Jason Gorman @jasongorman.bsky.social · 28/07/2026There isn't a shred of hard evidence for any dev team getting 10x, 5x or even just 2x productivity using AI. 4731151
Greg Munt @gregmunt.com · 28/07/2026Before we measure productivity, we should define it. A lot of the time, different people have different definitions - sometimes in the same organisation. Often, such differences will align with the goals of their role. 141
Pobol Pobotrol @pobotrol.bsky.social · 28/07/2026As a QA trying to keep up with them, I disagree! 271
NullHedge BongFella @nullhedge.bsky.social · 28/07/2026There isn't a shred of evidence for anyone getting 1.01x productivety from using AI, one you include the cost of..you know...using AI. 000
Sadnehs @sadnehs.bsky.social · 28/07/2026You forget, when they fire half the dev team, the other half 2x's their productivity by working 40 extra unpaid hours every week. 020
Greg Detre @gregdetre.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Our team of 4 wrote Rebel from scratch in a few months - would have taken us many years. www.mindstone.com/rebel Fair source, so look at the code if you don't believe me: github.com/mindstone/re... Ardent users, high on Product Hunt. 10-20x AI-coding boost.mindstone.comMindstone Rebel: Make any AI effective across teamsRebel makes any AI effective in your business from Day 1. Connect your tools, context, and processes and transform how work gets done. 011
Denis @tooroot.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Wait until it has to have a little tweak and it goes horribly wrong. 000
perelin @p3r3lin.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Microsoft recently gave it a x1.24 on average, based on merged PRs arxiv.org/pdf/2607.01418 (BUT top/bottom 5% are trimmed, so...)arxiv.org 130
I'm That ANTIFA Holly @imthatholly.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Now I see your post! Just after updating VS2022, last time I did was in 2024, so now on latest release and seeing this, which maybe was there, but more hidden!!!😂 At least my project builds and runs. That's always the concern with a two year lapse since last updating. 000
Pamelia Valentine @mommymouse007.bsky.social · 28/07/2026AI ISN'T creative, innovative or competitive. It doesn't care where it is in ranking to other companies or countries. AI has been trained to find & adapt information as the human who's feeding it, desires. I've a friend who changes ALL pics into "fancy" 4 entertainment. That's it. Entertainment. 000
David Cornelson @david-cornelson.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Dude. I just built a new programming language in two weeks. sharpee.net github.com/ChicagoDave/... sharpee.plover.net I have reams of evidence, but it’s not from raw llm code generation. You need an engineering harness to get results. Mine is in my profile. 030
cirroccojones.bsky.social @cirroccojones.bsky.social · 28/07/2026AI doesn't exist. There's no such thing as a sentient computer. Don't trust so-called AI to do anything important. The only thing I've heard someone say it's good at is reverse engineering drivers for devices and I don't know if that's even true. 000
Mascot @mascot68.bsky.social · 28/07/2026I figure reality will be a more nuanced: everywhere between a huge drop, to a huge win, depending on use case and how it's applied. My personal rule of thumb, that I tell my bosses, is more or less "maybe 20% is a realistic potential gain, probably not worth the token cost". 000
Rambler @ramblingfool.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Quite a few stories of Co's having to re employ the human teams they binned when they first went all in on AI, seems you can't trust the results, and it needs human oversight 🤯 000
Nyx Cipher @shadowops.bsky.social · 29/07/2026So glad I quit the coding shitshow years ago, already scrum meetings up the wazoo attended by people copying and pasting dodgy code off stack overflow.. everything was *ruby* but the jr guys had never mastered the basics so you always got bloated crap that had more holes than cheese 010
a-lebedev.bsky.social @a-lebedev.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Have you tried asking their marketing department? 001
OCB1640 @ocb1640.bsky.social · 28/07/2026My brother has been a dev since the mid 1980s. He was able to do in 3 days what previously took him 30. Delivered into Production, including testing & documentation. That’s literally 10x from a very senior dev. Sure, lesser experienced devs will get less, but don’t kid yourself - it’s real. 150
Kris Lipscombe @btnkris.bsky.social · 28/07/2026I'd say maybe 1.25x for me personally, just because it's really good at writing the test cases for unit tests. 150
Swizec Teller @swizec.com · 28/07/2026We'd probably have to be a 2x or 3x larger engineering org to get as much done as fast as we are right now we're also still hiring more there's so much to do 040
TekNeex @tekneex.social · 29/07/2026There is definitely an abundance of hard evidence that now I can take mid-day naps with no *reduction* in productivity, tho 😉 As has always been the case—and will always be the case—my “productivity” has a direct correlation to my “compensation”, regardless of which tools I have available. 010
. @spicytech.bsky.social · 28/07/2026I did two weeks worth of work in less than one minute using ChatGPT 5.5. Just sayin' 000
Muugin @muugin.bsky.social · 28/07/2026How can that be true? I receive so much fucking spam and bot calls now? Big gains in the annoying the shit out of you with scams industry. 1151
rdsf138.bsky.social @rdsf138.bsky.social · 28/07/2026 And how could anyone ever produce such "evidence"? Productivity cannot be measured in absolute numbers. The premise makes no sense to begin with. 101
A.K.B. @picalily.bsky.social · 28/07/2026I know for a fact AI has made development 2x slower for our team. 0100
Old Midgge @pyronsanity.bsky.social · 28/07/2026There’s a 100% increase in the amount of time it takes to explain to potential customers that their low res AI generated logo/flyer that they got for “free” is gonna look like shit at 100% scale.static.klipy.comLogo Designer on Colors, Fonts, LogoAlt: Logo Designer on Colors, Fonts, Logo 120
Nick @smplfi.bsky.social · 28/07/2026In my experience, AI can be helpful both as a learning tool and for automating away some tedious work, but productivity gain claims are ridiculous. The only way you’re gaining significant productivity is by passing work onto someone else. Someone has to take responsibility for the code. 1140
Brainiac Kim 🇨🇦 @brainiackim.bsky.social · 29/07/2026I had paralegals complained that it spat out wildly inaccurate - opposite - outcome/analysis of the files. Which they still had to review manually anyways, 2x the work & 4x the frustration. AI can't do thinking work, which humans can. That's why education is expensive for the specialized training 020
Brainiac Kim 🇨🇦 @brainiackim.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Nope, yet employers are demanding it be used for work 010
Kit Fox @foxfirekit.bsky.social · 28/07/2026It's improved development speed on my team, which would be great if we didn't spend all that extra time in meetings to explain to the nonexperts why the code they produced is slop and their prompts don't even make sense and could they please stay in their lane. 030
Consumed @consumed.bsky.social · 28/07/2026At this one MSP in the US, substandard network engineers used it to configure firewalls and network equipment for businesses and medical facilities. It became their new way to increase productivity. Security violations and hipaa and cmmc. Even using the same passwords across clients. 1100
Headcrab Thanksgiving @nicktatorship.bsky.social · 28/07/2026It's more like 1000x, so long as your starting productivity is zero 010
Mr. Pisano @seanpisano.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Well neither does anything else? SAS has been a train wreak. I no longer build websites, I manage connections between Salesforce, WordPress and HubSpot. 080
SNAFU CatsYax @katzyax.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Yes. Who or what does quality control? We'd have human end-users help with that. 000
Spademashie @spademashie.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Pretty much the case for every IT hype cycle in the last 40 years. The hypers take the money and run, 5 years later there are some reasonably mature products on the market. Then the next hype cycle begins.. It's almost like it's predictable 070
Chris McKee @chrismckee.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Those multipliers are just their github bill with copilot 001
ShadowDrakken @shadowdrakken.bsky.social · 28/07/2026On the contrary, the studies show a 19% DROP in productivity 2200
🐆National Chair, Leopards Eating People's Faces Party 🐆 @algocompsynth.bsky.social · 29/07/2026To be fair, there has *never* been *any* falsifiable scientific method for quantifying developer productivity, in the same sense that economists *can* define and measure the productivity of a business or economy. 000
Itcanonlygoodhappen Smallberries @uhoser.bsky.social · 28/07/2026it's nothing but technical debt all the way down 000
Casey Brant @basecase.bsky.social · 28/07/2026It has 5x’d me in terms of getting grouchy while doing code reviews. 0320
Bitey @jsherman999.bsky.social · 28/07/2026You have to admit this attitude is changing fast though. The 19% drop was the METR study using 2025 models and coders new to the harnesses. (published July 10, 2025: "Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI") What's your take on Torvald's recent take? 230
Cory Tusar @corytusar.bsky.social · 28/07/2026The greatest trick the Devil ever played was rebranding linear algebra as "artificial intelligence". 🙄 0101
