iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Around 7% of the population I believe, so I was assuming a higher proportion of households - but I don’t know the stats on household composition, will defer to you!

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Which probably wouldn’t apply to the consistent downward trend over previous months but might be a factor in this month’s jump, depending what next month shows

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

There must be a certain amount of month to month noise in here too - of the 60,000 households in the survey, I imagine maybe 10% have a Black woman as a member? And although 6,000 is a decent sample size, you’d expect about a 1 percentage point swing by chance, one month in every 20

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

Always glad to be a reassuring piece of evidence that it could be worse

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

Seems a shame for you to spend £10 more so that I get 40p… Hope your friend’s shop makes it, best of luck to them

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

Hi! Sorry, have been on here much less recently and just saw this. It doesn’t make much difference to my royalties either way, so if you want to save money and it suits the recipient, the Kindle version at £2.99 is fine (I’ll get 60p). Otherwise an Amazon or bookshop copy will get me a pound or so!

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

49 for me. Exhausting but absolutely worth it. Would say you need to be prepared for a year or two of lower work productivity, if that is an issue income wise!

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Nikki Coates @nikkicoates.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

Hello tiny band of followers! Shortly I will be asking people in London to join me in an experiment in observation. I’m telling you now because a) I would be very grateful for any RTs going spare and b) I probably will repeat it a few times in the next few days. Ok thanks love you byeeee

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

Carney banished from Peace Board; still waiting for revelation of the first murder

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Phil Tinline @philtinline.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

If I were running Labour comms I would commission an app called 'Will the Tories/Reform deport you?' then let the reactions on TikTok and Instagram do their work.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

genuine quote: "When I announced my divorce, I didn’t do it in a breakdown video. I did it in partnership with OSEA – a skincare brand I genuinely love. The tagline was simple: Glowing Through Divorce" followed by "These are the collaborations that resonate most, because they aren’t manufactured"

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

Unsurprising. I read these articles and they came across to me like Cohan was trying to drive the bonds to zero just to prove that he can. His coverage of Musk's X buy was also weird; he kept claiming X would run out of money when it was obvious Musk would just put more in nypost.com/2025/10/08/b...

nypost.com

Saks sues Puck News, claiming outlet ran ‘hit pieces’ — despite reporter’s ‘conflict of interest’

The suit referenced a 2007 interview with The Wall Street Journal, in which Cohan said Lazard was “full of incredibly bright and ambitious people who have their morality completely intact when they…

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

if someone is 'setting up a new data centre' I suppose you need to ask if they're going to just provide a building for Google to run servers in, or if they _are_ Google in which case they are also setting up a new region of their cloud

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

there's a fair bit of technical engineering stuff but nothing too proprietary or difficult in setting up the actual physical facility. On the other hand running the cloud infrastructure that sits *in* most data centres (virtual servers, routing of data, optimising storage etc) is much harder

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 20/09/2025

Might try watching the next 10 ep season of something as 20 half hour episodes, with a major cliffhanger every second week

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

AI trained on its own outputs

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

They gave him leave to refile and amend it! That’s like basically you’ve won already

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

I download all the kindle samples of books I might want to read, and maybe one day I’ll finish everything else and they’ll show up first on the list again

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

Taking on a task I don’t need to do just so I can add it to the todo list, do it and cross it off.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

And also complicated by the fact that aggregate statistics might not be true of subgroups. But you are certainly right that a simple equation of poverty = racism is far from true.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

A common poll finding is that people don’t really know what the economy is like or how it’s doing. Much more about perception than reality. (eg in the leadup to US elections, most people thought unemployment was high even though they themselves had a good job). So it’s hard to draw these conclusions

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

That’s true. I think Dan’s point about despair is probably more relevant than a simple economic equation. And maybe we just need to outvote the 8% and that’s that. But somehow the 8% managed to affect the rest of our politics enough to win the Brexit ref, so ignoring them may not be enough.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

I don’t necessarily disagree with you on this point about liberal democracy, by the way. But if the “economic anxiety” hypothesis has anything to it, which is an open question in my view, it isn’t disproved by Richard Tice being wealthy

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

No I don’t really believe that the Telegraph or Richard Tice do hold these views, in any way that matters. I believe it matters why a few million people in the country hold those views (which could be because they listen to Richard Tice; or because of other cultural, personal or economic causes).

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 15/09/2025

Clearly the dynamic pushing Richard Tice, or the Telegraph, to be more extreme is not the same as the one that directly influences a Reform voter or Telegraph reader. These figureheads exist to funnel/reflect/amplify the feelings of others, not to have meaningful opinions of their own.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 14/09/2025

And are generally much more productive. The main good thing about small firms is that they occasionalally become big firms!

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 14/09/2025

There is also no binary racist/not racist distinction (maybe this is even true of fascist/not fascist). No point trying to get into whether a whole crowd either is or isn’t racists, whatever answer you end up on will miss the deeper points and the levers of change

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

You remind me of the UK state’s fetish for signing long-term contracts for public services with private providers to avoid taking debt onto its balance sheet, then having to pay the private companies’ (much higher) finance costs/risk premiums instead of financing it themselves.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

I wondered that too. Perhaps the modelling doesn’t indicate any big returns from reforming it (as annoying as it is). Possibly it is encouraging additional pensions contributions as an unintended side effect, and we need to keep anything that compensates for our weak pension savings rate!

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

they have a great 4-lecture mini-course about local systems on algebraic variables. highly recommended that you attend. will cure depression, life changing

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

Finally, proof that the supply curve slopes upward

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Anna Gifty @itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 13/09/2025

Governor Lisa Cook being proven right on a Friday night is PLEASING me, my homegirls, and the ancestors. #blacksky

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 10/09/2025

second or third best at most. kudos to those going all the way

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Liam Thorp @liamthorp.bsky.social · 07/09/2025

I’ve been frustrated to see so much of the ongoing story about asylum seekers and the protests against them covered without hearing from those seeking asylum and now being met with hostility and hatred I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇

liverpoolecho.co.uk

We escaped war and torture but now we feel unsafe in Britain

Special report: Amid protests and rising aggression towards asylum seekers across the country, we spoke to those being targeted

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

I think I followed the Twitter version, which admittedly had even better material to work with. But the bluesky one is really getting its curation down now

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

I trust you’ll be declaring this conflict of interest in your commentary on the paper… (great work by the way. Psychology research has had much deserved scrutiny over the last few years but I have a feeling nutrition and health need it even more)

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

New rivers of blood quote just dropped (definite improvement on the previous one)

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

At this point I have less and less interest in a strategy for Labour to be re-elected (except insofar as that stops Reform winning); a strategy to stop making the country more racist would be enough.

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

Seems that way. Fingers crossed

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

I keep desperately trying to figure out if there’s a strategy or a rationale for all this, or even a reason to hope things might get better. The straw I’m clutching at today is: people talking so much about migration now that they’ll be bored and other issues will be salient in 4 years. If only.

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Jane @localnotail.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

On the same day in the Telegraph:

The Telegraph

Rayner tax scandal - £40k tax dodge - Statement

Angela Rayner dodges £40,000 stamp duty

Deputy Prime Minister reduces tax bill for Hove flat by declaring it as her main residence

[Photo: Angela Rayner pictured at the weekend in Hove, where she has just bought a flat Credit: Dan Charity/The Sun on Sunday]

Robert Mendick Chief Reporter. Amy Gibbons Political Correspondent

29 August 2025 8:57am BST

The Telegraph

Money > Property > Second homes

How to avoid tax on your second home

From stamp duty to council tax, shield your wealth from Labour's tightening net

[Photo of houses around a bay - Areas such as Cornwall have added a premium to council tax bills for second homes Credit: iStockphoto]

Fran Ivens Senior Money Writer

29 August 2025 1:21pm BST

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Colm Murphy @colmpm.bsky.social · 05/09/2025

V. interesting. The "island of strangers" speech happened serendipitously (in one sense) during a panel survey. Paper uses this natural experiment to see the effect of such migrant-sceptic interventions on individual perceptions and voter intentions. Upshot: it harmed Labour for no obvious benefit.

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 05/09/2025

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

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Leigh Caldwell @cognomist.bsky.social · 04/09/2025

@dianecoyle1859.bsky.social “…it seems unreasonable that a man is taxed because he possesses and occupies a house with a garden, when others having a caravan, a houseboat, a yacht, a painting by an old master, or a washing machine, do not pay tax on that property.” He’s right! Tax them all!

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