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There is no dumber move in politics than engaging in blatant corruption while simultaneously creating a disastrous economy.

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Here's political operative Mike Lawler entering his MAGA phase back in 2016. In 2026 Mike has not posted once about how Trump has broken the economy...or how Trump has blatantly enriched himself, his family and his friends. What a hypocrite. This is #TheRealMikeLawler, #NY17.

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I mean if these PA Senate numbers are even in the realm of possibility… articles.statenavigate.com/pa/democrats...

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And in other news, Republicans are triaging another attempt at flipping a Dem-held seat, this time in #NY03. They've poured millions into trying to defeat Tom Suozzi, only to finally realize that it was a waste of time and money.

More news. MAGA Inc.-aligned groups are stopping airing TV ads in Rep. Tom Suozzi’s (D-N.Y.) district, according to AdImpact and sources tracking the race. Another allied group, Safety and Affordability PAC, quietly pulled money out of the Las Vegas market meant to target Rep. Susie Lee (D-Nev.).
It’s the latest Republican move to slash ad buys for races they’ve already written off as they scramble to hold their slim four-seat majority.

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'GOP lawmakers from around the country, many in deep red seats, are approaching super PACs with polls showing them losing or on the brink of being down.' This reporting from Punchbowl on GOP panic in supposedly 'safe red' seats - some of which are named - has me 👀.

The Republican panic is on clearest display at the various political organizations in Washington charged with spending hundreds of millions of dollars on House races. GOP lawmakers from around the country, many in deep red seats, are approaching super PACs with polls showing them losing or on the brink of being down.
Meanwhile, Democratic PACs are swimming in data showing opportunities in seats that were never on their radar. The map keeps expanding into deeper red territory.
Democrats have seen evidence of margin-of-error races in Indiana’s 5th District, GOP Rep. Victoria Spartz’s district that President Donald Trump won by 17 points; New York’s open 21st District, which Trump won by 21 points; Nevada’s open 2nd District, which Trump won by 14; and Kentucky’s open 6th District, which Trump won by 15.
Democrats have also seen evidence of tighter-than-usual races in North Carolina’s 3rd District, GOP Rep. Greg Murphy’s seat that Trump won by 14; North Carolina’s 9th District, NRCC Chair Richard Hudson’s seat, which Trump won by 16; and Nebraska’s 1st District, Rep. Mike Flood’s seat, which Trump won by 13 points.
Both parties have polls with Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Ala.) in a tight race against Republican State Rep. Rhett Marques in an Alabama district Republicans redrew themselves. Sydney Gruters, the wife of RNC chair Joe Gruters, is also in a tight contest with former Sarasota, Fla., Mayor Kelly Kirschner, in Florida’s 16th District. Kirschner vastly outspent Gruters on TV this week.
Republicans have started spending in South Carolina’s 1st District, where GOP candidate Jenny Costa Honeycutt is trying to hold outgoing Rep. Nancy Mace’s (R-S.C.) seat. Also in play is GOP Rep. Brad Finstad’s southern Minnesota district that Trump won by 12 points. Democrat Jake Johnson is giving Finstad a tough challenge.
Many, if not most, of these GOP seats won’t flip blue. But Democrats feel constrained only by cash and candidates with low name ID. The DCCC warned last week that …

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Judging by the head shakes and eye rolls, Mike Lawler doesn’t like it when better, smarter, stronger and taller woman speaks the truth about his record and calls him out on his lies. #NY17 @caitfornewyork.bsky.social

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“You deserve a patriot, not a puppet.” This is Cait Conley’s closing statement…and her closing argument. She effectively lays out why Mike Lawler has been such a failure for #NY17: He looks out for Trump and the billionaires, first, last and always. @caitfornewyork.bsky.social

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When it comes to Mike Lawler’s role in our affordability crisis, Cait Conley brought the receipts. Here she reminds #NY17 voters that Lawler voted for Trump’s tariffs 8 times and for Trump’s Iran War 6 times. He has done NOTHING to reign in Trump or our high prices. @caitfornewyork.bsky.social

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“I do not need you to mansplain to me what domestic abuse and sexual assault against women. Don’t start. Sit over there.” - Cait Conley In case you’re wondering how tonight’s #NY17 debate is going for Mike Lawler. @caitfornewyork.bsky.social

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Republicans gerrymandered #AL02 to steal it from black Democrats in Alabama. Now they are worried about losing it anyway.

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‘Where is FEMA?’ Imagine screwing up a hurricane response in this political climate, and this close to an election. www.pnj.com/story/weathe...

HURRICANES
Where is FEMA? Hurricane Isaias victims waiting on declaration

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Mike Lawler feigned concern over hunger amidst high prices under Biden....but then was the deciding vote to cut SNAP benefits amidst high prices under Trump. What a hypocrite. Look closely, #NY17. You will discover #TheRealMikeLawler not by what he SAYS...but by what he DOES.

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Throw in the possibility of that Texas Railroad Commissioner race against that bigot Bo French, and could you imagine Dems suddenly winning 5 statewide races in Texas after a 4-decade drought? It’s tough, I know. But it’s a goal to strive for.

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This feels like the appropriate lens through which to view tonight’s Marist poll. The model changed from RV to LV. And quite frankly, these results feel more ‘right’ to me. TX was always going to be tough-but-winnable, and this poll delivers a much-needed reality check. Via @taniel.bsky.social

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Another GOP triage, this time in #CA13. They seem to be abandoning all offensive opportunities outside of their mid-decade gerrymanders.

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Another Dem triage in Safe R reach seat #TN05. This is disappointing because Chaz Molder had the juice. But I guess subsequent gerrymandering and the lack of Andy Ogles proved too much.

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Potential Dem triage of Likely R #AZ02…

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Republicans had hoped to have #NV03 as one of its rare flip opportunities this year, but it looks like that just isn’t in the cards as House Rs and Trump are pulling their money out.

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This 2016 tweet of Mike Lawler attacking Michelle Obama was during her 'go low, go high' speech. Mike thought Barack Obama was the most divisive President in *history*. Odd that I can't find any Lawler tweets criticizing Trump's divisiveness. This is #TheRealMikeLawler, #NY17.

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Back in 2016, political operative Mike Lawler blamed *Barack Obama* for our 'divisions'. A subsequent Twitter search for the word 'division' in all of Lawler's tweets curiously yielded ZERO results about Donald Trump. Such hypocrisy. This is #TheRealMikeLawler, #NY17.

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Meanwhile, in tonight's #GAGov debate, Keisha Lance Bottoms is debating...an empty lecture, because GOP Rick Jackson apparently got spanked so badly at the last one that he couldn't bear to go through it again.

Image of Keisha Lance Bottom standing at a lecture on the left, and an empty lecture on the right.

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Wow. The Wall Street Journal has footage of Ken Paxton ringing in the 2025 New Year in Dubai side-by-side with his mistress…and a U.S. fugitive named Sameer Suhail. #TXSen

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Mike Lawler says an awful lot of words when asked if he’s thought about running for President. Not among them: ‘No’ No wonder he’s been so ineffective. He’s constantly dreaming about higher office. #NY17 voters have a real opportunity to put a crimp in those plans.

Ben Smith
You ever think about running for President?
Mike Lawler
Look, at the end of the day, I’m a big believer in what’s meant to be will be. When my dad died, the very last thing he said to me was, to whom much is given, much is required. You’ve been given a lot of skills and talents. Use them to do God’s work, and always keep your moral compass about you.
I am happy to serve in any capacity that actually can deliver results, and I love what I’m doing right now. If the opportunity is there to run for higher office, whether it’s at the state level or federal level, great. If it’s not there, great. I’ll enjoy my life and take care of my family. To me, I’m not in this for the title. I’m in this because I actually give a shit about the work we do and actually trying to deliver real results.

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Here is the archive link to get around the paywall: archive.is/D3IeR #NY17 residents who are disillusioned with Mike Lawler have a home with Cait Conley. If you’re thinking of switching your vote from Lawler to @caitfornewyork.bsky.social …you’re not alone.

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‘When Mike Lawler first ran for Congress, he promised to tackle inflation, lower costs & make life more affordable. Because I thought I could take him at his word, I voted for him. That was a mistake.’ - Former #NY17 Lawler voter now voting for Cait Conley www.lohud.com/story/opinio...

I voted for Mike Lawler. This November, I’m with Cait Conley | Opinion @caitfornewyork.bsky.social

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Love to see it. Angie Craig is gonna be out there knocking on doors for Peggy Flanagan in #MNSen. I love it when Dems come together. Well done, Congresswoman! @angiecraigmn.bsky.social @peggyflanagan.bsky.social

#MNSEN: Former primary rival Angie Craig is hitting the campaign trail for Peggy Flanagan. Craig will help kick off door-knocking Saturday in Burnsville, which is in her House district, per Flanagan's campaign.

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Dem candidate quality has been off-the-charts this year. Republicans can waste their time calling every individual Democrat a socialist. But the question is whether the electorate actually believes the accusation. It doesn’t look like they’re buying it.

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It appears that a GOP Super PAC - running anti-Troy Jackson hits in the Maine Senate race - booked time in Portland…Oregon? #MESen

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Scrub-a-dub-dub! The latest Republican to remove Donald Trump references from their website is...Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota! How bad must things look for the GOP if Trump is toxic in SD, too? #SDSen via @washingtonsun.com

Other Republicans continue to think differently about Trump. In South Dakota, Sen. Mike Rounds appears to be the latest member of his party to scour references to Trump from his campaign’s website, The Sun’s Jenna Monnin reports.

In an archived version of his site, text underneath the “ROUNDS FOR SENATE” banner previously read, “Mike is endorsed by President Trump and is working for South Dakota every single day.” The line on the current homepage appears to have nixed the nod to the president. A large “ENDORSED BY PRESIDENT TRUMP” banner is now noticeably absent from the bottom of the site, and several references to Trump have been scrubbed from Rounds’ issues page.

Rounds’ campaign did not respond to a request for comment. But like Graham, he is feeling the heat amid a difficult moment for the incumbent party — recent polling shows independent candidate Brian Bengs potentially too close for Republicans’ comfort. The difference is, while Rounds is running away from Trump, Graham isn’t.

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TrumpsTaxes @trumpstaxes.com · 11/10/2026

“Every additional seat reduces the odds of Republicans regaining the Senate before 2030 and maybe 2032.” - Ron Brownstein to @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social, reminding us of the Senate stakes for Dems this year…and the Supreme Court stakes as well. A once-in-a-generation opportunity.

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Look sharp, Ohio. Republicans are desperately opening a new Super PAC promoting a socialist candidate to siphon off votes from Sherrod Brown. The Ohio electorate needs to be fully educated about the GOP scheme. via @rubashkin.bsky.social #OHSen

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Trump’s PAC drops a boatload of money in #AZ02 of all places.

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The story gets even richer. Turns out Rep. Mike Lawler (R - Glass Houses) accused Cait Conley of sign stealing just 3 weeks ago. Looking forward to his condemnation of his own supporter’s criminality. #NY17

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18 Hoise ratings changes from Cook Political report, all in favor of Democrats. As always the Tossups to Lean D and Likely R to Lean R are the ones that catch my eye the most, especially those races with GOP incumbents running. The map gets more brutal for Rs by the day.

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Oh wow. Mike Lawler got so rattled when Cait Conley accurately called him out on his SALT deduction lie that he tried to get up and leave before being told by the forum moderator to sit down and calm down. Oh, and the crowd laughed at him, too. #NY17

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