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Damien Bol

@damienbol.bsky.social
2.8K followers 1.9K following 90 posts

Prof in Political Behavior in Sciences Po Paris. Ex boom-bap rapper, I wear white kicks ALL THE TIME www.damienbol.eu

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Reposted by Damien Bol
Edward Elgar Publishing @elgarpublishing.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
➡️ OUT NOW: Handbook of Experimental Methods in the Social Sciences, edited by Prof. Alex Rees-Jones Learn more: www.e-elgar.com/shop/isbn/97... Read a free chapter online: doi.org/10.4337/9781... Discover a comprehensive and accessible guide to experimental methodology and practice.
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Alex Hartland @alexhartland.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
📄 New Publication 📄 When AI Talks Politics: How reliable is ChatGPT? Co-authored with Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social and @rosanavarrete.bsky.social Now available Open Access @electoralstudies.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 🧵
sciencedirect.com
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Political Studies @polstudies.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Does support for democracy increase losers’ consent? André Blais, @damienbol.bsky.social & @carolinaplescia.bsky.social find that strong democratic convictions don't necessarily increase acceptance of unfavourable results. Read more: buff.ly/es2bVZ5 @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social #polsky #polsci
Abstract
Regime legitimacy and survival rely on citizens’ consent to election results, even when these results are unfavorable. Theories posit that individuals with pro-democratic attitudes are more accepting of electoral losses. We test this assumption by analyzing the empirical relationship between support for democratic principles, such as universal suffrage, and electoral consent to randomly generated, hypothetical but plausible electoral outcomes. Using data from a representative sample of Germans, we find a negative correlation between the two variables. Furthermore, those with the strongest democratic convictions are those most influenced in their consent by partisan preferences. Part of the explanation stems from reactions to the far-right, anti-democratic party Alternative for Germany, as many respondents strongly dislike this party and are unwilling to consent to outcomes in which it performs well. However, even among other respondents, democratic support does not correlate positively with losers’ consent.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
4 is without the unknown: Horacio, Yotam, Ben, and Oskar.
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CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
#municipales2026 #danslesmédias Tribune de @damienbol.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social dans @lemonde.fr du jour www.lemonde.fr/idees/articl... @scpo-research.bsky.social
lemonde.fr
« Les choix d’alliance autour du RN pour le second tour des municipales constitueront un indicateur précieux de la solidité du cordon sanitaire »
TRIBUNE. Malgré quelques percées, le Rassemblement national ne semble pas en mesure de remporter un grand nombre de municipalités. Mais les enseignements du scrutin ne viennent pas seulement des urnes...
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Reposted by Damien Bol
Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · 12/03/2026
Comment en finir avec la démocratie des cheveux gris? A l'approche des municipales, notre tribune dans @liberation.fr propose 4 leviers pour réduire l'abstention, notamment des jeunes. 👇👇 Focus @caeeco.bsky.social associé: cae-eco.fr/les-absents-... Avec Jean Beuve et Etienne Fize.
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imeisdurham.bsky.social @imeisdurham.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
📢 We are hiring at IMEIS, Durham University The School of Government and International Affairs is recruiting an Assistant Professor in Middle East Politics (with a focus on the Arab states). 🔗 uk.indeed.com/viewjob?jk=b... For academic enquiries: Professor Bahar Baser – bahar.baser@durham.ac.uk
uk.indeed.com
Assistant Professor in Middle East Politics - Durham - Indeed.com
Durham University
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Ha ha ha patience pays off
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Fantastic work at APSR. At some point we’ll have to collectively acknowledge that Yamil is about as close as academia gets to a rockstar
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Reposted by Damien Bol
Yamil Ricardo Velez @yamilrvelez.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social): Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.
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Santiago Sanchez-Pages @sanpages.eurosky.social · 04/03/2026
One of my favourite events in the conference season: young scholars sharing their superexciting research with us. Please, do apply and visit us at @kingsqpe.bsky.social
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
This is spot on
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Reposted by Damien Bol
CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
#BaromètreConfiance @luc-rouban.bsky.social @damienbol.bsky.social et Bruno Cautrès proposent leur synthèse des résultats de la vague 17 du Baromètre de la confiance politique CEVIPOF dans @lemonde.fr Demande de protection et recherche d'une démocratie qui fonctionne. www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...
lemonde.fr
La défiance envers les politiques en France approche un point de non-retour, selon le baromètre Cevipof
ANALYSE. A l’issue d’un an et demi d’absence de majorité à l’Assemblée, le sentiment que la démocratie est devenue inefficace se répand, montre la 17ᵉ vague du baromètre de la confiance politique, réa...
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Anna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Has someone studied this? It seems eminently feasible!
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
I wonder whether there is a study estimating the causal effect of grade scales on strategic choice made by students like extra curricular activities
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Agree but this ceiling effect only occurs in the final stage of grade inflation. In UK (and other countries like France), there has been grade inflation, but we’re still far from the ceiling. Today, 20% of students get a First (70-80%) but they can still work harder to get a better grade
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Yeah but the font is terrible ;)
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Reposted by Damien Bol
Johanna Rickne @johannarickne.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
❗ Help needed ❗ Please take our 5-minute survey about interpreting research graphs 📈 And please help us share this post with lots of people 🤗 Take the survey here: supsy.eu.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_... Thank you!!
supsy.eu.qualtrics.com
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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
NEW - Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - cup.org/49auQPf - @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social #OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract of an academic article discussing how democratic institutions prioritize citizen preferences regarding economic and physical security, with a focus on varied democratic features across thirty countries.
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S. Erdem Aytaç @seaytac.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
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Alexandre Afonso @alexandreafonso.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
Not exactly a Xmas merrymaking post, but I wrote something on the changing environment for international academics in the Netherlands and how it has changed over the last 10 years: open.substack.com/pub/alexandr...
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Corinna Kroeber @corinnakroeber.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years) We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald. ✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group
uni-greifswald.de
Postdoctoral Research Associate - International Research Training Group 2560 “Baltic Peripeties" 25/E19
Stellenausschreibung Institut für Politik- und Kommunikationswissenschaft
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Simon Chauchard @simonchauchard.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
📣📣📣 GREAT, time-sensitive opportunity for senior/mid-career scholars to join us in Madrid at UC3M´s social sciences department (UC3M-ATRAE Program 2026) on an attractive pay+research funds package 📣📣📣 This does NOT happen everyday. THREAD below if this is of interest 1/n
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
Super thread. Pour ceux qui veulent une quantification du vote pour les élections de 2024, on a écrit un papier là dessus pour les RFSP avec @jfdaoust.bsky.social shs.cairn.info/revue-revue-...
shs.cairn.info
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
Oui La Rage, probablement dans le top. Dans les trucs récents, probablement ceci malgré tout youtu.be/oJ5PfRQB93o?...
youtu.be
Freeze Corleone 667 - Freeze Raël
YouTube video by Mangemort Squad
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 13/12/2025
It has to be French. This is often considered as the best 90s’ rap song in France youtu.be/s8mGJbvfw24?...
youtu.be
X Men - Retour Aux Pyramides
YouTube video by FULL CLIP
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
This paper is personal. I wrote it on my own (no RA, no fund), and it grew out of my own experience as a teenager in Belgium in the 1990s. I also had the chance to cite my PhD supervisor, André-Paul Frognier, who isn’t in great health and was truly pivotal for me and my career. End/
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Implications: - Elections do more than picking a winner, they make citizens. - A reason why the youth is not be super on board with democracy is because they haven't had a chance to experience it fully yet. - Some governmental instability can be good to renew democratic mood. 6/
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
The effect is as strong in presidential, parliamentary, proportional and non-proportional countries. But it's stronger in liberal democracies. It's also stronger for those who have never experienced anything else than democracy, that is, those who might take democracy for granted. 5/
Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, depending on type of political institutions.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Finding: Cohort analysis shows that being exposed to an extra elections increases support for democracy, but being exposed to an election leading to a turnover even more so. The effect doesn't fade away and is particularly strong after a long period of incumbency (like after 20 years) 4/
Coefficient estimates of regressions estimating the effect of the number of turnovers to which one has been exposed over their lifetime, and the number of elections not leading to a turnover, on their support for democracy.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Data: I merged a range of international survey data (N=350,000) and trace the elections to which respondents have been exposed in their country since they were young. Descriptive statistics are interesting I guess 3/
Histogram showing number of elections and turnovers experienced by survey respondents in the dataset.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
The argument: I test whether elections experienced by people over their lifetime can boost their support for democracy in the long run. And crucially: elections leading to government turnovers, because they showcase what democracy is about. 2/
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Over the moon 😍. My paper "Renewing Democracy: How Exposure to Electoral Turnovers Reinforces Citizens’ Democratic Support" is accepted in World Politics. LINK: osf.io/preprints/os.... First paper fully conceived since my second child was born 4 years ago. For those who know, big milestone. 🧵 1/
Title and abstract of the accepted paper.
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Reposted by Damien Bol
Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
📻 Great new podcast on political behaviour - the last episode features my @lsegovernment.bsky.social colleague Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social on whether campaigns matter, Mamdani’s victory and the Dutch elections - listen here ⬇️ linktr.ee/Politically....
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Take-aways: (i) support for violence against politicians is low (phew), (ii) largely unrelated to affective polarization, and (iii) we can reduce it with simple and scalable interventions. A paper that gives us some hope End/
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
We've also a vignette experiment where we test whether a simple intervention can decrease support for violence: encouraging people to consider politicians' perspective and reminding them about the importance of pluralism. It does for the most pervasive form of violence 5/
Results of vignette experiment showing that the interventions decreased milder forms of violence against politicians.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Conjoint shows that support is lower when the politician is a woman (fits stereotypical views), but partisanship don't. Negative correlation disappears when controlling for individual variables. The profile of violent citizens are low-educated young men who dislike all parties 4/
Results of conjoint analysis showing that the socio-demographic background of respondents shapes support for violence.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Similar to other studies using these types of survey questions, we find that people don't support the most extreme forms of violence (physical assault), but they do support "milder" forms like online insult. Though, overall support is rather low, no more than 10% support. 3/
Histogram showing that most people don't support violence against politicians, although support is higher for milder forms line online insult.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
We rely on latest recommendations (@seanjwestwood.bsky.social and colleagues) and survey citizen support for concrete violence forms against (hypothetical) politicians using a conjoint in France (very high polarization, think about US) and french-speaking Belgium (much much lower). 2/
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
New WP on political violence in democracies with the fantastic @dianebolet.bsky.social and @bjarneck.bsky.social. Sadly very topical, but with some positive results osf.io/preprints/so... 1/
The image shows the paper's title and abstract.
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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
The Political Behaviour Stream of the MSc in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social is welcoming applications for entry in 2026/27: www.lse.ac.uk/study-at-lse... Benefit from teaching and supervision from world-leading scholars, weekly research seminars & an active alumni network:
lse.ac.uk
MSc Political Science (Political Behaviour)
Study political opinions and behaviours with the MSc Political Science (Political Behaviour), offering rigorous training and diverse career paths.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
🚨 New LSE job in political science 🚨 We're looking for a *Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy* to join the LSE School of Public Policy Please share! jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...
jobs.lse.ac.uk
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy
Full or Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, , <p style="text-align: center;"><em><span>LSE is committed to building a diverse, equitable and truly inclusive university</span></...
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
First-time authors: Get the reviewer on your side in the first 3 pages. From there on, they either look for areas to improve or reasons to reject.
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CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Le CEVIPOF lance une collection de #notes dédiées à l'enquête #FracturesFrançaises, pour comprendre les transformations profondes du paysage politique et social FR. NOTE2 : Anne Muxel : La #génération est-elle encore un marqueur des fractures politiques françaises? www.sciencespo.fr/cevipof/site...
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Anne Rasmussen @annerasmussen.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are? @simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions Thread 🧵1/10
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Sumitra Badrinathan @sumitra.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
🚨 new paper out w/ @simonchauchard.bsky.social in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social on the link between misinformation and religiosity- does religious belief cause people to endorse more misinformation? And if so, what can we do about it? thread below ⬇️
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Pierre-Louis Vézina @plvezina.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
New WP thread! 🤓 Vietnam's solar panel exports boomed between 2018 and 2022. With my PhD student Meng Yu Ngov, Trang Thu Tran, and Gaurav Nayyar we look at how this industry success can be attributed to attracting FDI and importing parts and components, as well to Chinese subsidy spillovers.👇
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CEVIPOF - Sciences Po @cevipof.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
#danslesmédias Analyse de la crise de confiance politique par @damienbol.bsky.social, enseignant-chercheur @cevipof.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social sur le plateau du 19/20 Paris IDF @francetv.bsky.social www.france.tv/france-3/par... cc @scpo-research.bsky.social
france.tv
Politique : crise de confiance en replay - ICI 19/20 - L'entretien
Dans ce contexte d’incertitude politique, décryptage et analyse concernant le lien de confiance entre citoyens et politiques.
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Damien Bol @damienbol.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Thanks for the SO. We tried estimate the effect of having a 4th candidate (as a separate RDD), but there were too few treated districts. That said, as France is becoming increasingly fragmented, there will be more and more data points
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