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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam

@zurelllab.bsky.social
3.4K followers 1.1K following 61 posts

Ecology & Macroecology @unipotsdam.bsky.social: Biodiversity modelling - Global Change - Conservation. Led by Damaris Zurell (she/her). damariszurell.github.io. EiC @ecography.bsky.social

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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Journal of Avian Biology @avianbiology.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The #NSOGFÖ2026 is in full swing! A great opportunity to meet the people behind our society journals! @oikosjournal.bsky.social @nordicoikos.bsky.social @nordicjbotany.bsky.social @wildlifebiology.bsky.social @oikosjournal.bsky.social @ecography.bsky.social
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Christian Hof @christianhof.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Great and important initiative by @mark-urban.bsky.social, @zurelllab.bsky.social and many others. A global research coordination program for #biodiversity is definitely needed! www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
A global research coordination programme is urgently needed for biodiversity - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Nature Ecology & Evolution - A global research coordination programme is urgently needed for biodiversity
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Wenn Arten fliehen müssen – Vorhersagemodelle unterschätzen klimawandelbedingte Aussterberisiken When Species Are Forced to Move: Prediction Models Underestimate Climate-Related Extinction Risk www.uni-potsdam.de/de/nachricht...
uni-potsdam.de
Wenn Arten fliehen müssen – Vorhersagemodelle unterschätzen klimawandelbedingte Aussterberisiken
Medieninformation 10-07-2026 / Nr. 062
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
🎉 Congrats to Raya Keuth for new paper in @natecoevo.nature.com: IUCN Red List approaches can underestimate climate-related extinction risk for range shifting species, and we highlight opportunities to improve risk assessments. 🌍🌿 doi.org/10.1038/s415... #Ecology #ClimateChange #Biodiversity
doi.org
Models used for Red List assessments underestimate climate-related extinction risk of range-shifting species - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Climate change is a threat to many species. Here the authors show that species’ range dynamics determine the ability of correlative and process-based models to predict extinction risk under climate ch...
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Tobias Kuemmerle @tkuemmerle.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Anticipating where European bison might come into conflict with agriculture, forestry, or traffic --> new paper led by Hendrik Bluhm now out in the @jappliedecology.bsky.social 🦬🦬👉 doi.org/10.1111/1365... #Bison #Wisent #Rewilding #Megafauna #Conflict @biogeoberlin.bsky.social
Bison in Bialowieza Forest. Today around 800 wild bison survive in Bialowieza. Photo by: Lukasz Mazurek/Wild Poland.
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Andy Purvis @andypurvisnhm.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
The World Climate Research Programme @wcrpclimate.bsky.social has been aligning global research efforts towards policy needs since 1980. We suggest that an analogous organisation for #biodiversity science is needed in order to enable and support effective policy action.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
How do we ensure a globally coordinated and sustained research agenda to address the biodiversity crisis? We think it's time to explore a World Biodiversity Research Programme - a mechanism to coordinate and better connect biodiversity research with global policy needs. doi.org/10.1038/s415...
doi.org
A global research coordination programme is urgently needed for biodiversity - Nature Ecology & Evolution
Nature Ecology & Evolution - A global research coordination programme is urgently needed for biodiversity
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Back from #WBF2026 in #Davos feeling energised by discussions on how biodiversity science can better support policy and action. We had two very lively sessions organised by #EcoCode @gretabocedi.bsky.social @mark-urban.bsky.social @sjevelazco.bsky.social @geobon.org 1/n
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Valén Holle gave a fantastic talk about her PhD research on changes in vector borne disease phenology at #WBF2026 Check out preprint here: doi.org/10.64898/202... @zoe-eu.bsky.social @nadjakabisch.bsky.social
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Andy Purvis @andypurvisnhm.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Excited to be in Davos for #WBF2026! And *really* looking forward to this discussion of what to do about the lack of a biodiversity analogue of the World Climate Research Program. Please do come along and contribute - Wednesday, 12:00-13:00, in room Wisshorn! And please pass the word on 😀.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
So this has happened 👇 I joined @ecography.bsky.social as Editor-in-Chief together with @cnmeynard.bsky.social and Dominique Gravel as we are transitioning to shared leadership. Feels like coming home: this is were I published first and frequently since. nso-journals.org/all-news/new...
nso-journals.org
New senior board for Ecography — NSO Journals
We are excited to share a couple of updates to the journal’s editorial structure and board. These are meant to further strengthen what Ecography already does best while ensuring both continuity and re...
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Nature Ecology & Evolution @natecoevo.nature.com · 31/03/2026
The spread of non-native species is likely to be compounded by climate change and land-use. Here the authors assess the potential distribution of 9,701 naturalized non-native plant species at a 10×10km resolution & project shifts under 2 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
The global geography of plant invasion risk under future climate and land-use changes - Nature Ecology & Evolution
The spread of non-native species is likely to be compounded by further climate change and land-use intensification. Here the authors assess the potential distribution of 9,701 naturalized non-native p...
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
iDiv Biodiversity Research @idiv-research.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
High‑resolution global maps revealing the expansion risk of thousands of non-native plant species under today’s conditions and future climate and land‑use scenarios have been produced for the first time. 🗺️ @natecoevo.nature.com @univie.ac.at @smartenwinter.bsky.social www.idiv.de/global-model...
idiv.de
Models project future global shifts in non‑native plant expansions
Calculations show that expansion patterns could move from subtropical regions into temperate zones, accompanied by substantial changes in species composition.
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Greta Bocedi @gretabocedi.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
1/🧵 📢New Release: #RangeShifter 3.0📢 — available for both the batch interface and #RangeShiftR. RangeShifter is a spatially explicit, individual-based simulation platform for #modelling species’ range dynamics, dispersal, and #eco-evolutionary processes across landscapes.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
📄New paper: Could Netflix-style algorithms predict #plant communities? 🌿 Recommender systems can fill gaps in #CitizenScience data, capture co-occurrence at scale, and boost species predictions. 🔗 doi.org/10.1002/ecm.... @wsl-dme.bsky.social #Ecology #Biodiversity #MachineLearning #SDM
doi.org
Using recommender systems to analyze and predict plant communities from partial assemblages
Safeguarding biodiversity requires a detailed understanding of the biosphere, especially regarding the distribution and state of habitats. Citizen science data offer a rich source of useful informati...
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
New paper 🐦 Multi-trait syndromes explain dispersal among close relatives, but simple traits (e.g. body mass) better predict across species. A case for simpler, mechanistic ecology. doi.org/10.1038/s420... Big shout out to @gfandos.bsky.social 🎉 #Ecology #Evolution #Traits #Dispersal #Birds
doi.org
Simple mechanistic traits outperform complex syndromes in predicting avian dispersal distances - Communications Biology
An analysis using European continent-wide empirical data shows that single mechanistic traits predict avian dispersal better than complex syndromes. Body mass and life history dominate median dispersa...
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Nature Reviews Biodiversity @natrevbiodiv.nature.com · 19/03/2026
Our March issue is out! www.nature.com/nrbd/volumes... Key topics: 💧Extreme events and river biodiversity (@jdtonkin.bsky.social) 🌇Urban eco-evolutionary dynamics (@kmwinchell.bsky.social) 🦋Butterflies and moths (Akito Kawahara) 📊Biodiversity model intercomparisons (@zurelllab.bsky.social) 🧪🌎
nature.com
Nature Reviews Biodiversity - Volume 2 Issue 3, March 2026
River ecosystems are experiencing increased heat, drought, and other extreme events, with a range of consequences for biodiversity; inspired by the Review...
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Successful first sDiv workshop "sModelProBio - Modelling the way forward for protecting biodiversity during climate change" Pushing forward biodiversity model intercomparison, with focus on process-based models at regional scales. Excited for the collaborations ahead! 🌍🌱 @idiv-research.bsky.social
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Why biodiversity science needs its own model intercomparison projects 👇. Lessons from climate science, applied to biodiversity & policy. 🌍🧬 by @geobon.org #EcoCode team @mark-urban.bsky.social @gretabocedi.bsky.social @sjevelazco.bsky.social
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Nature Reviews Biodiversity @natrevbiodiv.nature.com · 06/02/2026
New online! Biodiversity science and policy need more model intercomparisons
dlvr.it
Biodiversity science and policy need more model intercomparisons
Nature Reviews Biodiversity, Published online: 06 February 2026; doi:10.1038/s44358-026-00134-4Climate model intercomparison projects have been essential in identifying mechanisms of human-caused climate change, but similar efforts in biodiversity science have lagged behind. This Perspective discusses existing biodiversity model intercomparison projects and identifies opportunities for their advancement in the future.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Thrilled to see the first #PhD chapter by @annaroennfeldt.bsky.social published in @natcomms.nature.com. This multi-region comparison shows that lack of #niche conservatism in #non-native #plants might be transient and potentially linked to dispersal limitations. doi.org/10.1038/s414...
doi.org
Client Challenge
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Christian Hof @christianhof.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Amazing talk at #TIBS2026 by @katschiff.bsky.social from @zurelllab.bsky.social on the drivers of bird occupancy trends in North America. Climate change appears to be more important than land-use change, at least for the last 30years.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Without forward-looking models, biodiversity policy risks missing the road to recovery. Our new PNAS article calls for predictive tools and a World Biodiversity Research Programme to guide global action. 👉 doi.org/10.1073/pnas... #Biodiversity #Conservation #PredictiveModels #PNAS
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
Biodiversity policy needs to look forward, not just backward. 🌍 Our new PNAS piece argues that predictive models - like those used in climate science - are key to guiding effective conservation decisions. doi.org/10.1073/pnas... #Biodiversity #Conservation #PNAS (1/2)
doi.org
Predicting the way forward for the Global Biodiversity Framework | PNAS
Predicting the way forward for the Global Biodiversity Framework
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
How reliable are model-based blacklists of invasive plant species if occurrence & environmental data are limited & under different model choices? New paper by PhD researcher Valén Holle @jappliedecology.bsky.social #SDM #invasive #plants #Pacific besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Uncertainty in blacklisting potential Pacific plant invaders using species distribution models
SDMs can provide valuable support for planning the preventive management of alien species. However, our findings show that blacklist outcomes are highly sensitive to modelling decisions. While ensemb....
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Reposted by Macroecology lab @unipotsdam
Julia Rothacher @juliarothacher.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
Truly fascinating combination: the wonderful shots by @jan-haft.bsky.social beautifully accompanied by live music of "Orchester des Wandels" 🎶 - what a highlight at the #gfoe2025 Ice Breaker tonight! 🧊🥂 @gfoesoc.bsky.social
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Gesellschaft für Ökologie e.V. @gfoesoc.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
🌟 We are beyond excited to present the GFÖ 2025 Honorary Medal to Prof. Dr. Volker Grimm! 🎉 His outstanding and future-oriented research in ecological modelling has paved the way for deeper insights into how ecological systems work 🌍✨ @ufz.de www.ufz.de/index.php?de... #gfoe2025
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Christian Hof @christianhof.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Congratulations to Volker Grimm on receiving the @gfoesoc.bsky.social Honorary Medal for his outstanding contributions to ecology! So well deserved! #gfoe2025
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Nordic Society Oikos @nordicoikos.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Got inspired by all the fantastic research at #gfoe2025? Save the date for an even larger gathering of excellence in #ecology and #evolution at the joint #NSO2026 and #gfoe2026 meeting with @gfoesoc.bsky.social! See you on 14-17 Sep 2026 in Denmark! nordicsocietyoikos.glueup.com/event/nordic...
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Christian Hof @christianhof.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
A truly amazing highlight of #gfoe2025 at @uni-wuerzburg.de yesterday evening: Jan Haft and members of the Orchestras of Change with their „Climate and Wilderness show“
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 04/09/2025
Thanks to the organisers of #GfOe2025 for a wonderful conference! Very proud of the team for the fantastic science they presented!
Macroecoology team Potsdam: Damaris Zurell, Anna Rönnfeldt, Raya Keuth, Katrin Schifferle, Valén Holle, Levin Wiedenroth
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Arman Pili @armanpili.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
🚨 New SDM-methods paper fresh out of the science oven! 🍞📊 We developed super simple data thinning methods to tackle an oversimplified and superficially addressed issue in SDMs --- environmental sampling bias! doi.org/10.1002/ecog... @zurelllab.bsky.social @bleroyecology.bsky.social 🧵(1/8)
doi.org
Correcting environmental sampling bias improves transferability of species distribution models
Sampling bias is an inherent problem in widely available biodiversity data, undermining the robustness of correlative species distribution models (SDMs). To some extent, subsampling occurrence data c....
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Tobias Kuemmerle @tkuemmerle.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Come join us at the Conservation Biogeography Lab @biogeoberlin.bsky.social @humboldtuni.bsky.social and carry out work on megafauna in Europe pages.cms.hu-berlin.de/biogeo/websi...
pages.cms.hu-berlin.de
New PhD position on large mammals and land-use change in Europe | Conservation Biogeography Lab
We are excited to invite applications for a new PhD position on large mammals and land-use change in Europe. Join us at the Conservation and Biogeography Lab at Humboldt University Berlin!
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Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
What I wish I knew: 33 thoughts for early career researchers Reflections I wish someone had shared with me early in my research career. predirections.substack.com/p/what-i-wis...
predirections.substack.com
What I wish I knew: 33 thoughts for early career researchers
Thirty three reflections I wish someone had shared with me early in my research career.
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Andy Gonzalez @bio-diverse.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
So happy to share our Review paper A well-connected Earth: The science and conservation of organismal movement @science.org www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
science.org
A well-connected Earth: The science and conservation of organismal movement
Global biodiversity targets focus on landscape and seascape connectivity as a foundational component of biodiversity conservation, including networks of connected protected areas. Recent advances allo...
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Nature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 03/04/2025
A Review in Nature Reviews Biodiversity discusses the benefits provided by urban biodiversity, the challenges it faces, and approaches to its promotion and conservation. go.nature.com/4i0Uh8d 🧪
This is figure 4, which shows the multifunctionality of urban green spaces, such as community gardens, public parks and streetscapes.
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Tobias Kuemmerle @tkuemmerle.bsky.social · 28/03/2025
Understanding the biogeography of bats across the Eastern Mediterranean, Caucasus and Central Asian biodiversity hotspots – new paper led by Julian Oeser out in the Journal of Biogeography! doi.org/10.1111/jbi.... @humboldtuni.bsky.social @biogeoberlin.bsky.social
Bechstein's bat, Myotis bechsteinii (Dietmar Nill - Wikipedia)
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Biogeography Berlin @biogeoberlin.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
Understanding the macroecology of #bats. #Newpaper out now in the Journal of Biogeography: Led by @julianoeser.bsky.social, with @zurelllab.bsky.social and many others. We show how innovative SDMs can shed new light on relationships between niches, distributions, competition, and richness.
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Tobias Kuemmerle @tkuemmerle.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
🦬European #bison are Europe’s largest surviving herbivore – but would there be space for large bison populations in Central Europe? New paper addressing this question led by Hendrik Bluhm 👉 just out in Biological Conservation! doi.org/10.1016/j.bi... @humboldtuni.bsky.social #megafauna #rewilding
Two wisents in the Milovice area - Photo (c) Michal Köpping
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Özden Terli @terliwetter.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
#Klimakatastrophe www.stern.de/geo/klimakri...
stern.de
Der BND warnt vor Sicherheitsrisiken durch die Klimakrise. Genau zur rechten Zeit
Nicht Fridays for Future, sondern BND und Bundeswehr warnen nun vor den Folgen unterlassenen Klimaschutzes. Und führen damit die Realitätsverzerrung der aktuellen politischen Debatte vor.
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Excited to share new preprint by PhD candidate Anna Rönnfeldt „Climatic niche conservatism in non-native plants depends on introduction history and biogeographic context“ highlighting context dependency in climate niche shifts of species introduced in multiple world regions doi.org/10.1101/2025...
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Andy Gonzalez @bio-diverse.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Must read out in @science.org "Climate change extinctions" by @MarkCUrban (on X) www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... Big take home: "extinctions will accelerate rapidly if global temperatures exceed 1.5°C. The highest-emission scenario would threaten approximately one-third of species, globally."
science.org
Climate change extinctions
Climate change is expected to cause irreversible changes to biodiversity, but predicting those risks remains uncertain. I synthesized 485 studies and more than 5 million projections to produce a quant...
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Inês Martins @inesismartins.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Did you miss #BES2024 and are you interested in #BiodiversityFutures? check the recording of this great session led by @drnickisaac.bsky.social, featuring talks by Damaris Zurell, Anita Lazurko, Andy Purvis, James Bullock, Greta Bocedi, Jennifer Border and myself. youtu.be/FkbS6Klzbdg?...
youtube.com
BES2024 Thematic Session - Biodiversity Futures: harnessing the power of scenarios and models
YouTube video by British Ecological Society
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Our dog will never understand why Germany allows private fireworks for New Year. All the noise and dust and garbage 🙈🙉 Stay safe for the new year 🎊🤩
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Big shout-out to PhD candidate Valén Holle for her new #preprint doi.org/10.1101/2024... assessing #uncertainty in SDM-based #blacklists of #invasive species related to #species & environmental data & #SDM algorithm. #Pacific #plants 1/2
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Macroecology lab @unipotsdam @zurelllab.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
Had an exciting week at #BES2024 in Liverpool. Among my highlights: workshop on #scenario development by @drnickisaac.bsky.social @alazurko.bsky.social and thematic session on #biodiversity futures. And of course crazy Xmas jumper day - thanks to my team who made sure I have a Xmas jumper with me 🎄
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Brian J. Enquist @bjenquist.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
An important review - The ecology of plant extinctions - "Recent warm-edge extirpations demonstrate the growing impact of anthropogenic climate change & show that predictions of massive climate-driven extinctions later this century are plausible" www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 🌾🌎🧪🌐
Image of the first page and abstract of the paper "The ecology of plant extinctions
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2024.11.007
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Highlights
The fossil record suggests that climate change was the major driver of plant extinctions and regional extirpations from the Pliocene until recently, when anthropogenic habitat loss became dominant.
Known recent plant extinctions are disproportionately few in comparison with well-studied animal taxa, but many more species are probably committed to inevitable extinction unless given targeted support.
Recent warm-edge extirpations demonstrate the growing impact of anthropogenic climate change and show that predictions of massive climate-driven extinctions later this century are plausible.
The proximate causes for population extirpations are still rarely known but are likely to be highly varied and both species and location specific."
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PEEER @peeer.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Author-pays model: Check out our recent post at peeer.net/news/ to better understand the growing inequities in global science associated with high Article Processing Charges in Open Access publications. #BetterPublishing #APC #OA
peeer.net
News
Author-pays model and growing inequities in global science (Dec’24) Scientific publishing, in a form similar to what we know today, has existed for hundreds of years. However, in recent times…
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PEEER @peeer.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
PEEER - Publishing for an Ethical and Equitable Environment in Research, embeds authors, editors, reviewers, journal managers, and other society members around the world working to make scientific publishing more accessible, affordable, and equitable. peeer.net #BetterPublishing #OpenAccess
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