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Dan Woynillowicz

@danwoy.bsky.social
1.4K followers 2.3K following 58 posts

Principal Polaris Strategy + Insight | Navigating the energy transition | Climate policy & politics | coffee & bicycles | “charter member of the climate-energy wonk club”

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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Oil prices are up again, and it doesn't look like that's going to change any time soon. A gas-tax holiday offers relief, but affordable EV leasing could offer an escape. France has pioneered this policy, we should adapt and adopt something similar in Canada. polarisstrategy.ca/2026/09/11/a...
polarisstrategy.ca
A gas-tax holiday offers relief. Affordable EV leasing could offer an escape.
One of the most persistent criticisms of electric-vehicle policy is that EVs are a solution for people who can already afford them: middle- and higher-income households able to absorb a higher upfr…
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
I've got a new brief in Policy Magazine that explores "Mark Carney’s Strategy for the Age of Electricity." It makes the case for doubling not only electricity supply, but also electrification and energy productivity. It also flags a sleeper opportunity. www.policymagazine.ca/mark-carneys...
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Lauri Myllyvirta @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
What will the global fossil fuel market look like once the closure of the Hormuz ends? In short, volatile and risky but oversupplied - terrible for fossil fuel investors, less so for clean energy investors. The UAE's decision to leave OPEC reinforced this.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Motherfucking wind farms…
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 14/07/2025
Wildfire health impacts continue -- but research shows that if we do not directly connect extremes with how they're being driven by a warming climate, being affected by disasters won't make us more willing to support + advocate for climate action. That's why it's SO impt that we talk about it!
cbc.ca
Air quality in Toronto among worst in the world Monday, as Environment Canada issues heat warning | CBC News
Parts of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) are under an air quality warning on Monday alongside an ongoing heat warning in the region, Environment Canada says.
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Geoff Salomons @groof.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
For the BC #climate crowd. If you’re in Victoria, come check out this great event with @danwoy.bsky.social and others! www.eventbrite.com/e/beyond-the...
eventbrite.com
Beyond the Carbon Tax: Charting a New Course for Climate Action in BC
Join IPAC Victoria for a panel on the future of climate policy in BC, featuring expert voices from across sectors.
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David Zipper @davidzipper.bsky.social · 23/03/2025
New paper compares non-exhaust pollution (brake and tire particulates) from ICE and EV cars. Conclusion: EV's create more tire pollution b/c they're heavier, but less brake pollution due to regenerative braking. EVs come out ahead overall if >15% of driving is in a city. doi.org/10.1016/j.tr...
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Bentley Allan @bentleyallan.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
The Greens in Germany got this concession for supporting Metz’ 500bn package.
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Chris Bataille @chrisbataille.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
@danwoy.bsky.social ‘s usual great deep dives. My take on analyzing the O&G cap was if they reduced fugitive GHG at best practise, little combustion limitation was necessary. With a bit of efficiency & heat electrification (heat pumps & heat batteries for low heat need), the cap was not binding
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
The PBO's analysis of the federal government’s proposed oil and gas emissions cap is out (www.pbo-dpb.ca/en/publicati...), and unfortunately for Canadians it continues their pattern of shoddy analysis (www.cbc.ca/news/politic...) of federal climate policy. 1/
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
Elbows up. Stick together. 🇨🇦
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 12/02/2025
NEW: Global EV sales grew 18% year-on-year in Jan 2025 Was this due to the "devastating collapse" of 21% growth in Europe? The "stalling" 12% growth in China? Maybe the "plunging" 22% rise in US/Canada? Or "faltering" 50% rest-of-world growth…? Data: Rho Motion 🤷‍♂️
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Sara Hastings-Simon 🇨🇦 @shastingssimon.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
Dear @pbsnews.bsky.social when a fascist is threatening an invasion and annexation of a sovereign nation you in fact do not have to respond by explaining how it would work WTF is “Here’s what it would take to transform Canada from a nation to a state”?
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
"Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada. www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
linkedin.com
Dan Woynillowicz on LinkedIn: Friday reflections... "Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and…
Friday reflections... "Canada First" may be an enticing slogan and sentiment, but it risks making things harder for Canada. As a middle power and a trading…
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
vancouversun.com
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
"When you tally up that savings over someone’s typical four-year lease or seven-year car loan, suddenly, even without the incentives, the EV saves you an absolute fortune." vancouversun.com/news/local-n...
vancouversun.com
B.C. faces bumpy road as 10-year countdown begins on zero-emission vehicle target
B.C. is now on a 10-year countdown to hit the province's mandate for all new, light-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2035.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
Can confirm.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
Worthy of attention in the Canadian conversation about "what next?" -- the giant climate and energy policy pendulum swing happening in the US could make Canada a MORE attractive destination for low-carbon investment IF we don't follow suit. Keep Canada Boring. polarisstrategy.ca/2024/05/13/k...
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Blake Shaffer 🇨🇦 @blakeshaffer.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
The tariffs may be paused but the relationship is broken. Trump and the next Trump can’t be trusted. Canadians need to look inward and elsewhere, diversifying away from the US, and getting stronger in the process. Let’s make that the legacy we build from this. Bye America, Buy Canadian 🇨🇦
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Brenda Bailey, MLA @brendavancouver.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Premier David Eby has instructed all 29 Crown Agencies (BC Hydro, ICBC, LCB, etc) and all Ministires to buy Canadian Goods and Services First. President Trump has essentially ripped up our Trade Agreement. This means we don’t need to abide by it either. So what does this mean for BC? (1/4)
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
“even Enbridge doesn’t really know how to disconnect from Enbridge.”
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 31/01/2025
Very encouraging to see Canada achieve an 8th place ranking (now cracking the Top 10!), with 19% growth to just over US$35 billion invested in the energy transition in 2024. about.bnef.com/energy-trans...
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Jesse D. Jenkins @jessedjenkins.com · 30/01/2025
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday. www.reuters.com/business/aut... #Upshift 🔌🚗 🔌💡
reuters.com
EV car sales to top 20 million in 2025, research firm says
Global sales of fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will rise by at least 17% this year to over 20 million cars, helped by an extension of China's auto trade-in subsidies, research firm Rho Motion forecast on Tuesday.
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Arvind Ravikumar @arvindpawan1.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
Beyond tech industry implications of DeepSeek, I am wondering what this does to the ridiculous projections of electricity demand growth in the next 5 years. This is a good time to take stock of unrealized efficiency gains in AI compute before we end up building a bunch of 30-year gas plants.
wsj.com
Silicon Valley Is Raving About a Made-in-China AI Model
DeepSeek is called ‘amazing and impressive’ despite working with less-advanced chips.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
So many of the big challenges BC faces require solutions that cut across multiple ministries, so it's great to see Meghan Sali providing this policy development leadership in the Premier's office. @davidebybc.bsky.social will surely benefit from her wise counsel & focus on delivering solutions.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
It's wild that this isn't getting more attention: Beijing’s official target, set in 2020, for EVs to account for 50 per cent of car sales by 2035, will be achieved 10 years ahead of schedule: China is set to sell more EVs than ICE vehicles in 2025 www.ft.com/content/0ebd... #energysky
ft.com
China’s EV sales set to overtake traditional cars years ahead of west
Volumes forecast to rise 20% next year, smashing international projections and Beijing’s official targets
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
This is 🎯- “Americans on both political sides have essentially agreed to frame emerging electrical technologies as being fundamentally about climate change, instead of about national power and prosperity. This is a dangerous misconception.” www.noahpinion.blog/p/america-is...
noahpinion.blog
America is losing the physical technologies of the future
Electrical technology isn't just a climate thing. It's about national power and prosperity.
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Claude Boucher @bouchecl.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Hydro-Québec's Sabia on the Churchill Falls deal: “These projects are clear statements that Canada has the ability to do big things,” (gift article)🔌💡 www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/4558b9d...
theglobeandmail.com
Hydro-Québec CEO hails Labrador projects as examples of Canada getting stuff done
Michael Sabia said the country will build its credibility with U.S. politicians by increasing its ability to be a reliable partner in areas such as energy, critical minerals and emerging industries
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Leadership musings... A good leader knows when to step up. A great leader knows when to step in. An excellent leader knows when to step back. And an exceptional leader knows when to step down.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
Details to come, but listening to BC gov't/BC Hydro press conference re: call-for-power results and they are encouraging! - 9 wind projects will secure 30 year contracts - 5,000 GWh (more than original plan of 3,000GWh, which is great news) 1/
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
A big part of their strategy is ringing the alarm about whether B.C has sufficient electricity, most recently: globalnews.ca/news/1089280... As previously noted, B.C’s energy debate needs less heat and more fact www.biv.com/news/comment...
globalnews.ca
BC Hydro imported a quarter of the province’s power in the last 12 months | Globalnews.ca
According to documents filed with the B.C. Utilities Commission, BC Hydro imported 13,600 gigawatt hours of electricity in fiscal year 2024, at a cost of nearly $1.4 billion.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
You have to love it when an attempt to go backwards boomerangs in favour of faster progress. Congrats and thanks to all those involved, I needed this good news.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
I love spotting electrification in the wild.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
Truth👇
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James Glave 🇨🇦 @jamesglave.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Tough to keep fighting #climate battles we have already won. But that is where we find ourselves in #Vancouver 🇨🇦 this week as our populist-right mayor and his majority council seek to roll back a restriction on gas in new construction that's been on the books since Jan 2022. A 🧵... (1/10)
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Seth Klein @sethdklein.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
Very good analysis here by @danwoy.bsky.social & Madeleine McPherson, debunking fearmongering about the reliability of BC's electricity supply... www.biv.com/news/comment...
biv.com
Opinion: B.C’s energy debate needs less heat and more fact
Those concerned about B.C.'s electricity crunch fail to account for increased efficiency in the system
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Michael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
A message to UK Conservatives: "We should be restating our commitment to net zero 2050 and laying out an inspiring, affordable, job-creating, reality-based programme to get there. If we don’t, we will remain in opposition. And we will deserve to." conservativehome.com/2024/11/15/m...
conservativehome.com
Michael Liebreich: The inconvenient choice for Conservatives is to recommit to net zero or get used to opposition | Conservative Home
We can acknowledge that many became uncomfortable with the costs that net zero seemed set to impose but we must also go back to first principles – as scientists, as engineers, as financiers and as Con...
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
@janrosenow.bsky.social neatly unpacks the primary energy fallacy. "the argument that we cannot possibly replace the vast amount of fossil fuel we currently use with clean energy seems compelling at first glance. The good news is that we don’t have to." medium.com/@jan.rosenow...
medium.com
Have we been duped by the primary energy fallacy?
Whenever I post something on renewable energy on social media it never takes long for negative comments to arrive in my feed. One type of…
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Colin McKerracher @colinmckerracher.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
*taps mic* Each year, I hear about all the reasons that EVs will fail, and each year sales keep going up. On track for just under 17 million in 2024, in line with BNEF forecast's from the start of the year about.bnef.com/blog/are-glo...
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Jesse D. Jenkins @jessedjenkins.com · 20/11/2024
The world is on track to blow past the target of halting warming at 1.5C. Is it game over? Are we hurtling over tipping points? What is the physical science basis for this target? What does it mean to be headed beyond 1.5C? On SHIFT KEY, we talk with NASA climate scientist Kate Marvel to find out 🔌💡
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Mark Thompson @markthom.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Hey #energysky🔌💡, Ontario, Canada is seeking feedback to inform Ontario’s first integrated energy resource plan. I'm working on DER elements of this consultation, let me know if you want to participate in DER consultation session. Submissions due Dec 13. ero.ontario.ca/notice/019-9...
ero.ontario.ca
Integrated Energy Resource Plan Consultation | Environmental Registry of Ontario
We are seeking feedback from the public, stakeholders and Indigenous communities that will inform Ontario’s first integrated energy resource plan. This process builds on significant work completed ove...
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Spare a thought and give thanks for the crews working diligently to get the electrons flowing again! 🙏🏼
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Brendon Slotterback @bslotterback.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
How do we get people to swap fossil appliances for electric? We need new heuristics says @rewiringamerica.bsky.social and @heatmap.news! I bet #energysky could generate 1,000. GO!
A screenshot showing the two heuristics tested by Rewiring: Upgrade to the best: get electric next! And One time, huge impact
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
It won't dominate the headlines, but bringing the BC Climate Action Secretariat and Energy ministries together into a *new* Ministry of Energy and Climate Solutions is an important step forward. More: www.linkedin.com/posts/activi...
linkedin.com
Dan Woynillowicz on LinkedIn: It won't dominate the headlines, but bringing the BC Climate Action…
It won't dominate the headlines, but bringing the BC Climate Action Secretariat and Energy ministries together into a *new* Ministry of Energy and Climate…
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David Sacerdote @davidsacerdote.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
A petrostate deciding to sabotage any kind of negotiated decarbonization is probably the least surprising thing to happen here. "Consensus" is going to have to mean something other than "unanimity" if there is going to be any success. www.nytimes.com/2024/11/18/c...
nytimes.com
Saudi Arabia Is Working to Undercut a Pledge to Quit Fossil Fuels
Despite endorsing a transition away from fossil fuels last year, Saudi officials have since worked to undermine it in at least five U.N. forums, diplomats said.
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Dan Woynillowicz @danwoy.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Without being pollyannish @rjcsmith.bsky.social lays out the opportunity to continue climate progress in the US, regardless of what the President-elect might do: www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/6e29e64...
theglobeandmail.com
With Trump in the White House, expect the states to take charge on climate progress
The president-elect is likely to pull the U.S. away from climate-change solutions. So efforts to reduce emissions in America will have to come from the state level
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Karin Kirk @karinkirk.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
Some good news for a change. China's EVs are helping lower oil demand in China, which is the 2nd largest consumer of oil. The same is happening here in the US. Love to see it. #EnergySky www.reuters.com/business/ene...
reuters.com
World faces oil surplus in 2025 on weak demand, IEA says
Global oil supply will exceed demand in 2025 even if OPEC+ cuts remain in place, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday, as rising production from the United States and other outside producers outpaces sluggish demand.
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