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Cornelius Erfort

@cornelius-erfort.bsky.social
349 followers 284 following 22 posts

PostDoc in Witten. Political behavior and quant methods ­-- corneliuserfort.de

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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PhD position? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @markuskollberg.bsky.social in #STATEWORK at Humboldt University and join our @dynamics.bsky.social PhD programme Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 13 October 2026
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zweitstimme.org @zweitstimme.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Unsere Prognosen für die drei Landtagswahlen im September sind ab sofort online. In Sachsen-Anhalt liegt die AfD in Umfragen bei über 40 Prozent — aber reicht es für eine absolute Mehrheit der Sitze? Die klassische Sonntagsfrage kann diese Frage nicht beantworten.
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PostDoc? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social, @macartan.bsky.social and Johannes Giesecke at Humboldt University, @scripts-berlin.eu and @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 15 August 2026
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Korinna Lindemann @korinlind.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
📢 Job Ad: I am looking for one doctoral researcher (75%) in my newly funded DFG project on misperceptions and factual information on immigration from 1.10. or soon after! 📌 Location: MZES, University of Mannheim 💢 Application Deadline: 21st of July
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DYNAMICS_PhD @dynamics.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
Research by day, networking by night! Great to see many of our PhD Researchers and Alumni presenting their work at the first Annual Conference of the European Political Science Society in Belfast. We are proud of the ideas they shared and the conversations that continued after the panels ended.
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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
On my way to the inaugural @epssnet.bsky.social conference in Belfast. I'm very much looking forward to presenting two papers! Paper I on party strategies in contested liberal democracies: 13:30-15:10, 20 June, Lagan B (Hilton)
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Markus Kollberg @markuskollberg.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
Genau 100 Tage vor der Wahl in Sachsen-Anhalt diskutieren wir @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social die Herausforderungen & Chancen für Volksparteien im Wahljahr 2026. Freitag, 29. Mai 2026 - 14:00-16:00, Senatssaal @humboldtuni.bsky.social Jetzt noch anmelden unter: umfrage.hu-berlin.de/index.php/22...
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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
🚨 Stellenausschreibung 🚨 Promotionsstelle zu Parteien in ländlich-peripheren Räumen (4 Jahre, 75 %) Das Projekt verbindet qualitative Interviews, die Analyse lokaler Parteistrukturen und Inhaltsanalysen von Wahlprogrammen. 🗓️ Bewerbungsschluss: 31.05.2026 www.uni-greifswald.de/universitaet...
uni-greifswald.de
Wissenschaftliche*r Mitarbeiter*in - Allgemeine Betriebswirtschaftslehre und Gesundheitsmanagement 26/Op09
Stellenausschreibung Allgemeine Betriebswirtschaftslehre
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Sebastian Ramirez-Ruiz @seramirezruiz.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Our paper is out in Nature Human Behaviour! @rsenninger.bsky.social and I asked a simple, underexplored, question: when governments write policy documents, whose knowledge do they actually cite? 👉 rdcu.be/fhngy 🔓 seramirezruiz.github.io/papers/ramir... DOI: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 🧵👇
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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
Thrilled to have contributed to the 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change We (w/Cornelius Erfort) collected over 500k party press releases and used LLMs to document party engagement with climate and public health across Europe www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
thelancet.com
The 2026 Europe report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: narrowing window for decisive health action
This third iteration of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change in Europe report systematically tracks the health effects of climate change adaptation and mitigation action, economics and fi...
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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
🚨 Job alert! 🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion/IR (3 yrs) @unigreifswald.bsky.social Work on democratic resilience in times of crisis using cross-national survey data. flexible start (earliest possible) deadline: 31 May 2026 🔗 www.uni-greifswald.de/en/universit...
uni-greifswald.de
Postdoctoral Research Associate - Interdisciplinary Centre for Baltic Sea Region Research (IFZO) 26/E08
Stellenausschreibung des Interdisziplinären Forschungszentrum Ostseeraum (IFZO)
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Vincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database. - State elections update: new years + mail-in - 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European - Municipal elections: 1984-2025 - Meinungsbild public opinion - New website & features german-elections.com
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Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Glad to see this out at @epsrjournal.bsky.social! Using ESS data, Raquel Rego and I find that an anti-immigration stance is the strongest predictor of far-right sympathies among police and military personnel—similar to the general population. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Why do security forces vote for far-right parties? Evidence from Europe | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Why do security forces vote for far-right parties? Evidence from Europe
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Zach Dickson @zachdickson.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Really excited to see my final dissertation paper out 🎉 Do parties shift their issue priorities when polls decline? Looking at press releases from 68 parties in 9 countries, we find little evidence that they do.
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Thanks so much for the invitation. I really enjoyed the workshop. Big thanks to @zachdickson.bsky.social and @antvalentim.bsky.social for putting it together!
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zweitstimme.org @zweitstimme.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
🗳️ Neue Prognose: Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg (8. März) und Rheinland-Pfalz (22. März) BW: Kopf-an-Kopf CDU vs. Grüne. RP: CDU und SPD fast gleichauf. Unsere Modellvorhersage mit 5/6-Kredibilitätsintervallen und Szenario-Wahrscheinlichkeiten 👇 zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Day 1 wrapped up, excited for tomorrow 🤗
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it? Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies. 🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social 💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de 👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨 Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
epssnet.org
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Very much looking forward to presenting recent experimental findings on voters’ perceptions of election polls @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social (@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social) next week!
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Jeyhun Alizade @jeyalizade.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
Concern that immigration worsens crime problems is prevalent across Western publics. How does it shape electoral politics? Prior research asserted a growing left–right divide in immigration attitudes...
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Christina Gahn @christinagahn.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
💥 Update! 💥 This paper is now officially published in Volume 30, Issue 4 of The International Journal of Press/Politics! 🗳️ Experimental evidence that voters prefer moderately tailored messages - highly tailored ones can backfire & targeting can be too much: doi.org/10.1177/1940... #IJPP
doi.org
How Much Tailoring is too Much? Voter Backlash on Highly Tailored Campaign Messages - Christina Gahn, 2025
Findings on whether voters like or dislike targeted campaign messages have been contradictory. I argue that voters react differently depending on how precisely ...
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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵
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Elias Koch @eliaskoch.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social! 🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result. Read full 🧵 below:
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António Valentim @antvalentim.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
1/ New paper out in Electoral Studies with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social We show that nuclear power plants reduce electoral support for Green parties in Germany. 🔗 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... A thread on the paper:
sciencedirect.com
How nuclear power hurts the Greens: Evidence from German nuclear power plants
What are the electoral consequences of nuclear energy for Green parties? Despite the centrality of nuclear opposition to Green party platforms, and th…
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
📣 Call for Applications 📣 3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀 Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us! 🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 05/07/2025
The Department of Homeland Security has spend over $800k worth of ads on Facebook and Instagram clearly targeted at people with Latin American / Mexican background telling them that "if you are here illegaly we will find you and we will deport you".
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Annina Hermes @anninahermes.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday! 🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30 📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
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Frederik Thieme @frederikthieme.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Are tailored ads in political campaigns as persuasive as conventional wisdom holds? 📢 In joint work w/ @heikekluever.bsky.social we present evidence from a field experiment with the German Greens ahead of the 2024 European Elections calling this into question 🤔 #epsa2025 ⏰: Friday, 16:50 📍: 0A.10
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸 @epsanet.bsky.social‬ A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
I'm on my way to Mannheim, looking forward to talk about our forecasting project (zweitstimme.org) with @hannahrajski.bsky.social. Join us at the MZES or online 🤗
zweitstimme.org
zweitstimme.org
zweitstimme.org: Die wissenschaftliche Vorhersage zur Bundestagswahl
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
How do parties tailor their campaign ads to women? 🗳️👩 Excited to share that my paper on how parties adapt their ads is out now at @thejop.bsky.social! 📖 Read it here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... A quick breakdown of the findings ⬇️🧵
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Cornelius Erfort @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social · 16/10/2023
I’m excited to be visiting @LSEGovernment this term. Thanks @sarahobolt.bsky.social for hosting me 🙏 Come say hi for a coffee (or bubble tea) if you’re in London 🤗
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