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Caracter

@caracter.bsky.social
189 followers 544 following 1.3K posts

I'm an IT student. (he/him). I like Tech, AI, and Privacy. Contributor at privacyguides.org Linux user.

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Reposted by Caracter
Matthew Wheeler @mattlennial.bsky.social · 47m
660 hours remain until the Midterms. More states begin in-person early voting. -BALLOTS OUT IN ALL STATES EXCEPT- CO (10/9), UT (10/13), HI, OR & WA (10/16) -EARLY VOTING IN-PERSON- CA, IN, OH, NM, WY --AWAITING IN-PERSON VOTING-- 10/7: AZ 10/9: CO 10/13: UT 10/14: IA, RI, TN 10/15: NC
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
NEW — Republicans are moving $5 million into South Carolina’s Senate race, with the Senate Leadership Fund stepping in to boost Darline Graham as the contest draws increased attention. @Axios.com reports the spending is being treated as an “insurance policy.”
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 3h
Crystall Ball now believes democrats can get 49 seats, 47 for Republicans and the remaining four are toss-ups thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Sabato’s Crystal Ball moves Alaska Senate race to ‘leans Democrat’
Sabato’s Crystal Ball, an election handicapper based at the University of Virginia, has shifted its race rating for the Alaska Senate race to be more optimistic for Democrats. The outlet moved the …
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Dan Diamond @ddiamond.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
New: Trump’s abrupt announcement to send $90 payments to seniors by dipping into a Medicare fund has rattled Capitol Hill. One GOP aide told WaPo that lawmakers had planned to use the money to offset funding for community health centers, diabetes programs and other initiatives.
washingtonpost.com
Trump announces plan to send $90 payments to millions of seniors
The White House said the one-time payments would be drawn from a fund set up to improve Medicare.
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Matthew Wheeler @mattlennial.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Poll Closing Times for Midterms (in EST): 12am: American Samoa & Dixville Notch 4am: Northern Mariana Islands 5am: Guam 4pm: Puerto Rico 6pm: Indiana & Kentucky 7pm and over: Rest of states
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
Georgia GOP gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson currently has nearly as much advertising booked as Democrats do across the governor’s races in Florida, Texas, Georgia, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Nevada combined, per @politico.com.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
NEW — Nearly 21 million Medicare enrollees are set to receive one-time $90 payments this month ahead of the midterms. Direct-deposit recipients will also receive an email or letter from President Trump in mid-October, according to CMS.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 04/10/2026
One month until first polls close.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 04/10/2026
Trump asks his supporters at a rally tonight in Ohio to "just pretend" he is on the ballot: “Even if you hate Jon Husted, even if you hate Vivek Ramaswamy, you're gonna go out, you're gonna vote.”
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Quite funny ad from Hilton honestly www.youtube.com/watch?v=BiZ5...
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
Kansas Senate polls (since 8/16) 10/1 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Hamilton +1 (R) 🆕 9/30 (NYT/Siena): 🟡 Even 9/24 (Wedgewood): 🔵 Hamilton +2 9/16 (GSG): 🔵 Hamilton +4 (D) 9/16 (Emerson) 🔵 Hamilton +1 9/10 (co/efficient): 🔴 Marshall +5 (R) 8/16 (GSG): 🔵 Hamilton +1 (D)
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
Nearly 1,400 workers were laid off at a Springfield, Ohio, truck factory just days before President Trump rallies nearby, per @apnews.com. The layoffs erased a year of job growth in the Dayton metro area. Trump won Clark County, home to Springfield, by nearly 30 points in 2024.
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Dhruv Mehrotra @dmehro.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
NEW: DHS agents tracked people observing ICE arrests, photographed them, ran their plates, pulled personal information, and added them to a Palantir database, according to newly unsealed court filings. w/ @regret.bsky.social
wired.com
ICE Has Been Dumping Protester Photos Into a Palantir Database
DHS agents not only tracked and intimidated people observing ICE activity in Maine, but stored information about them in a Palantir-built database, newly unsealed court filings say.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
The Kansas Senate race has narrowed rapidly, moving from Solid R to Lean R in our forecast since July. Adam Hamilton (D) now leads by 0.1 points in our polling average. The shift comes as the Senate GOP’s top super PAC moved nearly eight figures into Kansas from North Carolina.
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CNN @cnn.com · 03/10/2026
President Trump said he will give around 20 million senior citizens $90 each to help pay for their Medicare Part B premiums, marking his latest effort to dole out funds to certain Americans weeks before the midterm elections. cnn.it/4ytSUHZ
cnn.com
Trump to give $90 to senior citizens for Medicare premiums | CNN Politics
President Donald Trump said late Friday he will give around 20 million senior citizens $90 each to help pay for their Medicare Part B premiums, marking his latest effort to dole out funds to certain A...
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Matthew Wheeler @mattlennial.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
If he does after January 3rd, we’d then have 5 GOP judges, 3 Dem judges. In some situations, we’d have a tied court. The only other probability that may happen after 1/3 is Thomas retiring/passing, which would then make it a 4-3 court. Dem Senate would likely halt any new justices added until ‘29.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 02/10/2026
Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito considered retiring from the court this year, but ultimately decided to stay, he told CBS News. The 76-year-old plans to reconsider retirement each year.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 03/10/2026
Susan Collins continues to show crossover strength in Maine, per the latest CBS News poll. Even among voters who say Troy Jackson’s policies would leave them financially better off, Collins wins nearly one in five. And 21% of voters say Senate control isn’t a factor in their vote.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Troy Jackson leads over Susan Collins tightens to +2 pts in @fiftyplusone.news average fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate... A CBS poll found 19% of voters who disapproved of Trump will vote for Collins. Jackson needs to campaign way more and stop thinking this is a won race.
fiftyplusone.news
FiftyPlusOne - Maine General Senate Election Polls and Average for the 2026 General Election
A comprehensive list of polls and polling averages for elections and politician approval.
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: U.S. House 🟦 Democrats: 75% 🟥 Republicans: 25% Democrats average 234 seats across 1 million simulations and are at least slight favorites in 21 Republican-held seats:
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
DDHQ Forecast Update: Democrats remain favored to hold the House, with a 75% win probability and a projected seat count of 234. Democrats are forecasted to flip seats in nearly a dozen states from coast to coast.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
This might matter, Hamilton will have more difficulty fighting with lot of outside ads coming in his state.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 02/10/2026
NEWS — Senate Republicans’ top super PAC is pausing its ad campaign in North Carolina and shifting seven figures into Kansas, per @semafor.com.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
With the midterms coming soon, here are my predictions for the US Senate: 0. Michigan: The state will go to El-Sayed, but more narrowly than confortable. 1. Maine: If Votehub is to be believed, Jackson still has not toured the red part of the state, which might cost him the election.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
2. North Carolina : Roy Cooper looks like he will sail to victory pretty easily. Even the incumbent senator Thillis has said so. 3. Georgia: Ossof will win re-election pretty easily, in what looks like a purple state now. 4. Ohio: Brown (D) has a stable lead in polls, so I would expect him to win
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Kansas U.S. Senate candidate Adam Hamilton (D) tells @ms.now he would only serve two terms if elected. He would be 74 at the end of a second term.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026
2018 TX U.S. Senate polls (8/25-9/29) 9/20 (PPP 1): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/20 (PPP 2): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/18 (Vox Pop): 🟡 Even 9/17 (Qpac): 🔴 Cruz +9 9/14 (Ipsos): 🔵 O'Rourke +2 9/12 (Chism): 🔴 Cruz +4 (D sponsor) 9/9 (Crosswind): 🔴 Cruz +3 9/7 (Dixie): 🔴 Cruz +4 8/25 (Emerson): 🔴 Cruz +1
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Matt Novak @paleofuture.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The White House accord on AI that was signed by all the big tech oligarchs today misspells United States as “Unites States.”
Document signed by Trump, Sundar Pichai
Google
Dario Amodei
Anthropic
Mark Zuckerberg
Meta

Greg Brockman
OpenAl

Elon Musk
XAI

Jensen Huang
nvidia “Unites States”
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Forecasted flips: Alaska: 60% D Maine: 53% D North Carolina: 81% D Ohio: 51% D Texas: 57% D Find the full forecast on Votes: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/forecast/202...
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
DDHQ FORECAST: Democrats have a 55% chance of a Senate majority. The biggest projected swings from 2024 are in GOP-held seats: close to 16 points in Alaska, more than 15 in Texas and 14 in Iowa. Maine bucks the trend, with Susan Collins (R) averaging a 0.02-point lead. #AKSen #TXSen #IASen
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Our Wisconsin Governor polling average is live! Based on 11 published polls, Democrat David Crowley holds a slight lead over Republican Tom Tiffany. 🟦David Crowley: 46.3% 🟥Tom Tiffany: 43.8%
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
How the biggest swings from 2024 will decide the Senate, by DDHQ's @geoffreyskelley.com
decisiondeskhq.substack.com
How the biggest swings from 2024 will decide the Senate
Democrats are forecasted to gain the most ground in red-leaning states like Alaska and Texas, while swing in the other direction could allow the GOP to retain Maine
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
If Trump is a drag on Paxton ... www.nytimes.com/2026/09/30/u...
nytimes.com
Ken Paxton, G.O.P. Nominee in Texas, Privately Said Trump’s Convention Hurt Him
Ken Paxton, one of the party’s top Senate candidates and a Trump loyalist, said that “everybody’s numbers dropped” after the event, according to audio obtained by The Times.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
NEWS — Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp has suspended the state gas tax of 33¢ for 30 days.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 30/09/2026
35 days until the first polls close in the 2026 midterms.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is testing the waters for a potential 2028 Senate bid as she also weighs a presidential run, @axios.com reports. AOC is touring upstate New York, meeting with local officials and testing her appeal beyond New York City.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
@euractiv.com Euractiv becomes Rapporteur I will miss the old name, but I understand the wish for a change www.rapporteur.com/welcome-to-r...
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Philo of Alexan @philoof.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Trump doesn’t solve problems, he just makes up a new name
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 27/09/2026
The Senate map isn’t 10 separate coin flips. Our Scenario Builder shows how a win in one battleground changes the outlook across the rest of the map and for control of the chamber. Pick winners in AK, FL, GA, IA, ME, MI, NE, NC, OH, and TX. votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
2026 U.S. Senate Scenario Builder
Interactive map of VoteHub’s 2026 U.S. Senate forecast that allows users to select their own outcome in any state and see how overall probabilities adjust.
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Caracter @caracter.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
He still hasn't visited northern Maine. At this point, Dems might win the majority bur not Maine
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Decision Desk HQ @decisiondeskhq.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
2018: Beto O'Rourke (D) led in 1 Texas Senate poll through September 2026: James Talarico (D) has led in 25 of 30 Talarico leads Ken Paxton (R) 47%-44% in DDHQ's polling average. The @texastribune.org's @gbirenbaum.bsky.social & DDHQ's @geoffreyskelley.com on why this race is different. #TXSen
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Philo of Alexan @philoof.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The original by Pablo Stanley
A cartoon of Tankman by Pablo Stanley
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
James Talarico (D) leads Ken Paxton (R) by 3.5 points in our Texas U.S. Senate polling average. We rate the race Tilt D, with a final projected margin of Talarico +2.0.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 25/09/2026
VoteHub 9/25 U.S. Senate Forecast 47: NH – 88% 🔵 48: MI – 74% 🔵 49: ME – 66% 🔵 50: AK – 65% 🔵 51: OH – 64% 🔵 (Tipping Point) 52: TX – 61% 🔵 53: IA – 57% 🔴 54: KS – 77% 🔴 55: NE – 78% 🔴 56: SC – 85% 🔴
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
Trump's approval is the lowest recorded in our polling average since we began tracking, currently 23 points underwater.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
Kansas has overtaken Nebraska as the more likely Democratic Senate pickup in our forecast. We rate both races as Lean R.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
Among Senate Republicans up for re-election, Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) broke with Trump most often on 2025 floor votes, while still voting in line with him 94.6% of the time, per @tsyang27.bsky.social's analysis. Democrats showed far more variation in their voting records.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
RACE RATING CHANGE: NE-02 Likely D → Solid D We currently estimate Denise Powell will defeat Brinker Harding by 12 points, a 3.4 point improvement from our estimate in early July.
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) says he has no plans to help Ken Paxton with fundraising, warning Republicans risk losing when they nominate “flawed candidates.” Asked by CNN whether Paxton deserves to be a senator, Cornyn said he would “let the voters decide.”
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VoteHub @votehub.com · 26/09/2026
There’s still time for this to change, and Republicans look like they will continue to lead spending through Election Day. But the size of their reservation advantage isn't anything insane: just are about 4:3.
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