iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Antoine

Anna Pérez Català @annaperezcatala.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

Just co-wrote a blog on what’s at stake in the Bonn 2025 climate talks 🌍 We dig into: – Trust-building in multilateral climate talks – What to watch on GGA, JTWP & GST – How Brazil could shape a new phase of the Paris Agreement Read here at @iddri.bsky.social ➡️ www.iddri.org/en/publicati...

iddri.org

Bonn 2025 climate talks: Brazil’s first diplomatic test ahead of COP30

What should happen at the Bonn climate negotiations (15-26 June) to ensure COP30 becomes a major inflection point in the UN climate process? As Brazil is preparing to host COP30 in Belém (10-21 Novem...

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Monica DiLeo @monicadileo.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

New (open access!) paper out now with Eric Helleiner and Hongying Wang in New Political Economy: "A less reluctant (green) Atlas? Explaining the People’s Bank of China’s distinctive environmental shift" 1/ A brief thread 🧵 doi.org/10.1080/1356...

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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 19/05/2025

From @nature.com: New research shows that with every increment of global warming, the number of people facing unprecedented lifetime exposure to crop failures, droughts, floods, wildfires, and cyclones increases sharply. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

nature.com

Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes - Nature

Climate models, impact models and demographic data are used to estimate the number of people projected to experience unprecedented lifetime exposure to extreme climate events across multiple dimension...

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Christophe Cassou @cassouman40.bsky.social · 02/05/2025

+7° en moyenne ce 2 Mai 2025 sur la France p/r au climat de référence [1971-2000], climax d'une séquence annuelle sans équivoque (Cf👇). L'été de mon enfance est le printemps de ma vie d'adulte. Ça va vite, trop vite pour le non-humain qui ne pourra pas s'adapter & nous avec. Quelle irresponsabilité!

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Jens van 't Klooster 💸💸💸 @jvtk.bsky.social · 12/03/2025

📚✨ New paper alert: How are we doing on turning nature into a source of calculable risk? We take a critical look at how 1990s risk models and environmental science enable riskification, and study very new regulatory strategies that go beyond it. #openaccess: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de renvoyer vers ce fil, si ça peut être utile ! bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de renvoyer vers ce fil, si ça peut être utile ! bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de renvoyer vers ce fil, si ça peut être utile ! bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de renvoyer vers ce poste, si ça peut être utile ! bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de vous renvoyer vers ce post, si ça peut être utile ! bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Je me permets de renvoyer vers ce post, si ça peut être utile ! Le PNACC n'implique pas d'abandonner l'Accord de Paris bsky.app/profile/abak...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Cela étant dit, la réduction des GES doit rester l'objectif principal - chaque dixième de degré compte -, et l'adaptation ne peut être qu'un complément aux efforts d'atténuation: on s'adapte mieux à un monde à +2 que +4...

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Donc, sans me prononcer sur son fond, le PNACC n'implique pas que la France renonce à l'accord de Paris en commençant à se préparer à un scénario catastrophe RCP7.5 (+4° mondial), mais que l'on se prépare à un scénario probable selon les tendances actuelles

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Et ce serait sans doute assez malhonnête de construire un PNACC sur la base d'un scénario +1,5° qui sous-estime les impacts à venir du changement climatique - à l'inverse, le plan permet de montrer l'ampleur des efforts à accomplir si l'on ne parvient pas à réduire la trajectoire de réchauffement

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

J'ai l'impression qu'il y a une petite confusion sur bsky quant à ce scénario +4°C en France: il s'agit bien de la déclinaison nationale du scénario SSP2-RCP4.5 du GIEC (soit +2,7 d'ici 2100 au niveau mondial), càd un scénario où l'on poursuit nos politiques actuelles au niveau mondial.

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

And type 1 is already reacting. Merz' declarations of course (although maybe at the frontier of type 1/2), but also D de Villepin topping French opinion polls for the first time in twenty years - IR framing national discourse again, for better or worse

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Overheard at an OECD social event: "the class system is a market failure"

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Jens van 't Klooster 💸💸💸 @jvtk.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

The failure of euro internationalizing is baffling. We show that the euro is used in just 31% of FX transactions—barely more than the D-mark before the euro launched. Even European firms often prefer to trade in dollars.

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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 10/02/2025

You can ignore climate change. The political system can ignore climate change. But the insurance industry cannot ignore climate change.

nytimes.com

Opinion | That Giant Sucking Sound? It’s Climate Change Devouring Your Home’s Value.

A new analysis predicts an extraordinary reversal in housing fortunes for Americans.

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Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

There we go. Executive order coming. Trump administration will conduct a 6-month review of US participation in global institutions, including the IMF and World Bank - to see if they are „contrary to the interests of the US" or "can be reformed". Project 2025 called for the US to pull out. 1/2

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

As a disclaimer, we used phase IV of NGFS Scenarios for this article. The macroecon results under the updated assumptions of phase V (now based on Kotz et al's damage function) would increase even further the cost differential between current policies and NZ 2050. www.ngfs.net/en/press-rel... 9/9

ngfs.net

NGFS publishes latest long-term climate macro-financial scenarios for climate risks assessment | Network for Greening the Financial System

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

For more details and information: 👉 Read the article and the full publication here: mnb.hu/letoltes/mnb... 👉 Read more about the NGFS Scenarios: www.ngfs.net/ngfs-scenari... (8/9)

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

➡️ Political headwinds are increasing, but the economic rationale for the transition is stronger than ever - in Europe, Asia, and across the globe. NGFS Scenarios show that a #netzero future is within reach (for now..), but will require strong action from govs worldwide. 7/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

...countries pursuing ambitious climate policies often benefit from increased public investment and strengthened GDP. In contrast, inaction leads to escalating physical risks and long-term economic losses. 6/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

💡 The #transition makes (macro)economic sense Building on the previous findings, the NGFS Scenarios then allowed us to estimate potential macroeconomic impacts of the transition in Europe and Asia. While all scenarios show GDP losses due to climate change, we find that... 5/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

to reach net zero by 2050. For Asia, coal would drop from 50% of the energy mix in 2020 to <1% by 2050. Solar and wind would replace high-emission sources and grow to respectively 39% and 15% of the energy mix. 4/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

⚡Transforming the #energy mix With the majority of emissions induced by energy consumption, any transition scenario requires significant changes in the energy sector. Using the shadow carbon prices, the models help us identify feasible and optimised primary energy mixes that allow economies... 3/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

📈 #Carbon pricing matters Policies that change the relative cost of energy sources will be necessary to reach climate goals. According to NGFS models, under a NetZero 2050 scenario, shadow carbon prices in the EU could reach $875/t CO₂ by 2050, compared to just $20/t CO₂ under current policies. 2/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

🌏Looking East: What can European and Asian economies learn from NGFS #Climate Scenarios? A few findings from an article that P. Champey and I wrote for MNB's "Eurasianomics", in which we explore implication of #NGFS Scenarios (Current policies and Net Zero 2050) for the transition in Eurasia.⬇️ 🧵1/9

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Debates seem to focus on MDBs' role for transition and dev finance, but the potential of national dev banks should not be underestimated: MDB assets = 2% of G20's GDP, while assets of G20 NDBs = 24%. With FiCS coming up, a few avenues worth exploring to unlock NDB finance in IAG's latest release⬇️

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Antoine @abakewell.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

great graph - would you happen to have a link to the source material? thanks!

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Dario Perkins @darioperkins.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

BoE published this today on CB staffing levels 🤔

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Pierre Charbonnier @picharbonnier.bsky.social · 04/12/2024

Au milieu de la tempête parlementaire qu'apporte la censure, le constat posé cet été est toujours valable : il y a une majorité verte. La transition doit être le référentiel de stabilité, de prospérité et de sécurité. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2024/07/1...

legrandcontinent.eu

Il y a une majorité verte | Le Grand Continent

Peu l’ont remarqué. Mais les législatives ont bien fait émerger une majorité absolue. Comment organiser « la nouvelle coalition écologique » ? Voici comment.

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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 23/11/2024

How does "urge" compare with "invite" or "request"? Is "welcome" warmer than "note"? (Yes, obvs!) Here's your complete guide to verbs in UNFCCC text:

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