Chris Fonnesbeck @fonnesbeck.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Yikes.The Economist@economist.comThe probability of Democrats winning Michigan’s Senate seat in November has fallen to 48% on our prediction model, following Abdul El-Sayed’s nomination. Discover whybit.lyRepublicans are the real winners of Michigan’s primaryThree reasons why our midterm prediction model sees Abdul El-Sayed as a relatively weak candidate 010
