Sign in

Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique

@aitor-if.bsky.social
234 followers 338 following 32 posts

Economist. Postdoctoral Research Fellow @ehu.eus | Research Affiliate at @theifs.bsky.social. Studying the changing structure of the labour market. Posts in English or Euskara (Basque).

PostsRepliesMedia
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
EHU @ehu.eus hosted one of the main international conferences for young economics researchers. The EAYE @eayeconomists.bsky.social annual meeting brought PhD students and early-career researchers from around the world together in Bilbao. #EAYEAM26 #EconConf #EconSky www.ehu.eus/eu/web/campu...
022
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
NEW PODCAST: Is the minimum wage costing jobs? @helenmiller.bsky.social, @eduinlatimer.bsky.social and @alanmanning4.bsky.social discuss what we know and what we don't know about the UK minimum wage in our new podcast. 🎧 Listen here: ifs.org.uk/articles/min...
011
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Peter Levell @peterlevell.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Here's a starter pack of IFS economists posting on BlueSky. Make sure you're following them all for the top-quality economic analysis on labour markets, inequality, public finances, healthcare, education and more! go.bsky.app/NYPwMB
045
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
eayeconomists.bsky.social @eayeconomists.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
📢 Call for papers! The EAYE Annual Meeting welcomes submissions of full papers or extended abstracts (4-8K characters) in all fields of economics 👉 18–20 May '26, University of the Basque Country ⏲️ Submission deadline extended to 28 December 2025!
157
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
NEW: New data show that official statistics have overcounted the number of self-employed workers in the UK for decades. @helenmiller.bsky.social, Isaac Delestre, Kate Smith and @bojs.bsky.social’s new report uses newly available data to fill the gap in the statistical record:
Chart shows total number of unincorporated self-employed. Title states: "Official statistics have substantially overstated the size of the UK’s self-employed population in the past two decades."
124
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Journal of International Economics @jintlecon.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
New at JIE: "Household responses to trade shocks" by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique (@aitor-if.bsky.social), Peter Levell (@peterlevell.bsky.social), Matthias Parey doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...
142
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
The University of the Basque Country (@ehu.eus) is hosting the 2026 EAYE Annual Meeting. 2026ko EAYE konferentzia Euskal Herriko Unibertsitatean izango da. Artikuluak bidaltzeko epea zabalik dago, abenduaren 1era bitarte. Informazio guztia hemen: www.eaye.info/eayeam/2026-...
052
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
EVENT: IFS recruitment event 2025 Wednesday 1 October | 5pm – 6pm | Online via Zoom Want to work at IFS? Join our recruitment event to meet our staff, ask questions about life at IFS and find out more about our hiring process. ➡️ Find out more and sign up here: ifs.org.uk/events/ifs-r...
021
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
"AI is probably more impactful for employment even than the Dot-com revolution of the nineties. This is more like the industrial revolution of the 19th century" Sir Philip Augar discusses the impact of AI on the labour market. 🎧 Listen here: ifs.org.uk/articles/are...
023
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
CASE - Center for Social and Economic Research @case-research.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
🌍 Thank you for joining us at the 21st EUROFRAME Conference: The Future of Labour! We are deeply grateful to all participants and speakers who made this year’s conference in Warsaw such a vibrant and insightful event. See you next year! Photo credit: Magdalena Kępa
011
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
📗 Read our briefing here: ifs.org.uk/articles/wor... 📗 Read the journal article published in Labour Economics: ifs.org.uk/journals/imp...
ifs.org.uk
Working in your 60s: a way to stay young for some | Institute for Fiscal Studies
On average, women who remained in work for longer following increases in the state pension age saw improved cognition and less physical disability.
021
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Join us for our 2025 IFS Annual Lecture on trade wars and the future of globalisation, presented by Professor @meredith-crowley.bsky.social Tuesday 20 May | 18:30–20:00 | The View, Royal College of Surgeons, London Find out more and sign up here: ifs.org.uk/events/ifs-a...
042
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
12/ Curious how we estimate elasticities from job flows? Or how correlated shocks make inequality worse? Full story – theory, data, and projections – in our WP ⬇️ ifs.org.uk/publications...
ifs.org.uk
The impact of labour demand shocks when occupational labour supplies are heterogeneous | Institute for Fiscal Studies
We develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market with heterogeneous labour supply elasticities by occupation and across occupation pairs.
000
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
11/ But this works both ways. Occupations in health/education may see larger wage increases, but can’t attract IT workers – low cross-elasticity. Result: IT projected to grow >20% as share of employment over the next decade.
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
10/ Take, for example, IT. Why does it grow fast? Relative wage gains in IT attract inflows from jobs with smaller wage shifts. It can pull in workers from many nearby jobs – both technical and managerial.
120
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
9/ The model projects 🏗️ IT & construction: employment gains 👩‍🏫 Health & education: wage rises 🏭 Manufacturing + some high-skill jobs (e.g accountants): wage declines
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
8/ We then simulate how the labour market might respond to automation-driven tech shocks. We combine 🧍 Worker flows (2012-2021) 🤖 Expert views on task-automation risk = equilibrium projections of employment, wage & job flows.
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
7/ Key insight 2️⃣ Elasticity heterogeneity explains 20% of the variation in occupational employment growth over 1985-2010. Demand shocks explain 60%, supply shocks the rest.
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
6/ Key insight 1️⃣ Demand shocks often hit groups of similar jobs (e.g. motor vehicle drivers, railway engine drivers). This makes it harder for workers to switch, slows employment adjustment, and leads to more unequal wage changes.
110
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
5/ We use German panel data tracking career moves. [1985-2010] Some occupations adjusted to shocks via jobs (e.g. assistants), others via wages. What explains this? Spoiler: elasticity matters.
110
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
4/ We develop a tractable equilibrium model of the labour market that accounts for this heterogeneity. It helps us: 1️⃣ explain historical employment & wage shifts 2️⃣ project responses to future automation shocks
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
3/ Labour supply elasticities differ not just by job but by job pair. For example, workers in laboratory medicine may shift quickly into human medicine if wages rise – but carpenters into IT? Much harder.
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
2/ Not all jobs are equally “elastic”. Some (e.g. doctors) have rigid labour supply – higher wages don’t attract many new workers. Others (e.g. assistants) are flexible – wage rises boost employment.
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
1/ The labour market has seen significant changes in recent decades. With automation accelerating, more is coming. Can workers switch jobs fast enough to keep up? We study how reallocation across occupations shapes wages, employment and inequality. #EconSky New WP ⬇️ ifs.org.uk/publications...
1103
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
How much do regional inequalities shift when we swap income for consumption? New estimates of household spending (net of housing) show smaller gaps — and a different map. Methodologically rigorous, policy-relevant work from my colleagues @peterlevell.bsky.social and Gautam Vyas #EconSky
041
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
"It's almost entirely passed on to domestic consumers." Who pays the costs of tariffs? @pjtheeconomist.bsky.social and @peterlevell.bsky.social discuss in our podcast episode on tariffs from earlier this year. 🎧 Listen here: ifs.org.uk/articles/do-...
032
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
We are delighted to announce that @helenmiller.bsky.social has been appointed as the next IFS Director, following on from @pjtheeconomist.bsky.social in July 2025. Find out more:
ifs.org.uk
Helen Miller appointed as new Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies | Institute for Fiscal Studies
The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) is delighted to announce that Helen Miller has been appointed as its next Director.
0319
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
NEW #IFSWorkingPaper: The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: Evidence from the European Energy Crisis Read @peterlevell.bsky.social, Martin O'Connell and Kate Smith's paper: ifs.org.uk/publications...
ifs.org.uk
The welfare effects of price shocks and household relief packages: Evidence from the European Energy Crisis | Institute for Fiscal Studies
How should governments respond to rapid increases in the cost of living driven by shocks to the prices of staple goods?
011
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin @rfberlin.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
We are pleased to announce the release of Volume 5 of the Handbook of Labor Economics, edited by Christian Dustmann and Thomas Lemieux.
rfberlin.com
Volume 5 of the Handbook of Labor Economics Published
We are pleased to announce the release of Volume 5 of the Handbook of Labor Economics, edited by Christian Dustmann and Thomas Lemieux. Recognized as a leading resource in the field, the Handbook brin...
11615
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
#Podcast #Trade #Tariffs | Why do countries trade? Are tariffs good or bad? Who pays the price? Do listen to @peterlevell.bsky.social on this episode as he breaks it all down with clarity and common sense. #EconSky
021
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Laurence O'Brien @laurenceobrien.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
New working paper out! Governments in many countries have raised early retirement ages (ERAs) in response to public finance pressures from ageing populations. These policies have consistently been found to lead to increased employment rates among older workers. This paper asks: why? 🤔
224
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
#EconSky #EconConf | Don't miss out. Submit your abstracts by 3rd January and meet my former colleagues in Colchester this spring. 2 days of exciting conversations around research + keynotes by Imran Rasul (UCL, IFS) and Ben Etheridge (Essex). All the info here: www.essex.ac.uk/events/2025/...
062
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Eduin Latimer @eduinlatimer.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Where does the UK fall in the international employment rate league table? There are uncertainties around the data, but we know around 75%-76% of 16-64-year-olds are in work in the UK. This puts the UK above the average for the OECD, but a way back on the four countries who have already hit 80%.
113
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
NEW: Air pollution in England has halved since 2003 after falling substantially during the pandemic, but inequalities in exposure remain. @lgadenne.bsky.social @leroutierm.bsky.social Rodrigo Toneto and Bobbie Upton’s new report examines how air pollution has changed in England over 20 years:
14824
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Tao Chen @taochen.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Important analysis on differential household responses to sectoral change driven by global trade!
011
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
NEW PODCAST: How can we make government more productive? @pjtheeconomist.bsky.social, @benzaranko.bsky.social and @samfr.bsky.social examine public sector productivity, including government reforms and lessons from the private sector. Listen here: ifs.org.uk/articles/how...
094
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
The Essex PhD Conference in Applied Economics is back with its 3rd edition! #EconSky #EconConf 📆 March 20-21, 2025 🏫 University of Essex 🎙️ Keynotes: Imran Rasul (@theifs.bsky.social @uclofficial.bsky.social) & Ben Etheridge (Essex) ⏳ Submit by 3rd Jan'25 💻 Info: www.essex.ac.uk/events/2025/...
164
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
Tao Chen @taochen.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Are poorer households hit harder by inflation during cost-of-living crisis? We already know higher share of their spending is on necessities such as food and drink with higher inflation. But it turns out not to be the full story: our paper takes a detailed look on the recent crisis. 🧵
243
Reposted by Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique
The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
📈 Explore the data using our map here: ifs.org.uk/calculators/... 📗 Read Elaine Drayton, @peterlevell.bsky.social and @david-sturrock.bsky.social's briefing here: ifs.org.uk/articles/eng... 📗 Read the working paper here: ifs.org.uk/publications... [8/8]
ifs.org.uk
How have local house prices and house building changed across England? | Institute for Fiscal Studies
See how house prices and house building have changed in your area, and compare how responsive building has been to prices in areas across England.
031
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
📝 Second, partners can play an important part in providing insurance to workers affected by trade shocks. Single-headed households affected by a shock may be in greater need of public insurance. (13/13) Link to the working paper: ifs.org.uk/sites/defaul... #EconSky
010
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
📝 Two major implications. First, important to account for retirement, self-employment and partner labour supply to have a full understanding of the impact of trade shocks on workers and their households. (12/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
↘️ Similarly, the increase in self-employment among men whose partners were exposed to rising import competition is almost entirely accounted for by historically male-dominated jobs. (11/13)
110
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
↘️ Male-dominated occupations such as taxi drivers 🚕 and plumbers 👨‍🔧 account for almost two-thirds of the transitions of men initially employed in exposed industries, indicating that it is these jobs that provide men with an ‘employment buffer’. (10/13)
111
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
🕵️ Our results point to men having greater access to opportunities in the self-employed sector, allowing them greater flexibility to increase their labour supply. (9/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
🕵️ We find no evidence that differences in men’s and women’s initial hours and broad occupation explain the gender differences in our main findings, or effects on fertility that might affect women’s labour market responses differently to men’s. (8/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Key finding 3️⃣ We document added worker effects, with again asymmetric responses by gender. Men more likely to increase labour supply in response to shocks affecting their female partners, while we don't find evidence for the converse. This holds regardless of young children in the household. (7/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Key finding 2️⃣ Being employed in an exposed industry reduces the probability of divorce among young women while having no effect on the marriage or divorce rates of young men. (6/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Key finding 1️⃣ Employment responses to the trade shocks differ substantially across men and women with similar degrees of exposure. Men are more likely to transition into self-employment and to extend their working lives at older ages. (5/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
💡 We study how the labour force participation of workers changed between the 2001 -2011 censuses, comparing those exposed to growing import competition from China with other less exposed manufacturing workers. (4/13)
100
Aitor Irastorza-Fadrique @aitor-if.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
💻 We use data from the ONS Longitudinal Study, which links individuals across censuses and importantly includes information about the labour force participation of everyone in their household 🏡. (3/13)
100