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Chris Fonnesbeck

@fonnesbeck.bsky.social
358 followers 220 following 249 posts

Quantitative hack, PyMC Labs

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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Tea Pain @teapainusa.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Food so good you grow an extra finger!
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Re-acquainting myself with MapQuest.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Anyone who says the caps lock key is useless has never used Claude Code.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Sander Berge should not, under any circumstances, be allowed to pass the football #FFC
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Very Fulhamish start to the season #FFC
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Obsidian sync is so bad. Why didn't anyone warn me?
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
ArviZ @arviz.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
ArviZ 1.3 has been released! 🎉 python.arviz.org/en/latest Check out the highlights 👇
python.arviz.org
ArviZ: Exploratory analysis of Bayesian models
Rank ECDF Diagnostic along the posterior’s KDE using plot_rank_dist https://arviz-plots.readthedocs.io/en/stable/api/generated/arviz_plots.plot_rank_dist.html Forest Plot with ESS using plot_forest...
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Yikes.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Southwest went from my preferred airline to being on my no-fly list in 18 months. What a shitshow that company is.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
When did breweries turn into nurseries?
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Frank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
New blog article proposing a general statement of the fundamental question a standard RCT should answer and providing robust and powerful statistical methods to answer it: www.fharrell.com/post/rctmod/ #Statistics #StatsSky #EpiSky #clinicaltrial #rct #pharma @stephensenn.bsky.social
fharrell.com
Statistical Models Answer the Fundamental Clinical Question and Provide Clinical Trial Estimands – Statistical Thinking
Specific goals and estimation targets for randomized clinical trials have still not been well defined for general outcome variables. Proponents of causal inference calculus have claimed to define goal...
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Cowardly performance from England. Astonishing.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
We shouldn't be mourning the death of this coward.
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Goldstein (still not a pseudonym) @goldstein.latinsky.app · 12/07/2026
Here is Graham gloating about "killing all the right people." Just in case you see anyone try to do the whole "we should have decency for the dead" nonsense.
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Molly Knight @mollyknight.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Nobody celebrated human death with more glee than Lindsey Graham. Nobody.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Embolo could have stayed on his feet but chose not to. 🤷
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Ryan Marino, MD @ryanmarino.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Election results:
Everyone gets a Puppy: 49.9%
Diarrhea Forever: 50.1%
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Lamentation (flipped, detail), by Gerard David, 1515-23, 📸 by Roberto Schmidt
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
If you're not prepared to get your kids vaccinated, don't have children.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
We are all Belgium. 🇧🇪
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
I will never use OpenAI models ever again if this goes through.
share.google
OpenAI in talks to give Trump administration a 5% stake in the company, FT reports | CNN Business
OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT, is reportedly discussing handing the Trump administration a 5% stake in the company amid growing government scrutiny of artificial intelligence firms.
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Justin Baragona @justinbaragona.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
TMZ DC with perhaps the most brutal video from Trump's Great American State Fair, showing Dr. Oz on stage bragging to Dean Cain about how big the crowd is, only for the reporter to pan around and show absolutely nobody is there. Original post: x.com/i/status/207...
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
I can attest to the fact that Issa Diop never does that at Fulham.
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs @pymc-labs.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
A new event-forecaster dpack just landed in decision-lab! Ask "when will X happen?" and it runs an ensemble of independent Bayesian forecasters in PyMC, returns one calibrated estimate, and never mistakes consensus for proof. GitHub Repo: git.new/Y678Uy3 #PyMC #Bayesian
git.new
decision-lab/decision-packs/event-forecaster at main · pymc-labs/decision-lab
Run tested, autonomous agent workflows on your data for meaningful decision-making - pymc-labs/decision-lab
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
This is really stupid, but the president has repeatedly claimed that Iran’s military capabilities were totally destroyed, so I feel obligated to rhetorically ask what the US is shooting at and retaliating to if Iran has no military anymore? Why does anyone indulges such transparent lies at all?
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
I think we can all agree: the group stage of the 2026 World Cup has been a gigantic waste of everyone's time.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Pretty timid performance by Canada thus far. They will deservedly lose this one.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Qatar is one of several teams that simply does not belong anywhere near a World Cup finals.
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
Athlyticz @athlyticz.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Chris Fonnesbeck, creator of PyMC, is teaching his first masterclass with us: A Beginner’s Guide to Bayesian Modeling with PyMC. Live Mon 13 July, 11:00 AM EDT (17:00 CEST). One of 10+ live sessions every month included with membership 🤩. @fonnesbeck.bsky.social athlyticz.com/membership
athlyticz.com
AthlyticZ Founding Membership · Live Data Science Training
AthlyticZ Founding Membership · Live Data Science Training · 120+ live masterclasses a year. 17 instructors from Columbia, Wharton, Apache Arrow. Posit Workbench included. Founding rate · 250 spots
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
If your mobile site looks like this, I won't block your ads--I will block your domain. Looking at you @zdnet.bsky.social
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Google Maps searches for "Cape Verde" up 1400% for some reason.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
It's cool to see Kraftwerk show up as honorary VAR officials at the World Cup.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 13/06/2026
Qatar v. Switzerland is being played in a stadium that can't be more than 25% full. Looks like a late-August Cincinnati Reds game after a 4 hour rain delay.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Fuck hydration breaks #wc2026
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Man City fans should be forced to sign it before being allowed to buy season tickets.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Time to stop fucking around with open weight models. Not worth the trouble.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
My port of Wes Bos' peerless Cobalt2 theme to vim! github.com/fonnesbeck/c...
github.com
GitHub - fonnesbeck/cobalt2-nvim: Port of Wes Bos' Cobalt2 theme to NeoVim
Port of Wes Bos' Cobalt2 theme to NeoVim. Contribute to fonnesbeck/cobalt2-nvim development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
CBS is slowly and steadily (ok maybe quickly and steadily) circling the drain, and I am here for it.
nytimes.com
Paramount+ stream of Scottish Premiership title decider fails for U.S. viewers
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
More shitty teams -- can't wait! www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/m...
theguardian.com
March Madness tournaments to expand to 76 teams from next season
The NCAA announced on Thursday that it will expand its two March Madness tournaments by eight teams each next season, a long-expected move
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs @pymc-labs.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
An uncalibrated #MMM can get ROAS direction wrong, not just magnitude. We walk through prior predictive checks, ROAS parametrization, saturation likelihoods, and where lift tests break down. Full recording available on youtube : dub.sh/oAjXCiG #MMMCalibration #BayesianModeling
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
the beggars out of here getter @milesklee.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
please nuke us
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
🇭🇺🇪🇺
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
Hot take: all the City Connect uniforms are dreadful. All of them.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
Its not wild, its the perfect encapsulation of America.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
You could argue that teams with massive negative goal differences don't belong in the playoffs.
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Why do software companies assume Linux users want .deb installers?
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Reposted by Chris Fonnesbeck
PyMC Labs @pymc-labs.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Most data scientists learn Bayesian stats from textbooks. Few get to learn from the people who built the library. This June, @fonnesbeck.bsky.social Niall Oulton & Robert Zinkov are running a 2.5-day hands-on PyMC workshop in London. Reserve your spot: dub.link/oaudJAt
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
I'm looking forward to teaching this. I do love the small-group, in-person format. If you can get yourself to London (or are already there), come join us!
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Very exciting!
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Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Of all the vile things Trump has done, this is what will finally topple him.
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