iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Democrats are currently favored this year in state government elections to... Create 4 new trifectas Create 4 new supermajorities Break 4 Republican trifectas Break 8 Republican supermajorities projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/nation...

49024

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Our team is working on it. Should be sometime this week.

000

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

In our upcoming national overview of state legislatures, by my count, Democrats are picking up 360-370 seats, but that's a rough estimate. Stay tuned for release

2626

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

All of our remaining forecasts are about to come out and we'll have a tally going but I believe we're looking at DEMs gaining 325 - 400 state legislative seats nationwide. In 2018 they gained 309. Ds may get a majority of state legislative seats and chambers if they slightly outperform our forecast

511115

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Hi thanks for reaching out. We'd need funding for $8,000 to do a GA statewide poll, and yes, we need $4,000 per legislative district poll, but we'd probably only have time for 2 or 3. If Reddit wants to raise those funds my email is chaz@statenavigate.org.

000

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Rs didn't feel this pessimistic in 2018 or 2020, Ds didn't feel this pessimistic in 2022 or even VA Ds in 2021. And the conversations I'm having with Rs make it sound like some of us in the forecasting business are about to get our shit rocked.

4786

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I've been talking with a lot of Republicans this week whom I've known for at least a few cycles across the country, N=15, and in my nine years of these kinds of background conversations with both sides of the aisle, I have never heard one side feel so doomed about an election.

610115

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

I feel like we forecasted a Dem landslide, and were the only ones to do so. There just happened to be a bigger one.

010

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

Hey Allan I sent an email, would love to chat! I don't use BlueSky much but hope to hear from you soon

000

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Scott Clement @sfcpoll.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Story features comments from @pollsandvotes.bsky.social votes.bsky.social & @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social on Wisconsin results and polls

votes.bsky.social

021

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

We polled 5 state legislative races in Bucks County, PA, and 3 Republican incumbents are narrowly trailing their Democratic opponents. statenavigate.org/pennsylvania...

statenavigate.org

Will Josh Shapiro Get His Trifecta?

Josh Shapiro is on track to win re-election by a landslide. But will his coattails earn him a Democratic trifecta in Pennsylvania?

0224

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

WI GOV DEM Primary poll out on @statenavigate.org at 12:30 PM Eastern tomorrow. Check my X for results.

3161

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

T-30 UNTIL WE SEND 44,609 TEXTS TO GEORGIA VOTERS 209 SO FAR GOAL: 250 NEW RESPONSES IN 24H WATCH NEW GOVERNOR RESPONSES POPULATE: projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

projects.statenavigate.com

2026 Georgia Governor Live Polling

070

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/07/2026

We're polling Georgia. Live. More texts being sent out 1PM Eastern tomorrow. See you then. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

1121

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

Tomorrow is Election Day in Virginia. The Decision Desk HQ Podcast dove into the redistricting vote with @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social from @statenavigate.org. He noted how No can win if independents break for it, combined with solid Election Day turnout. decisiondeskhq.substack.com/p/podcast-vi...

1104

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

Responses coming in. 1:00 - texted 3,000 women voters 1:15 - texted 4,000 voters aged 30-44 1:30 - texting 10,000 voters aged 18-29 1:45 - texting 3,000 black voters Check our map & timeline out or get left behind. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

042

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

We are once again, live in the field. Texts sending. Hop in. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

010

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

Final texts are being sent in one hour and 8 minutes. Poll closes 2PM on Monday. We're contacting young, black, and women voters to help our raw sample become almost perfect.

040

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

In rough weights, which aren't 100% perfect but pretty close to our final weighting process, Yes is doing slightly better than Spanberger's approval rating. People are definitely pissed with the Governor based on what we're getting + that GMU poll.

1102

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

We're live, asking Virginia voters about the redistricting referendum. Watch us poll or get left behind. projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

1132

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

VIRGINIA REDISTRICTING ELECTION POLL RESPONSES GOING LIVE AT NOON - HOP IN projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

0112

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 03/04/2026

You'll wanna see this.

0133

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

Today, @statenavigate.org is launching subscriptions for most of our data to help power our mission of opening in every state. Read more: statenavigate.org/sc/state-nav... Subscribe: projects.statenavigate.com/aws-auth-sub... WI Forecast goes live for subscribers TOMORROW.

statenavigate.org

State Navigate Launches Subscriptions - State Navigate

To help us complete our mission of launching nationwide, we're launching subscription services for most of our data.

042

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

statenavigate.org

State Navigate Launches Subscriptions - State Navigate

To help us complete our mission of launching nationwide, we're launching subscription services for most of our data.

042

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

State Navigate @statenavigate.org · 12/03/2026

Now Live: 2026 Redistricting Amendment Early Vote Tracker!

072

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 10/01/2026

Ashley Tackett Laferty just won re-election handily in 2024, Rs always seem incapable of beating her. I have a hard time seeing her in a Toss-Up in a blue wave year

120

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

Irn Bru Xtra hits like absolute crack. We need it imported. Legalize aspartame in drinks other than Diet Coke

010

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

HOLD ME NOW, I'M 6 FEET FROM THE EDGE AND I'M THINKIN'

140

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

TBH wonder if any of them drop since they know running against her's a suicide mission. Like I think Walz would've drawn a lot of grassroots conservative dollars and attention given his national hatred from conservatives.

060

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

Klobuchar isn't beatable, the real challenge is holding her to a win margin of less than 15.

2271

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

State Navigate @statenavigate.org · 01/01/2026

2026 is here! Happy New Years from State Navigate! 🎊

021

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Chaz Nuttycombe @chaznuttycombe.bsky.social · 31/12/2025

Happy Hogmanay y'all. If you'd like to support @statenavigate.org's 2026 expansion, make sure to make a tax-deductible 2025 donation in the remaining hours of the year! statenavigate.org/donate/

statenavigate.org

Donate - State Navigate

Support Our Mission! As a 501(c)(3) organization, donations to State Navigate are tax deductible! We're striving to make it easier to navigate state-level politics and make them more transparent for a...

031

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

State Navigate @statenavigate.org · 04/12/2025

Chaz Nuttycombe on Untold, a WTVR Podcast, discussing State Navigate’s goals and our great team!

152

Reposted by Chaz Nuttycombe

Dave Nuttycombe @nutco.bsky.social · 25/11/2025

When one Nuttycombe rises, we all rise!

071