Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 30mI think this is right, also the closeness meant that the ambiguity of Leave was a structural weakness as any specific version might easily have lost against the status quo. With 60:40 you can be more confident that that means a majority for most of them 040
Reposted by Adam DrummondSteve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 09/10/2026NEW: What happened in Holborn? Some constituency polling to help us understand a bit more. TLDR: loyalty to Burnham + a local candidate won the day; no real sign of tactical voting; Greens never convinced ppl they could win but Polanski not toxic necessarily. @persuasionuk.bsky.social 34019
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 09/10/2026UKICE has been such a valuable resource so very much hope it continues in some form 000
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Hard to know, someone check that letter the King's private secretary wrote to the Times in 1950 030
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Great thread but I think this last bit is so true 020
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Any time you think "it's the only place with space to sit, maybe Joe and the Juice won't be that bad?" Stop. That's a mistake. It's always a mistake 030
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Love that film and I've been loving this series. The one on Things To Come summed up exactly why watching it was such a strange experience 110
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 07/10/2026I think it looks pretty good? Like not "something I would spend money" good on but "one of the stable of cars you have in Cyberpunk 2077" good? 010
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 05/10/2026For some reason (I was very young, silly) I bought the whole first season on Apple because I had a long flight coming up and my god it is mostly trash 060
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 04/10/2026I think for Hegseth there's an outside chance of it succeeding, decent number of GOP senators hate him and it allows Trump to blame the whole Iran debacle on him as well 210
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 03/10/2026I think now that circulations have collapsed it's harder to do this but I would love to poll readers of various papers to see if they're even cognisant of the daily/Sunday difference 020
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 02/10/2026To be clear: I have no idea whether the Greens can take the seat but that's a massive number of voters! 130
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 02/10/2026I love this so much, "if we persuade just one in three", not even all of them! Just one in three! 390
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 01/10/2026"Could go either way" whenever someone mistypes/speaks one word for another. I blame some throwaway line in the West Wing about stronger vs stranger 001
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Conan just seems like such a decent guy, I came for the Walker Texas Ranger lever but his career is full of nice things like this youtu.be/tV7NC0DGgVg?...youtu.beConan Says Thank You To David Letterman | CONAN on TBSYouTube video by Team Coco 000
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 30/09/2026Agree. Most polling about the triple lock until now is "why would you want to take stuff away from poor pensioners?" as a knee-jerk response on a topic voters don't think about much. It's possible now that the info environment changes so at least *some* people will have heard a case for changing it 032
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Again, no idea which way it goes but always remember that most people don't care about most issues and poll responses are typically fairly knee-jerk 100
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 29/09/2026Usually polling about the triple lock is pretty ironclad because it's based on the info in the question text. But now you have lots of "what is the triple lock?" and "why is he talking about social care?" articles, people talking about it on TV .. 100
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 29/09/2026No idea what the impact will actually be but I suspect we're about to see an example in polling of when a low salience topic becomes a high salience one. 210
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 28/09/2026David Tennant is *terrifying* in that, great choice 110
Reposted by Adam DrummondWill Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Three in five people will not vote based on free speech at the next election. 🤦♂️ 1715016
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 27/09/2026The Snowman with Michael Fassbender but with lightsabers 000
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 26/09/2026I, naively, hoped that this is what the "in the service of working people" rhetoric was about but ah well 040
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Gosh this is actually a pretty reasonable list to be honest 230
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 26/09/2026My main takeaway from this (apart from how few I recognise) is how many MPs have a photo that made me think "really? That's the one you chose?" 180
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Imagine being able to tell the Andy Burnham in Gordon Brown's cabinet "don't worry if you can't block it now, in 18 years you'll be prime minister and the thing still won't have fucking happened" 080
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Back when I used to listen you'd always have to skip the first 10 minutes of stand up before the interview started. 041
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 24/09/2026#Politicle: 24/09/2026 🟩⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛ Gonna quit now with this perfect recordpolitics.co.ukGuess the MP! Politicle - Politics.co.ukCan you guess today's mystery MP? The game for Political obsessives. From Politics.co.uk. New Politicle Puzzle Every Day. 042
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Alternative: it kicks in when you're ~25 years out from retirement. So like most millennials I'm safe until about 50 040
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Ah flashbacks to Andy Burnham and "posh coffee" as if Manchester in (checks notes) 2017 didn't have Pret 140
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Also, and without any malice here, coverage for what exactly? 130
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 19/09/2026Obviously a typo but bloody hell that show took a dark turn 3130
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 15/09/2026The thing that brought this home to me was the sheer number of links to old websites that are just dead 4879
Reposted by Adam DrummondGregory Norminton @gregorynorminton.bsky.social · 13/09/2026Yet another begging bowl email from the Labour Party this morning. ‘There is no pretending about the scale of what we’re up against.’ If only you guys had a massive majority in Parliament and could pass legislation to protect our democracy from ‘what we’re up against’. 1732286
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Lightsaber fight at the end is pretty excellent too. It's mainly that the sequels are so terrible, even Force Awakens being technically proficient is retrospectively ruined by how criminally stupid Episodes 8 and 9 are 000
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 12/09/2026Weird changes since my childhood: the transformation of Phantom Menace from "the worst mainline Star Wars film" to "the 7th worst out of 12" 151
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 05/09/2026*I* think that, I'm just saying that it's a mistake (that many made after 2024) to think that people disliking illegal immigration means that they sympathise with violent disorder 110
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Exactly. Fairplay to Mike Tapp at least, much better response than the Reform councillor 110
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Helpful reminder that the vast majority of middle England home-owning "Con15/15/19" voters who think immigration is too high will also see these guys as thugs and their anger at the state response will likely be at how slow and ineffective it is. 1017854
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Random selections from the British Election Study 110
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 04/09/2026God I hope there isn't a BPC meeting because of this, my robes are still with the dry cleaners 390
Adam Drummond @adamdrummond.bsky.social · 03/09/2026The only way it could be funnier is if Seb Payne was somehow involved 1160