As the Chancellor looks to find additional sources of revenue in his upcoming Budget, some commentators (e.g., Gerald Holtham) and politicians (e.g., Robert Jenrick and Richard Tice, both of Reform UK...

Ending the triple lock The coalition government introduced the triple lock in 2011. It ensures the state pension rises each year by CPI inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5 per cent, whichever i...

UK 10-year gilt yields rose 59 basis points over the quarter to 5.43, their highest level since 2007. Around two-thirds of this increase came from higher interest rate expectations.

This year’s Budget, scheduled for 28 October, takes place against a challenging economic and fiscal backdrop. Inflation looks set to go higher, as global energy prices remain elevated while there are ...

The 2026 Dow Lecture on Monetary Policy examines one of the key sources of uncertainty facing the Bank of England today: the extent to which any further shocks to energy prices could give rise to…

This year’s Budget, scheduled for 28 October, takes place against a challenging economic and fiscal backdrop. Inflation looks set to go higher, as global energy prices remain elevated while there are…

Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey viewed ONS improvements to labour market data as the most important for strengthening economic policy.

The coalition government introduced the triple lock in 2011. It ensures the state pension rises each year by CPI inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5 per cent, whichever is the highest. On paper...

Introduction The new Chancellor's first Budget falls against a challenging inheritance: the highest borrowing costs in the G7, a fiscal consolidation backloaded towards an election year, cash spending...

What has the ONS's new approach changed about our understanding of the UK productivity problem?  Since the 2008 financial crisis, the UK has been stuck in a productivity rut. Output per hour worked, w...

The Monetary Policy Committee voted 6–3 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75 per cent on Thursday. Alongside this, it announced that the Bank will reduce its stock of gilts held for monetary policy purposes to z...

On 17 September, the ONS will publish its new component-based approach to measuring hours worked. This webinar discusses the implications of the new methodology and what it means for policymakers.

What factors affect the MPC members when they are assessing Bank Rate? Our dashboard contains analysis of the main determinants and likely policy responses.

On 17 September, the ONS will publish its new component-based approach to measuring hours worked. This webinar discusses the implications of the new methodology and what it means for policymakers.

NIESR is one of the UK's most respected independent economic research institutes — trusted by policymakers, journalists and business leaders for rigorous, evidence-led analysis. We're looking for a Di...

For a breakdown of what inflation is and how it is calculated, read our blog post here.   “As inflation rises above 3 per cent, the Bank’s Governor will be forced… To access the content, membership ac...

Can people be incentivised to donate to local governments and specific public sector projects? Japan's “hometown tax” (furusato nozei) offers a blueprint.

NIESR is one of the UK's most respected independent economic research institutes — trusted by policymakers, journalists and business leaders for rigorous, evidence-led analysis. We're looking for a…

Is this purely a problem for the United Kingdom? We might be forgiven for thinking so, given some of the reporting but in fact the rise in bond yields is a global phenomenon. Although 10-year gilt…

Can people be incentivised to donate to local governments and specific public sector projects? Japan's “hometown tax” (furusato nozei) offers a blueprint.

Is this purely a problem for the United Kingdom? We might be forgiven for thinking so, given some of the reporting but in fact the rise in bond yields is a global phenomenon. Although 10-year gilt yie...