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Benedict Carey Lewis

@bclmacro.bsky.social
537 followers 326 following 284 posts

Purveyor of fine Interest rate derivatives to the discerning.

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Benedict Carey Lewis
Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
I disagree, the best cure for ideological bias is asking people to walk through the mechanics of their argument. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23620547/
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I'm just happy for you guys
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Seemed a strong report to me. Big flow of 'not in labour force to unemployed ' and a big net flow of unemployed to employed.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Data centre construction no?
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Duncan Robinson @duncanrobinson.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
God imagine if Starmer had gone ahead with that income tax rise, providing money to knackered state, building fiscal credibility and lowering inflation. At least ducking it let him keep his job Hang on
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Dude the revisions to interest income are absolutely huge, any notion of where this came from???
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
We need a word or phrase for when companies use a social goal like reducing waste to do things like not put a lid on plastic pots. Would previously have been unacceptable as it flies in the face of basic common sense but justifiable to serve the goal and increases profit... "Capitalist compliance"?
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George Pearkes @peark.es · 25/09/2026
Lotta crazy bond market charts out there but this one takes the cake for me. 30y TIPS pay 3.25% above inflation for 30y. Pretty remarkable.
Chart of 30y TIPS yields since inception (2004)
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The incalculable constellation of characteristics is now a stock idiom.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Vs bunds all the way back to wide levels not seen since ... 3pm yesterday! If the treasury are looking at that with concern they need their head examined...
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Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Indeed. Literally no-one is immune from road rage, it’s just that the lighter your vehicle - lorry, bus, car, bicycle, Vans - the less dangerous your inconsiderate behaviour is to others.
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Tom Roberts @tpgroberts.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
The UK economy has three major industries: Warhammer, Onlyfans and Little Alex Horne
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Dario Perkins @darioperkins.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Remember when Warsh said he was hoping the bond market, "the smartest economist in the world", would give him a signal about what to do with interest rates....?
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Tom Wilson @feedthedrummer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
This does suggest Britain is a) very good at integration b) actively attracts the world's smart and ambitious people who want to get on and do well for themselves Both of these are very good, competitive qualities to have and should be celebrated.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
If you know then... How can you say the words lol?
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milk bottle champion @stepheniscowboy.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
nimbys remained unmatched
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 02/09/2026
Trade xkcd.com/3290/
Comic. [Person standing holding hammer above raised knee.] PERSON: Listen up, leg. I’ve been sending you rich, oxygenated blood for years, while you send me worthless used-up blood with no oxygen. Time to teach you a lesson about not ripping me off! [caption] Tariffs
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Dan Davies @dsquareddigest.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
As I have said for my whole career, if economists want to gatekeep the title, they are welcome to set up a professional body with codes of professional standards and ethics. But since they can't do that, they can't do that.
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Dan Davies @dsquareddigest.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
I really wish I was more influential
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Me too bro
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Low pressure good or bad? Hope good!!!
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Stuart Hoddinott @stuarthoddinott.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
This is the crucial paragraph imv It was *how* coalition implemented austerity that was so damaging i.e. cutting upstream, preventative services that would deal with demand earlier and more cheaply Now we have a fire-fighting state, forced to spend more to deal with very acute demand
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
As I was queuing over, the far famed Kerry mountains ...
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
The key is a winner stays on pool table, priced cheaply and of decent quality.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Ok it's fine I was just drunk this actually slaps
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Renting a campervan for the first time and truly, cannot understand why anyone ever does this. It's not even that it's worse than being in a tent, I love being in a tent and being outside, it's a whole new different type of bad.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
It means eat Currys, for the rest of your days ...
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
Capitalism so efficient at allocating resources wow
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
The discourse on this match is extremely strong evidence for my 'being a true football fan means making it impossible to experience joy' theory...
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Tuffy @smtuffy.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
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Gingerspiced @gingerspiced.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Pete Hegseth: "We need our warriors to embrace the Spartan mindset" U.S. Military: *suffers crushing defeat to the Persians*
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Good day for the old 250 yard topped 5 iron !
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
TBF I also watched it on a flight and it slapped so hard I watched it again on the return leg...
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
Tastefully preserving London's modesty with the volume slider there, a nice touch.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
I'm assuming this is happening because markets are kind of ignoring his posts or going the opposite way as too anticipated, so he's not been able to coin it via conventional insider trading.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Did you know a barrister is facing prison just for reminding a jury they have the right to vote with their conscience? This historic right has existed since 1670. We can't let it be silenced in court now. Add your name to help protect Britain's juries: you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/sa...
you.38degrees.org.uk
Save Britain's Juries
Juries have had the right to acquit based on their conscience for centuries. Now, a barrister is facing jail just for mentioning it in court. Add your name to help save Britain's juries.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Hal Schnitzel is perfect tho
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
A BIS analysis argues the AI buildout is outpacing prior infrastructure booms and warns, “The larger the boom, the deeper the eventual bust.” Their model suggests that investment is 50% above the efficient level. www.bis.org/publ/work136...
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
As a non football understander this seems obviously true
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Henry Mance @henrymance.ft.com · 15/07/2026
put up the licence fee QR code now, you cowards
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
I mean mankiw literally wrote the book lol.
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Taylor Lorenz @taylorlorenz.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Teenage boys show major declines in suicide across the globe as their social media use grew 83% of countries with reliable reporting show plunging suicide rates by teenage boys as social media proliferated.
mikemales.substack.com
Teenage boys show major declines in suicide across the globe as their social media use grew
83% of countries with reliable reporting show plunging suicide rates by teenage boys as social media proliferated. Does social media actually prevent suicide?
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Nothing like football for just constantly affirming my superstitions
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
By farmers working during the off season before the Nile flooded?
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Count Binface @countbinface.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Game on, Nige.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Effective governments the world over find ways to participate in capital gains. We simply have to do this.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Worth reminding ourselves just how derangedly one sided the taxation of labour Vs capital is. Appreciate dividends/interest captured by income tax but the miniscule contribution of capital gains tax is to me the whole story of the UK's fiscal 'issues'.
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Benedict Carey Lewis @bclmacro.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
My initial read was that it was more retirement/demographic change than discouraged workers. Not so? Looked like the flow was from employment -> not in labour force rather than from job seekers.
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