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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social

@ejwagenmakers.bsky.social
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Alex Holcombe @alexh.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
For learning and doing theoretical physics, AI was great until it was not thetheorygirlie.substack.com/p/ai-was-gre... ; it magnifies some of the problems with academia
thetheorygirlie.substack.com
AI was great until it was not.
A cautionary tale.
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Cam Hostinar, Ph.D. @camhostinar.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
I am pleased to announce the launch of our new diamond open access journal Psychology Across Development (accepting submissions starting today!). We are a lifespan developmental journal. (1/3) escholarship.org/uc/psycdev
escholarship.org
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simine vazire @simine.com · 07/10/2026
Another special issue at Psych Science! We invite “submissions that advance the field through critical appraisal of articles previously published by Psychological Science” Please share! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
psychologicalscience.org
Special Issue Call for Submissions: “Appraising the Foundations of Psychological Science”
Editors: Tom Beckers and Heather UrryOne way a journal can earn its reputation for quality is to take active steps to vet the articles that appear within its pages after publication. To that end, Psyc...
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Pepijn van Erp @pepijnvanerp.nl · 02/10/2026
En daar is de eerste prijs van het seizoen al binnen voor @afcajax.bsky.social. Gefeliciteerd! www.kwakzalverij.nl/nieuws/ajax-...
kwakzalverij.nl
Ajax wint Meester Kackadorisprijs 2026
Voetbalclub Ajax is de winnaar van de Meester Kakcdorisprijs vanwege zijn recent gesloten sponsorovereenkomst met supplementenbedrijf Vitakruid.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Het gaat om een 10-puntsschaal, en alleen de frequentie van de score "1" is gerapporteerd. Het kan prima zijn dat de bevolking als geheel zelfs richting lagere cijfers is opgeschoven. Een dynamisch model voor de complete 10-punts data zou een goed idee zijn.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Post: Why the One-Sided P-Value Does not Actually Test the Null-Hypothesis With a pretty slick html app www.bayesianspectacles.org/why-the-one-...
bayesianspectacles.org
Why the One-Sided P-Value Does not Actually Test the Null-Hypothesis
It has long been known that the frequentist one-sided p-value from Null-Hypothesis Statistical Testing can be interpreted as a poor person’s Bayesian posterior probability. Specifically, the …
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ingmarvisser.bsky.social @ingmarvisser.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
This was a fantastic team effort across 30+ labs 🌍 Paper (open access), data & code all public. > 📄 doi.org/10.1111/desc... > 💻 github.com/manybabies/m... > #ManyBabies #InfantCognition #OpenScience #DevSci, lead team: Andreea Geambaşu, Melanie Soderstrom, and Claartje Levelt
doi.org
ManyBabies 3: A Multi‐Lab Study of Infant Algebraic Rule Learning
The ability to learn and apply rules lies at the heart of cognition. In a seminal study, Marcus et al. (1999) reported that 7-month-old infants learned abstract rules over syllable sequences and were...
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Max Hinne @maxhinne.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Bayesian analyses are great, but making the right model is very challenging. Come work with me on implementing efficient Bayesian multiverses, where we help researchers across empirical domains to improve their models! More information on the Radboud University website: www.ru.nl/en/working-a...
ru.nl
Research Assistant at the Donders Centre for Cognition: Computational Modelling and Scientific Software | Radboud University
Do you want to work as a Research Assistant at the Donders Centre for Cognition: Computational Modelling and Scientific Software? Check our vacancy!
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Bv. Je speelt met je vrouw in een toneelstuk over een heftige vechtscheiding, en er moet op de buehne een klap worden uitgedeeld. Volledig oke natuurlijk. Voorbeelden te over
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
De laatste keer dat ik iemand sloeg was 46 jaar geleden op een schoolplein, maar ik zou geen "1" invullen. NOOIT is veel te sterk, en iedereen kan gemakkelijk scenarios verzinnen waarin een klap moreel de juiste optie is (bv als alle alternatieven erger zijn)
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Verder lijkt het te gaan om een schaal van 1 tot 10, waarop alleen de invullers van de "1" (nooit te rechtvaardigen) geen zorgen baren.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Als methodoloog: hoeveel respondenten vindt het oke dat een vrouw haar man slaat? Ik heb geen idee, maar als iedereen dat oke vindt dan kijk ik wel iets minder somber naar dit gegeven.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Religie erbij halen om je casus voor astrologie te onderbouwen -- a bold move :-)
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Dr. Natthapoj Vincent Trakulphadetkrai @natthapoj.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
We’re excited to announce the launch of the Andy Field Award, a brand-new age category of our Young Mathematical Story Authors (YMSA) competition for learners aged 16–19 globally. Named in honour of Professor Andy Field. Read more at www.mathsthroughstories.org/news/the-you...
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Heather Urry @heatherurry.io · 24/09/2026
holy fucking shit - see Claude Code (Opus 5.5) rip through a survey eligility test I was really proud of... It requires tracing a route through designated points on a map with server-side Javascript applying eligibility criteria. (1.5 min video)
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🔻Ron @ronvd.eurosky.social · 23/09/2026
shows.acast.com/6565f65cf7e6... Wat een ontroerend, liefdevol en integer gesprek met Rita Spijker in de Skepsis podcast!
shows.acast.com
Skepsis podcast #49 - Rita Spijker | Skepsis podcast
Hoe ga je ermee om als je doodzieke partner zijn heil zoekt bij alternatieve therapieën? En hoe wetenschappelijk is de relatiebemiddeling van Parship?
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Nicolás Sánchez-Fuenzalida @n41c0.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
🙌🍾🎉 new paper w/ @svangaal.bsky.social, Z. van den Hurk @timostein.bsky.social & @fahrenfort.bsky.social where we attempted to replicate a classical unconscious priming study by Vorberg et al. (2003) using an improved single-subject Bayesian approach. 1/8
academic.oup.com
Evidence for unconscious priming using a Bayesian single-subject approach
Abstract. Many studies have claimed the existence of unconscious priming, but a valid statistical procedure for substantiating such claims is often lacking
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Zurich Cognition Lab @cognition-zurich.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Open Postdoc (80%) in our Lab @uzh-ch.bsky.social (PI: Klaus Oberauer) Topics are: Working memory, long-term memory, attention; experiments, individual differences, computational modeling. Start Dec 2026 to Feb 2027, until June 2030. Apply by Oct 15; Questions to: k.oberauer@psychologie.uzh.ch
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Compression and Bayesian inference are also tightly linked...
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Hi Dan! Cool stuff. Did you see the paper by Julius Pfadt? doi.org/10.31234/osf... I see certain similarities...
doi.org
OSF
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Angelos Krypotos (Ψ) @angelosvankr.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
We are looking for a PhD Candidate (Supervisors are Engelhard, Dibbets, Koen, & myself) with the topic "Reducing avoidance by altering threat imagery in panic disorder". Check here for more information: www.academictransfer.com/nl/jobs/3637...
academictransfer.com
PhD Candidate Reducing avoidance by altering threat imagery in panic disorder
Welcome to Maastricht University! Can imagery rescripting reduce avoidance in panic disorder? In this PhD project, you will join an interdisciplinary team and use therapeutic techniques and fundamenta...
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Stichting Skepsis @skepsis.nl · 03/09/2026
Tienerjongens zouden zichzelf met hamers slaan om een betere kaaklijn te ontwikkelen. Hoe ver gaat deze hype nu echt? Menno van den Bos analyseerde het (media)fenomeen bonesmashing in de laatste Skepter ⤵️ skepsis.nl/hamerhype/
skepsis.nl
Hamerhype - bonesmashing
Tienerjongens die zichzelf met hamers slaan om een betere kaaklijn te ontwikkelen: media van Nieuwsuur tot de BBC sloegen onlangs alarm over de gevaren van ‘bonesmashing’. Maar hoe ver gaat deze hype ...
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Alex Holcombe @alexh.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Great news! Some of us have been waiting a long time for major funders to not just shovel $ into the maws of the big publishers, and instead support the long tail of scholar-controlled journals that are run on a shoestring
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rogier kievit @rogierk.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Unfortunate, yet understandable and clearly very carefully deliberated course changes at OSF. Anyone who's worked on anything OS related knows that getting funding for exciting new projects is hard, let alone sustained, long term funding. OSF has been the foundation for many improvements in science.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Fair coins tend to land on the same side they started, but why? The Wobbly Coin Flip Simulator allows you to see the coin spin around its axis: www.bayesianspectacles.org/wp-content/u.... See also www.bayesianspectacles.org/why-fair-coi... (simulation courtesy of ChatGPT Pro)
bayesianspectacles.org
Coin precession simulation with same-side fraction
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Joachim Vandekerckhove 🏖️ @joachim.cidlab.com · 10/08/2026
👀
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simine vazire @simine.com · 10/08/2026
Special issue at Psych Science on psychological science in the real world! Send us your best work looking at whether effects from the lab (or from theories) hold up in ecologically valid settings. Submission deadline: 15 January 2027 www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
psychologicalscience.org
Special Issue Call for Submissions: “From Lab to Life: Psychological Science in the Real World”
Editors: Roni Porat and Vishnu SreekumarPsychological Science invites submissions presenting innovative research that brings psychological science “into the wild,” whether to strengthen its ecological...
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
"It is essentially a Grimshaw brought about by a sacrifice on the critical square."
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
The "Novotny" :-) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novotny...
en.wikipedia.org
Novotny (chess) - Wikipedia
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JASP @jaspstats.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
We still have a few spots left for our 2026 version of the hybrid JASP Workshop week end of August featuring a day on Discovering Statistics, a day on State-of-the-art Meta Analyses, a day on Machine learning, and two days on Bayesian hypothesis testing😊 (also single days) jasp-stats.org/workshops/
jasp-stats.org
Workshops - JASP - Free and User-Friendly Statistical Software
The JASP team is excited to support four workshops this year (2026). Each of these workshops can be attended either in person (at the University of Amsterdam) or online: On Monday August 24th, we orga...
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
We've tracked the use of software reported in publications (in psychology) here: osf.io/preprints/ps.... Major trend over the past 20 years: SPSS has become much less popular, and R is mostly filling the gap (with a modest contribution from JASP as well :-))
osf.io
OSF
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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
arXiv📈🤖 Extracting Bayesian Evidence from Frequentist p-Values By Aust, Pawel, Wagenmakers
The $p$-value and the Bayes factor are measures of evidence that are often considered to be philosophically and mathematically incompatible: The $p$-value quantifies conflict between data and $H_0$ ("surprise"), whereas the Bayes factor quantifies the relative predictive accuracy of $H_0$ versus $H_1$ ("evidence"). We revisit Jeffreys's Approximate Bayes factor (JAB) -- a simple, largely overlooked approximation dating back to the 1930s -- which connects these two paradigms for objective hypothesis testing of the existence of an effect. Under a unit-information prior the approximation requires only the $p$-value and the effective sample size $n_\text{eff}$. We clarify the core assumptions and boundary conditions for the application of JAB and show across 704 published $t$-tests and 39 comparisons of proportions that JAB approximates objective Bayes factors remarkably well. The connection between $p$-values and JAB has a practical implication: The evidence implied by a $p$-value depends strongly on $n_\text{eff}$. Conventional verbal labels for $p$-values (e.g., "strong surprise" for .001 < $p$ < .01) correspond to similarly graded Bayes factors only around $n_\text{eff} \approx 8$; for larger samples the same $p$-value implies weaker evidence. In moderately sized to large samples, $p > .10$ can amount to moderate or even strong evidence for $H_0$. JAB offers a cheap, sample-size-sensitive supplement to $p$-values, computable from routinely reported statistics, that remains valid even under optional stopping.
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Ruben C. Arslan @ruben.the100.ci · 14/07/2026
If you were planning on secretly deviating from your preregistration, you might wanna change plans.
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐆𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐒𝐢𝐠𝐧-𝐔𝐩 Those interested are encouraged to sign up by 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 7 here: www.surveymonkey.ca/r/Replicatio...
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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The Institute for Replication (I4R) and UCD School of Economics are jointly organizing the Replication Games (RGs) alongside the EEA-ESEM Congress on 𝐒𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐲, 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 16.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
It's not worth it, since I don't think you would be ready to change your mind. I merely wish to register my disagreement and hopefully prompt reflection. If you really want to know you can ask any LLM and it will spell things out for you ;-)
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Dear Grumpy, I believe you mischaracterize the author's position, which I personally find to be quite balanced. Could it be that your mind was already made up? Have you done any serious work with state-of-the-art LLMs yourself, for instance in mathematical statistics?
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Overview of free & semi-free API keys for LLM support in JASP, by Thomas Langkamp: jasp-stats.org/2026/07/09/f...
jasp-stats.org
Free API Key Hunting - JASP - Free and User-Friendly Statistical Software
JASPs AI agent needs an API key. The application programming interface allows JASP to communicate with any AI provider, be it Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, or else. It is needed because current Laptop an...
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Trouw @trouw.nl · 07/07/2026
Geweldig nieuws voor alle complotcasters en onzinfluencers: die coronavaccins werken als een tierelier
trouw.nl
Geweldig nieuws voor alle complotcasters en onzinfluencers: die coronavaccins werken als een tierelier
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twist @pvdork.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Set up a fully integrated AI in JASP. Have it provide advice, annotate output, conduct analyses -- and it's 100% free. The blog post shows how this works with Gemini, but other options are available: www.jasp-services.com/set-up-a-ful...
jasp-services.com
Set up a Fully Integrated AI in JASP, and Run it for Freeeee - JASP Services BV
Below I describe how to set up the fully integrated AI in JASP. All of the individual steps are straightforward. If you get lost or if anything is unclear, you can simply ask your favorite LLM for adv...
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Now available as free download: JASP 0.98 with optional AI support! Blog post: jasp-stats.org/2026/07/02/i...
jasp-stats.org
Introducing JASP 0.98: Fully Integrated AI Support - JASP - Free and User-Friendly Statistical Software
We are proud to announce that JASP 0.98 has been released and is now available on our download page. The major innovation in JASP 0.98 is the (optional!) inclusion of fully integrated AI support. This...
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
But the proof of the pudding is in the eating, so I'll do a series of posts where I will show you concretely how our AI is helpful in stats. But again, if you don't want the AI, then simply do nothing (i.e., don't plug in your API key).
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Hi Robin! The AI is entirely optional of course :-) In my persinal experience, AI excels in statistics, and such a powerful tool can & should be used to the students' advantage (which is where Socrates cones in). At a minimum, it is a good addition to our help files.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Proud to present a breakthrough development: JASP now with fully integrated AI support. Get the heads-up and read about Alfred, Socrates, and Evelyn at www.jasp-services.com/jasp-with-fu...
jasp-services.com
JASP with Fully Integrated AI, Introduced at the Fraunhofer IPA Quality Day - JASP Services BV
TL;DR The upcoming JASP version (due to appear this week) will bring a fully integrated AI. Use an API key to hook up your own LLM and take advantage of its ability to propose and conduct new analyses...
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Patrick 🥦 @omega2k.de · 26/06/2026
Carl Sagan hat das ja auch sehr eindrücklich erklärt...
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Prof Andy Field @profandyfield.com · 25/06/2026
Want to learn JASP? My colleagues (@ejwagenmakers.bsky.social) at UVA are running workshops in August: jasp-stats.org/2026/02/03/h...
jasp-stats.org
Hybrid Workshop "Discovering Statistics Using JASP", August 24th, 2026 - JASP - Free and User-Friendly Statistical Software
We are happy to announce that the JASP team will offer a week of workshops in Amsterdam this summer.  In this blogpost we’ll highlight the first of four workshops: “Discovering Statistics Using JASP“....
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Frederik Aust @frederikaust.com · 23/06/2026
Have you used Bayes factor to test point-null hypotheses in Hierarchical models and wondered: 1. Bridge sampling (BS) or Savage-Dickey density ratio (SDDR)? 2. If SDDR, which density estimation method? 3. How many MCMC samples? 4. What's the cost-benefit trade-off? This may be of interest to you.
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ejwagenmakers.bsky.social @ejwagenmakers.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
We'll showcase JASP at the "Praxistag Qualitaet" in Stuttgart next Friday, with a reveal of some breakthrough new functionality that we'll roll out very soon. Blogpost: www.jasp-services.com/jasp-intro-a... Praxistag website: www.ipa.fraunhofer.de/de/veranstal...
jasp-services.com
JASP Intro at Fraunhofer IPA: Praxistag Qualität 2026 - JASP Services BV
In less than a week, on Friday June 26th, JASP will be presented at the “Praxistag Qualität” at the Fraunhofer Institute for Manufacturing Engineering and Automation (IPA) in Stuttgart. This is an eve...
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Angelika Stefan @ephemeralidea.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Had a fabulous day in London presenting our project with West Yorkshire Police at the Police STAR Fund event! This is my first funded project as a PI and I am absolutely enthusiastic to work on this for the next year with a fantastic team 😎 @livunipsyc.bsky.social
Conference name badge showing my name and university and the title of the project: "Developing Trustworthy Bayesian Analytics for Risk Assessment in Missing Children Incidents". The badge is blue with a big logo of Science & Technology in Policing.
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