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Estelle Platini

@estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy
3 followers 2 following 33 posts

I discuss entanglement, beliefs, entitlement. (I purposely do not propagate news.) Banner: sepia photo of a 26-year-old facing the camera – Hannah Arendt, Europe, 1933 🌉 bridged from ⁂ techhub.social/@estelle, follow @ap.brid.gy to interact

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Reposted by Estelle Platini
Eric Maugendre about data @maugendre.hachyderm.io.ap.brid.gy · 05/10/2026
Here are considerations for statisticians and scientists, about system thinking and onboarding context 🧵 #liveability #Cybernetics #inference #modeling #modelling #complexity #systems #generalization #statistics #models #ML #evolvability #doubleDescent #overfitting #overparameterization #stats […]
hachyderm.io
Original post on hachyderm.io
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 03/10/2026
Disruption requires care. Disruption shifts burden to the opponent. 🧶 #EstelleSays #joy #activism #strategy #movement #movements
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Eric Maugendre about carbon @maugendre.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 27/09/2026
#Forests need sustainable management and strengthening Indigenous rights and resources. “She realized that, you know, the people were also a very important part of the complex forest relationships,” Erica Gies says. “Which is much more of a reciprocity kind of mentality. If you take, you also […]
mas.to
Original post on mas.to
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 20/09/2026
In an interview with state-owned magazine China Newsweek, climate envoy Liu Zhenmin said in response to a question about China’s climate leadership that the calls are just “the west giving us a ‘tall hat’” – an expression meaning trying to flatter #China. (reported by @anikanpatel.carbonbrief.org)
163.com
网易
传习录丨持续做大做强先进制造业
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Estelle Platini @estelle.eurosky.social · 17/09/2026
“The authoritarian practices required by fossil capital in the global south were often geographically separated from liberal forms of governance in the West. This made it possible for many… to remain ignorant of their complicity in fossil authoritarianism.” from Cara Daggett’s “Petromaskulinität”
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Estelle Platini @estelle.eurosky.social · 16/09/2026
Beit-Hallahmi explained the paradox of convergence of antisemites & Zionists: “One can detest Jews and love Israelis, because Israelis somehow are not Jews. Israelis are colonial fighters and settlers, just like Afrikaners. They are tough & resilient. They know how to dominate. Jews are different.”
africasacountry.com
Apartheid South Africa and Apartheid Israel
Apartheid South Africa and Israel had a close relationship from the inception of the latter. Postapartheid, there are attempts to reverse that.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.eurosky.social · 11/09/2026
British producer Afua Hirsch reflects on her experience making "Africa Rising". It proved a frustrating experience because of the insistence from execs at the BBC that she frame African art and culture through poverty, conflict, and crisis rather than celebration, creativity, and possibility.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.eurosky.social · 11/09/2026
The word #شهيد, shaheed, "carries connotations not only of seeing, but of presence and proximity. To be a witness is to make contact, to be touched, and to bear the marks of this touch." Martyrs' flesh "makes visible the wild injustice they endured." respondcrisistranslation.org/en/newsb/202...
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 11/09/2026
Q: If the UK doesn’t produce the oil and gas, won’t somebody else simply produce it and sell it to us? A: No. How come you ask? climateuncensored.com/there-is-no-a… by Kevin Anderson @kevinclimate.bsky.social #Jackdaw #Rosebank #UKPol […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
The UK government ceasing automatically to support almost anything the government of Israel does is a major shift. The next step should be to rescind the ban on #PalestineAction, to stop treating protesters as terrorists, and to acknowledge that those seeking to disrupt a genocide may have a point.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 09/09/2026
"Why are our prime ministers more afraid of a few wealthy people than they are of losing office?" Read @georgemonbiot.bsky.social: www.monbiot.com/2026/09/08/self-dis…
monbiot.com
Self-Disposal
Why are our prime ministers more afraid of a few wealthy people than they are of losing office? By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 2nd September 2026 Damn the electorate. They’re so impatient. No sooner do they get a new leader than they want another one. Those ingrates are _already_ starting to grumble about Andy Burnham. Maybe the country is becoming ungovernable. Perhaps it’s social media. Or a consumerist culture, always picking the next shiny thing. Perhaps we’re addicted to drama. As we’re on our sixth prime minister in 10 years, and as similar levels of discontent surface in many other countries, these claims are recited across the media. What’s wrong with us? Yet our disgruntlement is entirely rational. We give up so quickly on our prime ministers because they give up so quickly on us. Though it may involve different issues, it is always the same betrayal: the public interest is sacrificed for the sake of a tiny number of immensely wealthy people. And it tends to happen almost immediately. The latest example, which has triggered both fury and grim resignation, is Burnham’s backtracking on his intention to cap political donations. It was hardly a radical policy: he proposed that no person would be able to give more than £500,000 to a political party in one year. That would still have granted the very wealthy disproportionate influence over our politics. I have long believed that the only fair system is one in which there should be no private donations at all beyond a standard, fixed membership fee. Otherwise voters will always take second place to money. But at the moment there is no cap, which ensures that billionaires can buy political parties and their platforms. So a £500,000 maximum, pathetic as it is, is at least a start. In a subsequent pledge, Burnham suggested that it could gradually be lowered. Now, we are told, even this high cap has been abandoned: the representation of the people bill will concentrate instead on introducing Keir Starmer’s risible proposals, which are intended to limit donations sent from abroad but not from within the UK: as if billionaire donors and their wealth managers have no expertise in transferring money from one account to another. The loopholes are designed in. Burnham’s buckling on this issue is not a small matter. It cuts to the quick of what this country is and how it works. It has immense implications for democracy, for policy formation and for every other aspect of civic life. What it means is that the ultra-rich will continue to own our politics and our country. Succumb to the power of money and you will find yourself, like Starmer, tongue-tied and immobilised, unable to rise to any challenge that requires a confrontation with oligarchic might. In other words, get this wrong and every other wrong thing follows. The official reason for Burnham’s U-turn is that trade unions objected: they have long channelled large sums into the Labour party. I doubt this is the real explanation; most of the donations Burnham received for his leadership campaign came from large private donors. Almost half was supplied by Lord Sainsbury, who was also a major funder of the Starmer project. Union money scarcely featured. But even if Burnham _has_ retreated from his promise for the sake of the unions, I believe trade union funding is also problematic. It ensures that sectoral interests are elevated above the general interest. For example, Labour governments know they can safely bash benefit recipients, who aren’t unionised, while they tread very carefully – far too carefully in my view – around the interests of oil workers. And if the unions believe that an uncapped system works for them, they are deluded. They can never match the spending power of billionaires, whose interests in most cases are diametrically opposed to those of their members. The power of the ultra-rich is now manifest in every policy governments do adopt and don’t adopt. We see it in the new protest laws and their applications, which become more absurd by the week. A few days ago, seven protesters who painted “Gaza is not 4 sale” on Donald Trump’s Turnberry golf course in Scotland were charged with malicious damage “having a terrorist connection”. Labelling protesters “terrorists” is part of a long-running programme to ensure that no one dares protest about anything any more. This programme has been rolled out across the world, through model legislation drawn up by junktanks funded by some of the richest people on Earth. Just as it did in the 18th century, an ever more extreme defence of property keeps pace with a growing concentration of wealth. We see it in the way that datacentres have been labelled “critical national infrastructure”, enabling the government to bypass the usual planning process and impose them on communities, regardless of their impacts on local people’s quality of life, on water resources, energy supply and climate breakdown. Again, similar measures are being imposed in other countries at the behest of the same billionaire-funded groups. The role of governments appears to have been reduced to nodding them through. We see it in the Burnham government’s insistence this summer, in the midst of shattering droughts, heatwaves and fires, on launching a consultation that proposes radically curtailing the transition to electric vehicles. I believe there is only one possible explanation for this policy: lobbying by corporations and their shareholders. Their interests appear to outweigh those of the living planet and its 8 billion people. If our country and many others are becoming ungovernable, it is not because of the people. It is because the ultra-rich have smashed the system. The electorate and the MPs who might seek to represent us pull the political levers, but nothing happens. They might replace the leader, but the new one promptly repeats the “mistakes” that caused the eviction of the old one. It makes you wonder: what threat do the oligarchs present that outweighs even the threat of losing power? Whatever the reason may be, disillusionment is an inevitable result of such betrayals. I think most people want stability. I think most people want to be able to trust their governments. We don’t like in-built obsolescence in our leaders any more than like it in our phones. I don’t want to see Burnham go the way of Starmer. But I know he will succeed only if he defends the public interest against the power of money. So what’s stopping him? www.monbiot.com ### Share this: * Share on X (Opens in new window) X * Share on Facebook (Opens in new window) Facebook * Share on Threads (Opens in new window) Threads * Share on Bluesky (Opens in new window) Bluesky * Share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window) LinkedIn *
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Reposted by Estelle Platini
Carole Cadwalladr @carolecadwalla.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
NEW: French researcher Stephanie Lamy exposes the network of “race realists” who hunted Jason Arday like prey, and the media that fell into his trap. If you think the news cycle has “moved on” from this story, ask yourself why? broligarchy.substack.com/p/the-killin...
broligarchy.substack.com
The killing of a black man
A French researcher exposes the network of “race realists” who hunted Jason Arday like prey and the media who fell into their trap
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 31/08/2026
Here I spin a yarn about transphobia. 🧶 #beliefs #gender #transmisogyny #transphobia #transFeminism #trans #transRightsAreHumanRights #EstelleSays
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 31/08/2026
Here I spin a yarn about an efficient method of using orientalism to support israel. 🧶 #unitary #normalization #normation #normal #normativity #school #secularism #neutrality #education #hijab #bioPolitics #bioPower #islamophobia #racism #raceMaking #systemicRacism #France #Europe […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 21/08/2026
Let me start a thread on nature restoration, rewilding, reforestation 🧵 #adaptation #mitigation #carbon #carbonSinks #restoration #rewilding #reforestation #land #wetlands #rewetting #deterrence #prevention #drought #droughts #wildfires #heatwaves #landSink
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Bruce Sterling @bruces @bruces.mastodon.social.ap.brid.gy · 16/08/2026
*I know that people practice anti-Chinese industrial espionage, but it's unusual to boast in English about it euromaidanpress.com/2026/08/13/mich…
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 18/08/2026
Here is a small sample of institutional push for more fossil energies. 🧵 #development #growth #banks #fossilFuels #oilAndGas #valuation #markets #energy #money #carbon #flaring #methane #WorldBank #Russia #Texas #USPol #emissions #extractivism #imperialism
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 18/08/2026
… The World Bank wishes for more investment in methane gas infrastructure. 🔥 The World Bank cites the USA as progress. The language is deliberate:
World Bank HIGHLIGHTS
• A missed opportunity of historic scale. The 167 bcm of gas flared in 2025 exceeds the volume of LNG (liquified natural gas) that transited the Persian Gulf last year; a resource large enough to equal the gas consumption of Africa, yet burned without benefit.
• The economics demand action. The gas wasted in 2025 was worth an estimated US$54 billion. Eliminating routine flaring globally would require US$70–100 billion in upfront investment, roughly twice what is currently being lost each year. Yet despite the tools needed to end routine flaring being well established, it persists; what holds back progress is not technical but structural — inadequate regulation, insufficient capital, limited market infrastructure, and a failure by operators and governments to treat reduction as a priority.
• Progress is possible. Kazakhstan has cut flaring by 87 percent since 2012, and the United States made the largest absolute reduction of any country in 2025. Proven solutions exist. What is needed is the commitment to deploy them.

Excerpt from https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/gasflaringreduction/publication/2026-global-gas-flaring-tracker-report
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 16/08/2026
Here is a thread on #forests #degradation due to #climateChange (itself due to #carbon emissions) 🧵 #ecology #science
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 08/08/2026
The EU's adaptation framework offers an illusion of preparation. Laying out plans for a 3°C drift average does not make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. 🧵 Europe is not even preparing for what happened recently! In the pine plantations west of Bordeaux, firefighters met the first […]
social.coop
Original post on social.coop
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 15/08/2026
I am starting to unroll a yarn on imaginaries: growth versus care 🧶 #imaginaries #beliefs #progress #polycrisis #commoditization #commodification #faith #hope #conversion #reconversion #climateMitigation #emissions #ecologicalTransition #transition #energyTransition #lockIns #power #knowledge […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 09/08/2026
Society must anticipate: prepare not for this year's climate but for the future climates. 🧵 #futures #risks #risk #riskManagement #riskAssessment #livability #habitability #climatePolicy #policy #adaptation #plantations #forestry #climateDrift #climateChange #climateFailure #climateCollapse […]
social.coop
Original post on social.coop
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 25/07/2026
"Rather than believe the women he had collaborated with, and so be forced to revise his image of the respectable men in his midst, he chose to maintain that respectability by refusing the validity of his own observations." Mandy Brown @aworkinglibrary […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 10/08/2026
"Uncertainties in future food security will remain large." "Out of 42 models, 10 models show climate outcomes at a 2 °C warming that are well beyond the multimodel mean at 4 °C of global warming (Fig. 3b). This stresses the need for a careful assessment of their […] [Original post on social.coop]
Extreme climate outcomes for droughts across breadbaskets worldwide

"The considered breadbaskets cover most of the global maize, wheat, soybean and rice productions."

a, Multimodel mean of the projected frequency of annual soil moisture droughts in a 2 °C warmer world relative to preindustrial conditions (1851–1900), that is, ΔDrought frequency.

b, Left orange bar: the global climatic impact-driver f used to identify climate outcomes, that is, ΔDrought frequency averaged over global breadbasket regions (areas shown in c), computed for individual climate models in a 2 °C world (the black thick line shows the multimodel mean).
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 09/08/2026
"Climate change which is linked to our predatory and unsustainable lifestyles is emerging." We need to quit management and embrace conversion. "The priority no longer is to return to normal, it is to change". There are worldviews to transform. Listen to @cassouman40.bsky.social in French:
radiofrance.fr
Christophe Cassou face à l’été cataclysmique : vivre ce que l’on a passé sa vie à annoncer
Les incendies et les canicules à répétition depuis la fin du printemps ne sont qu’un avant-goût de ce nous vivrons dans quelques étés. C’est ce dont les scientifiques nous alertent depuis longtemps. C...
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 27/07/2026
Accepting a hypothesis depends on the importance of being mistaken. It can be considered a judgment with ethics attached. Without accounting for multiple values and preferences in policy design, scientific insights risk becoming politicized, potentially reinforcing dominant parties’ interests in […]
social.coop
Original post on social.coop
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 27/07/2026
"Most attempts to quantify health burdens associated with future climate change consider modest increases in global temperature, typically less than 2°C." "In prediction you ask first what is most likely to happen. In risk assessment you ask first what we care most about."
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 28/06/2026
"The EU's done climate change the economist's way, #pricing #CO2 emissions & incentivising global adoption. "But it's outflanked by China's greentech mercantilism, developed mainly for non-environmental reasons, & Trump's accidental Iran war carbon price hike." archived from FT: archive.is/DXmqh
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Eric Maugendre about carbon @maugendre.mas.to.ap.brid.gy · 29/07/2026
“Rapidly melting Antarctic ice shelves may cause global sea levels to rise far faster than expected – new study” “Current climate models do not capture this effect... This means that they risk underestimating the sensitivity the ‘cold’ ice shelves along Eastern Antarctica’s coastline to small […]
mas.to
Original post on mas.to
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Herefordrob @herefordrob.mindly.social.ap.brid.gy · 27/07/2026
@estelle @aworkinglibrary I am thinking of moral injury as result of reading The article by Judith Herman. I am not reducing the trauma of sexual abuse but am sidetracked by patriarchy as maintaining and creating collective trauma. "A person who grossly violates what they believe is right may […]
mindly.social
Original post on mindly.social
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 23/07/2026
"I think a lot of people have this weird idea that they need to never express a lack of knowledge. Fake it till you make it? This is very wrong! Simply recognizing when you don't know something is one of the most essential skills on the path to actually knowing what the hell you're talking about […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Eric Maugendre on adapting @eric.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 26/07/2026
"Water, food and a decent temperature range are needed for our survival. […] We can act consequently." data.yt/kit/water-food-and-temperat… Would you know a person born around 1950 and who would have lived in NYC in the late 1970's? I am looking […] [Original post on social.coop]
Audre Lorde sitting and pointing her left index finger. Her right hand holds a microphone. So she probably is smiling at a person in an audience.

Photograph unknown but the style is that of K. Kendall.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 23/07/2026
'“I was down there on the hottest day ever recorded in 2020. Hiking up a glacier in my T-shirt, driving boats without gloves…” […] “Very often… the penguins had maybe a few hours’ break during the night. Otherwise there were hundreds of people walking through the colonies non-stop.”' […] 'While […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 23/07/2026
'Applying an identical rule to unequal starting points does not produce a fair outcome. It simply reproduces existing advantage and calls it consistency.' 'We asked him to reconsider, and set out why a flat, one-size-fits-all deadline disadvantages […] [Original post on techhub.social]
equality vs equity, a cartoon by Angus Maguire
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 22/07/2026
Temperate #forests store more carbon in the ground than above ground. Mean #carbon storage in China's forest ecosystems was 25.8% for aboveground biomass, 5.9% for belowground biomass, 2.1% for dead mass, and 66.2% for soil organic C in the 0–100 cm soil layer. Peng et al. doi.org/10.1002/ece3...
a river across the Desert Poplar Forest, Luntai County, Xinjiang Province

The poplar trees live for three thousand years and don’t fall down for three thousand years after they die. When they fall, they still don’t decompose for another three thousand years. Poplars grow steadily in this region due to their unique hardy nature. Luntai County in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region is located along the southern side of Tianshan and along the north of the Tarim Basin. This area is home to the world’s largest, most densely distributed, and best surviving “Tertiary Period Living Fossils.” Luxuriant trees stand shoulder to shoulder with branches interlocked to form the unique scenery.
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 18/07/2026
The weathers, they are a-changing. We can make sense of pattern evolution. I am starting a thread about Europe's new #climate conditions. 🧵 (You may read stories in the "ALT" descriptions.)
The chart is temperatures plotted against years (from 1940 to 2026).
It graphs temperatures averaged over four weeks in European France since 1940 [the month Pétain made his first broadcast to the French people].
A curve in red is made from statistical regression (loess method: smoothness determined with cross-validation) to build a statistical central trend.

We may look at the difference between monthly index and trend:
The red point represents the average of mid-June to mid-July 2026. Its high position is not absurd: it shows within the distribution of variability around the trend.
June 1976 and 2003 were outliers, "black swan" like, events: June and mid-June to mid-July 2003 were 3.7 °C away from the trend, when 2026 June is only 1.7°C.
The same kind of extreme period this year would have shown an average at 2°C more.

The calculations and graph were made by Denis Mongin‬ ‪@denismongin.bsky.social‬
The above comments were built from his. Below comments come from me.

Incidently you may note that 2022 was the year the French President said "Mais qui aurait pu prédire ?" and the monthly index exactly is at the trend curve.

Data was mangled by averaging over the month. This has the benefit of showcasing a general enhancement: across the country, day and night.
Data was uploaded from weather stations located in Europe. The method was chosen by the national weather service.
The method purposely excludes weather stations located in France but not in Europe – such as Guyane, a territory neighbour to the Amazon basin.

Florent Malouda was born in Guyane. He is one of the greatest wingers in the history of the Chelsea football club. Malouda represented the France national football team on 80 occasions from 2004 to 2012.

Among the players selected for the 2026 FIFA World Cup is Mike Maignan. He plays as the goalkeeper for and captains Serie A club AC Milan. Mike Maignan was born in French Guiana, to a Haitian mother and a Guadeloupean father.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 19/07/2026
"Imperfection is not a failure but a method. […] Putting down what you know, what you suspect, and what you are not yet sure about often turns out to be the fastest route to clarity. The act of spelling out what you mean, imperfect as it is, creates the conditions for the next step." "The […]
techhub.social
Original post on techhub.social
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Raphael Mimoun רפאל מימון @raph.social.coop.ap.brid.gy · 11/07/2026
I know it's old news but the radicalization of Israeli society remains shocking to me, perhaps because I see it from up close. Growing up, never in a million years would anyone call the West Bank "Judea and Samaria". Now my *secular* relatives in Israel exclusively say Judea and Samaria, and […]
social.coop
Original post on social.coop
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chuls @chuls.mastodon.world.ap.brid.gy · 12/07/2026
"The idea that creative endeavor and mind-altering substances are entwined is one of the great pop-intellectual myths of our time. The four twentieth-century writers whose work is most responsible for it are probably Hemingway, Fitzgerald, Sherwood Anderson, and the poet Dylan Thomas." (1/🧵 ) […]
mastodon.world
Original post on mastodon.world
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 12/07/2026
Description and notification do not prevent sexual violence against children. What is efficient includes: * building community; * empowering children; * school-based behavioural change programs; * self-defense training. "What works to prevent sexual violence […] [Original post on techhub.social]
Awareness-raising campaigns (national): no effectMandatory reporting: conflicting
Notification of juveniles: harmfulTherapeutic approaches for survivors: effective
Therapy for child/youth offenders: effectiveschool-based behavioral change programs: effective
self-defense training: effective
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 12/07/2026
Why Do So Many Museums Hold a Convicted Antiquity Dealer’s Treasures? Erin L. Thompson: hyperallergic.com/why-do-so-many-mu… #antiquities #smuggling #Geneva #Syria #Lebanon
hyperallergic.com
Why Do So Many Museums Hold a Convicted Antiquity Dealer’s Treasures?
After The Met returned a Roman bust connected to Phoenix Ancient Art, the question of what will happen to other works sold by the gallery to dozens of US institutions remains open.
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Estelle Platini @estelle.techhub.social.ap.brid.gy · 11/07/2026
There is a project to build above an institution that coerced unwed mothers. It would erase unresolved & enduringly harmful past. "Bessborough was one of the largest, longest functioning and highest mortality rates of any Mother & Baby Home, it holds secrets that have not even been touched yet." 🧶
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Richard Michael Blaber @rmblaber1956.mastodon.social.ap.brid.gy · 11/07/2026
foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/10/cia-hi…. How NOT to launch a clandestine mission! Kim Philby didn't need to betray ANY of it, it was so badly organised! "Far from the buttoned-up, bureaucratized #spying of the later #ColdWar period, the […]
mastodon.social
Original post on mastodon.social
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Eric Maugendre @data.yt · 21/06/2026
Study: methane gas emissions would be reduced by about 20 % in ten years if stopping bovine livestock. A climate policy could be to generalize the current practice of turning male calves into steers. doi.org/10.5281/zeno...
Lines of moderate ascend plus a spillway curve from above 170,000 to above 120,000 Gg CH₄/year. In ten years, methane emissions from agriculture activities are cut in two if bovine stop.

Figure shows methane emissions at a slight trough in 2027. The dent in methane emissions is due to a disruption in the delivery of fossil fuels from March 2026 (itself due to the Persian Gulf production being put offline by war).

Figure also shows curves of moderate ascend, drifted from current emissions, current activities, technical promises. Each year, the CH₄ production is similar in cases "CH₄ drift", "as usual", "tech potential", "factory cap". You could say that mitigation only goes so far.

Bovine stop would be a dramatic policy. It has its contribution fall from full to null over time. The figure shows a spillway curve falling by 60 Tg CH₄/year: emissions would diverge if bovine husbandry was curtailed.

After ten years of intervention, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention. We can see that bovine cessation would bring a throughput abatement of almost 80 Tg/year in ten years. This amount can be represented at 20 % of all methane emissions from activities if they are forecast at 400 Tg.
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