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Alan Manning

@alanmanning4.bsky.social
1.5K followers 2 following 35 posts

Labour market economist at CEP and LSE. Personal views only

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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
I hope govt bills (in 6 minute increments) the law firms and others lobbying for this - its a waste of public money getting civil servants to spend time on this bad idea giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
UK government split over new ‘golden visa’ scheme to woo super-rich
Anti-corruption campaigners sound the alarm after previous programme was scrapped owing to dirty money
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
everyone is entitled to their view but I found discussion of migration policy here incredibly depressing - telling people what they want to hear not what they need. I fear the only beneficiary from believing most of this will be Nigel Farage. www.ft.com/content/7235...
ft.com
Three ways a new Labour leader could change the politics of growth
The UK needs to confront the policies that have made us poorer
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Hard to believe this type of visa is being considered again. The economic case is weak to non-existent www.telegraph.co.uk/money/invest...
telegraph.co.uk
You are seeing this page because our security systems have detected some unusual activity on this connection. To regain access to The Telegraph website please try the following:
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
Some links to my recent 3-part Lionel Robbins Lectures on Immigration Policy: Why It is Hard and How To Do It Better. Lecture 1: www.youtube.com/watch?v=AQkB...
youtube.com
Why immigration policy is hard| LSE Event
YouTube video by LSE
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
My first Lionel Robbins lecture on 'Why Immigration Policy is Hard'. 2 more to come: Monday 9th, 16th 6.30pm www.youtube.com/watch?v=AQkB...
youtube.com
Why immigration policy is hard| LSE Event
YouTube video by LSE
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
I've heard all publicity is good publicity but this is awful spin on my views. Yes, I think social care visa was a mistake but I wld not use term 'mass migration', don't think all migration is fiscally negative in the long-run. Cld go on but no more words.. www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202...
telegraph.co.uk
Access Restricted
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
I can believe rising racial abuse in NHS is a serious problem needing attention but to write an article saying declining number of new migrant healthcare workers is about declining supply without mentioning declining demand seems strange to me www.theguardian.com/society/2025...
theguardian.com
Rising racism blamed for collapse in number of foreign nurses coming to UK
Number of overseas nurses and midwives registered between April and September was half that of a year ago
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 12/11/2024
Hello and welcome to all our new followers 👋 To ensure you're getting all the best analysis and insights, we've made a starter pack of all our staff on Bluesky. Make sure to give them a follow too ⤵️ go.bsky.app/5Anuz76
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 04/12/2025
📢 Book launch this evening In his latest book, @alanmanning4.bsky.social makes the case that while immigration policy will never satisfy everyone, that doesn’t mean it can’t be done much better. Join Alan, @ruthcurtice.bsky.social & @stephenkb.bsky.social to discuss Register👉 buff.ly/0jtepcy
Advert for a book launch event hosted by the Resolution Foundation, for Alan Manning's new book 'Why Immigration Policy is Hard.'' Alan will be joined by Stephen Bush in a discussion chaired by Ruth Curtice on Thursday 4th  December, 5pm.
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Polity @politybooks.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
Immigration policy is hard, involving difficult decisions and trade-offs. But, as Alan Manning makes clear, this doesn't mean that we can't do better. 'Why Immigration Policy Is Hard' is an indispensable resource for informed debate on one of the most charged subjects in public life.
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
Shameless self-publicity. My new book "Why Immigration Policy Is Hard And How To Make It Better" is out. www.politybooks.com/bookdetail?b...
politybooks.com
Why Immigration Policy Is Hard: And How to Make It Better
Why Immigration Policy Is Hard: And How to Make It Better, Immigration policy will never satisfy everyone. It’s a stubborn fact that more people will want to move to high-income countries than residen...
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 25/11/2025
📖Book launch next week📖 In his latest book, @alanmanning4.bsky.social makes the case that while immigration policy will never satisfy everyone, that doesn’t mean it can’t be done much better. Join Alan, @ruthcurtice.bsky.social and @stephenkb.bsky.social to discuss. Register➡️ buff.ly/0jtepcy
Advert for a book launch event hosted by the Resolution Foundation, for Alan Manning's new book 'Why Immigration Policy is Hard.'' Alan will be joined by Stephen Bush in a discussion chaired by Ruth Curtice on Thursday 4th  December, 5pm.
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John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 18/11/2025
Excellent column from @stephenkb.bsky.social on what @alanmanning4.bsky.social refers to as the “infernal circle” of immigration policy www.ft.com/content/1144...
ft.com
Labour needs a way out of the infernal circle of immigration policy
Politics today is about ‘open vs closed’, but the UK government’s approach risks appeasing no one
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Oh God, What Now? – the politics podcast @ohgodwhatnow.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
NEW EPISODE Can Britain break out of migration madness? Former head of the Migration Advisory Committee Prof Alan Manning joins us to talk about the “infernal cycle” of migration policy … whether Labour really are just trying to outbid the Tories and Reform 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow... #ukpolitics
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
Lots of articles in recent weeks - including the FT - abt the public conflating immigration as a whole with asylum-seekers. But then we have headlines like this... www.ft.com/content/b9da...
ft.com
Asylum seekers to be housed in barracks as Keir Starmer seeks to tackle immigration
UK government confirms it is looking at interpretation of ECHR after prime minister carries out cabinet reshuffle
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
Yet another article about worker shortages that fails to tell us about offered pay and conditions. Please journalist - just ask. Or, failing that, look at online job ads. Its not hard. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Dairy farmers say worker shortage is threatening UK food security
The Arla cooperative says five in six farmers receive very few or zero applications for job vacancies
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Centre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
In a new blog @alanmanning4.bsky.social explains why change was needed to the "seriously flawed" social care visa route and how the government now needs to deliver on its promise to make care work a more attractive job. blogs.lse.ac.uk/poli...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Why the social care visa had to go - British Politics and Policy at LSE
Labour's immigration White Paper has proposed closing the social care visa route for workers from overseas. This was a needed change to a flawed system.
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Why the social care visa had to go. TLDR; in long-run it’s an expensive and ineffective way to hire care workers. blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
Great to finally see data like this being published. Though more data means more opportunities for cherry-picking so look out for that. www.gov.uk/government/p...
gov.uk
Sponsored Work and Family visa earnings, employment and Income Tax
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
‪Great to hear from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com ft.ft.com abt what happened to the UK truck driver shortage. Short-run: higher pay helped a lot. Medium-run: still structural issues making it hard to offer competitive pay and conditions. www.ft.com/content/f320...
ft.com
Whatever happened to the great truck driver shortage?
The underlying problems behind the crisis have not yet been resolved
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Mathias Fjællegaard Jensen @fjaellegaard.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
1/ 🚨 New paper! 🚨 How do the economic trajectories of children of immigrants vary across 15 high-income countries? We study intergenerational mobility of immigrants, using individual-level linked parent-child data across Europe, North America, and beyond. 🧵👇 #EconSky
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Latest paper on comparing intergenerational mobility of the kids of migrants with kids of locals in 15 countries. It has a very long author list so I feel like a real scientist at last. www.iza.org/publications...
docs.iza.org
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
Good to see this happening. Important to have right not rushed decision. And that the labour market in social care is part of remit as current model doesn’t work. Lab mkt wasn’t really in Dilnot report as not part of their commission www.theguardian.com/society/2025...
theguardian.com
Cross-party talks on adult social care reform in England to start next month
Wes Streeting hit back at claims that Casey commission would take too long to act, saying ‘it’s reporting next year’
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
New discussion paper with @tessahall.bsky.social on immigration and productivity. TLDR; Evidence consistent with view nothing especially good (or bad) about migrants; they are only human cep.lse.ac.uk/_NEW/PUBLICA...
cep.lse.ac.uk
Only human? Immigration and firm productivity in Britain
This paper estimates the impact of migration on productivity by estimating production functions for British firms. We find that much of the apparent higher productivity of migrants is the result of sorting across areas, industries, and firms. If we include firm fixed effects, the estimated productivity advantage of migrants over locals is not significantly different from zero. One possible interpretation of our results is that migrants and locals with similar skills are equally productive; there is nothing distinctive about migrants. However, since productivity estimates are imprecise after controlling for firm fixed effects, we also can't reject the hypothesis that migrants and locals differ in their productivity.
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Good col from @sarahoconnorft.bsky.social. I think a lot of motivated reasoning on immig. Too many commentators start from view immig is good (or bad), then use any argument that comes to mind to make preferred case without bothering much about intellectual inconsistency www.ft.com/content/2bb6...
ft.com
Economists need to get their story straight on immigration
Focusing on the impact on the wages or employment levels of native workers is too narrow
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 25/10/2024
I think this might be the first sighting of the word monopsony in the Guardian. Though it’s in inverted commas so some way still to acceptance. amp.theguardian.com/sport/2024/o...
amp.theguardian.com
Explained: why the UFC is set to pay $260m to fighters after a decade-long lawsuit | UFC | The Guardian
A judge has granted preliminary approval for a settlement between the MMA promotion and fighters who claim they were underpaid. Here’s what happened
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Centre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 18/10/2024
“There is legitimate concern that zero-hours contracts are used to shift risk from employers onto lower-paid workers” @alanmanning4.bsky.social in CentrePiece magazine: cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/d...
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
Separate Scottish visa a bad idea unless v small pilot for remote areas. If scotland has demographic problem its long-term. Temporarily increasing population doesnt solve it. Migrants on a visa like this are likely to leave when they can. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
UK government not considering Scottish visa to attract migrants - BBC News
Sir Keir Starmer has been urged to transfer powers to the Scottish government to help address labour shortages.
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
Perhaps this won't go quite as viral as an exploding cow but Rethink Immigration is on at 4pm today on Radio 4, where I'm joined by the dream team of @sundersays.bsky.social, Rob Colvile, Madeleine Sumption and @alanmanning4.bsky.social. www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m...
bbc.co.uk
BBC Sounds - Rethink, Rethink... immigration
Is the UK more divided than ever over immigration, or are there areas of consensus?
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Anand Menon @anandmenon.bsky.social · 04/10/2024
I wrote quite a personal piece about racism now and racism then. Have a read…. www.tortoisemedia.com/2024/10/04/a...
tortoisemedia.com
Anand Menon on racism: the UK has made progress, but this year's riots show there's a long way to go - Tortoise
One of Britain's leading public intellectuals reflects on how racism – and his experience of it – has changed over the last 50 years
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 30/09/2024
Not sure I get the economics of HO Impact Assessment on cost to business of higher salary thresholds on work visas. Seems to be mostly transfers from profits to migrant workers (who are now residents) which gets scored as big cost. Perhaps I'm missing something; help! www.ft.com/content/e2df...
ft.com
Overseas student and worker curbs will cost UK business £40bn, say official estimates
Home Office assessments come as new Labour government presses ahead with curbs on immigration
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 20/09/2024
Robert Jenrick offers "concrete cap" on net migration. Can have caps on immigration (at least managed part) but absent controls on emigration cannot have cap, concrete or otherwise, on net migration www.ft.com/content/5d26...
ft.com
Robert Jenrick accuses UK Treasury of ‘gaslighting’ over benefits of migration
Tory leadership frontrunner says GDP figures ‘juiced up’ by arrivals
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 17/09/2024
No great secrets here. Similar episodes have always ended with agreements, often a bit dodgy, with countries of departure. Offshore processing has been tried a few times, never worked even in australia where its agreement with indonesia which did trick www.theguardian.com/world/2024/s...
theguardian.com
How has Italy sought to cut irregular migration and could UK copy the policy?
Tunisia and Libya deals appear to have reduced small-boat crossings under Giorgia Meloni’s hard-right government
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 16/09/2024
Understand why you might think this a terrible decision. But wish article wld mention the uncomfortable trade-offs here. 59 year old with adult dependent may have big long- term fiscal cost tho details matter. All countries wrestling with this trade-off www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024...
theguardian.com
Valued GP ‘will be forced to leave UK’ after autistic daughter refused visa
London-based doctor Tajwer Siddiqui says Home Office rules are separating him from his wife and Alina, 19
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 10/09/2024
Update to earlier work with Madeleine Sumption and Tessa Hall on projecting UK net migration. Will fall this year but not as much as earlier estimates as work visas still high and more students staying on . The crystal ball picture is appropriate migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/re...
migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk
Why are the latest net migration figures not a reliable guide to future trends? - Migration Observatory
This report examines how different types of immigration contribute to net migration in the long term, and what levels of net migration the UK might expect in coming years.
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Alan Manning @alanmanning4.bsky.social · 08/09/2024
This doesnt stand much scrutiny. Of 4 big liberalistations - HK,UKR,students, social care - only last cld be argued to be Brexit connected and numbers of migrants in social care far exceeded any loss of EU workers. Arguably more connected to austerity though. www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...
independent.co.uk
Tony Blair: ‘Brexit failed – and it triggered mass immigration’
Exclusive interview: Former prime minister lambasts Boris Johnson for promising to ‘take back control’ of migration but instead ‘replacing young Europeans with older immigrants from Africa and Asia’ –...
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