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Conor McGovern

@conormcgovern.bsky.social
232 followers 227 following 1.3K posts

Failed minor league hockey goalie. Former union boss. Agricultural economist working on school meals by day Covering the AA Eastern League for the Dynasty Dugout and creator of Dynasty Index (dynastyindex.com)

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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Louis @louisevans.bsky.social · 20h
Skipped the Nazis, huh.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 20h
It's amazing that the US defense industry is just stealing stupid ideas from Warhammer at this point
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Speaking as someone in the DC area who got Lyme a couple years ago (albeit caught and resolved quickly) and hates being outside because of mosquitoes, I'm supportive of Trump entering his Mao Era
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
An NFL coach is required to be three things: (1) an uber-technical engineer, (2) a babysitter for adult toddlers whose appearance on an Iron Age battlefield would have caused entire Roman legions to flee in terror, (3) willing to work 120 hour weeks for barely enough money to pay for your zyn habit
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Drake Maye seems determined to be the worst quarterback in the NFL this season
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Ok leaving aside the wanton and pointless destruction of pristine wilderness, the park factors here would be incredibly stupid
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Remembering how that awful Vampire Castle essay was framed around this story about how the left expelled the good working-class leftist boy Russell Brand because he called women "birds." Aged well!
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Avatar the Last Airbender not making that top-100 shows of the 21st century list is pretty bonkers
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Oh yes
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Morbidly fascinated by the Orioles' bunting decisions, I built a model to assess when bunting is a good call. A bunch of insights here, but notable is that the Orioles have made the worst decisions in MLB in 2026 (but Friday's Basallo bunt was defensible!) comcgovern36.substack.com/p/buntpilled...
comcgovern36.substack.com
Buntpilled
When is the right time to bunt, and who makes the best decisions? It’s not the Orioles.
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Shannon Vallor @shannonvallor.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Short legged cat with stunned expression inside circular arrows; at top, ‘I wake up’; at bottom, ‘there is something wronger with Britain’
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Super Shoe @shoe.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This is incredible nitter.app/banteg/statu... H/t @gregdoucette.bsky.social
nitter.app
banteg (@banteg)
>be me >discover effective altruism >apparently normal charity is inefficient >why donate to random sad thing when spreadsheet can tell you optimal sad thing >fair enough >buy mosquito nets >save live...
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This is an unbelievable world we just created here, unbelievable energy, um, and we gotta match it, you know we gotta make sure WE GET THOSE FAUNS GOING EARLY
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This is one of those urban legends I've been hearing about from my dad since I was a kid. My favorite one that he believes, the one that's comically verifiably false, is that Mr. Rogers was a decorated sniper in Vietnam and became a pacifist because of the horrors of the war
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
?
Chart showing the price of ground beef is higher than it's ever been, nearly $7/lb
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
My final column for the year at Dynasty Dugout as the Double-A season draws to a close. I look at the Baysox arms including insights from their pitch data, Jack Cebert of the Nationals, Henry Godbout of the Red Sox, and, last but not least, Vance Honeycutt www.thedynastydugout.com/p/pearls-fro...
thedynastydugout.com
Pearls from the BAAy: Late Summer Edition
Conor breaks down his live looks from the late summer, featuring a parade of Orioles pitchers, Jack Cebert, Henry Godbout, Vance Honeycutt, and more!
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
My final column for the year at Dynasty Dugout as the Double-A season draws to a close. I look at the Baysox arms including insights from their pitch data, Jack Cebert of the Nationals, Henry Godbout of the Red Sox, and, last but not least, Vance Honeycutt www.thedynastydugout.com/p/pearls-fro...
thedynastydugout.com
Pearls from the BAAy: Late Summer Edition
Conor breaks down his live looks from the late summer, featuring a parade of Orioles pitchers, Jack Cebert, Henry Godbout, Vance Honeycutt, and more!
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Took like three hours for national media to pick up an even dumber paper than the exercise one
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
It's a study of fewer than 20 people, all young active males; they found different results for running vs cycling; and the mechanism is a release of more blood proteins that are potentially correlated with some degree of risk reduction for basically anything. Science reporting is generally awful
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Coby Mayo with a 210 wRC+ vs Subatomic Particles
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
In some ways I think this stuff is an unintended consequence of modern medicine's success. Many people have come to believe that doctors are D&D clerics — bring a kid with sniffles to the pediatrician and they'll cast cure light wounds and make them better. When they can't, many turn to snake oil
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
There's this misconception that school meal debt comes from lower-income kids, but those kids get free meals (and coverage on free meals is very high because of direct cert and CEP). The reality is that most of it comes from kids whose parents don't realize they're buying a meal or a la carte items
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Deb JJ Lee @jdebbiel.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
witnessed something at dragon con I can’t get out of my head
Sketch of a Mike Myers cat in the hat cosplayer staring intently at a poster of a sexy Ring lady
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
The CTE research is based on a very biased sample coming out of a single lab. There's no question it's true directionally, but the way the results are reported are sensationalized. They report relative risk, that obnoxious industry standard, against what's essentially an unknown population baseline
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
A fire quote from Pete Alonso here, followed by a few paragraphs of "is this why the Orioles' homegrown players all stink now" (a question I would like to have a pat answer for!)
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This remains one of the best names for an academic paper I've ever seen repository.upenn.edu/entities/pub...
repository.upenn.edu
An Eleméntàry Linguistic Definition of Upstate New York
This paper examines a hitherto undiscussed dialectological feature of Upstate New York: the pronunciation of words like elementary (documentary, complimentary, etc.) as eleméntàry, with secondary stress on the penultimate syllable. We report the results of three studies examining the geographic distribution of this feature. In the first study, data from 119 sociolinguistic interviews in communities in eastern New York establish the widespread usage of the feature in this region. In the second study, data from 59 sociolinguistic interviews in far western New York and northwestern Pennsylvania show that the geographic extent of the feature hews very close to the New York–Pennsylvania state line in that region. The third study is a rapid and anonymous telephone survey of the lexical item elementary including 188 towns across the entire state of New York and nearby parts of adjacent states. This study finds that the stressed-penultimate pattern is nearly confined to Upstate New York, bleeding only into the Northern Tier of counties in Pennsylvania and a few towns in southwestern Vermont. In addition to providing empirical evidence for the geographic extent of this dialectolgical feature, this study analyzes the relationship between the distribution of the -méntàry pronunciation and other isoglosses that serve as boundaries between major dialect regions in the area. The analysis shows that the geographic extent of the -méntàry pronunciation does not always pattern closely with dialect regions defined by phonological criteria; rather, it coincides more closely with the cultural boundary delimiting the region of Upstate New York. We argue that this type of linguistic boundary is caused primarily by communication patterns (as opposed to constraints internal to the linguistic system), and that it is more likely to be observed in variants involving analogical change, such as the -méntàry pronunciation.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
The Harvard Dialect Survey didn't ask about how you pronounce elementary, which is basically the single biggest tell that someone is a yokel from upstate New York (guilty as charged)
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Lmao what
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
NOT GREAT
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Retired guys love to complain about this stuff on the golf course
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Losing to the Rockies stinks and has colored my whole morning. Leody must go
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Oh
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Man people on Bluesky celebrating a woman getting randomly stabbed to death because she happened to be a mid-level manager at a big bank is some absolutely bleak misanthropic stuff
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Updated Dynasty Index with a glossary that includes every relevant baseball stat, the formulas used to calculate them, and dynamic averages and percentiles at each level. Also split Deception+ into Deception+ and Surprise+, the latter for game-level pitch sequencing. Check it out: dynastyindex.com
dynastyindex.com
Dynasty Index
Track your favorite minor league baseball players and teams with custom rosters and daily stat updates.
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
ℳatt @matttomic.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Science has determined: - the Median Baltimore Orioles player - the Median Tampa Bay Rays player
HUNTER CORNMAN

Apple-cheeked blond oaf

Usually hits .218 but turns into Ted fucking Williams whenver he's facing your team

Attended Robert E. Lee-Strom Thurmond Secondary in South BiscuitvilleDAX DONK

Perpetually damp-looking ambidextrous sidearm knuckleballer with 0.95 ERA

Acquired by the Rays for $500 out of the Boat Repair Technical College of Alaska

The moment he’s owed real money he will be traded to the Yankees for a stack of scratch-off tickets
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Danchez @oriolesreview.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
This is the kind of catch you make in your dreams as a kid. Game-winning robbery, perfectly timed, every single ounce of athleticism in your body pushed to the limit. Insane.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Mapquest can get away with it because Mapquest doesn't have hundreds of millions in US government contracts
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
They're a government contractor and use the GNIS names as a policy. The whole thing is obviously incredibly stupid, the type of thing only the world's most brainwormed boomer would think is funny, but nobody should really expect corporate pushback on this
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
jpicone @me.jamespicone.name · 30/08/2026
Stolen from discord memes channel
Nine-panel Calvin and Hobbes strip, edited.

Panel 1: A bespectacled doctor in a white coat leans over a desk, holding out a small box to Calvin. "Put your right hand in the box."

Panel 2: Calvin, clutching Hobbes, looks up warily. "What's in the box?" The doctor, hand resting on the box: "Pain."

Panel 3: Calvin howls, "Why are you doing this??" The doctor answers with eyes closed and a faint smile: "An animal in a trap will gnaw off its own leg to escape. What will you do?"

Panel 4: Cut to the waiting room. Calvin's mum sits in a chair reading a magazine. From off-panel: "No need to call for help. Your mother is behind that door. None will get past her."

Panel 5: Mum reads on, magazine raised. She whispers: "I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little death that brings total obliteration…"

Panel 6: A jagged burst of shouting from off-panel: "NO!! I'll never cooperate, you hideous bug-eyed freak! NEVER!!" Mum has not moved.

Panel 7: More shouting: "You can contain my BODY, but you can't chain my SPIRIT! Walls can't confine it! Laws can't restrain it! You can try to leave a message, but my spirit screens its calls!!" Mum is staring blankly ahead

Panel 8: Enormous block letters fill the panel — "AAAAAGHHHHHHHHH" — as mum is shocked out of the chair, which tips over backwards.

Panel 9: Outside, mum stands, looking down at Calvin. "What did the Reverend Mother say?" Calvin, striding in: "All history up to this point has been spent preparing the world for my presence."
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
This book rocks and I'm looking forward to reading the third book of the series as soon as I'm done with FIFTH SUN... which may take a bit, as it is very well-written but like most non-fiction has the unfortunate tendency to put me to sleep
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
European drought tightened skim solids markets, which pushed powder prices above cheese (which affects fluid milk due to an obscure pricing reform that took effect last year). Processors and retailers took a hit when the price went up, and now they're recovering it when prices are dropping.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
🧐
Whole milk is more expensive than it has ever been before
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
Karl Marx's favorite economist
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
This is very far from my ag neck of the woods, but breaking the Big Four packing oligopoly would be a good thing for meat prices, but the level of capital expenditure necessary for any regional processor to challenge them would be extraordinary. And the cattle herd is still historically small.
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
ℳatt @matttomic.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Before Doucet, baseball terminology in Quebec was a lot of franglais - "le shortstop a struck out sur un curveball" etc. - but that didn't fly with Quebec broadcasting laws, so he basically had to invent a French word to use for every bit of the baseball lexicon. Here are some of them:
Some French baseball terms coined by the late Jacques Doucet

amorti (deadened) - to bunt
balle fronde (slingshot ball) - splitter
balle papillon (butterfly ball) - knuckleball
chandelle (candle) - pop fly
souricière (mousetrap) - rundown
sabotage - blown save
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
This blew my mind, incredible inside "look" at how a live sports broadcast is managed. Just a guy constantly stating camera numbers and directions, with occasional commentary. So cool.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Constantly yo-yoing between a state where I expect to continue to have my job with USDA (including relocation of my office from Virginia to Maryland, a net positive for my commute) and a state where I lose my job (because it is relocated to Raleigh) in the near-future is a ton of fun
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Jabril @davidjabril.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
When I was with the Lookouts, Dolly and Carl came to the park one day, took one look at the clubhouse spread, and demanded we all get chicken and dumplings on her dime. She spent time with every person on the team (players and coaches) and refused to leave until we taught some Spanish swear words.
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Conor McGovern @conormcgovern.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
This is a truly excellent interview on the modern US welfare-state, Lowrey kind of nailed everything comprehensively
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Reposted by Conor McGovern
Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
"The average standard error on a state’s annual payment error rate is about 1.1 percentage points, meaning a typical 95 percent confidence interval spans roughly 4.4 percentage points...At the extreme, due to random chance, California could pay nothing or more than $2 billion."
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