iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

MIT Press @mitpress.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

In "The Carbon Wave," climate advocate @leahstokes.bsky.social chronicles the turbulent path of the largest climate law in American history alongside policy wonk Sonia Aggarwal in the White House, and DC insider Adrian Deveny in the Senate: lnkd.in/e_a34nCt

A copy of "The Carbon Wave: A Story of Democracy, Parenthood, and the Race to Protect Our Planet" by Leah C, Stoke on a white background. The cover features stylized waves in blues, purples, and greens.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

For me I can safely say that trail riding with a hard tail is just not something I’d consider doing after experiencing full suspension. Latter just unlocks so much more joy on the trail. And I’m not even talking about advanced trails. But I’m a noob. YMMV.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

These are all traits of terrible forecasters.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

Europe can build a lot of renewables without getting into grid issues. What’s also worth noting here is that private investors must have known this all along. That this hasn’t yet happened means there are barriers to investment beyond the grid.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

Woah so hard to say but I guess I can do worse than Gibbon's History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire.

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

Kevin J. Kircher @kevinjkircher.com · 05/07/2026

Now that millions of electric vehicles have been on the road for a decade or more, we have the data to check in on how their batteries are holding up. Quite well, it turns out.

wsj.com

EV Batteries Are Defying Expectations After Hundreds of Thousands of Miles

Industry experts think newfound knowledge of battery durability is a game-changer for consumer confidence in EVs.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

This is a rather weird fourth. I fell in love with America, the country where it doesn’t matter where you are from. It saddens me how much we’ve regressed, but I also believe that that America as an idea is still alive.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

Yeah the energy twitter community got owned by the network effect.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

I agree that getting more empirical grounding on firmness will be useful.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

The firmness is not addressed by different capacity factors. LCOE is just inherently the wrong tool here. The real question is whether a system with a specific set of resources is cheaper than another. Not the cost difference b/n resources with different capabilities and thus different system values

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

Solar plus storage does not have the same availability (firmness if we are being precise) does it? Are you not comparing apples to oranges?

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research @mitceepr.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

Least-cost electrification plans have become more sophisticated. This working paper proposes an integrated regulatory–financial framework. Universal access becomes bankable when planning, regulation and financing are integrated. ceepr.link/4lc8Ysm

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

Elle Cordova @ellecordova.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

Famous authors asking you out

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

On paths, I have been wondering if it's worth reallocating efforts to those pockets of the country where evidence-based decision making still happens to a sufficiently constructive degree?

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Ok thanks I see more of what you mean now! Do agree that cost-minimization has been used normatively, though I think the best examples of it are when such studies retain a positive stance of "if society wants cost-min, here is how".

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

Exactly. And regarding shuffling, in the long term if we manage to build a lot of renewables, the valuable part of the hydro will be the storage power capacity (there is already a lot of energy storage capacity), so shuffling of hydro energy should decline as a concern.

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

Pete Sikora @petesikora.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

TODAY: New York City’s entire electric grid just got about 20% more renewable power. That’s because it’s the first day the CHPE transmission project is sending commercial power to New York City's electric grid. 👏👏👏 Lower prices! Less pollution! HUGE!

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

I do appreciate you bringing this up because the severity of the problem you are pointing to is truly immense and we all have to grapple with it.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Not sure I fully understand what you mean. That scientists should turn advocates? As much as I agree with the premise I don't agree with that conclusion. Yeah it's bleak, but there are a few different paths here.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

If those authors did believe in that as a BAU, there is no argument that they should update (and should have a while back).

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

Yes definitely a stronger claim, I agree. About those papers, there are other things that go into picking a scenario beyond genuine beliefs about BAU (nothing nefarious per se but it's a convenient anchor that can obviate the need to sit and think about what the BAU should be).

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

Matt Burgess @matthewgburgess.bsky.social · 29/01/2026

Hi everyone! I'm new to Bluesky. I'm an economist who studies growth, political polarization and the environment. Here are recent summaries of some of the things I'm working on: Long-run growth patterns and their implications: guidedcivicrevival.substack.com/p/regular-ec...

guidedcivicrevival.substack.com

Regular economic development patterns with seismic implications

Global economic development has progressed with several highly regular patterns for more than half a century. These patterns may change, but their implications deserve much more attention and respect.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

Thanks for clarifying! I suppose my nitpicking here is about the framing around the commonality of 8.5 use as BAU which is is quite contestable (eg below). I probably would have instead asked what a fair prior and update would have been. bsky.app/profile/stev...

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

So is your point then that the removal of 8.5 constitutes an update about the true distribution? That’d be an interesting argument. Or is it “8.5 projections should now be 4.5 projections” which I think we’ve known already.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Yeah I am in (a) though I'd sharpen it by amending it to something like "the presence of 8.5 among the set of scenarios chosen to be included in those particular assessments"

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

no brain, only alison @alisonborealis.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

A child on a bicycle on the sidewalk next to a gigantic pickup truck that's parked backed up to the sidewalk, wheels directly on the curb and tail and trailer hitch hanging over more than half the sidewalk. The child on their bike is shorter than the truck's closed tailgate.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

H/T @laurentfranckx.bsky.social for reposting and making me aware of this blog post.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

And when I sad "not a credible projection of impacts" above I meant not a credible best-guess/central/baseline/etc projection. Of course it did have utility as a what-if scenario projecting outcomes under a very specific edge-case set of assumptions.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

I guess this is about semantics? I read your statement as a Bayesian update of expected outcomes when you meant, I think, that projections between the two sets of scenarios differ.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

The former was not a credible projection of impacts to begin with (rather it was useful e.g. for the purposes of modeling sensitivities and ranges). In other words, in Bayesian terms, my expectation of impacts did not shift with the retirement of RCP8.5.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 26/05/2026

Appreciate the nuance! "does substantially revise down our projections of some impacts" surprised me. If I understand correctly, what you are saying here is that moving from RCP/SSP5-8.5 to RCP/SSP2-4.5 reduces estimated impacts (depending on elasticities), which is fair of course, but ...

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

As an American immigrant from Bulgaria, I thought I left this graft and corruption behind. Apparently not.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

Another reason I write and advise others to is that *writing is thinking*. It is a process by which we learn what we do not yet fully understand, and a way to sharpen our thinking.

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Emil Dimanchev @emildimanchev.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

Slightly diminish a book: As I Lay Drying

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Reposted by Emil Dimanchev

Jonathan Buonocore @jjbuonocore.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

I was on a flight and I watched an interesting documentary about the Straight of Hormuz

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