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Ed Jegasothy

@edjegasothy.bsky.social
820 followers 583 following 111 posts

Epidemiologist, biostatistician, egalitarian. Interested in environmental health and the causes of health inequality. Senior lecturer in public health at Sydney Uni. Opinions are my own.

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Reposted by Ed Jegasothy
Michael West @michaelwestbiz.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Something has gone awry with the politics of tobacco control in Australia. michaelwest.com.au/a-levy-on-the-po…
A levy on the poor. Tobacco tax needs rethink to stop the warSomething has gone awry with the politics of tobacco control in Australia.When it comes to tobacco control, one aspect at least appears familiar with the Right siding with Big (legal) Tobacco and the Left standing up for health. The important question to ask is how progressives came to be so attached to draconian policies in the name of health? The cenThe data tells a different story
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Social murder
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Jeremy Poxon @jeremypoxon.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
"we want to significantly raise JobSeeker so less people die" was one of the easiest, and most necessary, commitments the ALP could've made. Alas
grog graph of the new AIHW data showing people on unemployment benefits 5 times as likely to die than people not on income support
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
New research shows Poverty Kills Me for #PointLive live.thepoint.com.au?post=7543a9e...
live.thepoint.com.au
The Point Live: Independents unite over 'red line', Andrew Hastie continues crusade against One Nation. As it happens.
David Pocock, Sophie Scamps and Lidia Thorpe, have come together to support 'red line' legislation which aims to push the government to strengthen international law, with Chris Sidoti, Gillian Triggs ...
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Micah @rincewind.run · 07/09/2026
Discworld QOTD, from Men at Arms
The reason that the rich were so rich, Vimes reasoned, was because they managed to spend less money.
Take boots, for example. He earned thirty-eight dollars a month plus allowances. A really good pair of leather boots cost fifty dollars. But an affordable pair of boots, which were sort of OK for a season or two and then leaked like hell when the cardboard gave out, cost about ten dollars.
Those were the kind of boots Vimes always bought, and wore until the soles were so thin that he could tell where he was in Ankh-Morpork on a foggy night by the feel of the cobbles.
But the thing was that good boots lasted for years and years. A man who could afford fifty dollars had a pair of boots that'd still be keeping his feet dry in ten years' time, while the poor man who could only afford cheap boots would have spent a hundred dollars on boots in the same time and would still have wet feet.
This was the Captain Samuel Vimes 'Boots' theory of socioeconomic unfairness.
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
"Labor will ensure working women do not retire into poverty" using "superannuation". Too bad about non-working women, I guess. Championing super as a poverty reduction tool is goofball stuff. The Age Pension sets the floor, super is the supplement linked to past earnings.
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Tom Studans @maximumwelfare.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
#BREAKING 🚨 Labor in their draft 2026 platform have replaced their previous statement of belief 'that there should not be poverty in a country like Australia' with a 'recognition' the social security system should support 'better health and wellbeing'.
A fair social security system

91. Labor believes in a strong, adequate and fair social safety net and that there should not be poverty in a country like Australia. Labor is committed to a social security system that keeps people out of poverty, whether they are unemployed, working age, escaping family or domestic violence or in retirement.A fair social security system

90. Labor recognises that a strong social security system supports not only economic security but also better health and wellbeing, and that when people have the means to meet their basic needs and make choices about their lives they experience stronger social and health outcomes.
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The Conversation AUNZ @aunz.theconversation.com · 22/07/2026
Right now, based on market share, organised crime effectively is Big Tobacco in Australia.
theconversation.com
Three things Australia must do to end the tobacco wars
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Declining smoking rates are only part of the story - Australia needs to get its nicotine markets back under control. Check out our new piece in @aunz.theconversation.com theconversation.com/three-things...
theconversation.com
Three things Australia must do to end the tobacco wars
Right now, based on market share, organised crime effectively is Big Tobacco in Australia.
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Reposted by Ed Jegasothy
Seye Abimbola @seyeabimbola.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Please read, use, and share these 3 recently published articles on 'how (not) to do' research: 1 Doing realist evaluations with justice in mind: tinyurl.com/yyhjbrsb 2 Analysing demographic diversity in global health: tinyurl.com/4pk8jtvy 3 Dignity-based practice in research: tinyurl.com/3hzfry5k
First page of "How to do (or not to do) realist evaluations to advance theory, practice, and justice in health systems research"Frist page of "Methods with consequences: analysing demographic diversity in global health governance and knowledge production"First page of "Dignity-based practice in global health research: a framework of expectations"
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Seye Abimbola @seyeabimbola.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Learning from experience I wrote an essay in @thelancet.com on two seemingly different but deeply connected books by S Chigudu & S Subramani What elite status & elite-making does to how one reckons with, makes sense of, & learns from experience—lived or vicarious: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
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Ed Burmila @edburmila.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Every country with any kind of archaeological sites of significance, 1600 to 1950:
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Marita Hennessy @maritahennessy.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
📣 Call for Papers for Special Collection @healthpromint.bsky.social: Power, Equity & the Health of Women & Girls 📆 Submission deadlines: Abstracts - 30 September 2026 Full papers - 01 March 2027 More information: academic.oup.com/heapro/pages... @docsamantha.bsky.social
academic.oup.com
Call for Papers for Special Collection in Health Promotion International: Power, Equity and the Health of Women and Girls
Health Promotion International is a peer reviewed, fully open access journal that contains refereed original articles, perspectives, opinion pieces, policy piec
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Saul Rosenberg @saul-rosenberg.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
prices be high down under
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El Yobo @elyobo.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Not really happy about Labor repeatedly bragging about tax cuts. Tax is good. Embrace @davidsligar.bsky.social thought.
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Luke Buckmaster @skillhello.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Matt Bruenig gives an interesting rundown of his US labour law book generated with LLMs here mattbruenig.com/2026/02/10/t...
mattbruenig.com
Technical Details of My LLM-Generated Book — Matt Bruenig
I released a book today called The National Labor Relations Book , which you can buy over at NLRBResearch.com for $10 ( click here ). The book provides an introduction to the NLRA and NLRB by providin...
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
the Australian policy establishment who have been smoking tax evangelists for decades - no tax rate was ever high enough - have to hang their heads in shame
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Dr James Martin @jamomartin.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
We have been warning them for years now, to no avail... www.sbs.com.au/news/the-fee...
sbs.com.au
Expert Analysis: Tax increase on cigarettes will trigger black market boom of tainted tobacco
Criminologist Dr James Martin thinks the federal budget announcement to tackle black market tobacco will backfire.
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ABC News Bot (unofficial) @abcnewsbot.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
The experimental estimates are based on "nicotine metabolite concentrations" detected in wastewater samples, combined with data showing a collapse in spending on legal cigarettes and vapes.
abc.net.au
ABS estimates 80pc of tobacco consumed in Australia last year illegal
The experimental estimates are based on "nicotine metabolite concentrations" detected in wastewater samples, combined with data showing a collapse in spending on legal cigarettes and vapes.
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
This is a public health disaster of public health’s making. Will anyone be held accountable? I doubt it
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Jon Piccini @jonpiccini.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Russia 1991 levels of black market
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Some absolutely brutal figures from the ABS on tobacco consumption - figures that really should have those arguing that the higher excise is working to really have a long think...
A graph showing that overall tobacco consumption has risen over the past decade - almost all became the fall in legal tobacco has been replaced by more consumption of illegal cigarettes
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John Quiggin @johnquiggin.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
This comment, with 43 likes, is striking & helps to explain some of the angst over LLMs. Good ideas can be expressed in pedestrian text. Wrong and silly, even pernicious, ideas can be expressed in sparkling prose. If your main concern is style rather than content, hating LLMs makes lots of sense.
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
desperate attempt to construct a metaphysics of wordcelism in the face of technological competition. birds don’t know how to fly unless they’re constructed an elegant treatise on flight.
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Jeremy Poxon @jeremypoxon.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
one more ceo sleepout will turn this around. one more cost of living tax cut. just one more foodbank drive, I swear www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
Australia’s 178 billionaires are $25.7bn richer than last year as 3.7 million live in poverty
Oxfam finds the 20 richest Australians now hold more wealth than the bottom 3 million households
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
It’s darkly funny how AI tech bros have negatively polarised a large section of progressives into becoming copyright maximalists
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
I feel much of the AI hate is from people who pride themselves on their own writing. Human nature overstates the importance of our own skills, and here it overstates the significance of the writing process itself as a condition of analytical and critical rigour.
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Jeremy Poxon @jeremypoxon.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Rishworth: "I am really sick of this debate of 'too soft' or 'too hard' mutual obligations. I want to see effective mutual obligations" You're sick of the debate? Imagine how all the people you're torturing in this system feel
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Tom Studans @maximumwelfare.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Mutual obligations aren't effective at getting people jobs, there's no 'debate' about this after 40 years of failed policy. We already know they don't work, and you can't make them. You've formed two stakeholder groups who will almost without exception tell you to get rid of them entirely.
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David Sligar @davidsligar.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Strange piece. Prof Holden thunders about a "productivity tax" that "punishes high productivity businesses" by imposing "vastly different effective capital gains tax rates". Except it's not true. His numbers rely on the wrong denominator and money illusion.
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kristin (she/her) @kristin8x.antipovertycentre.org · 24/05/2026
Putting aside that this is bullshit, if you make a lot of money (presumably this guy’s definition of “success” in life) you actually should pay more tax. It’s called contributing to the society that created the conditions for your “success”.
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Check out the new episode of The Economy, Stupid where I discuss the illicit tobacco market with Peter Martin and Chris Richardson. My bottom line is that organised crime is the new Big Tobacco, and fixing policies needs to be on the table to get it under control. www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...
abc.net.au
How to end the tobacco wars - ABC listen
Would cutting tobacco tax weaken a dangerous black market - or reverse decades of progress in reducing smoking deaths?
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Antipoverty Centre @antipovertycentre.org · 22/05/2026
what the fuck are the greens thinking with a slightly-less-pitiful tax cut + playing into the "deserving" vs "undeserving" narrative Labor is pushing. abandon this visionless individualist mindset and make the positive case for a broad tax base that supports public goods for all.
Screencap of article from the AFR: "The Greens argue that if the government ramps up the measures, it will have sufficient revenue to provide a more substantial tax cut than the $250-a-year Working Australians Tax Offset, and build support for what has been a friendless budget."
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Warwick Anderson @wombatscholar.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
TWO great jobs in History and Philosophy of Science at Sydney! Rank from Lecturer (Assistant Prof) to Assoc Prof. Particularly interested in candidates working in the areas of early modern science, or science or medicine in Asia, or Indigenous knowledge systems... #HPS #STS #histstm #histsci
timeshighereducation.com
Lecturer/Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor to the School of History and Philosophy of Science - Camperdown, Australia job with UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY | 410910
Build your research and apply your expertise by contributing as a Lecturer/Senior Lecturer/Associate Professor to the School of History and Philos...
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Each year since 2020, Treasury has forecast tobacco tax revenue to recover. Each year, actuals fall further. The 2026-27 Budget writes down 2025-26 by another $1.2B, and ~$8B has been written off for that year alone since it was first estimated in 2022-23. 🧵
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Ben Eltham @beneltham.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
In 18 years of closely watching federal budgets, I've never seen a budget measure with this level of social spending cuts (not even in Joe Hockey's 2014 budget). $36b in NDIS cuts over the forward estimates
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Antipoverty Centre @antipovertycentre.org · 12/05/2026
The ongoing unlawful payment cancellation saga in the employment services system has it listed as "unquantifiable". They don't know how much it is going to cost them. 🧵
Since 2020, some decisions to cancel social security payments under the Targeted Compliance Framework (TCF) have been found to be invalid. Individuals affected by these decisions may have experienced financial or other forms of detriment.  Affected individuals may be eligible for compensation through an application based process administered under the Scheme for Compensation for Detriment caused by Defective Administration (CDDA). The CDDA scheme would support individuals to receive compensation owing to defective administration of the TCF.  The total fiscal impact of these payments is currently unquantifiable, as it will depend on the number of applications received and the outcome of individual assessments.
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
No one in govt is talking about before the budget, but just FYI, the level of Jobseeker is now 42% below the poverty line - worse than it was during the Howard years... live.thepoint.com.au
Chart showing level of unemployment benefits relative to the poverty line. It's now at 42% below. In 2007 it was 43%, in 1996 it was 25%
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
New blog post: Public health is supposed to involve critical and systems thinking. But if the response is "Whose side are you on?" when asking critical questions, it says a lot about a discipline's capacity to balance trade-offs and prioritise equity. edjegasothy.wordpress.com/2026/05/10/w...
edjegasothy.wordpress.com
Whose side are you on?
Risk factorisation and the silo problem A book of palindromes was recently given to me by my wife, on behalf of my kids (for I am a massive word-nerd). Browsing through it, I came across this one: …
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Dr James Martin @jamomartin.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
🚨 New paper alert: 'Has Australia lost control of its tobacco and nicotine markets?' Short answer - yes, and largely by following two WHO endorsed policies: very high tobacco taxes and a ban on vapes and other less harmful nicotine products onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Has Australia lost control of its tobacco and nicotine markets?
Background Australia has adopted two policies that the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends as best practice for tobacco control: it has steeply increased tobacco taxes since 2010 and only all...
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
a thing historians will marvel about when they study this era is the extent to which the "war is a thing that happens to poorer, browner people" class went about systematically dismantling every aspect of the global political order that confined the costs of war to poorer and browner people
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Dr James Martin @jamomartin.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Check out the latest from @edjegasothy.bsky.social and me about Australia's historical experience with prohibition, and what lessons we can learn about it's impact on illicit markets and organised crime. theconversation.com/prohibitive-...
theconversation.com
Prohibitive policies drove organised crime in Australia 100 years ago. It’s happening again
Where there’s demand, there will be supply, legal or not. From the ‘sly grog’ of the 1920s to the illicit vapes of today, getting regulation right is difficult.
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Alison Pennington @alison-pennington.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Interesting piece on RBA economists' 'dirty little secret' - they want more unemployment. Aus's ability to bring inflation down, avoid recession & retain high employment is good by internl standards. Workers paid in real wage losses & higher mortgage repayments. But at least they had jobs right? 1/7
abc.net.au
The dirty little secret economists never want to mention
The theory goes that if you have just the right amount of workers on the unemployment scrap heap, you can keep inflation in check. The problem is that no-one knows exactly what the magic unemployment ...
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James Medlock @jdcmedlock.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Happy valentine's day ❤️
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The Cathy Wilcox @cathywilcox.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Cohesion. My @smh cartoon.
Single frame. Chris Minns stands beside a massive tonne weight marked NSW POLICE being lowered by a crane. Visible sticking out from under the weight are hands, legs, a woman’s face, a keffiyeh and placards saying “NO TO GENOCIDE”, “FREE PALESTINE”, “HERZOG OUT”, “NO TO VIOLENCE” Minns says, “Thst should socially cohere them nicely.”
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
BREAKING: Researchers propose giving homeless people houses to reduce heat exposure. Critics note this lacks the cost-effectiveness and portability of existing cooling hub infrastructure. edjegasothy.wordpress.com/2026/01/28/g...
edjegasothy.wordpress.com
Groundbreaking New Intervention Promises to Reduce Heat Exposure Among Homeless Populations
Researchers propose revolutionary “HOME” program In a startling departure from conventional approaches to heat vulnerability, a team of researchers has proposed what they’re calling the Housing-Ori…
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Greg Jericho @grogsgamut.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
Been rather dispiriting how much ink has been spilled by the gallery on MP expenses, while the report into mutual obligations has been pretty much ignored. @amyremeikis.bsky.social is on it #ThePoint (what is The Point? It’s not news, but it SHOULD be) thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...
thepoint.com.au
The welfare system isn’t just on fire, it’s burning out of control
The problem with having pattern recognition is that you can always see the fires before they start. Governments are a bit like that, too.  It’s not that they don’t see the fire before the smoke, it’s...
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Jeremy Poxon @jeremypoxon.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
"Anti-poverty and human rights groups are calling on the government to abolish the Targeted Compliance Framework, following a scathing report from the Commonwealth ombud" www.themandarin.com.au/304738-targe...
themandarin.com.au
'Is this Labor's robodebt?': Welfare advocates slam escalating failures
At least 15 welfare and human rights organisations have renewed calls for the government to end its Targeted Compliance Framework.
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Ed Jegasothy @edjegasothy.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Australian states want to cut tobacco taxes to fight the black market. Commonwealth says no. Meanwhile, tobacco is effectively getting cheaper.. just through criminal networks instead of policy. New blog on why the current debate is stuck: edjegasothy.wordpress.com/2025/12/10/i...
edjegasothy.wordpress.com
Is it time to rethink Australia’s tobacco tax?
Australian state governments are calling for tobacco tax cuts to address the growing illicit market. The Commonwealth has ruled it out. This isn’t a policy debate – it’s a standoff betw…
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John Quiggin @johnquiggin.bsky.social · 23/11/2025
Suppose you wanted to persuade politicians that universities were just a bunch of money-hungry lobbyists, concerned more about profits than educating our young people. What would you do? The Group of 8 (lobby for "sandstone" unis) decided to join "an alliance of industry groups". #universities
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