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asmodmni.bsky.social

@asmodmni.bsky.social
2.8K followers 4.7K following 614 posts

Ukraine Hobby Historian and Black Metal #NAFO

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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
It’s been 0 days since Russia threatened nuclear war. We aren’t worried, and you shouldn’t be, either. But Russia is setting conditions for potential conventional action in the Baltics. That’s the real threat. The Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 1,084, for September 30, 2026, is 57 pages long.
malcontentnews.substack.com
It’s been 0 days since Russia threatened nuclear war
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,680 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — OCT 1, 2026 (#1) ■ 10th-highest daily casualties and September’s total the highest this year so far ■ Land-based equipment losses 12% above average, driven by 524 unarmored vehicles ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: tinyurl.com/ukrainedashb...
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Trump and Zelenskyy meet at UN with no peace deal in sight The Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 1,078, for September 22, 2026, is 59 pages long and a full report. The big story? Trump and Zelenskyy meet at the United Nations, and nothing changed. malcontentnews.substack.com/p/trump-and-...
malcontentnews.substack.com
Trump and Zelenskyy meet at UN with no peace deal in sight
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,672 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Moscow in flames after massive drone and missile attack The free Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 1,074, for September 19, 2026, is 50 pages long and combat-only. Today’s analysis? Russia’s fuel crisis is about to get worse. malcontentnews.substack.com/p/moscow-in-...
malcontentnews.substack.com
Moscow in flames after massive drone and missile attack
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,669 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Coffee in Kramatorsk
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 10/09/2026
This animation illustrates the scale of Russian losses during their invasion according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense. Animation by: x.com/JThomason88/
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
1/ Russia's police will be used to detain men en masse and force them to sign military contracts, according to a Russian source. It's claimed that rather than carrying out a 'traditional' mobilisation, the same effect will be achieved by exploiting pretexts to force men to join the army. ⬇️
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asmodmni.bsky.social @asmodmni.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Without you….IT WILL GET WORSE…
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — SEP 6, 2026 (#1) ■ Casualties slightly below average despite increased engagements ■ Equipment losses well below average, except for APVs ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/oOBJd8E64eY
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 25/08/2026
⚠️ Ukraine Daily Update: 23 - 24 August 2026 @kelley7622.tochnyi.info On 24 August, Russian forces carried out an airstrike on Sloviansk using a FAB-250 with a UMPK glide kit, striking a residential area.
Ukraine Daily Update: 23 - 24 August 2026
Tracking Russian war crimes against civilians and first responders in Ukraine.

Civilians killed: 11
Civilians wounded: 108
First responder casualties: 1
Casualty age range: 12 to 88 years old

Chernihiv: 21 wounded 
Sumy: 1 killed, 12 wounded 
Kharkiv: 4 killed, 23 wounded 
Donetsk: 2 killed, 19 wounded 
Dnipropetrovsk: 1 killed, 7 wounded 
Kherson: 3 killed, 21 wounded 
Odesa: 5 wounded

Full article: https://tochnyi.info/2026/08/ukraine-daily-update-23-24-august-2026/
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — AUG 25, 2026 (#1) ■ Engagements, casualties, and equipment losses below the 7-day average ■ Visually confirmed equipment batch: 31 🇷🇺 : 57 🇺🇦 (0.5x) ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/rMQXu9MJOYc
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — AUG 24, 2026 (#1) ■ Fewer engagements, but casualties well above the 7-day average ■ 6th highest losses of unarmored vehicles (incl. fuel trucks) ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/hjlNwKfea2o
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — AUG 21, 2026 (#1) ■ Engagements and casualties slightly above average ■ 6th highest losses of unarmored vehicles; 39 missiles intercepted ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/k94AGH8_quk
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
It even smells like repression here. And we are equal partners with China." A Russian man showed what a small store in a remote part of Russia looks like.
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
From Friday to Monday, new fuel shortages expanded to 36 more Russian regions, with 71 of 83 experiencing issues. Regional governors in the Nenets Autonomous Okrug, Udmurt Republic, and Belgorod Oblast claim that the fuel supply is normal. We could not find data on 9 regions.
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Also provide link to another AI project in which involved - Reimagining the AI Arms Race, a new anthology from the AI & Geopolitics Project (AIxGEO) led by Verity Harding. The full anthology here www.bennettschool.cam.ac.uk/publications..., includes my piece on origins of the arms race metaphor.
bennettschool.cam.ac.uk
Reimagining the AI Arms Race - Bennett School of Public Policy
This essay anthology brings together visionary thinkers, policymakers, and experts to challenge the narrative of AI as a zero-sum competition.
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Post today addresses the twin beliefs that AI can dispel the fog of war by making targeting more efficient but also increase it by providing adversaries with opportunities to pollute the information environment. It’s long but also free. samf.substack.com/p/ai-and-the...?
samf.substack.com
AI and the New Fog of War
I have been involved in two projects looking at the impact of AI on contemporary conflict.
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — AUG 16, 2026 (#1) ■ Casualties and equipment losses well above the 7-day average despite fewer engagements ■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: 16 locations hit or affected by debris; 3 missiles intercepted ■ ... 📈 datastudio.google.com/s/mDDfweb8G14
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
My latest post looks at alarmist literature about security threats and how best to engage with it - from William Le Queux before WW1 to Graham Allison on nuclear terrorism and war with China to Anne Jacobsen on nuclear and biological war. (£/free trial), samf.substack.com/p/always-loo...?
samf.substack.com
Always Look on the Dark Side of Life
Warnings of doom from German spies to the Thucyides Trap to a biological war
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — AUG 8, 2026 (#1) ■ Engagements and casualties below average; 🇷🇺 territorial gains of 62 km² (30-day casualties at 42k) ■ Equipment losses include 6 air defence systems (a record 29 in the last 7 days) and a naval loss ■ ... 📈 datastudio.google.com/s/pBxRvkR8bVI
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DroneBomber @dronebomber.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
23:40 | 05/08 Approximate flight routes of our UAVs: 🔴 Red arrows — directions of strike UAV movement; According to Russian sources, around 430 drones were reported, though these estimates and the displayed routes remain highly approximate.
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OSINTRadar @osintradar.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Footage circulating on social media shows a Russian serviceman being brutally beaten after allegedly abandoning his position without authorization. In the footage, he is seen wearing a woman's dress, thrown into a pit, and physically assaulted by his fellow soldiers. t.me/OSINTRadar05...
t.me
OSINTRadar
Footage circulating on social media shows a Russian serviceman being brutally beaten after allegedly abandoning his position without authorization. In the footage, he is seen wearing a woman's dress,...
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Good morning! Here is your Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 1,065 for July 29-31 and August 1-4, 2026. It is 78 pages long and a full report. The big story? President Donald Trump pulls back on his Patriot promise just as Ukraine’s anti-ballistic air defense is exhausted.
malcontentnews.substack.com
Trump walks back Patriot PAC-3 promise to Ukraine
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,623 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
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Ukraine War Brief Podcast @ukrainewarpod.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
The Wildberries logistics hub in Samara burned to the ground completely. See #9 below. (I’m not a huge fan of the graphic since it’s inaccurate about warehouse sizes, but it’s the clearest one I could find). See upper right corner of third pic. ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/08/04/v...
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Mick Ryan @warinthefuture.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
“Kyiv may be in the best position in the war since 2022, but the Kremlin believes it will crush the will of Ukraine & its friends this winter. Russia may be struggling, but Putin has not exhausted his options. He still wants to fight for as long as possible.” www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/why-...
foreignaffairs.com
Why a Weaker Russia Keeps Fighting
Putin sees little need to negotiate.
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Igor Sushko @igorsushko.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
💥 Russian fascists turned their universities into legitimate military targets. This is Belgorod Technological University. Narration: "Shit, that's, bitch, where they build drones and teach people how to fucking operate them. It's fucked. It was just all blown up."
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 02/08/2026
🗺️New infographic: ▶️ Russia's second-largest bank, VTB, has invested over 500 billion roubles in direct loans to Wildberries. ▶️ 10 billion roubles had been invested in the Samara facility alone - before today's conflagration.
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The hedgehog @the-hedgehog.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Some additional footage from the strike on the Wildberries in Novoselkinо. Long thread. Looks like it is 30 parts.
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 02/08/2026
🎙️ Tochnyi Weekly Russian Missile Strikes Poland ▶️ Joseph @josephthomason.tochnyi.info ▶️ GAU @deaidua.org ▶️ Stanimir @delfoo.bsky.social ▶️ Erlend @edrotning.tochnyi.info Sun 20:00 Berlin | 21:00 Kyiv | 14:00 New York Join the Livestream! Watch Here: www.youtube.com/live/qyb3tRn...
youtube.com
Russian Missile Strikes Poland - August 2, 2026
YouTube video by Tochnyi
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUL 29, 2026 (#1) ■ Increased engagements, but fewer casualties; 25 km² of 🇺🇦 gains reported by LiveUAmap ■ Equipment losses below average, but 7-day APV losses reached another 2026 high ■ ... 📈 datastudio.google.com/s/qHptHdFqzf8
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 24/07/2026
“The coming era will be one of more frequent crises, higher costs for protecting global commerce, and intensifying competition over the world’s strategic chokepoints,” writes Robert Pape.
foreignaffairs.com
Iran and the New Rules of Global Power
The making and unmaking of American dominance.
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUL 24, 2026 (#1) ■ Engagements and casualties below average; highest 7-day casualties of 2026 ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/p18LZvijDyA
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Russia continues to terrorize and kill Ukrainian civilians On July 19,a Russian aerial bomb attack on Zaporizhzhia killed 11-yr-old Mariia Levchenko.Her mom,Kateryna,waited for almost 6 hours as rescuers searched through the rubble for Mariia My heart breaks when I hear Kateryna's sobs
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leoskyview.bsky.social @leoskyview.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
1\ Commentator/OSINT/etc interpretation of Syrskyi et al. Andrew Perpetua: "Ukraine needed to gut their military leadership and promote from within. Which they are successfully doing as a result of Zelenskyi's actions. The nuance is that all of the good people are being pushed out."
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUL 19, 2026 (1 of 4) ■ Casualties above average and the highest 7-day casualty total in 2026 so far; LiveUAmap reports 🇷🇺 gains of 22 km² ■ ... 📈 See dashboard for full data: datastudio.google.com/s/kqZT_9KKOL4
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 19/07/2026
⚠️ Ukraine Daily Update: 17 - 18 July 2026 @kelley7622.tochnyi.info On 18 July, Russian forces attacked a private household in Derhachi, Kharkiv Oblast, with a Geran-2 UAV. The drone did not detonate, police officers arrived at the scene to assist potential victims and secure the unexploded object.
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The hedgehog @the-hedgehog.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Standard Russian military activity. Soldier in a dress being forced to dig his own grave (?)
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GAU @deaidua.org · 17/07/2026
In a joint investigation with @tochnyi.info, we tracked the digital footprints of self-proclaimed AfD influencer Noah Krieger in Russia and Ukraine. He claims to be fighting for Russia, but our investigation reveals a different reality. 🔗 tochnyi.info/2026/07/the-...
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
OTD in 1987 President Reagan signed Proclamation 5680—Captive Nations Week, in which he stated something about Ukraine the current Republican party would regard as woke.
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Tim White @twmcltd.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
2/2 Anyone denying Russia shot down MH17 is an idiot, someone who blindly backs Russia's war crimes and lies. Here is a Russian news report from July 17, 2014 glorying in shotting down the plane. Then suddenly when they realise it was a passenger plane, see how things change. Scum
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Ukrainska Pravda 🇺🇦 @pravda.ua · 16/07/2026
⁉️ The resignation of the year and appointment of a new Cabinet: why Zelenskyy is removing Fedorov from the Defence Ministry
pravda.com.ua
The resignation of the year and appointment of a new Cabinet: why Zelenskyy is removing Fedorov from the Defence Ministry
On the evening of 15 July, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrived late for a meeting with the Servant of the People faction.
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Russian mir in Klishchiivka, south of Bakhmut, over 2.5 years after Russian forces, wait, let me check my notes, "liberated" the village. 00:32: 48.528239, 37.9583175
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
"Deteriorating weather conditions" caused occupied Luhansk to lose power. Today's forecast is mostly cloudy, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Intermittent FP-2 loitering munitions are possible, accompanied by vivid and frequent explosions.
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Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 @ragnarbjartur.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JUL 15, 2026 (1 of 3) ■ Casualties above average despite engagements being below average; LiveUAmap reports 🇷🇺 gains of 134 km² ■ High equipment losses, including 10 tanks (41 in the last 7 days) and one naval vessel ■ ... 📈 datastudio.google.com/s/v_uu_RAoou8
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Malcontent News @malcontentnews.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
More Russian refineries get wrecked, the Kremlin is in denial, and the fuel crisis worsens The Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 1,062, for July 11-14, 2026, is 93 pages long and a full report. malcontentnews.substack.com/p/more-russi...
malcontentnews.substack.com
More Russian refineries get wrecked as fuel crisis worsens
A summary of the events that happened on day 1,602 of the Russia-Ukraine War.
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
1/ Russian horse breeders are reporting booming sales due to the ongoing fuel crisis. Despite the expenses of owning a horse, they are now cheaper to maintain than constantly refuelling an SUV. ⬇️ bsky.app/profile/igor...
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Tochnyi @tochnyi.info · 05/07/2026
⚠️ Ukraine Daily Update: 3 - 4 July 2026 @kelley7622.tochnyi.info On 04 July, Russian forces dropped a FAB-250 guided aerial bomb with a UMPK module on a shopping center in Kramatorsk, where people were present. The attack caused a significant fire and damaged a bus station.
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The Ukrainian Review @theukrainianreview.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
😮 Russia has a network of torture chambers for those who refuse to fight. These are basements with unsanitary conditions. A joint investigation by DW and Astra.
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Darth Putin @darthputinkgb.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Your Prez took his weekly trip to the blog. There is a longer term consequence to the deep strike program my troll's impotent rage reveals. And it's not been talked about much. www.patreon.com/IntheBunkerw...
patreon.com
A longer term consequence of the Flamingo | In the Bunker with Darth
Something is happening as a result of the deep strike program that is not being discussed as much as it should be. Of course, the long line
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
1/ Russia's deal with India to supply fuel to alleviate the current shortages involves the Indians selling fuel refined from discounted Russian oil back to Russia at full market prices. As warblogger Yuri Baranchik points out, this is extraordinarily bad value for Russia. ⬇️
AI-generated image of a happy Indian businessman shaking hands with a very unhappy Russian businessman
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