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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 13h

The New Power Map of the European Parliament 👇 I very much look forward to this panel discussion with @simonhix.bsky.social, @abiralsahlani.bsky.social, @jonassjostedt.bsky.social, @gvonsydow.bsky.social in Stockholm’s Kulturhuset on Friday, 9 October. Registration here: sieps.se/en/seminars/...

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

The EP is more right-leaning. Contrary to some expectations, this has not produced a stable right-wing majority. Our findings from 5,282 roll-call votes: 1️⃣ the traditional pro-European coalition remains the main decision-making engine and 2️⃣ the EPP has gained greater leverage against other groups 👇

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

🗳️ Elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin: #CDU backbenchers will probably be studying these 20 figures 📊 from ARD / Infratest dimap very closely. In short: They are devastating for #Merz and the party... #ltwbe #aghw #ltwmv

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Regional elections in #Germany: #CDU vote shares in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin are worse than polls predicted some days ago: ARD/ZDF exit polls see party at 5.5% / 5% and 20% / 20% ‼️ #Merz ist expected to address the public this evening

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Mark Carney’s speech to the European Parliament 🇨🇦🇪🇺 www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/spee... Couldn't we offer him an EU top job in 2029? After all he was already BoE governor! And, wow, he begins by quoting Faust II 👇

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Jakob Lewander @lewander.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Yesterday, von der Leyen called for the urgent creation of a European Security Council. Today, @sieps.bsky.social has published a report by @rgwhitman.bsky.social with a concrete proposal through an incremental design: "The Case for a European Security Council" sieps.se/en/publicati...

sieps.se

Forging European Strategic Unity: The Case for a European Security Council

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

💥 The new interactive playground for EU-institutionalists is online on the @sieps.bsky.social website, as part of the new study "The Centre Is Holding: Coalitions and Majorities in a Fragmented European Parliament" by @simonhix.bsky.social, @gvonsydow.bsky.social and myself:

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

#SOTEU Question from California: Can we leave the US and join the EU as associate member, like #Canada? And, yes, we like a bit of #AI regulation, but it should be proposed by our tech giants!

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Ronny Patz @ronpatz.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Actual inventor of #SOTEU was Conor, blogging as “The European Citizen” at the time, and then the bloggingportal.eu crew with the EU coms crew made it spread.

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Whenever #SOTEU approaches, I feel old, like a political dinosaur, having watched and commented all SOTEUs since the first with Barroso. The early 2010s! A few people tweeting EU-institutional (@jonworth.eu, @ronpatz.bsky.social Julien Frisch, Dana Manescu, the late Kosmopolit), hashtag invented.

audiovisual.ec.europa.eu

Audiovisual Service

Welcome to the EC Audiovisual Services Portal.

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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Looks like the centre-left is on track for a (very narrow) victory at yesterday's Swedish general election. Read @matsengstrom.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu on what that could mean for 🇸🇪's place in Europe ⬇️

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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

🧵🇩🇪

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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

All eyes now on Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (Germany's Baltic Sea coast and its hinterland), where a popular SPD incumbent, Manuela Schwesig, is running as a bulwark against the AfD in the state election on September 20. "Die Frau gegen blau" = "The woman against blue [AfD]"

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

What strikes me most about several of these graphs is how successful the AfD has become in portraying it as the party of change, that gained mostly from mobilising non-voters and is regarded as more 'competent' on most issues by a majority of voters.

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

After the shock: 23 figures 📊 on the Saxony-Anhalt result and voting behaviour from ZDF / Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and ARD / Infratest dimap👇 1/9

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Saxony-Anhalt 😱 The political centre reaches 35.4% (CDU+SPD+Greens), 37.7% incl. FDP. AfD (44.5%, +23.6) is very close to a majority of seats, doubles its result while the CDU vote share is cut in half (18.2%, -18,9). In 2018 Friedrich Merz promised that he would cut the AfD vote share in half.

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

Voter turnout in Saxony-Anhalt at 2:00 p.m.: 54.4% (2021: 27.1%)

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

La rentrée and Brussels' institutional awakening: All three major EU institutions are rethinking the institutions' functioning and set-up! The Commission is, according to the FT's @henryjfoy.ft.com, drafting a plan to break up the EEAS: www.ft.com/content/1e55... 1/8

ft.com

EU accelerates plans to break up diplomatic service

France and Germany drive push for reform as pressure mounts on Brussels to find budget savings

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Jakob Lewander @lewander.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

Seminar launch of @sieps.bsky.social anthology on European defence governance with @vkreilinger.bsky.social @nvondarza.bsky.social Calle Håkansson and @gvonsydow.bsky.social link to report ⬇️ 🤓 sieps.se/en/publicati...

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

Join us for the event "European Defence Governance: Who calls the shots?" in Stockholm on Thursday, 21 May 2026, from 13:15 to 15:30, with a great line-up of speakers (@nvondarza.bsky.social, @gvonsydow.bsky.social and many more) to launch our latest edited volume👇 sieps.se/en/seminars/...

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Jakob Lewander @lewander.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

European defence is a patchwork of various institutional and political circles. In this new @sieps.bsky.social anthology we explore the governance of today's European defence sieps.se/en/publicati... with @gvonsydow.bsky.social @vkreilinger.bsky.social @prieker.bsky.social @nvondarza.bsky.social

sieps.se

Who calls the shots? Institutional and political dynamics in European defence

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

On top of that, there is a brand-new Figure with European defence in one figure👇 The entire volume is Open Access on the SIEPS website: sieps.se/publikatione... 🇪🇺 🏰 🪖 ⚔️ 3/3

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

For a new volume edited by @vkreilinger.bsky.social and @gvonsydow.bsky.social, they asked 'who calls the shots' on European defence. My contribution digs into why the answer is still the Council and how the member states retain the intergovernmental prerogative:

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

🚨 In the EU, defence policy has moved to the top of the political agenda. But who calls the shots? This is what @gvonsydow.bsky.social and I were asking. We are absolutely pleased that four experts, including @nvondarza.bsky.social, have joined this endeavour: A small booklet on European defence 1/3

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

The Council is close to signing off the €90bn loan for Ukraine. This Q&A (by Christian Bissinger, Jakob @lewander.bsky.social and me) tells you all you need to know about "EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation": sieps.se/en/publicati...

sieps.se

EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation

Questions and answers on the EU24 loan to Ukraine

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SIEPS @sieps.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Ukraine’s public finances are close to collapse, and the EU is unable to finalise the €90 billion loan. In a recent webinar, @dittebrasso.bsky.social, @ilketoygur.bsky.social and @vkreilinger.bsky.social discussed various ways forward. A recording is now available: sieps.se/en/seminars/...

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

It was a great pleasure to discuss overcoming unanimity in the EU with @dittebrasso.bsky.social, @ilketoygur.bsky.social and @lewander.bsky.social at the webinar "How can the EU support Ukraine – without being in agreement?" The recording is available on the SIEPS website: sieps.se/en/seminars/...

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

🇪🇺 🇺🇦 We will discuss one of the most thorny issues of the recent European Council meeting, "How can the EU support Ukraine – without being in agreement?", on Friday, 27 March, from 10:00 to 11:15👇 sieps.se/en/seminars/... 1/2

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

📣 Join us on Friday, 27 March, from 10:00 to 11:15, for a discussion on overcoming unanimity at the webinar "How can the EU support Ukraine – without being in agreement?" @sieps.bsky.social 👇

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Jakob Lewander @lewander.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Join our @sieps.bsky.social webinar on Friday 27/3 with @dittebrasso.bsky.social, @ilketoygur.bsky.social, and @vkreilinger.bsky.social to discuss the EU's foreign and security policy predicament of trying to govern without agreeing sieps.se/en/seminars/...

sieps.se

How can the EU support Ukraine – without being in agreement?

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

Not a good look for the credibility of the EU. Additionally, conclusions on Ukraine at 26 without Hungary have been the norm for a while. This is the second time after December 2025 that Slovakia also did not sign the Ukraine conclusions, emphasizing the structural rift of now an EU-25 vs 2.

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 18/03/2026

📣 Join us on Friday, 27 March, from 10:00 to 11:15, for a discussion on overcoming unanimity at the webinar "How can the EU support Ukraine – without being in agreement?" @sieps.bsky.social 👇

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 13/03/2026

This is a bombshell. The Polish President vetoes #SAFE. Unexpected. Financially irresponsible: Poland would be able to fund military equipment with lower interest rates: www.ft.com/content/da80...

ft.com

Poland’s Eurosceptic president vetoes EU funding for defence

Karol Nawrocki opposes Safe loans, claiming they would give Brussels a say in national security matters

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 20/02/2026

Finally some media reporting about the rise of the rise of #COREPER. I have long argued that this (in particular the increased used of the "written procedure") is a very significant development that has intensified since the pandemic (sieps.se/media/mnah1q...).

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

My key quotes and takeaways from the #MSC2026 speeches by four European leaders 🇩🇪 🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇬🇧 (Merz, Macron, von der Leyen, Starmer) across four major themes (🏰 ⚔️ 🪖 💶):

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

Ursula von der Leyen endorses enhanced cooperation before the EU leaders' retreat on Thursday: "we should not shy away from using the possibilities foreseen in the treaties on enhanced cooperation" www.euractiv.com/news/von-der... Link to the paper with my infographic: sieps.se/en/publicati... #EUCO

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

The EU24 loan to Ukraine: EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation, jointly written with Christian Maurice Bissinger and @lewander.bsky.social for @sieps.bsky.social, with an updated visualisation of Enhanced Cooperation in one figure sieps.se/en/publicati...

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SIEPS @sieps.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

On 18 December 2025, EU24 leaders agreed on a €90 bn loan to Ukraine. This new European Policy Analysis addresses central aspects of the European Council decision, particularly regarding the immobilised Russian assets, the enhanced cooperation, and the EU as a foreign and security policy actor.

sieps.se

EU Foreign Policy via Enhanced Cooperation

Questions and answers on the EU24 loan to Ukraine

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

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SIEPS @sieps.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

Nytt avsnitt av Sieps podcast! Efter en turbulent vecka i Europapolitiken gästar Björn Fägersten och @gvonsydow.bsky.social podden för att analysera läget. Hur djup är klyftan mellan EU och USA, och hur ska Europa agera i den nya världsordning som växer fram? sieps.se/podcast/siep...

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European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

🚨 TODAY in #ECPRSeminars on the EU @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Our speakers explore how negotiation dynamics differ across high-stakes policy areas, focusing on environment and justice 🎙️Selma Bendjaballah and @vkreilinger.bsky.social 💻 19 Jan, 15:00–16:30 GMT buff.ly/JXZvgpn #EuropeanUnion

ecpr.eu

Standing Group on European Union (SGEU) Seminar Series

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Valentin Kreilinger @vkreilinger.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

Looking forward to discussing "Negotiating in times of polycrisis. Evidence from the EU" at the first edition of the @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Online Seminar Series in 2026 with Selma Bendjaballah of @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social on Monday, 16:00-17:30 CET: ecpr.eu/Events/348

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