025If you are visiting the United States, having a negative view of Trump is enough to get you denied entry. If this was coming out of Russia or China, we would deplore such an authoritarian attack on freedom of expression. 17864592890
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 19/03/2025New book alert, expertly edited by Bard Nikolas Vik Steen. Contributors include @stephenwalt.bsky.social @arkroeber.bsky.social @brunotertrais.bsky.social @fheisbourg.bsky.social myself and many more who are not yet on this channel academic.oup.com/book/59461academic.oup.comNot Just Another Cold War: The Global Implications of the US-China RivalryAbstract. This book explores how the emerging superpower rivalry between the United States and China compares to the Cold War, and what that means for the 0142
Reposted by Taylor FravelAlex Wayne @aawayne.bsky.social · 16/03/2025Exclusive: NIH officials have advised scientists to remove reference to mRNA vaccines from their grant applications, in expectation the Trump administration intends to abandon most research in the field. By @arthurallen202.bsky.social kffhealthnews.org/news/article...kffhealthnews.orgScientists Say NIH Officials Told Them To Scrub mRNA References on Grants - KFF Health NewsTwo senior scientists say National Institutes of Health officials advised them to remove references to mRNA vaccines in grant applications, and they fear the Trump administration will abandon a promis... 1532059992
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 17/03/2025What could possibly go wrongnytimes.comDOGE Cuts Reach Key Nuclear Scientists, Bomb Engineers and Safety ExpertsFirings and buyouts hit the top-secret National Nuclear Safety Administration amid a major effort to upgrade America’s nuclear arsenal. Critics say it shows the consequences of heedlessly cutting the ... 1215
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 10/03/2025“Simply put: Nuclear proliferation to both allies and adversaries dilutes the privileges of power the United States enjoys,” writes the Center for Nuclear Security Policy’s Vipin Narang and @pranayrvaddi.bsky.social with coauthor @nktpnd.bsky.social for @warontherocks.bsky.social. Read more👇🏽 0137
Reposted by Taylor FravelRisa Brooks @risabrooks12.bsky.social · 22/02/2025Firing General Brown and Admiral Franchetti is not a complete surprise to civmil watchers, but pulling this guy from retirement for chairman definitely is It’s a strong signal that promotion to top positions will require complete ideological conformity from here on out 1732191
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 15/02/2025Oppsies!cnn.comTrump officials fired nuclear staff not realizing they oversee the country’s weapons stockpile, sources say | CNNSome of the fired probationary employees included on-the-ground staff at facilities where nuclear weapons are built. 150
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 06/02/2025“If I were a nation like China, Russia or Iran, I’d be having a field day with a bunch of college kids running around with sensitive federal government data on unencrypted hard drives.”washingtonpost.comMusk’s DOGE agents access sensitive personnel data, alarming security officialsElon Musk’s DOGE team has accessed highly restricted data maintained by the Office of Personnel Management, including personally identifiable information for millions of federal employees. 091
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 25/01/2025The Center for Nuclear Security Policy (CNSP) is pleased to announce that Pranay Vaddi has joined CNSP as the inaugural Senior Nuclear Fellow. @pranayrvaddi.bsky.social most recently served as special assistant to President Biden and as senior director for Arms Control, Disarmament, and... 142
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 05/01/2025Great analysis by Evan Medeiroson.ft.comXi has a plan for retaliating against Trump’s gamesmanshipChina is marshalling its forces for long-term competition against an America that it believes is divided and in decline 080
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 21/12/2024Great opportunity for recent or soon to be college graduates 1114
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 19/12/2024The Center for Nuclear Security Policy at MIT is seeking Nuclear Security Junior Fellows to serve as research assistants for faculty, researchers, and fellows on topics related to nuclear security. Fellows will report to the director of the Center for Nuclear Security Policy. (1/2) 154
Reposted by Taylor FravelPenn Project on the Future of U.S.-China Relations @penn-us-china.bsky.social · 20/12/2024We are delighted to announce the launch of a major new initiative which draws on the approach of the Penn Project in convening, over the next 2 years, leading next generation scholars and experts on China from throughout the Asia-Pacific region. Announcement here: bit.ly/41GUPvh 176
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 06/12/2024Trump Taps Ex-Senator David Perdue for Ambassador to China 131
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 03/12/2024Final call for applications! The Security Studies Program at MIT is accepting applications for the Stanton Nuclear Security Fellows Program. Applications are accepted through December 6, 2024. Decisions will be announced in January 2025. Information & application: ssp.mit.edu/about/fellow... 143
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 28/11/2024More big news …. Miao Hua, current member of the CMC in charge of political work is under investigation on.ft.com/3ARpY4ton.ft.comChina probes top officer discipline ‘violations’Investigation into Miao Hua takes Xi Jinping’s purge of military to its highest echelons 2102
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 27/11/2024Perhaps explains why Dong was not added to the state CMC in March or the party CMC in Juneon.ft.comChina’s defence minister placed under investigation for corruptionUS officials say probe is part of wider operation to uncover graft in People’s Liberation Army 0134
Reposted by Taylor FravelHenry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 27/11/2024Before the election, @abenewman.bsky.social and I talked about how if Trump won, our arguments would become more relevant in the grimmest fucking ways possible. Here, Jonas explains why it's likely to be worse than we expected. 06640
Reposted by Taylor FravelTaylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 14/11/2024Now accepting applications! 065
Reposted by Taylor FravelSecurity Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 25/10/2024"How will the military balance of power in East Asia evolve over the next decade amid growing and intensifying competition between the United States and China?" SSP's @fravel.bsky.social & Eric Heginbotham examine this question and more in their chapter for the latest Carnegie Endowment volume.carnegieendowment.orgU.S.-China Relations for the 2030s: Toward a Realistic Scenario for CoexistenceIt has become difficult to imagine how Washington and Beijing might turn their relationship, which is so crucial to the future of world order, toward calmer waters. If there is to be any hope of doing... 023
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 23/05/2024Chinese military exercises around Taiwan have started… english.news.cn/20240523/2e8...english.news.cnPLA conducts joint military drills surrounding Taiwan Island 031
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 31/12/2023My biggest discovery in 2023? ChatBots are great for looking recipies 010
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 10/11/2023New essay with @henrihi82 (Henrik Hiim) and @langset_an (Magnus Troan) in @ForeignAffairs that draws on our earlier @Journal_IS article on China’s changing nuclear posture www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas...foreignaffairs.comChina’s Misunderstood Nuclear ExpansionHow U.S. strategy is fueling Beijing’s growing arsenal. 100
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 02/11/2023A small but important step toward a U.S.-China nuclear dialogue www.wsj.com/politics/nat...wsj.comChina, U.S. to Meet for Rare Nuclear Arms-Control TalksWashington meeting comes as concerns grow over an arms race with Beijing and Moscow 173
Reposted by Taylor FravelBonnie Glaser @bglaser.bsky.social · 29/10/2023My first post. My op-ed published in the NYT today. I lay out the reasons why a PRC attack on Taiwan is unlikely in the near term and what needs to be done to preserve the peace in the years ahead. Constructive critiques welcome. www.nytimes.com/2023/10/29/o... 45724
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 28/10/2023Biden-Xi meeting update www.wsj.com/world/u-s-ch...wsj.comU.S., China Agree in Principle to Biden-Xi SummitMeeting offers chance to reboot ties amid divisiveness over Taiwan, technology and, lately, the Middle East 013
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 27/10/2023Xinhua posts Li Keqiang's official obituary. Last two paragraphs are quite interesting (and downplayed in shorter English version), via Apple Translate: www.news.cn/politics/202... 152
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 19/10/20232023 China military report released (pdf) media.defense.gov/2023/Oct/19/...media.defense.gov 023
Taylor Fravel @fravel.bsky.social · 17/10/2023New article in The Washington Quarterly (@TWQgw) on the diplomatic, military, and economic lessons China may be learning from the war in Ukraine for a potential conflict over Taiwan. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....tandfonline.comChina’s Potential Lessons from Ukraine for Conflict over TaiwanPublished in The Washington Quarterly (Vol. 46, No. 3, 2023) 132
Reposted by Taylor FravelCullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix.bsky.social · 27/09/2023Are you/do you know an early career researcher (ABD/postdoc) interested in conflict forecasting, maritime security, and climate change? We're looking for you! Fantastic opportunity to work with the World Wildlife Fund on a cool project – PM me to learn more. And yes, we pay :-) Spread the word. 02530
Reposted by Taylor FravelLaia Balcells @laiabalcells.bsky.social · 27/09/2023Security Studies Tenure-line position (Open Rank) at Georgetown: apply.interfolio.com/132869 01514