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Bill DeBaun

@billdebaun.bsky.social
588 followers 580 following 253 posts

Senior Director of 📊💡at the National College Attainment Network. Jack of some trades, including dot connecting. Devoted FAFSA data dork. The snark is mine; my views could also be yours! Happy to chat, reach out!

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Reposted by Bill DeBaun
Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 18h
Our "A Few Goodmen" paper now has some serious competition, coming from the many Katherines of the world. arxiv.org/pdf/2404.00732
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Betsy Wolf @betsyjwolf.bsky.social · 21h
A couple of cool new data points for the District: 1) Wages (within the DMV I believe) are higher for students who earned a college degree, which shouldn't be a surprise to anyone: etep.dc.gov/page/high-sc...
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 20h
Excellent thread that I generally associate my own views with from @conorpwilliams.bsky.social. Minus the being from Michigan part. New Jersey FTW.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Strong statement here from @brianneknadeau.bsky.social. As a Bruce-Monroe parent I very much appreciate it. brianneknadeau.com/statement-on...
brianneknadeau.com
Statement on today's increased federal presence in Ward 1 - Brianne K. Nadeau
The National Guard has no business being here in the District of Columbia. The FBI has no business patrolling our schools. It’s time for federal agents to leave our communities alone. It’s time for th...
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
This is what counts as the Trump administration's contribution to my kids' learning environment today. Atrocious.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Truly tremendous t-shirt spotted today in Arizona
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Congress simplified the FAFSA ➡️ good. Congress expanded Pell eligibility ➡️ good. Congress funding Pell in a manner inconsistent with those actions ➡️ bad. The Pell Grant faces a $15B funding shortfall. Congress needs to act to fully fund its commitments. www.the74million.org/article/cong...
the74million.org
Congress Made it Easier to Pay for College. It Must Keep That Promise
Cook: A Pell Grant shortfall threatens progress on expanding college access and making it more affordable.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Starting to get the feeling that all of the information in this primetime address isn’t on the up and up
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
get this guy out of here
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
The high school class of 2026 set a new record by getting to 59.1% FAFSA completion by about June 30. This surpasses the previous record of 54.4% and shows the impact of simplifying the FAFSA! More here from NCAN: www.ncan.org/Web/News/Cla...
ncan.org
Class of 2026 Sets New June 30 FAFSA Completion Record of 59.1%
The high school class of 2026 has done it! With a 59.1% FAFSA completion rate through June 26, graduating seniors have set a new record, exceeding the previous high by nearly five percentage points.
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ElieNYC @elienyc.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
With this ruling, the birthright issue is not going away. The right hasn't really begun *organizing* around getting rid of the citizenship clause. Like Roe, this will be their fight for a generation. And if the Democrats just say "we won" and ignore it, like Roe, the Republicans will eventually win.
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Jesus, three dissenting votes on birthright just might be the most insane part of this court's entire awful term.
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Sean Satori @seansatori.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
5 to 4 is pathetic.
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Kai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Gorsuch, Alito, and Thomas dissent. How tf is this not unanimous
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Mark Joseph Stern @mjsdc.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
This is so incredibly cruel and gratuitous bsky.app/profile/jayw...
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CJ Ciaramella @cjciaramella.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Ezra Klein sitting down for his journalistic interview with Chris Rufo
The guy Harry from Die Hard who tries to negotiate with Hans Gruber. He’s giving a thumbs up.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Platforming Rufo is a choice that Ezra didn’t have to make. He has now made that choice twice. Guy just does not get it.
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David Rothschild @davmicrot.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Ezra Klein, by elevating & normalizing & humanizing, terrible people who do terrible things is doing politics the wrong way.
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Nate O @nateo.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
I think it's a moral abomination for Ezra Klein to have Chris Rufo on his podcast and then get a transcript of it published in The New York Times as if this is a conversation between equals and not a radical centrist and a fascist telling each other 'exaaaaactlyyyy'
Another argument you make in that piece is: “The popular slogan that ‘facts don’t care about your feelings’ betrays similar problems” — the slogan being Ben Shapiro’s.
In reality, feelings almost always overpower facts. Reason is a slave of the passions.

Yes, that’s true, and we’ll caveat — we love Ben Shapiro. We’re Ben Shapiro fans, of course. But I think that he’s very wrong on that, and I think conservatives have made a fundamental error in latching on to that.

And really, what it is — it’s a rationalization for losing. It’s like: Yes, we may have lost the great political question that operates on emotions or passions, but we have the facts on our side, and if only people would read our white paper, our regression analysis or our rigorous logical argumentation, then we would be vindicated.

But look, while we should have the facts on our side, and while we should use logic, by itself, it’s insufficient. And, in fact, politics operates on a deeper level, an emotional level. And politics occurs on the field of sentiment and public opinion — much more on the field of abstract argumentation at the top.

Then you go on in the same piece to make an argument for “agitprop” — an old Soviet Union term for agitation and propaganda mashed up together.

It doesn’t have a great reputation — “agitprop” is usually not a term of endearment. But you say: “Agitprop doesn’t mean sacrificing the truth but, rather, channeling the truth toward victory.”
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
@billdebaun.bsky.social I didn’t realize you’d taken up modeling for The Onion!?
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Conor P. Williams @conorpwilliams.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Thank the universe for Caity Weaver www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
theatlantic.com
The Whimsy and Heartbreak of America’s Garage Sales
For $100, I bought bric-a-brac that explains a nation.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 12/06/2026
that’s right
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 15/05/2026
With the news that Gov Jared Polis of Colorado just granted clemency to Tina Peters, justice has been once again perverted, and this time by a DEMOCRAT desperate for Donald Trumps adoration. Congrats Jared Polis. I bet you get invited to the WH now
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Turns out it is possible to make financial aid simpler for students! The FAFSA is working, more students are applying for and qualifying to college, and qualifying for aid. @donmoyn.bsky.social was nice enough to have me guest author for Can We Still Govern donmoynihan.substack.com/p/good-news-...
donmoynihan.substack.com
Good News! FAFSA is Actually Working
It is possible to fix burdensome administrative systems
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Similar to ACA website the initial rollout was ROUGH, but it’s now become an obvious and clear improvement on the status quo ante
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Nearly a decade of @ncanetwork.bsky.social work in this chart. 2020 was on pace to a record before Covid hit. 2021 plummeted. We plumbed new depths with the 2024 rollout. 2025 was a big bounceback, but now 2026 now sets a new record. Incredible for students & the field. www.ncan.org/Web/News/Cla...
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
In truly excellent timing, we found out this week that the class of 2026 has hit a record FAFSA completion rate. @billdebaun.bsky.social has all the details www.ncan.org/Web/News/Cla...
ncan.org
Class of 2026 Sets All-Time High FAFSA Completion Record
The high school class of 2026 has set an all time high FAFSA completion rate, as of May 1. Then only question now is by how much will we break the record.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 08/05/2026
it is incredible to see folks complain that good people don't run for office, that lawmaking is a hobby for the rich, that our state legislators are run by car dealership freaks, and then insist that we shouldn't pay lawmakers any more than we do.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 07/05/2026
this is also one of my hobbyhorses. you want a better caliber of lawmaker? you want to reduce the odds of corruption? pay them more. a lot more.
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
American higher Ed is a golden goose that’s delivered medical, tech, and science innovations, bolstered soft power internationally, and is one of the largest employers in every state. This admin is doing everything it can to kill it.
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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
I continue to be gobsmacked at 1) how common this formulation is 2) how antisemitic and generally bigoted it is 3) and how for all the talk of anti-semitism this is never cited as an example even though it’s quite literally the original incarnation.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
GOP welcome to pay for all of this with higher top-end tax rates.
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Amy McGrath @amymcgrath.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
I served 3 combat tours over our 20 years of war in the Middle East. Trump had an entire SOTU address to make the case for going to war in Iran. He did not. Congress is absent, & for years, it has ceded its war making powers. Now, Trump has started another foreign war. apnews.com/live/live-up...
apnews.com
Live updates: Tehran launches retaliatory strikes as Trump calls for regime change
The U.S. and Israel struck Iran on Saturday. President Donald Trump said the Iranian public should “take over" their government. The first strikes appeared to target Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Al...
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 25/02/2026
trump going on about corruption and then slandering somali-americans makes my blood boil
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Kevin Collins @kwcollins.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Once again I'm asking Democrats to take their messaging cues from the sitting Democratic Senator who is the most vulnerable for re-election in 2026
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
CNBC…welcome to the resistance
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Even the insults are amateurish. I’ve heard better insults from middle schoolers
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Today in "marginal income, wealth, & capital gains taxes are too low, & this poses an existential threat to American democracy"
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Eddy Conroy @econroy.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Also, most people would be way better if leaning stats than things like calculus. I use stats every day/week in my Job. Want to guess how often I use anything within a mile of calc?
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
And still Senate Dems are allowing unanimous consent
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Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
This sure seems more like the tyranny the Constitution is supposed to protect against than forgiving student loans.
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Trump has been talking for like 90 minutes, which is 30% of the way to how long it would take for Speaker Johnson to have an inkling about anything he said
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
Even if we would stipulate that the *only* purpose of college is vocational training (ugh) if you think you, at 18 years old, not only know for sure what your future career will be but also know better than all the professors at a college what skills you will need for that career, why bother?
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
This is actually a good example of why the customer model is wrong. I wouldn't have chosen poetry writing, but UNC made me take a class. And it absolutely made me become a much better writer, with an eye to concision and an ear now trained to the rhythm of words. I'm a better historian as a result.
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James S. Murphy @jamessmurphy.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
I threw all the data into a searchable table. jamessmurphy.com/2025/12/09/w...
jamessmurphy.com
FAFSA Reveals Earnings Data for Colleges and Graduates
The Department of Education's new FAFSA changes highlight the alarming number of for-profit institutions where graduates earn less than high school completers.
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James S. Murphy @jamessmurphy.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
The Department of Education shared data today on IHEs where, 4 years after earning a credential, graduates earned less than peers with only a high school diploma. What ED didn't shout out was just how many of those institutions are for-profits. So I got the data. jamessmurphy.com/2025/12/09/w...
jamessmurphy.com
FAFSA Reveals Earnings Data for Colleges and Graduates
The Department of Education's new FAFSA changes highlight the alarming number of for-profit institutions where graduates earn less than high school completers.
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Noah Frank @noahafrank.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
The thing I try to explain the most to those who don’t live here is that the Nuzzis of the world live in Washington (the place that deserves your ire) and the rest of us live in D.C., a collection of diverse, mostly quiet, walkable residential neighborhoods with no federal representation
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Bill DeBaun @billdebaun.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
"For many first-generation and low-income students, their best shot at college success is immediately after high school. Using that shot—and the limited Pell dollars that come with it—on a very short program could limit their long-term career opportunities." www.insidehighered.com/opinion/view...
insidehighered.com
Regulations Must Get Workforce Pell Right (opinion)
Many young people will be better served by going straight to degree programs—not using up their Pell eligibility on short-term programs. The regulations should account for this.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 01/12/2025
We first note that hand-wringing about the decline in US college enrollments has mistakenly linked such declines to the price of four-year colleges. But the decline is entirely driven by two-year community colleges (and by for-profit colleges). The four-year sector is the dog that didn't bark.
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