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Callie Cox

@calliecox.bsky.social
38K followers 261 following 293 posts

🤓 Your resident market nerd 💙 Author of OptimistiCallie 👉 www.optimisticallie.com/subscribe

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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Ch-ch-ch-ch-changes (a weird year + what’s next for me/this newsletter) www.optimisticallie.com/p/changes
optimisticallie.com
🥲 Ch-ch-ch-ch-changes
A weird year + what’s next for me/this newsletter
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Everybody is commenting on how pressers are so hard and anybody would crumble at that podium. Sure, there will be growing pains, but a coherent, consistent view on both sides of the dual mandate is table stakes for a Fed chair.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
Regardless of Warsh's rhetorical choices, he's arguably the most impactful public figure when it comes to interest rates. Interest rates are the most important variable in how we all approach financial decisions. At the very least, he needs to keep his story straight.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
🍾 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🍾 My take on private investments www.optimisticallie.com/p/the-privat...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
I wrote about this! www.optimisticallie.com/p/big-tech-s...
optimisticallie.com
🤖 Big tech's AI spending spree
Can Jeff, Satya and Mark actually afford $400 billion in AI investments? Sort of.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Woof, what a chart. $GOOG just posted its first quarter of negative free cash flow in at least 10 years.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
🐂 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🐂 This bull market has been the product of a handful of stocks pulling the S&P 500 higher. Yet this year, nearly half of S&P stocks are outperforming the index. Are we finally in the midst of a strong, broad, raging bull? www.optimisticallie.com/p/a-full-bull
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
I have had many thoughts since returning to work, but these two are constants: Working moms are superheroes. This is the hardest thing I’ve ever done.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
If inflation is a risk you’re worried about, stocks can be your antidote. Inflation may eat into your budget, but it also helps companies build pricing power. Be both an employee and a shareholder. Annualized change in the S&P and CPI by decade:
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Not me immediately CTRL+Fing "task force" on the Fed minutes
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
🎆 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🎆 Why I'm still heavily invested in America: www.optimisticallie.com/p/united-sta...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
🫡
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
growth's worst month vs. value since early 2001 will do that...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
George, that's a pancake
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
📢 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 📢 Kevin Warsh — the new Fed chair — is a man of few words. He's actively reining in Fed communication, a tool his predecessors have leaned on heavily (esp Jay Powell) And your portfolio is part of this experiment. optimisticallie.com/p/a-smaller-...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Happy Fed day to all who observe. Gone from the podium, but forever in our hearts.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
🔥 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🔥 We all know temperatures rise in degrees. Inflation does as well. And there are differences between today's hot, hot heat and the market-melting scorcher that was 2022 www.optimisticallie.com/p/hot-hot-heat
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Prices are growing faster than paychecks. American wallets are getting squeezed. This is a fact. How much will this matter to the vibes? A lot. How much will this matter to economic momentum? TBD.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
🍗 NEW OPTIMISTICALLIE 🍗 AI companies are shoving a monstrous amount of new shares down our throats. SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs alone could exceed the strongest year for IPO issuance in recent history. Can we actually swallow all of this? www.optimisticallie.com/p/all-you-ca...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
There are a lot of eye-popping stats out there about the massive SpaceX IPO My favorite: $SPCX's $75 billion float alone would be equal to the second-strongest year for all IPOs since the turn of the century
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
oh my gosh, yes
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
I'm back. Why AI will never replace good research (because the best analysts chew gum 🧠) www.optimisticallie.com/p/the-best-a...
optimisticallie.com
🧠 The best analysts chew gum
Why AI will never replace good research
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Crude oil and the 10-year yield have moved in the same direction for 17 trading days (almost a month!), the longest streak since the beginning of my data in 1985. Inflation expectations rule everything around me (us).
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
and I wrote a NEW OptimistiCallie post on leveraged chaos, including some quick thoughts on why these funds are so popular now & why a good theory is rarely a good trade www.optimisticallie.com/p/leveraged-...
optimisticallie.com
⛈️ Leveraged chaos
Record trading in leveraged funds & good trades vs. good theories
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
So Direxion, Vanda, @thecompoundnews.bsky.social and I wrote a whole guide to the explosion of leveraged funds over the past six years, including deep analysis on how traders use these products & the opportunities that lie ahead in the space www.direxion.com/atreport?utm...
direxion.com
Active Trader Report | Direxion
Direxion partnered with Compound Insights and Vanda to explore how active traders are using leveraged and inverse funds across equities, single stocks, commodities, and volatility.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
We talk a lot about the retail renaissance post-COVID, but I don't think we've marveled enough at the popularity of leveraged funds, with volumes that have grown 3x as fast as the stock market and 2x as fast as the options market
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Trading activity (or turnover, share volume times share price) in leveraged ETFs and ETNs reached a record $45.9 billion in March Those of you who thrive in market chaos are absolutely feasting in this particular moment
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Both of these statements can be true & in fact, they're the striking dichotomy of the modern career woman
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
I'm so in love with my kids. I'm so excited to get back to work soon.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
very reasonable, thanks for sharing your perspective!
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Younger Americans are struggling through an affordability crisis. Their parents are sitting on $90 trillion in cash, investments and home equity, with many of them waiting until they die to pass it on. Why aren't more people giving while living? www.optimisticallie.com/p/giving-whi...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
thx Steve!
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
thx Dave! from little peanut-sized fetuses at CK to real babes 🙂
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
thx Linda!
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
I can always rely on you for this meme 😂
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Friends, meet Theodore Patterson Cox & Isabel Marilyn Cox, born January 12. Everybody is happy, healthy and thriving (although Mom and Dad are admittedly exhausted). I wrote a stream of consciousness on some of the most important work I'll ever do. www.optimisticallie.com/p/theo-and-i...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
I can’t get past the “less payrolls” (fewer)
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Treat your central bank like a third-world country, trade like a third-world country. bsky.app/profile/apne...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
really hope he keeps his word this time 🫠
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Reposted by Callie Cox
Julia Coronado @jc-econ.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
“This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation” It’s about time the Fed took the gloves off www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
federalreserve.gov
Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
Good evening. On Friday, the Department of Justice served the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment related to my testi
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Josh would never
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Noooooooooooooo 🫠 where to even start here...
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Oh it's 100% true. Said it directly to me, too.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 26/12/2025
Several years ago, a male colleague told me how unfair it is that women get a three-month vacation in maternity leave Boy do I think about that comment a lot as I vomit and waddle my way to the finish line.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
I'm on maternity leave, and OptimistiCallie is on a publishing hiatus. But I wanted to leave you a gift in one of my most-read posts of all time during a season to focus on all that really matters 🎁 www.optimisticallie.com/p/all-that-r...
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Reposted by Callie Cox
Guy Berger @econberger.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
1/ I strongly endorse this op-ed by @marthagimbel.bsky.social of @budgetlab.bsky.social in @theargumentmag.bsky.social . open.substack.com/pub/theargum...
open.substack.com
Don't get fancy with your labor market fixes for AI
AI could be unpredictable. Our labor market response to it shouldn't be.
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
ugh god ty for flagging
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
Our first research paper is out, too! Download it here: www.wisdomtree.com/bannerads/ri...
wisdomtree.com
RIA Real Deal
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Callie Cox @calliecox.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
PERSONAL(ISH) NEWS: I hate slop research. And I'm building a research business with @thecompoundnews.bsky.social optimisticallie.com/p/slop-resea...
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