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Fred Oswald

@foswald.bsky.social
1.5K followers 894 following 78 posts

I-O psychologist (what is that? siop.org); Scrabble(R) player; aspiring raconteur; likes/retweets may-or-may-not-be = endorsement

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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
you might find this paper to be useful (Lafleur & Greevy, 2009): www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
tandfonline.com
Introduction to Permutation and Resampling-Based Hypothesis Tests∗
A resampling-based method of inference—permutation tests—is often used when distributional assumptions are questionable or unmet. Not only are these methods useful for obvious departures from para...
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Psychonomic Society @psychonomicsociety.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
PS is excited to announce the launch of "Individual Differences in Cognition” (IDIC), an open-access journal on research in cognitive psychology, science, and neuroscience. Co-Editors-in-Chief are Andrew R.A. Conway & Michael J. Kane. Manuscripts accepted this spring. More information coming soon!
Andrew R. A. ConwayMichael J. Kane
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Dan Quintana @dsquintana.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
If you’ve ever attempted a meta-analysis, you’ll know that authors generally do a poor job reporting statistics. If you do this well, you’ll improve your chances of your work being included in a future meta-analysis.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
ergodic - I mean, ermahgerd! :D
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
and how about where recursive intuitively means not-recursive, and vice-versa :)
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
how awesome is that?! :)
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Psychological Assessment is seeking its new editor, to start receiving manuscripts in early 2027 to prepare for issues published in 2028: www.apa.org/pubs/journal... Deadline for accepting nominations is Monday, January 12, 2026, at editorsearch.apa.org @apajournals.bsky.social
apa.org
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Brian Nosek @briannosek.bsky.social · 11/10/2025
Positive counterprogramming to recent science news **The OSF is back online with a new interface** This key milestone makes OSF faster and cleaner. Also, now we can deliver more improvements efficiently and effectively. Please check it out and send feedback to support@osf.io osf.io
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Rich Lucas @richlucas.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Interested in models used to estimate lagged effects in panel data? We (@rebiweidmann.bsky.social, Hyewon Yang) have a new paper looking at patterns of stability and their implications for bias and model choice: osf.io/preprints/ps... [1/x]
osf.io
OSF
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
this page contains some useful information (links to PDFs): www.siop.org/education/fo...
siop.org
Graduate Training Program - Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology
Search Graduate Training Programs in I-O Psychology and Related Fields This database provides information about graduate-level training programs in Industrial-Organizational psychology. In addition, g...
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René Mõttus @renemottus.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Keynote speakers: @tuckerdrob.bsky.social @foswald.bsky.social Ellen Hamaker Hands-on workshops by: @tedmond.bsky.social & @ukuvainik.bsky.social (genomic analyses) @dirkwulff.bsky.social (LLMs in personality research) www.ecp22edinburgh.org/programme
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
Psychological Methods invites early-career psychologists to apply to be a 2026 Editorial Fellow. This year kicked off our EF program -- it was enriching for the EFs and rewarding for everyone involved. Let's do it again! For details: www.apa.org/pubs/journal... @apajournals.bsky.social
apa.org
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
The Department of Psychological Sciences at Rice University, partnering with the Center for African and African American Studies, invites applications for a tenure-track position at the rank of associate or full professor to begin July 1, 2026. apply.interfolio.com/172829 @ricesocsci.bsky.social
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
this just out APA Journals Policy on Generative AI: Additional Guidance www.apa.org/pubs/journal... via @apajournals.bsky.social
apa.org
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
as editor, I'm actually signing the petition myself :) == Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX == e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal @apajournals.bsky.social @akmontoya.bsky.social
chng.it
Sign the Petition
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 25/08/2025
This is a really great paper - thank you, @dingdingpeng.the100.ci and @vincentab.bsky.social!
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 25/08/2025
Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...
Models as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients into Clear Quantities

Abstract
Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear models, but is more challenging for more complex models with, for example, categorical variables, interactions, non-linearities, and hierarchical structures. Here, we introduce an alternative approach to making sense of statistical models. The central idea is to abstract away from the mechanics of estimation, and to treat models as “counterfactual prediction machines,” which are subsequently queried to estimate quantities and conduct tests that matter substantively. This workflow is model-agnostic; it can be applied in a consistent fashion to draw causal or descriptive inference from a wide range of models. We illustrate how to implement this workflow with the marginaleffects package, which supports over 100 different classes of models in R and Python, and present two worked examples. These examples show how the workflow can be applied across designs (e.g., observational study, randomized experiment) to answer different research questions (e.g., associations, causal effects, effect heterogeneity) while facing various challenges (e.g., controlling for confounders in a flexible manner, modelling ordinal outcomes, and interpreting non-linear models).
Figure illustrating model predictions. On the X-axis the predictor, annual gross income in Euro. On the Y-axis the outcome, predicted life satisfaction. A solid line marks the curve of predictions on which individual data points are marked as model-implied outcomes at incomes of interest. Comparing two such predictions gives us a comparison. We can also fit a tangent to the line of predictions, which illustrates the slope at any given point of the curve.A figure illustrating various ways to include age as a predictor in a model. On the x-axis age (predictor), on the y-axis the outcome (model-implied importance of friends, including confidence intervals).

Illustrated are 
1. age as a categorical predictor, resultings in the predictions bouncing around a lot with wide confidence intervals
2. age as a linear predictor, which forces a straight line through the data points that has a very tight confidence band and
3. age splines, which lies somewhere in between as it smoothly follows the data but has more uncertainty than the straight line.
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W. Joel Schneider @w-joel-schneider.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
Now on CRAN, ggdiagram is a #ggplot2 extension that draws diagrams programmatically in #Rstats. Allows for precise control in how objects, labels, and equations are placed in relation to each other. wjschne.github.io/ggdiagram/ar...
An arrow with a LaTeX equationTrigonometric functions and a unit circleA bivariate change model with structured residualsA hierarchical model of cognitive abilities
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Dr Madeleine Pownall @maddipow.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
​​​​​​The APA is looking for people to join the Open Science and Methodology (OSM) expert panel. Nomination deadline: September 1st 2025. nomination.apa.org?utm_campaign...
nomination.apa.org
APA Board Nominations
Call for Nominations for the APA Board of Directors and Committee for the Advancement of General Applied Psychology
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Amanda Kay Montoya @akmontoya.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
If you just got an email from APA encouraging you to come to this session, YOU SHOULD! Because the "Open Science and Methodology panel member" is ME! Come say hi! Learn about registered reports, and other awesome open science things at APA!
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
they need to change their seed every morning :)
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Pam Davis-Kean, PhD @umpamdk.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
The U-M Dept of Psych is hiring! We seek a tenure-track scholar exploring human cognition with generative AI—pushing the boundaries between biological and artificial minds. Apply at lnkd.in/eF2EXmJz
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 27/06/2025
Speer, A. B., Oswald, F. L., & Putka, D. J. (2025). Reliability Evidence for AI-Based Scores in Organizational Contexts: Applying Lessons Learned From Psychometrics. Organizational Research Methods journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Reposted by Fred Oswald
Mike Frank @mcxfrank.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
The new National Academies report on the Science and Practice of Team Science is out today: nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/2904... I was very excited to be a part of this group in order to discuss the role of open science in team science.
nap.nationalacademies.org
The Science and Practice of Team Science
Read online, download a free PDF, or order a copy in print.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
My most egocentric table by far :D (Oswald, 2020; from Big Data in Psychological Research, S. E. Woo, L. Tay, and R. W. Proctor, Eds.)
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Time for Congress to save American science … and the nation By John P. Holdren, Neal Lane | June 6, 2025 thebulletin.org/2025/06/time...
thebulletin.org
Time for Congress to save American science … and the nation
We believe the best hope for saving science and, perhaps, saving our form of democracy, is convincing at least a couple dozen Republican members of Congress that it’s up to them—that the stakes requir...
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
And to all I-O psychologists, my support for the Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology (SIOP) remains stronger than ever :) n/n
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
...supporting and developing our graduate students, collaborating on interesting research projects, strengthening our networks within and outside the university -- and being kind and thoughtful colleagues. I wish the department continued success and look forward to visiting in the future! 4/n
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
As excited as I am for this new chapter in my career, I will dearly and deeply miss all my psychology colleagues at Rice University, who over the past 17 years have positively influenced virtually all aspects of my professional life... 3/n
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
As an industrial-organizational psychologist, I will join a highly collaborative and very productive group of scholars who span multiple disciplines (e.g., education, psychology, economics, and computer science). 2/n
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Big professional and personal news to share: I've accepted a position as a professor at the UCI School of Education, effective January 2026, continuing my research on measuring skills relevant to education and the workforce. 1/n
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The Institute for Analytical Sociology @iasliu.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
🚨We’re hiring postdocs in Computational Social Science! 📍The Swedish Excellence Centre for Computational Social Science (SweCSS) 📅 Apply by June 3 🔗 liu.se/en/work-at-l...
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Join @sbs.nationalacademies.org for a webinar series on #Human-AI Teaming (HAT) to explore the future of human-AI partnerships. The first session is next week on May 28 (1-2:30pm ET). Experts will explore effective collaboration with #AI. Register: events.nationalacademies.org/45078_05-202...
events.nationalacademies.org
Future Trajectories of Human-AI Collaboration and Teaming
Register for this event from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
www.quantamagazine.org/when-chatgpt...
quantamagazine.org
When ChatGPT Broke an Entire Field: An Oral History | Quanta Magazine
Researchers in “natural language processing” tried to tame human language. Then came the transformer.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
scipost.org/JRobustRep.0...
scipost.org
SciPost: J. Robust. Rep. 0-Editorial (2025) - Introducing the Journal of Robustness Reports
SciPost Journals Publication Detail J. Robust. Rep. 0-Editorial (2025) Introducing the Journal of Robustness Reports
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Thank you, Florian! Will check this out.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
a couple of psych papers on this, in case you haven't seen 'em: link.springer.com/article/10.3... journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
link.springer.com
Mean centering helps alleviate “micro” but not “macro” multicollinearity - Behavior Research Methods
There seems to be confusion among researchers regarding whether it is good practice to center variables at their means prior to calculating a product term to estimate an interaction in a multiple regr...
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Congratulations, Tom! What a terrific accomplishment, and I'm looking forward to reading your book.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
A1 goes well with Grilled Prime Tenderloin (GPT)
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
How Not to Fool Ourselves About Heterogeneity of Treatment Effects - Paul T. von Hippel, Brendan A. Schuetze, 2025 journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
yes -- as one example of the concern (among others): datacolada.org/30
datacolada.org
[30] Trim-and-Fill is Full of It (bias) - Data Colada
Statistically significant findings are much more likely to be published than non-significant ones (no citation necessary). Because overestimated effects are more likely to be statistically significant...
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Mark Warschauer @markwarschauer.com · 07/04/2025
This is the first pub in our Generative AI in Education Cambridge Element series, which aims to quickly review & bring to the public 20,000-30,000 word overviews of important topics related to theory, research, pedagogy, and/or policy of generative AI in Education. www.cambridge.org/core/publica...
cambridge.org
Generative AI in Education
Welcome to Cambridge Core
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Amanda Kay Montoya @akmontoya.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
It's that time of year again: I'm teaching Linear Regression. As such I've updated my writing guide for linear regression. Tips and tricks for writing accurate and clear interpretations and inferences in regression. You can check it out on OSF osf.io/aeqn6
osf.io
OSF
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Introduction to Bayesian Thinking and Bayesian Modeling Workshop osf.io/gftv4/ via @cos.io by @kcourey.bsky.social @ricesocsci.bsky.social
osf.io
Introduction to Bayesian Thinking and Bayesian Modeling Workshop
Intro to Bayesian thinking and Bayesian modeling workshop materials. Hosted on the Open Science Framework
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
I feel 95% confident when I’m in there
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
it's the post-it note that is so encouraging :D
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Mine Doğucu @minedogucu.com · 10/03/2025
Happy to share that my first solo-authored paper is now published in the Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application. 📑 Reproducibility in the Classroom 🔗 www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
annualreviews.org
Reproducibility in the Classroom | Annual Reviews
Difficulties in reproducing results from scientific studies have lately been referred to as a reproducibility crisis. Scientific practice depends heavily on scientific training. What gets taught in th...
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Ian Hussey @ianhussey.mmmdata.io · 25/03/2025
Of 8 highly-cited simulation studies with over 1000 citations each: - 3 could be replicated almost perfectly - 4 partially - 1 *not at all* royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
royalsocietypublishing.org
Replicability of simulation studies for the investigation of statistical methods: the RepliSims project | Royal Society Open Science
Results of simulation studies evaluating the performance of statistical methods can have a major impact on the way empirical research is implemented. However, so far there is limited evidence of the r...
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Fred Oswald @foswald.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
teaching logistic regression this week :D
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