iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Little Think Tank @littlethinktank.fr · 16h

❗️ [ 🇵🇦 PANAMA ] 🔸 Un séisme de magnitude 7,6 a frappé le sud du Panama. Une alerte concernant un risque de tsunami a été émise pour le Panama, la Colombie, le Costa Rica, l’Équateur, le Pérou, le Nicaragua, le Guatemala, le Salvador et le Mexique.

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Nicolas Berrod @nicolasberrod.bsky.social · 20h

🦟 Le nombre de cas autochtones de virus du Nil occidental en France métropolitaine monte à 161 cette semaine, très large record. Et parmi eux... • 133 cas symptomatiques • 60 formes graves neuro-invasives • 5 décès (lien formel avec l'infection restant parfois à établir) 1/2

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BRGM @brgm.fr · 08/10/2026

💧État des nappes d’eau souterraine au 1er octobre 2026 Que retenir ? 🔹 La situation reste majoritairement très dégradée, liée à un manque de pluie sur le mois de septembre 🔹 La vidange continue sur l’ensemble du territoire alors qu’elle amorce habituellement la recharge à cette période

carte de l'état des nappes d'eau souterraine au 1er octobre 2026

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 08/10/2026

The latest CFSv2 plume for El Niño as of October 7th shows that this El Niño has about a 90% chance to persist into May, 2027 And I don't understand how any model run could show less than 3.4°C for November, unless some magic unicorn comes along.

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EUMETSAT Users @eumetsat-users.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

There's currently a lot of talk about the record-breaking El Niño (dubbed a 'super' El Niño by some). Our climate experts have looked at evidence from 35 years of satellite observations which suggests El Niño may have partly amplified the severity of Europe’s extreme summer this year bit.ly/4yyUSHb

2026 June, July, and August anomalies for air temperature, root zone soil moisture, and solar radiation downward. Credit: Climate Pulse Service/EUMETSAT.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 06/10/2026

Breaking News! Code UFB!!! For the first time in recorded history, the Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature (SST) is above 30.0°C, reaching a preliminary SST of 30.06°C on October 5th. The Niño 3.4 SST anomaly is now 3.41°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. Everything is not fine.

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Extreme Temperatures Around the World @extremetemps.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Impressive,mind blowing,absolutely insane, any possible word can't give an idea of what's going on in California. Last week AVERAGE MINIMUM at Pasadena was an unbelievable 76F, 25F above average and 10F above of any other such a period in the past 126 years.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 05/10/2026

Breaking News! The latest ECMWF forecast for October continues to show the Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature peaking around 4.0°C above the 1991-2020 average in December, with a strong El Niño lasting into Spring. The current Nino 3.4 anomaly is 3.3°C. charts.ecmwf.int/products/sea...

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 05/10/2026

#Antarctic sea ice extent has now dropped to the lowest on record for this time year... See more at zacklabe.com/antarctic-se...

Line graph time series of daily Antarctic sea ice extent for each year from 1979 through 2026. This year is currently the lowest on record for the date. A seasonal cycle is also visible on this graphic, but no long-term trend is visible.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 04/10/2026

Last month was the 3rd lowest #Antarctic sea ice extent on record for the month of September. This was 1,170,000 km² below the 1981-2010 September average. Data from the @nsidc.bsky.social at nsidc.org/data/seaice_...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 04/10/2026

Some folks were wondering why I posted a graph showing the total number of days over 16.0C for each year when this year is not yet over. Hopefully this graph answers the question:

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 04/10/2026

The final results are in and 2026 came in 2nd place behind 2023 for the total number of days with global surface temperature above 16.0°C. 2023: 128 days 2026: 126 days Don't fret. There's always next year ...

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 03/10/2026

September 2026 #Arctic sea ice extent was the 13th lowest on record for the month... This was 1,600,000 km² below the 1981-2010 average. September ice extent is decreasing at about 11.56% per decade (albeit with clear multi-decadal variability). Data: @nsidc.bsky.social at nsidc.org/data/seaice_...

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Dr. Serge Zaka @sergezaka.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Si les inondations de Montpellier ont fait la une de l'actualité, la réalité nationale est bien différente. Il n'a réellement plu que le dernier jour donnant quelques couleurs à la carte, sinon elle aurait été intégralement marron.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 02/10/2026

Breaking News! y-Axis Alert! With yesterday's preliminary Niño 3.4 sea-surface temperature spiking to a new record at 29.975°C, the y-axis was raised to 30.5°C. Meanwhile, the Niño 3.4 anomaly now sits at 3.33°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. Until tomorrow ...

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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 02/10/2026

2026 as a whole is now on track to end up roughly tied with 2024 as the warmest year on record in ERA5, at 1.6C above preindustrial. And 2027 waiting in the wings to be quite a bit warmer on the back of a record-setting El Nino event.

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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 02/10/2026

September 2026 was the second warmest September on record (after 2023's "gobsmackingly bananas" month), coming in at 1.63C above preindustrial levels in the ERA5 dataset.

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Melaine Le Roy @subfossilguy.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Devastating! 😱 The figures have just been published by glamos.ch Swiss glacier have lost 5.5% of their volume this year! (2nd worst year just after 2022)! Since 2022, 20% of total ice volume has gone! 📈 20%...in just FIVE years! 🧊🔥 Full report: doi.glamos.ch/pubs/annualr...

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Etienne Kapikian @ekmeteo.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Chaleur tardive exceptionnelle dans le Nord-Est ce 30/09 🌡️31.7°C à #Colmar Meyenheim (et le seuil des 31° dépassé 3 fois lors des 4 derniers jours de septembre !), record décadaire et 31°C les plus tardifs à la station. 🌡️30.5°C à #Nancy, 30° les plus tardifs 🌡️30.1°C à #Metz, 30° les plus tardifs

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

Breaking News! The preliminary Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly for Sept. 29th came in at 3.18°C above the 1991-2020 baseline. This marks yet another record all-time high and the 123rd consecutive record daily high at 1.1°C above the previous daily record set in 1997.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 30/09/2026

The more you know. The global oceans are warming by the equivalent heat of about one million Hiroshima bombs per day. If wishes were fishes, they'd all be suffocating about now.

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Melaine Le Roy @subfossilguy.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Glacier Carré (La Meije) 2008 | 2018 | 2026 The iconic ice patch punctuating La Meije (3983 m) south face and its normal route (3600-3780 m) could not resist the insane 2026 summer! 😪 Our cryospheric heritage is literally being destroyed before our very eyes! 🧊🔥 📷 PNE and Félix de Montety

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Keraunos @keraunos.org · 29/09/2026

Le signal d'orages diluviens augmente en plaine du Languedoc pour demain mercredi avec hausse de la probabilité de cumuls > 400 mm sur ce secteur. La probabilité de cumuls > 250 mm est significative en Cévennes. Consultez le bulletin Méditerranée : www.keraunos.org/previsions/p...

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 28/09/2026

For the last 3 days the Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly has been hodling steady in record territory at about 3.10°C above the 1991-2020 baseline, well ahead of the previous record anomaly of 3.03°C set on November 19, 2015. The Climate 8-Ball thinks everything is fine.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 28/09/2026

Trends in September temperatures over land areas for the last 50 years... note some of the regional hotspots in the darker red shading Data from www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/lan...

Global map showing surface air temperature trends for each September from 1976 to 2025. Only land areas are shown. Red shading is shown for warmer temperature trends, and blue shading is shown for colder temperature trends. Data is from NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI NOAAGlobalTempv6.0.0. The temperature trend scale is from -0.5°C/decade to +0.5°C/decade. Most all areas are warming.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

JUST IN: Today El Niño Broke its Record Hottest Temperature Ever! 🥵 Today the El Niño region surpassed 2015 for the highest temp ever measured in the El Niño (3.4) region. It comes 2 months earlier than typical peak (late Nov/ Dec)…

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 28/09/2026

Comparing monthly average temperature anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere versus the Southern Hemisphere through August 2026 (record warm). The climate change trend in all months of the year can be visualized through the blue to red gradient. Data available via @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social ERA5.

Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Northern Hemisphere region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to August 2026. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year.

Line graph time series of monthly mean surface temperature anomalies for the Southern Hemisphere region only. Every month is shown from 1940 to August 2026. There is a long-term warming trend in all months of the year.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 27/09/2026

The last three months are the warmest on record globally, relative to every other June-July-August period since 1850. Data from NOAA/NCEI's NOAAGlobalTempv6.1.0.

Line graph time series of global land mean surface temperature anomalies for each June-August period from 1850 through 2026. There is a long-term increasing trend and large year-to-year variability. The mean surface temperature anomaly averaged for June-August 2026 was 1.21°C for global land areas. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1901-2000 climate baseline. Data from NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI NOAAGlobalTemp v6.1.0.

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Nicolas Berrod @nicolasberrod.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

🌡️ La température moyenne de l'eau à la surface des océans dans le monde dépasse toujours 21°C, soit désormais +0,72°C par rapport à la moyenne 1991-2020. Anomalie record tous mois confondus, due à la fois à la tendance au réchauffement et à l'épisode exceptionnel El Niño. 1/2

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Christophe Cassou @cassouman40.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

L’argument de «plus de pluie hivernale» en moyenne sur la France dans un climat qui chauffe n’est pas scientifiquement robuste sur les prochaines décennies (avant 2050) mais il est répété ad-nauseam pour justifier une politique généralisée de stockage de l’eau. [Cf post linkedIn lnkd.in/p/gh-Xi9tA]

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 26/09/2026

The preliminary sea-surface temperature in the Nino 3.4 region just set a record 3.1°C above the 1991-2020 mean, but it's been very volatile. Best to wait for the 2-week window to pass. Conjecture: hurricanes are upwelling cooler waters in the Pacific, contributing to rapid SST changes.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 26/09/2026

Good morning! Monthly climate change indicator update time... 🫣 + Global temperature: 📈 + Carbon dioxide (CO₂): 📈 + Methane (CH₄): 📈 + Nitrous oxide (N₂O): 📈 Download at zacklabe.com/climate-chan...

This graphic shows four line graph time series and each are monthly from January 1984 through August 2026. The first graph is a 12-month running mean of global mean surface temperature anomalies. Anomalies are computed relative to a 1991-2020 baseline using ERA5 data. The second graph is monthly carbon dioxide abundance. The CO2 graph is the Keeling Curve. Current levels are 428 ppm. The third graph is monthly global methane abundance. Current levels are 1939 ppb. The fourth graph is monthly global nitrous oxide abundance. Current levels are 340 ppb. The three greenhouse gases show seasonal cycles and long-term increasing trends using data from NOAA GML. The global mean surface temperature anomaly record also exhibits decadal variability and a long-term increasing trend. All graphs are rising and shown in four different colors, including white, yellow, orange, and pink.

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Extreme Temperatures Around the World @extremetemps.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

LATEST 40c IN SPAIN CLIMATIC HISTORY 40.0c AGAIN ! at Andujar is the latest 40C ever recorded in Iberian Peninsula (and 4th in a row !). Absolutely crazy. And October will see thousands of records from France to Scandinavia.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 25/09/2026

As of September 22nd, the Gulf of Mexico sea-surface temperature is record hot, at 1.68°C (3.02°F) above the 1991-2020 mean. This breaks the previous record for the day set in 2024 by over 0.51°C (0.92°F). And no hurricanes! We live in interesting times.

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Climate Central @climatecentral.org · 25/09/2026

🚨Both and Pakistan have experienced sustained dangerous humid heat this month, much of which would not have occurred without human-caused climate change. Today, dangerous humid heat driven by climate change is peaking in the region — with around 700 million people forecast to feel it⬇️

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Extreme Temperatures Around the World @extremetemps.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

EXTRAORDINARY 38 DEGREES IN FRANCE Europe is living the most insane heat event in its history, with Thousands of stations pulverizing their late September records with ridicolous margins (locally >5C). Over 40C again in Portugal and 37.7C at Navarrenx,France. Mind blowing event

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Dr. Serge Zaka @sergezaka.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

24 septembre 2026 : encore 37 °C en France. Si cette température était un épisode isolé, je n'en ferais pas un post. Mais ce n'est justement pas le cas car cela dure depuis le mois de mai.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Supercharged Pacific, Super Slow Atlantic!🌀 It’s truly night& day in the Atlantic vs the Pacific, with Atlantic Cyclone Energy at a record low, while the Pacific is vying for a record high! ACE is the accumulated cyclone energy when combining all the storm’s intensity and longevity in each basin.

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

99.9th Percentile + The rapid intensification of #Polo sits solidly in 4-sigma (standard deviation) territory consistent with the top 5 of 4,500 RI storms globally since 1980.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 23/09/2026

Wednesday El Niño update - Unsurprisingly, sea surface temperatures still remain record warm across the central Pacific. But when discussing headlines like the “strongest” El Niño, it’s an oversimplification to ignore the role of long-term tropical warming (from climate change). Data: OISSTv2.1 🌊

Line graph time series of daily sea surface temperature anomalies in the Nino3.4 region. Years are shown from 1982 to 2025 in shades of blue to light yellow, and 2026 is shown in red. Climatologically, the largest anomalies are during the boreal winter in terms of magnitude. Data is from OISSTv2.1.

Map of September 21, 2026 average sea surface temperature anomalies in the ENSO monitoring regions. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1 with anomalies relative to a 1991-2020 baseline.

Graphic showing the 4-week change in sea surface temperature anomalies across the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean from August 22, 2026 to September 21, 2026. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1

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Nicolas Berrod @nicolasberrod.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

❗️🦟 Le virus du Nil occidental est en train de supplanter les autres arboviroses en France métropolitaine : désormais 117 cas autochtones, soit quasiment 2 fois plus que le record de l'année dernière (62 au total). Et la saison des #moustiques n'est pas finie, loin de là ! 1/3

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Jeff Berardelli @weatherprof.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Hurricane #Polo exhibited Extreme Rapid Intensification - a term for strengthening more than 50 knots (58mph) in 24 hours. Polo increased 110mph in 24 hours, the 5th fastest rate of intensification in NOAA’s Global Satellite record. Extreme rapid intensification (ERI) is becoming much more common 1/

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 23/09/2026

Watch the changes in 100 years of changing June-July-August temperature anomalies over land areas through 2026 (second highest on record)... Data from NOAAGlobalTemp v6.1.0: www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/lan...

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Matthieu Guyot @matthieugdsm.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Sur Atlantico aussi, sous la plume, notamment, d’un ancien ministre de l’Ecologie.

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Stéphane Foucart @sfoucart.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Publié le 19 mai 2026 dans Valeurs Actuelles, deux jours avant la première vague de chaleur de l'été 2026.

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Climate Central @climatecentral.org · 22/09/2026

🚨As of September 22, #HurricanePolo underwent extreme rapid intensification – reaching Category 5 strength with sustained winds of 165 MPH off the southwestern coast of Mexico.

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Reporterre 🌍 | Le média de l'écologie @reporterre.net · 22/09/2026

Depuis son retour au pouvoir, Donald Trump mène des attaques et destructions sans précédent contre la science aux États-Unis. Mais pourrait-il se passer la même chose en France si le Rassemblement national venait à gagner les élections en 2027 ? Oui, et même pire ➡️ l.reporterre.net/yp0

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