Sign in

David Darmofal

@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
28K followers 906 following 54K posts

Political scientist. Political behavior + methods. Spatial analysis. Speaking in a personal capacity. Opinions expressed are my own.

PostsRepliesMedia
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 2m
Ohio, @cmwitko.bsky.social
000
Reposted by David Darmofal
Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 24m
This isn’t surprising. Trump is anti-Ukraine and he has always hated Zelensky. But he has been constrained by something (public opinion? GOP behind the scenes? Bureaucracy?) from fully throwing US power behind Putin. Can this change now? Tbh, I don’t know. What I do know is that…
75114
Reposted by David Darmofal
The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 57m
Breaking news: The Pentagon acknowledged that the number of troops who have died in the Middle East during its operations against Iran is higher than previously reported, and updated the official count to include two more noncombat deaths.
washingtonpost.com
Pentagon raises official toll of troops killed during war with Iran to 21
The Post exclusively reported last month that the numbers of service members lost was greater than what the Pentagon was reporting in its public database.
32290124
Reposted by David Darmofal
Randi Weingarten 🖇️📚✊🇺🇸 @rweingarten.bsky.social · 23m
Polls don’t vote. Make sure you’re registered to vote and have a plan to vote. And vote early!! AFT members are among the most trusted professionals in their communities. Let’s use our voices support candidates who truly fight for a better life for all. aftvotes.org/midterms2026
aftvotes.org
Midterms 2026
Every eligible voter should be able to cast a ballot and have it counted. But across the country, voters are facing confusion, intimidation, disinformation, registration problems and other attacks on ...
01312
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 18m
Darline Graham has made sanctions on Russia and support for Ukraine her signature accomplishment in the Senate that she's running on....
021
Reposted by David Darmofal
MeidasTouch @meidastouch.com · 45m
Trump thanked Putin for a few hours’ worth of diesel, then told Ukraine it’s “time to get a new president.” Hours after Russia killed 12 people in Zaporizhzhia, including 3 children. Today’s update:
meidasplus.com
Saturday Updates: Trump Just Lashed Out at Zelenskyy After Thanking Putin – 10/10/26
Important updates. Paywall-free.
99542285
Reposted by David Darmofal
The Editorial Board @editorialboard.bsky.social · 5h
The taboo against naming Trump's dementia is fading. A THREAD.
15501128
Reposted by David Darmofal
South Carolina Democratic Party @scdemocrats.bsky.social · 2h
A new Washington Post investigation raises questions about Darline Graham’s financial disclosures and her husband’s reported business ties to a Chinese weapons manufacturer. Dr. Annie Andrews is calling for answers. Read the full investigation: www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
34827
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 33m
Yep! A finding in political science, including by @nickvalentino.bsky.social and co-authors. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.uchicago.edu
Election Night’s Alright for Fighting: The Role of Emotions in Political Participation | The Journal of Politics: Vol 73, No 1
A large literature has established a persistent association between the skills and resources citizens possess and their likelihood of participating in politics. However, the short-term motivational fo...
000
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 1h
MAGA Bishop Robert Barron tweets like a conservative adult convert, not a Catholic Bishop. He's tweeting about "Nicomachean Ethics" instead of his political party and the administration he supports & serves planning to execute a man on live TV. This is not the way normal Catholics act.
000
Reposted by David Darmofal
The Daily Beast @thedailybeast.bsky.social · 3h
Pope Leo XIV reminded Pete Hegseth of the Catholic Church’s rejection of the death penalty after the defense secretary bragged he will livestream a terrorist’s execution by firing squad.
thedailybeast.com
Pope Leo Takes Subtle Shot at Pentagon Pete’s Ghoulish Plan
The Chicago-born pontiff is clearly keeping a close eye on headlines in the United States.
213354
Reposted by David Darmofal
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 1h
Q: The Wall Street Journal reported that Max Miller had some negative comments about you. He said that you're 'smart as a box of rocks.' Do you have any response to that? HUSTED: No.
5447289
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 1h
Amazing to think that Churchill had a secretary who was still alive.
nytimes.com
Cecily Gemmell, Winston Churchill’s Last Surviving Secretary, Has Died (Gift Article)
Starting with the British leader at age 18, she traveled the world with him. “I was terrified of him,” she later recalled.
082
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 1h
‘Ship has sailed’: New poll shows even an end to the war or lower gas prices may not save Republicans A new POLITICO Poll shows most Americans, especially Democratic and undecided voters, would not be moved even if Trump ended the Iran war or brought down gas prices.
politico.com
‘Ship has sailed’: New poll shows even an end to the war or lower gas prices may not save Republicans
A new POLITICO Poll shows most Americans, especially Democratic and undecided voters, would not be moved even if Trump ended the Iran war or brought down gas prices.
023
Reposted by David Darmofal
Michelangelo Landgrave @landgravephd.bsky.social · 1h
The Barney Ford Lab's 2nd Annual Meeting, co-hosted with @priec.bsky.social, will be hosted Friday Nov 6th to Saturday Nov 7th. The final schedule can be seen below. We look forward to hosting everyone. #skobuffs www.colorado.edu/lab/civics/a...
colorado.edu
Annual Meeting
We host an annual meeting where we invite our colleagues in the Rocky Mountain region and beyond to come together to present original civics research. We invite
021
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 1h
Rolling Stone interview with @drannieandrews.com! www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
rollingstone.com
Can This Pediatrician Flip a South Carolina Senate Seat?
Annie Andrews speaks to Rolling Stone about the issue facing South Carolina, running for Senate against Darline Graham, and Donald Trump's attacks.
000
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 1h
Crazy!
000
Reposted by David Darmofal
Michael Paulauski♨️ @mike10010100.com · 23/06/2025
Love to trust Adam Johnson, the dude who claimed Biden could unilaterally force a ceasefire, is anti-Democracy, and claimed that 10/7 was a hostage exchange operation, with my news analysis. Absolutely deranged shit.
Adam Johnson

Adam Johnson is a co-host of the podcast "Citations Needed," and you can follow his work at The Column.

Contacts:post malone ergo propt... @propte... 5mo I'm going to use screenshots throughout because I suspect Adam will block as soon as we get going here.

First, this is the lie you told that you are now doubling down on, so we're all clear. You say that Biden could have unilaterally imposed a ceasefire whenever he wanted.

+ Follow

Adam H Johnson

@ahjohnson.bsky.social

People keep saying this because it sounds savvy and cool but it's important to understand that it makes no sense and the most important and conspicuous difference is Carter could not unilaterally return the American hostages whereas Biden could unilaterally impose a ceasefire whenever he wanted.

Bibi and Trump made that side deal down at Mar a Lago and Biden got Iran hostage'd. fitting tribute to Carter.

January 16, 2025 at 11:15 AM 8% Everybody can reply

104 reposts 16 quotes 600 likes

32

120

600

DeletedAdam H Johnson @ahjohnson.bsky.social

Follow

Add alt text

A love of formalism and rules, of law and order and democracy without an endpoint of a bold program of social justice necessarily falls flat. It's front row kid stuff. "Democracy" pursuant single payer healthcare or jobs guarantee provides a vision. Democracy for its own sake is just

an empty slogan

November 29, 2024 at 1:08 PM

51 reposts

41

quotes

408 likeswaxmonkey @waxmonkey.bsky.social 43m

and hamas stops because.... why

1

2

♡

Adam H Johnson @ahjohnson.bsky.social 41m

Hamas agreed to a ceasefire on Oct 8. No one disputes this. Israel themselves said they oppose a ceasefire, openly, in English.

01

waxmonkey @waxmonkey.bsky.social 40m

oct 8 as in the day after oct 7 when they were still bringing hostages

into qaza that oct 8?

2

Ο

Adam H Johnson @ahjohnson.bsky.social 40m

Yes because Hamas was carrying out a hostage exchange operation as they had dozens of times before.

2

waxmonkey @waxmonkey.bsky.social 38m

im sorry did you just call oct 7 a hostage exchange operation

01

2

Adam H Johnson @ahjohnson.bsky.social 37m

This is what it is widely known as. That's why they took 250+ hostages.

1

waxmonkey

@waxmonkey.bsky.social

holy shit wow

January 16, 2025 at 2:19 PM
1311641
Reposted by David Darmofal
Kamala Harris @kamalaharris.com · 06/10/2026
Californians' lives are not expendable in Donald Trump's unhinged, reckless war in Iran. This is yet another callous comment from the tyrant in the White House who dragged the American people into a war that we do not want.
991554464
Reposted by David Darmofal
Edward @fornbirkibeinn.bsky.social · 9h
Anecdotally what seems to be happening is that the Home Office is refusing all student visa applications from certain countries. The Treasury should have told them to knock if off years ago but at this point the FCO needs to tell them to stop trying to cause an international incident.
423167
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 2h
Great to hear that Laura Loomer will never be Catholic! Good news for our Church!
010
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 2h
There are many reasons why the SC Senate race is now included among the swing races. One of them, which shouldn’t get lost in the shuffle, is the extraordinary campaign that @drannieandrews.com has been running. She’s been criss-crossing the state, listening to voters & addressing their concerns.
041
Reposted by David Darmofal
Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 2h
How Proposed Census Changes Could Affect State and Local Governments www.governing.com/in-the-weeds...
governing.com
How Proposed Census Changes Could Affect State and Local Governments
Robert Santos, director of the United States Census Bureau from 2022 to 2025, talks to <i>Governing</i> about the consequences of proposed changes to the 2030 Census.
03913
Reposted by David Darmofal
Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 4h
In case you were wondering why Donald’s biggest fans suddenly went silent . . .
19057911505
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 3h
David’s one of my favorites. Looking forward to watching this!
210
Reposted by David Darmofal
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 3h
"If you look at what the data itself is showing us, it sure looks like we’re in the process of seeing a fairly major repudiation of Trump and the deeper ideologies that he represents"
publicnotice.co
Trump’s collapse with indy voters, explained by Greg Sargent
“This is the center of the electorate completely turning on Trump.”
781573390
Reposted by David Darmofal
eric gonzalez juenke @egojunk.bsky.social · 3h
Rare cycle where GOP is running more women in open and competitive Senate races, making gains for women in the Senate look like this: If Dems win all open and competitive races = no change If GOP wins all open and competitive races = +2 women If the favorites win: +1-2 women (Maine decides)
281
Reposted by David Darmofal
Mona Burns @monaburns.bsky.social · 4h
Senator Tammy Duckworth: "Putin told Iran the locations of our warships. Today, Trump rewarded him by lifting sanctions and allowing American dollars to fuel Russia’s war machine. Our troops are in harm’s way, and the President cut a deal with the adversary putting a target on their backs."
9325156
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 4h
Robert Barron hasn’t said anything on Hegseth’s plan for a live execution.
020
Reposted by David Darmofal
Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Pennsylvania: Job approval ratings for statewide elected officials and President Trump. (Quinnipiac University Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/261008-top...
002
Reposted by David Darmofal
Rich Raho @richraho.bsky.social · 4h
Pope to Museum Directors from around the world: “Matter is malleable: it can be shaped according to the artist’s ideas in order to express an intuition, giving body or sound to emotions, dreams and words.”
1437
Reposted by David Darmofal
Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 4h
US warns Kyiv that strikes on Russia jeopardise intelligence-sharing www.ft.com/content/7fd4...
ft.com
US warns Kyiv that strikes on Russia jeopardise intelligence-sharing
Donald Trump’s administration delivered threat after Volodymyr Zelenskyy criticised diesel deal with Moscow
101219110
Reposted by David Darmofal
Keith A. Preble, Ph.D. @poliscikeith.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
In the latest update at "Currents in US Foreign Policy" (that I maintain with @cnwillis.bsky.social), I write about US efforts to sanction the ICC to its demise: cusfp.substack.com/p/death-by-s...
cusfp.substack.com
Death by sanctions
The US campaign to cripple the International Criminal Court (ICC)
033
Reposted by David Darmofal
Charmaine N. Willis, Ph.D. @cnwillis.bsky.social · 4h
My thoughts about the murder of Anna Yagi in Okinawa and the strain such crimes put on the US-Japan alliance in The Diplomat: thediplomat.com/2026/10/new-...
thediplomat.com
New Governor, Old Problem: Koja Confronts US Base-Related Crimes in Okinawa
Whoever is governor, waves of Okinawan anti-base sentiment and protest will continue in the wake of every violent crime.
011
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Darline Graham opposes Chinese manufacturing. Her husband’s employers rely on it.
washingtonpost.com
Darline Graham opposes Chinese manufacturing. Her husband’s employers rely on it.
The senator and sister of the late Lindsey Graham has said the U.S. must “stop depending on Communist China for things America can make ourselves.”
020
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
‘Darline is not Lindsey’: Could a Graham really lose South Carolina for the GOP
cnn.com
‘Darline is not Lindsey’: Could a Graham really lose South Carolina for the GOP? | CNN Politics
It was the kind of moment where Sen. Darline Graham’s brother thrived – a fiery exchange, squaring off with a confident witness in a Senate hearing.
030
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
And Indys were very anti-Biden. Whoever gets Indys consistently is going to be in very good shape going forward.
054
Reposted by David Darmofal
Rich Raho @richraho.bsky.social · 5h
Pope to Greek-Melkite Bishops: “In many of the traditional lands of your Church, the faithful are beset by war, unrest, religious extremism and economic distress. Through you, I would like to say to your beloved Church: I am with you. The entire Catholic Church is with you.”
1527
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Thanks!!
010
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Franklin Graham has not spoken out on his website against the Trump-Vance administration's plans for a public execution. www.franklingraham.com
franklingraham.com
Franklin Graham |
020
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
People often overinterpret things the Pope says as being solely about the Trump-Vance administration. But this one is clearly the result of the Trump-Vance administration and Hegseth's actions.
195
Reposted by David Darmofal
Rich Raho @richraho.bsky.social · 5h
Pope Leo XIV has posted on his official X account that the Catholic Church holds the death penalty to be “inadmissible because it is an attack on the inviolability and dignity of the person.” www.vaticannews.va/en/pope/news...
vaticannews.va
Pope Leo XIV rejects death penalty as attack on dignity of human person - Vatican News
Pope Leo XIV reaffirms the Catholic Church’s rejection of the death penalty, recalling that the common good can be “safeguarded and the requirements ...
312841
Reposted by David Darmofal
Rich Raho @richraho.bsky.social · 5h
In sign of continuity with his predecessor, Pope Leo appoints Vatican Liturgy Office’s #2 Archbishop Vittorio Francesco Viola, O.F.M as Archpriest of St. Peter’s Basilica; per usual, the name game played out on social media these past days proves all for naught…again.
0241
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Thanks! And thanks, as always, for your insights on NC politics! One last question, if you don't mind...do you have a sense of how the wave of in-migrants to NC are registering? Here in SC, they're voting Republican (no party registration here), except for places like Hilton Head.
100
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Plan for public military execution sparks bipartisan backlash
rollcall.com
Plan for public military execution sparks bipartisan backlash
Lawmakers in both parties are blasting the Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s plan to livestream the execution of the man convicted of carrying out the 2009 mass shooting at Fort Hood. “I absolutely sup...
121
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Thanks for these data! I'd actually been looking at the data a few weeks ago and was surprised to see Rs above Ds there. It looks like it just flipped between 10/3 and 10/10 (which I know you're aware of!), which maybe bodes well for Ds in these midterms.
110
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Trump’s 2020 Obsession Is Weighing Down Arizona Republicans
politico.com
Trump’s 2020 Obsession Is Weighing Down Arizona Republicans
The long shadow of 2020 still hangs over this swing state.
010
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
Eric Schmitt and the Twilight of the Covid Republican
politico.com
Eric Schmitt and the Twilight of the Covid Republican
Resistance to pandemic lockdowns and mandates created a generation of Republican stars. Nearly all have faded away.
030
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · 5h
It's really weird how The Bulwark is so focused on the Florida Senate race over the South Carolina Senate race. Do they have connections to Florida or something? I think people should have hope for Angie Nixon, but SC is clearly more competitive now. Rs are putting money in SC, not FL.
020
Reposted by David Darmofal
Dana Houle @danahoule.bsky.social · 15h
Lauren Underwood is a legislating machine. Maybe she can be the next few decades’ John Dingell or Teddy Kennedy.
16318