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Alex Kohut

@alexjkohut.bsky.social
254 followers 569 following 193 posts

Founder, North Poll Strategies. Formerly Senior Manager of Research & Advertising for the PM of Canada

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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Aaron Wherry @aaronwherry.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
I return to my contention that the real benefit of Canadian federalism is that at any given moment there's always one province whose political situation can provide entertainment for everyone else.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This is a big departure from past Hollywood interpretations, which have made Scrooge woke by visiting him with the Ghosts of Marx, Stalin and Pelosi. Scrooge will not be woke on Christmas morning!
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
John Michael McGrath @jm-mcgrath.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Alright folks if we really want to rename northern Ontario's Trump Lake, because this is Canada, there's an Ontario Geographic Names Board (I am not kidding) that makes recommendations to the Minister of Natural Resources CANADA, BABY
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Isn't this the plot to the Matrix?
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Sure it might be traumatic and harmful for millions of kids if these policies pass, but that's worth it to these legislators as long as it allows them to specifically traumatize and harm a small group of trans kids even more.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
The Odyssey somehow found a way to surprise me. Much like its protagonist, the film is adrift at times in the first half, but once it finds its bearings it becomes a masterpiece with an onslaught of near-perfect scenes building in a crescendo to its cathartic conclusion.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
I've said it before but just let the opposition leader live in 24 sussex for a cycle and give them a budget to fix it up
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
As someone who loves to follow a good leadership race, it's hard not to notice the huge gender disparity in the candidate list for the vast majority of these contests. So I made a database of recent federal leadership candidates to see what we can learn. #cdnpoli open.substack.com/pub/northpol...
open.substack.com
Men Are Far More Likely to Run for Party Leadership, But Do They Perform Better on the Ballot?
A statistical breakdown of who decides to run for party leadership and how often they succeed.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
If you find yourself logging into your company's Slack to ask whether the 120 kids your company killed over the weekend was on purpose or by accident it's probably past time that you quit your job.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
I'm not overly superstitious but the sens hit the post on an empty net everytime this ad airs.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
New dream job: coming up with fake ad copy for The Onion's takeover of Info Wars These are great
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
northpoll.substack.com/p/poilievres...
northpoll.substack.com
Poilievre's NHL Playoff Ad Shows a New Level of Desperation
The Conservatives are spending big money to protect Poilievre from short-term criticism rather than building for a future election.
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Molly White @molly.wiki · 20/04/2026
ghoulish
A Forbes article about a father who killed eight children, with an embedded prediction widget inviting people to speculate on whether "Congress will pass new gun safety legislation before 31st December 2026"
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
NHL playoff matchups (seeded by league standings): 1 vs. 20 2 vs. 9 3 vs. 7 4 vs. 8 5 vs. 6 10 vs. 11 13 vs. 15 14 vs. 17 Gotta fix this playoff format 🫠
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
If this holds, Doly Begum would be the first federal Liberal candidate to receive more than 70% of the vote in any election since 2015. #cdnpoli
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Wes Burdine @wesburdine.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
BREAKING: Following the American threat of an “Avignon Papacy,” Robert Kennedy has begun a Diet of Worms
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Here's why I'm not celebrating Marilyn Gladu's floor crossing to the Liberal Party today: northpoll.substack.com/p/the-grim-r... #cdnpoli
northpoll.substack.com
The Grim Reaper Comes for the Liberal Party
Floor-crosser Marilyn Gladu has questions she must answer before she deserves a warm embrace from Liberals
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Gladu has consistently championed causes that are harmful to people in the Liberal coalition. I hope she's changed, but she needs to clarify her stance on conversion therapy and other social issues ASAP or a lot of Liberals will feel unsafe and unsupported with her in the party.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
No thank you
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Imagine being born before the US Civil War and living long enough to be the victim of a crypto scam
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
It's a Taco Bell. It's the Donald J. Trump Presidential Library. It's a combination Taco Bell/Donald J. Trump Presidential Library
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
I ranked the 5 biggest challenges facing Avi Lewis as he takes over a fragmented federal NDP that is confronted with both opportunities for growth and existential risks. northpoll.substack.com/p/ranking-th...
northpoll.substack.com
Ranking the 5 Biggest Challenges Facing the Avi Lewis NDP
There will be no honeymoon phase for Avi Lewis, who has built a movement but faces the challenges of taking over a fragmented party struggling for national relevance.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
I went on CPAC this weekend to talk about the NDP leadership race and I'm sharing it now after results because my predictions weren't wrong 😂 youtu.be/xZfimDuZ0xo?...
youtu.be
Is Avi Lewis Set to Win the NDP Leadership? Interview with Alex Kohut, Founder North Poll Strategies
YouTube video by cpac
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Heaven forbid we allow young people to engage in politics! Students should have the same rights as everyone else to use their voices to advocate for change. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...
cbc.ca
Don’t 'engage in divisive or contentious issues of any kind,' says provincial memo on graduation ceremonies | CBC News
The memo, signed by Education Minister Paul Calandra and addressed to educators and school board staff, warns that failure by school boards to meet those expectations “poses a real risk to student wel...
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
A comparison that would surprise a lot of people: The federal NDP earned 6.3% of the vote in 2025. The federal Green Party earned 6.6% of the vote in 2019.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Self-regulation cannot be an option when the industry openly shows no interest in self-regulation.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
Always the best stories of the olympics when we get firsts like this!
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
The sheer volume of ads on the CBC opening ceremony broadcast is starting to get ridiculous
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Spencer Keys @spencerkeys.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
This speech also gets to a phrase @alexjkohut.bsky.social termed “Schrodinger’s Elbows”to tease me in another place where the elbows are both up and down. Carney is establishing a set of predictable principles of engagement that do not prevent US cooperation but refuse to rely on US benevolence…
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Some polling and thoughts on the upcoming Ontario Liberal leadership! northpoll.substack.com/p/survey-dat...
northpoll.substack.com
Survey Data: The Path Back for the Ontario Liberals
There's no dominant frontrunner in the Ontario Liberal leadership race, but whoever wins should have a real opportunity to return the Liberals to government.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 23/12/2025
As 2025 draws to a close, I'm unlocking some of my favourite and most popular posts from the year and offering a discount for new subscribers: northpoll.substack.com/p/my-end-of-... A big thank you to everyone who has read along as I launched this newsletter this year!
northpoll.substack.com
My End of Year Gift to Readers
Thank you to everyone who has come along for the ride for the first year of my North Poll Newsletter!
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
If anyone needs a good first date question to determine if someone might be into the manosphere, Andrew Tate fans are way more confident that they could win a point against a professional tennis player.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 07/12/2025
Essential reading for campaign professionals: I collected data that proves signs do matter in political campaigns, with some sign designs being measurably more impactful at swaying voters to support a candidate. #cdnpoli northpoll.substack.com/p/the-best-l...
northpoll.substack.com
The Best Lawn Sign Design Is...
We need to stop saying "signs don't matter" in political campaigns - there are some sign designs that can measurably increase your candidate's vote share.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
New polling on the state of the NDP leadership race! I explored what party supporters think of the leadership contenders, purity tests, Zohran Mamdani, Palestine and more: northpoll.substack.com/publish/post... #cdnpoli
northpoll.substack.com
Polling the NDP Leadership Race: Vote Choice, Purity Tests, Palestine and More
The leading candidates all have work to do as the first debate approaches in a leadership contest that reflects a divided NDP base.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
There’s been a lot of chatter about Pierre Poilievre’s leadership recently so I surveyed Canadians to explore his growing brand challenges and ask Conservative supporters who have soured on him why they are having second thoughts about the CPC leader: #cdnpoli open.substack.com/pub/northpol...
open.substack.com
How Do You Solve a Problem Like Pierre?
An election has been averted, but will Pierre Poilievre be able to reverse his negative momentum? I talked to past CPC voters who have soured on Poilievre to find out why.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
An update on how Canadians evaluate the Carney and Ford reactions to Donald Trump, including concrete data on how standing up to Trump is the key vote driver for Carney-Ford crossover voters in Ontario. open.substack.com/pub/northpol...
open.substack.com
For Both Carney and Ford, The Path to Winning Swing Voters in Ontario Goes Through Donald Trump
Carney-Ford crossover voters are heavily motivated by the Canada/US conflict, and polling for both leaders is dependent on how strong their response is to Trump.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
New #onpoli polling on vote intention in Ontario. The Doug Ford PCs hold on to a comfortable lead, but there are indicators the Ontario Liberals have the potential to grow their support under a new leader. northpoll.substack.com/p/ontario-vo...
northpoll.substack.com
Ontario Vote: PCs 46%, Liberals 29%, NDP 17%
Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives continue to hold a comfortable lead over a divided opposition in Ontario, but there may be hope for the Ontario Liberals.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
Canada will have another federal election if the federal Budget fails to pass the House of Commons. My new polling suggests it would be a tight contest between the Liberals and Conservatives #cdnpoli northpoll.substack.com/p/federal-vo...
northpoll.substack.com
Federal Vote: Liberals 40%, Conservatives 40% as Confidence Vote Approaches
Only 1-in-10 voters say they would change who they voted for in the April election if given the opportunity.
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Kickback Committee @kickbackcommittee.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
The CPL Final is in the middle of a snowstorm in Canada, true North American soccer heritage...how could it get any better? HOW ABOUT A FREAKIN' BICYCLE KICK EQUALIZER!!!
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 08/11/2025
There's a tough decision upcoming for the NDP when they vote on the federal government budget - my polling shows the NDP supporter base is almost evenly divided between excitement and anger at the prospect of a federal election. northpoll.substack.com/p/ndp-mps-fa...
northpoll.substack.com
NDP MPs face an uncomfortable Budget decision as NDP voters can't agree on whether they should try to force an election
29% of NDP voters want another election, while 26% say they would be angry by that outcome.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
I happened to be in field with a survey when the Blue Jays suffered one of the most painful World Series losses ever, so I checked in with Canadians across the country to see how they're processing things the day after. The results reminded me why I'm proud to be Canadian 🧵
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
dr peppermint patty @jessespector.com · 21/10/2025
so shohei ohtani will be on a plane to toronto
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Chris H @themanekin.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
Vlad Guerrero Jr, Hazel Mae, the city of Toronto, and a cameraman create an all-time baseball moment. #BlueJays #LightsUpLetsGo
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
What happened last night in Newfoundland? #nlpoli My full analysis of yet another provincial election showing a growing urban/rural divide in Canada and what it means for the federal parties watching: open.substack.com/pub/northpol...
open.substack.com
Lessons to Learn from the Newfoundland and Labrador Provincial Election
Tony Wakeham's surprise majority government suggests a growing urban/rural divide in Newfoundland that mirrors federal election results.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 15/10/2025
Working on an analysis of Tony Wakeham's extraordinary PC majority result of the Newfoundland and Labrador election for my newsletter - here's some things that stand out in my first look through the data: 🧵 #nlpoli
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Dr Kat Day (she/her) 🎃🌒 @chronicleflask.katday.com · 06/10/2025
Daughter of Robin Williams, Zelda Williams 💔
zeldawilliams 
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From Create Mode 
••
Please, just stop sending me AI videos of Dad. Stop believing I wanna see it or that I'll understand, I don't and I won't. If you're just trying to troll me, I've seen way worse, i'll restrict and move on. But please, if you've got any decency, just stop doing this to him and to me, to everyone even, full stop. It's dumb, it's a waste of time and energy, and believe me, it's NOT what he'd want.
To watch the legacies of real people be condensed down to 'this vaguely looks and sounds like them so that's enough,
, just so
other people can churn out horrible TikTok slop puppeteering them is maddening. You're not making art, you're making disgusting, over-processed hotdogs out of the lives of human beings, out of the history of art and music, and then shoving them down someone else's throat hoping they'll give you a little thumbs up and like it.
Gross.And for the love of EVERYTHING, stop calling it 'the future. Al is just badly recycling and regurgitating the past to be reconsumed. You are taking in the Human Centipede of content, and from the very very end of the line, all while the folks at the front laugh and laugh, consume and consume.
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Have you ever had an idea for a better design for political signs? I'm polling to find out the most effective and persuasive sign designs and crowd-sourcing ideas for what to test: open.substack.com/pub/northpol...
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
In the wake of Bonnie Crombie's resignation, I wrote about why the next Liberal leader will need to embrace a comprehensive party rebuild and show Ontarians the OLP is a changed party before it can sell itself as a party of change. #onpoli northpoll.substack.com/p/an-open-le...
northpoll.substack.com
An Open Letter to the Next Ontario Liberal Party Leader
The next Liberal leader will have to demonstrate that the Ontario Liberals are a changed party before it can position itself as the party of change.
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Reposted by Alex Kohut
Corey Hogan 🇨🇦 @coreyhogan.ca · 16/09/2025
This week, Parliament is back from summer recess. But what does an MP do all summer?
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Alex Kohut @alexjkohut.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Why don't more people run for office and how can we change the political environment to encourage the best and brightest in Canada to pursue public service? I talked to @angeliawagner.bsky.social about her book, "The Candidacy Calculation" for my newsletter: northpoll.substack.com/p/why-qualif...
northpoll.substack.com
Why Qualified People are Declining to Run for Office and How We Can Change That (with Angelia Wagner)
Angelia Wagner's new book, "The Candidacy Calculation" provides a crucial look into the barriers preventing people from running for office and the solutions political parties could pursue.
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