Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/09/2026All of our remaining forecasts are about to come out and we'll have a tally going but I believe we're looking at DEMs gaining 325 - 400 state legislative seats nationwide. In 2018 they gained 309. Ds may get a majority of state legislative seats and chambers if they slightly outperform our forecast 510514
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I've been talking with a lot of Republicans this week whom I've known for at least a few cycles across the country, N=15, and in my nine years of these kinds of background conversations with both sides of the aisle, I have never heard one side feel so doomed about an election. 46910
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/09/2026VIRGINIA: Which member of the Virginia General Assembly are you closest to? Take our 20-question quiz looking at bills from this year's session. How would you vote? projects.statenavigate.com/interactives...projects.statenavigate.comWho votes like you? Virginia | State NavigateAnswer 20 questions about legislative votes in Virginia during the 2026 regular session. Compare your answers with the state’s legislators, and explore the bills behind your compatibility scores. 0143
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeScott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · 12/08/2026Story features comments from @pollsandvotes.bsky.social votes.bsky.social & @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social on Wisconsin results and pollsvotes.bsky.socialvotes.bsky.social 021
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/08/2026We polled 5 state legislative races in Bucks County, PA, and 3 Republican incumbents are narrowly trailing their Democratic opponents. statenavigate.org/pennsylvania...statenavigate.orgWill Josh Shapiro Get His Trifecta?Josh Shapiro is on track to win re-election by a landslide. But will his coattails earn him a Democratic trifecta in Pennsylvania? 0224
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 29/07/2026ICYMI statenavigate.org/wi/state-nav...statenavigate.orgState Navigate Poll Shows Francesca Hong With 29-Point Lead in Wisconsin’s Democratic Governor PrimaryWisconsin Democrats are on the verge of nominating Francesca Hong, a Democratic Socialist, to be their nominee against Freedom Caucus Republican Tom Tiffany. 3335
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/07/2026WI GOV DEM Primary poll out on @statenavigate.org at 12:30 PM Eastern tomorrow. Check my X for results. 3161
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/07/2026T-30 UNTIL WE SEND 44,609 TEXTS TO GEORGIA VOTERS 209 SO FAR GOAL: 250 NEW RESPONSES IN 24H WATCH NEW GOVERNOR RESPONSES POPULATE: projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...projects.statenavigate.com2026 Georgia Governor Live Polling 070
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/07/2026We're polling Georgia. Live. More texts being sent out 1PM Eastern tomorrow. See you then. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 1121
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeDecision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 20/04/2026Tomorrow is Election Day in Virginia. The Decision Desk HQ Podcast dove into the redistricting vote with @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social from @statenavigate.org. He noted how No can win if independents break for it, combined with solid Election Day turnout. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/podcast-vi... 1104
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 15/04/2026🔶NEW STATE NAVIGATE POLL🔶 VA Redistricting Referendum: Yes +5 Spanberger Approval: TIED 47-47 statenavigate.org/va/state-nav...statenavigate.orgState Navigate Poll: Virginians are Divided on Governor Spanberger and Redistricting Referendum - State NavigateGovernor Spanberger is one of the most unpopular Governors in the country, and there's a competitive statewide race on the ballot this April. 2179
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026Responses coming in. 1:00 - texted 3,000 women voters 1:15 - texted 4,000 voters aged 30-44 1:30 - texting 10,000 voters aged 18-29 1:45 - texting 3,000 black voters Check our map & timeline out or get left behind. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 042
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026We are once again, live in the field. Texts sending. Hop in. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 010
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026Final texts are being sent in one hour and 8 minutes. Poll closes 2PM on Monday. We're contacting young, black, and women voters to help our raw sample become almost perfect. 040
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/04/2026We're live, asking Virginia voters about the redistricting referendum. Watch us poll or get left behind. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 1132
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 10/04/2026VIRGINIA REDISTRICTING ELECTION POLL RESPONSES GOING LIVE AT NOON - HOP IN projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 0112
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeChaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 03/04/2026You'll wanna see this. 0133
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeChaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 02/04/2026Today, @statenavigate.org is launching subscriptions for most of our data to help power our mission of opening in every state. Read more: statenavigate.org/sc/state-nav... Subscribe: projects.statenavigate.com/aws-auth-sub... WI Forecast goes live for subscribers TOMORROW.statenavigate.orgState Navigate Launches Subscriptions - State NavigateTo help us complete our mission of launching nationwide, we're launching subscription services for most of our data. 042
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 02/04/2026Today, @statenavigate.org is launching subscriptions for most of our data to help power our mission of opening in every state. Read more: statenavigate.org/sc/state-nav... Subscribe: projects.statenavigate.com/aws-auth-sub... WI Forecast goes live for subscribers TOMORROW.statenavigate.orgState Navigate Launches Subscriptions - State NavigateTo help us complete our mission of launching nationwide, we're launching subscription services for most of our data. 042
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeState Navigate @statenavigate.org · 12/03/2026Now Live: 2026 Redistricting Amendment Early Vote Tracker! 072
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 06/02/2026NEW: The full timeline of redistricting in VA this week and breakdown of new seats. Dan Helmer successfully secured himself a seat in Congress. statenavigate.org/map-favored-...statenavigate.orgMap Favored by House of Delegates Becomes Virginia’s New Democratic Gerrymander - State NavigateAfter nearly a week-long delay, both the House and Senate have reached an agreement regarding the redrawn Congressional maps ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. 0113
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 06/02/2026NEW INTERACTIVE OF VA US HOUSE PROPOSAL projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...projects.statenavigate.comVA Proposed US House DistrictsLearn about Virginia's proposed US House districts, including detailed maps, demographic data, and election results. Explore the new district boundaries and their impact on Virginia's political landsc... 1141
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/02/2026WV Forecast out Tuesday at @statenavigate.org 050
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/01/2026HOLD ME NOW, I'M 6 FEET FROM THE EDGE AND I'M THINKIN' 140
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/01/2026Klobuchar isn't beatable, the real challenge is holding her to a win margin of less than 15. 2271
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeState Navigate @statenavigate.org · 01/01/20262026 is here! Happy New Years from State Navigate! 🎊 021
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeChaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 31/12/2025Happy Hogmanay y'all. If you'd like to support @statenavigate.org's 2026 expansion, make sure to make a tax-deductible 2025 donation in the remaining hours of the year! statenavigate.org/donate/statenavigate.orgDonate - State NavigateSupport Our Mission! As a 501(c)(3) organization, donations to State Navigate are tax deductible! We're striving to make it easier to navigate state-level politics and make them more transparent for a... 031
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 31/12/2025Happy Hogmanay y'all. If you'd like to support @statenavigate.org's 2026 expansion, make sure to make a tax-deductible 2025 donation in the remaining hours of the year! statenavigate.org/donate/statenavigate.orgDonate - State NavigateSupport Our Mission! As a 501(c)(3) organization, donations to State Navigate are tax deductible! We're striving to make it easier to navigate state-level politics and make them more transparent for a... 031
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 14/12/2025Welcome, to North Carolina Navigate. statenavigate.org/north-caroli...statenavigate.orgNorth Carolina - State NavigateDistrict Data EXPLORE House Senate HEAR FROM OUR SUPPORTERS Donate All Donors *State Navigate does not endorse or support any candidate, campaign, PAC, or politician, regardless of financial contribut... 1140
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 13/12/2025North Carolina @statenavigate.org out tomorrow 080
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeState Navigate @statenavigate.org · 04/12/2025Chaz Nuttycombe on Untold, a WTVR Podcast, discussing State Navigate’s goals and our great team! 152
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeDave Nuttycombe @nutco.bsky.social · 25/11/2025When one Nuttycombe rises, we all rise! 071
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 26/11/2025Welcome, to Alaska Navigate. statenavigate.org/alaska/statenavigate.orgAlaska - State NavigateDistrict Data EXPLORE House Senate campaign finance see more state news more news HEAR FROM OUR SUPPORTERS: DONATE Our Donors *State Navigate does not endorse or support any candidate, campaign, PAC, ... 0100
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeWTVR CBS 6 News Richmond, Virginia @cbs6-richmond.bsky.social · 20/11/2025At just 26, Chaz Nuttycombe has taken the election prediction world by storm, becoming one of the most talked about and sought-after forecasters in the country.wtvr.comThe Rise of Chaz Nuttycombe: Forecast is good for 26-year-old polling prognosticatorAt just 26, Chaz Nuttycombe has taken the election prediction world by storm, becoming one of the most talked about and sought-after forecasters in the country. 0111
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeState Navigate @statenavigate.org · 18/11/2025State Navigate turned out to be one of the most accurate pollsters in Virginia in 2025. Here's our analysis for why we beat the rest of the pack. statenavigate.org/why-polls-underes… 0141
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/11/2025Fun story from 2017. When I first met @pwcdanica.bsky.social it was at an event when I was barely 18. I showed her my predictions for the House of Delegates which had her in a Likely D/Solid D race. She disagreed and said she was in a Toss-Up. She won by 8. 3294
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/11/2025As a 26-year-old, I came up with the idea of sending our text messages to 18-29 year olds in lowercase to try to get them to respond to the survey. It worked like a charm. As a political scientist, so privileged to be working with Michael Foley on our polling. statenavigate.org/state-naviga...statenavigate.orgState Navigate Experiment Shows how Pollsters Can Reach Young Voters - State NavigateCultural competence goes a long way. We knew young voters would come out in Virginia this year, so we made sure we got them to answer our surveys. 2336
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/11/2025You can now go to @statenavigate.org and see shifts by precinct district and county in VA from 24 presidential. We have allocated non ED votes via formula where localities haven't allocated yet. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... 1263
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/11/2025I'll make a deal with BlueSky: if someone on here does this I'll start posting on here more often www.youtube.com/watch?v=43j8... 57411
Reposted by Chaz NuttycombeG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 05/11/2025the folks over at State Navigate also appear to have had a very good night with their forecasts in New Jersey and Virginia: projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states... and their polling in VA (which I did the weighting for), both statewide and house districts, was also very good!projects.statenavigate.com2025 VA ForecastsTake a look at State Navigate's 2025 Virginia forecasts. 411114
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 04/11/2025LIVE www.youtube.com/live/sFs9LbM... docs.google.com/spreadsheets...youtube.comYouTubeShare your videos with friends, family, and the world 2145
Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 03/11/2025Final forecast t.co/7qcmYTDFp6t.cohttps://statenavigate.org/final-2025-virginia-forecasts-show-democrats-poised-to-win-virginia-elections/ 1203